• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시스템 신뢰성 해석

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A Study on Setting Expected Targets for Satisfaction with the Frequency of Use of Construction Technology Information (건설기술정보의 활용 빈도 만족도에 대한 기대 목표치 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Seong-Yun Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.251-268
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    • 2024
  • Recently, with the implementation of the "e-Government Performance Management Guidelines," there is a growing demand for setting performance indicators for information systems. For systems that provide information services to the public, such as CODIL, it is not easy to set performance indicators. This study presented a research model that applies Monte Carlo simulation to set expected performance targets that can be achieved through CODIL based on objective evidence. Among the survey contents conducted from 2015 to 2023, the statistical characteristics of user satisfaction regarding the frequency of use of construction technology information provided by CODIL were designated as input variables. Future expected targets and confidence intervals from 2024 to 2026 were designated as outcome variables. The expected target value was measured by generating 5 simulation alternatives and 1,000 random numbers for each alternative. Next, the measured expected goals were interpreted and compared with the results of time series regression analysis measured in previous studies. Although, as in previous studies, the expected target value could not be predicted based on time series regression analysis that considers the correlation between years. However, compared to previous studies, this study can be considered a more accurate analysis result because it predicted the expected target value based on 5,000 input variables.

Development of Sequential Mixing Model for Analysis of Shear Flow Dispersion (전단류 분산 해석을 위한 순차혼합모형의 개발)

  • Seo, Il Won;Son, Eun Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4B
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2006
  • In this study, sequential mixing model (SMM) was proposed based on the Taylor's theory which can be summarized as the fact that longitudinal advection and transverse diffusion occur independently and then the balance between the longitudinal shear and transverse mixing maintains. The numerical simulation of the model were performed for cases of different mixing time and transverse velocity distribution, and the results were compared with the solutions of 1-D longitudinal dispersion model (1-D LDM) and 2-D advection-dispersion model (2-D ADM). As a result it was confirmed that SMM embodies the Taylor's theory well. By the comparison between SMM and 2-D ADM, the relationship between the mixing time and the transverse diffusion coefficient was evaluated, and thus SMM can integrate 2-D ADM model as well as 1-D LDM model and be an explanatory model which can represents the shear flow dispersion in a visible way. In this study, the predicting equation of the longitudinal dispersion coefficient was developed by fitting the simulation results of SMM to the solution of 1-D LDM. The verification of the proposed equation was performed by the application to the 38 sets of field data. The proposed equation can predict the longitudinal dispersion coefficient within reliable accuracy, especially for the river with small width-to-depth ratio.

Evaluation of Levee Reliability by Applying Monte Carlo Simulation (Monte Carlo 기법에 의한 하천제방의 안정성 평가)

  • Jeon, Min Woo;Kim, Ji Sung;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5B
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    • pp.501-509
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    • 2006
  • The safety of levee that depends on the river flood elevation has been regarded as very important keys to build up various flood prevention systems. However, deterministic methods for computation of water surface profile cannot reflect the effect of possible inaccuracies in the input parameters. The purpose of this study is to develop a methodology of uncertainty computation of design flood level based on steady flow analysis and Monte Carlo simulation. This study addresses the uncertainty of water surface elevation by Manning's coefficients, design discharges, river cross sections and boundary condition. Monte Carlo simulation with the variations of these parameters is performed to quantify the variations of water surface elevations in a river. The proposed model has been applied to the Kumho-river. The reliability analysis was performed within 38.5 km (95 sections) reach considered the variations of the above-mentioned parameters. Overtopping risks were evaluated by comparing the elevations of the flood condition with the those of the levees. The results show that there is a necessity which will raise the levee elevation between 1 cm and 56 cm at 7 sections. The model can be used for preparing flood risk maps, flood forecasting systems and establishing flood disaster mitigation plans as well as complement of conventional levee design.

Evaluation of Subsystem Importance Index considering Effective Supply in Water Distribution Systems (유효유량 개념을 도입한 상수관망 Subsystem 별 중요도 산정)

  • Seo, Min-Yeol;Yoo, Do-Guen;Kim, Joong-Hoon;Jun, Hwan-Don;Chung, Gun-Hui
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2009
  • The main objective of water distribution system is to supply enough water to users with proper pressure. Hydraulic analysis of water distribution system can be divided into Demand Driven Analysis (DDA) and Pressure Driven Analysis (PDA). Demand-driven analysis can give unrealistic results such as negative pressures in nodes due to the assumption that nodal demands are always satisfied. Pressure-driven analysis which is often used as an alternative requires a Head-Outflow Relationship (HOR) to estimate the amount of possible water supply at a certain level of pressure. However, the lack of data causes difficulty to develop the relationship. In this study, effective supply, which is the possible amount of supply while meeting the pressure requirement in nodes, is proposed to estimate the serviceability and user's convenience of the network. The effective supply is used to calculate Subsystem Importance Index (SII) which indicates the effect of isolating a subsystem on the entire network. Harmony Search, a stochastic search algorithm, is linked with EPANET to maximize the effective supply. The proposed approach is applied in example networks to evaluate the capability of the network when a subsystem is isolated, which can also be utilized to prioritize the rehabilitation order or evaluate reliability of the network.

Development of a cavity pressure measuring device and estimation of viscosity functions of various polymer composites (사출성형 금형 캐비티 내압 측정장치 개발 및 이를 이용한 새로운 복합재료의 점도 측정)

  • Kim, Yong-Hyeon;Kim, Dong-Hak
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.877-887
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    • 2015
  • We have proposed a new method for estimating the viscosity of the composite. In this paper, we have developed a device for measuring the injection mold cavity pressure. This makes it possible to verify the accuracy of the viscosity in CAE D/B in real time by measuring the melt pressure in the mold, and comparing this with the simulated pressure from the CAE analysis. Materials used in this study is a PP(Polypropylene), PP/LGF30%(Polypropylene/long glass fiber 50% composite) and PA66/LGF50%(Polyamide 6,6/long glass fiber 50% composite). The viscosity data for PP and PP long fiber composite have already been built, but the one for PA66 long-fiber composite does not exist because it is a newly developed material. Thus we obtained the viscosity curve of PA66/LGF50% by this system. Then, the viscosity curves from conventional viscometer were also compared with the viscosity obtained by the our method. And, we proved the accuracy of the CAE data of PP. In case of PP/LGF50% which is highly viscous and complex material, we improved the existing CAE data.because there was a difference between the measuring data and the CAE data.

A Basic Study for the Application of the Shafting System for the Contra-Rotating Propeller (상반회전 프로펠러 축계 실용화를 위한 기초 연구)

  • Shin, Sang-Hoon;Lee, Seung-Min;Rim, Chae Whan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.391-398
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    • 2020
  • If the lost energy produced by a propeller can be partially recovered, the propulsive efficiency can be increased, and the fuel consumption reduced. The devices installed for this purpose are called Energy Saving Devices, of which the Contra-Rotating Propeller system is one of the most effective devices. The first problem to be solved to install the Contra-Rotating Propeller system on a large ship is that the mean pressure generated in the journal bearing needs to meet the design criteria of the classifications. In Korea, however, the practical use is being delayed because it cannot overcome this step. The next step is to lower local pressure to increase the reliability. In this study, to solve the mean pressure problem as the first step of practical use, a product carrier with a short stern shape was selected to reduce the weight of the shafting system, and a suitable shafting-system design plan was proposed. Shaft analysis confirmed that the mean pressure of 0.8 MPa (8 bar), which is a design criterion of the classifications for a journal bearing lining material (white metal), was satisfied. In addition, the necessity of reducing the local pressure was also confirmed.

Optimal Micrositing and Annual Energy Production Prediction for Wind Farm Using Long-term Wind Speed Correlation Between AWS and MERRA (AWS와 MERRA 데이터의 장기간 풍속보정을 통한 풍력터빈 최적배치 및 연간에너지생산량 예측)

  • Park, Mi Ho;Kim, Bum Suk
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.201-212
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    • 2016
  • A Wind resource assessment and optimal micrositing of wind turbines were implemented for the development of an onshore wind farm of 30 MW capacity on Gadeok Island in Busan, Republic of Korea. The wind data measured by the automatic weather system (AWS) that was installed and operated in the candidate area were used, and a reliability investigation was conducted through a data quality check. The AWS data were measured for one year, and were corrected for the long term of 30 years by using the modern era retrospective analysis for research and application (MERRA) reanalysis data and a measure- correlate-predict (MCP) technique; the corrected data were used for the optimal micrositing of the wind turbines. The micrositing of the 3 MW wind turbines was conducted under 25 conditions, then the best-optimized layout was analyzed with a various wake model. When the optimization was complete, the estimated park efficiency and capacity factor were from 97.6 to 98.7 and from 37.9 to 38.3, respectively. Furthermore, the annual energy production (AEP), including wake losses, was estimated to be from 99,598.4 MWh to 100,732.9 MWh, and the area was confirmed as a highly economical location for development of a wind farm.

The Study on the Confidence Building for Evaluation Methods of a Fracture System and Its Hydraulic Conductivity (단열체계 및 수리전도도의 해석신뢰도 향상을 위한 평가방법 연구)

  • Cho Sung-Il;Kim Chun-Soo;Bae Dae-Seok;Kim Kyung-Su;Song Moo-Young
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.15 no.2 s.42
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    • pp.213-227
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    • 2005
  • This study aims to assess the problems with investigation method and to suggest the complementary solutions by comparing the predicted data from surface investigation with the outcome data from underground cavern. In the study area, one(NE-1) of 6 fracture zones predicted during the surface investigation was only confirmed in underground caverns. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the confidence level for prediction. In this study, the fracture classification criteria was quantitatively suggested on the basis of the BHTV images of NE-1 fracture zone. The major orientation of background fractures in rock mass was changed at the depth of the storage cavern, the length and intensity were decreased. These characteristics result in the deviation of predieted predicted fracture properties and generate the investigation bias depending on the bore hole directions and investigated scales. The evaluation of hydraulic connectivity in the surface investigation stage needs to be analyze by the groundwater pressures and hydrochemical properties from the monitoring bore hole(s) equipped with a double completion or multi-packer system during the test bore hole is pumping or injecting. The hydraulic conductivities in geometric mean measured in the underground caverns are 2-3 times lower than those from the surface and furthermore the horizontal hydraulic conductivity in geometric mean is six times lower than the vertical one. To improve confidence level of the hydraulic conductivity, the orientation of test hole should be considered during the analysis of the hydraulic conductivity and the methodology of hydro-testing and interpretation should be based on the characteristics of rock mass and investigation purposes.

On the Calibration of Impact Hammer Sensitivity (충격 해머의 감도보정)

  • 한상보
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1991.04a
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    • pp.71-74
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    • 1991
  • 구조물의 진동특성을 파악하기 위한 실험적 모우드 해석법에서 기진력을 제 공하는 한 방법으로 힘 측정기가 부착된 해머를 이용한 충격시험기법이 널 리 사용되고 있다. 충격해머 시험의 유용성은 기진력의 에너지가 정현파 기 진력의 경우처럼 특정 주파수대에 산재해 있는 것이 아니라 가용 주파수 영 역내에 연속적으로 분포해 있다는 점이며 이러한 충격력은 가용 주파수 범 위내에 있는 모든 고유진동형을 여가시킬 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 충격헤머 가 가지고 있는 동적특성은 구조물을 가진시키는 선형충격량의 크기를 결정 하며, 이는 다시 충격력의 크기와 가용 주파수 범위를 결정하게 된다. 일반 적으로 가진주파수 범위는 해머의 질량에 반비례하고 충격해드의 경도에 비 례하는 것으로 알려져 있다. 해머의 질량 자체가 충격력의 크기를 좌우하기 도 하므로, 가진력의 크기를 고려하여 해머의 질량이 선택되며 충격헤드는 충격시간을 조절하기 위하여 적절히 선택된다. 충격해머에 장착된 힘측정기 의 감도는 해머질량과 충격헤드의 질량 변화에 영향을 받게 되는데, 충격 시 험시 측정되는 값은 해머에 부착되어 있는 힘측정기에 가해지는 힘인 반면 구조물에 가해지는 기진력은 충격해드와 구조물사이에 발생되는 힘이다. 이 두 힘의 비는 해머 및 충격해드의 질량효과에 따라 좌우된다. 주어진 충격시 험에서 충격해머의 질량효과를 정확히 조건에 따라 감도보정을 해 주어야 한다. 충격해머의 감도보정에 대해서는 문헌[2]에 잘 나타나 있다. 본 논문에 서는 전압감도에 미치는 영향을 파악하고자 질량 효과를 고려한 수학적 모 형을 제시하고 그 모형의 타당성을 실험을 통해 검정하고자 한다.방법 을 제시하였다. 이와 아울러 제어계의 환경변화에 따른 파라메타의 변화에 적응적으로 응답이 가능해야 하는 적응 소음제어 시스템에서, 음향궤환과 함 께 필히 고려해야 하는 부가적인 전달함수의 영향을 고려한 능동 소음제어 에 대해 연구하였다. 경량화 추세에 따라 지반이나 케이싱이 경량이거나 유연하여 회전축과 동적으로 연성된 경우 회전축-베어링-지반으로 이루어진 2중구조의 회전축 계 동특성을 해석할 수 있는 프로그램을 개발하므로서 회전 기계류의 진동 전반에 걸친 문제점에 대한 그 원인과 현상을 명확히 분석하여 국내의 전기 계류의 보다 신뢰성있는 설계 및 제작자료를 확보하는데 기여할 수 있게 하 였다.존의 small molecular Gd-chelate에 비해 매우 큼을 알 수 있었다. MnPC는 간세포에 흡수된 후 담도계로 배출되는 간특이성 조영제임을 확인하였다. 장비 내에서 반복 시행한 평균값의 차이는 대체적으로 유의한 차이가 없었으나, 다른 장비에서 반복 시행한 장비간의 사이에는 유의한 차이가 있는 경우가 더 많았다. 따라서 , MRS 검사를 소뇌나 뇌교의 어떤 절환에 적용하기 전에 각 장비 마다 정상 기준치를 반드시 얻은 후에 이상여부를 판 정하는 것이 필수적이라고 생각된다.EX> 이상이 적절한 진단기준으로 생각되었다. $0.4{\;}\textrm{cm}^3$ 이상의 좌우 부피차를 보이는 모든 증례에서 육안적으로도 해마위축이 뚜렷이 나타났다. 결론 : MR영상을 이용한 해마의 부피측정은 해마경화증 환자의 진단에 있어 육안적인 MR 진단이 어려운 제한된 경우에만 실제적 도움을 줄 수 있는 보조적인 방법으로 생각된다

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A Long-Term Water Budget Analysis for an Ungaged River Baisn (미계측 유역의 장기 물수지 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Keum Hwan;Kim, Tae Kyun;Yoon, Yong Nam
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 1991
  • In the present study, a methodology has been established for water budget analysis of a river basin for which monthyl rainfall and evaporation data are the only available hydrologic data. The monthly rainfall data were first converted into monthyl runoff data by an empirical formula from which long-term runoff data were generated by a stochastic generation mothod. Thomas-Fiering model. Based on the generated long-term data low flow frequency analysis was made for each of the oberved and generated data set, the low flow series of each data set being taken as the water supply for budget analysis. The water demands for various water utilization were projected according to the standard method and the net water consumption computed there of. With the runoff series of the driest year of each generated data set as an input water budget computation was made through the composite reservoirs comprised of small reserviors existing in the basin by deficit-supply method. The water deficit computed through the reservior operation study showed that the deficit radically increases as the return period of low flow becomes large. This indicates that the long-term runoff data generated by stochastic model are a necessity for a reliable water shortage forecasting to cope with the long-term water resourse planning of a river basin. F.E.M. program (ADINA) is also presented herein.

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