• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시군구

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Integrated Risk Analysis for Mitigation the Urban Flood Disaster (도시홍수 피해 경감을 위한 통합 리스크 분석)

  • Lee, Jae Yeong;Keum, Ho Jun;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.50-50
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    • 2017
  • 도시홍수의 잠재적 위험은 홍수경감계획이 발전됨에 따라 감소하지만, 침수피해 가능성은 도시화와 도시 확장에 따라 증가한다. 침수피해 가능성에 대한 사전 파악 및 위험도 분석은 대규모 침수재해 발생 시의 위기관리에도 도움을 준다. 또한, 경제적 피해에 대한 예측은 재해발생 후 복구 및 복원 작업에 필요한 자원 할당에 매우 유용하며, 잠재적 홍수 피해에 대한 예측은 장기적인 홍수경감계획과 재해관리에 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 다차원 침수해석 모형의 결과로 산정 가능한 침수심, 유속 등의 지표들을 복합적으로 고려하여 침수위험도를 산정하고, 침수 발생 위험이 있는 지역의 인문 사회 경제적 지표를 통해 피해 저감 및 복구성을 반영하기 위한 재해 취약인자를 선정하여 해당 지역에 대한 취약도를 산정하였다. 또한, 분석된 위험도와 취약도의 연산으로 통합리스크 분석을 실시하여 침수 발생 시 해당지역에 대한 피해 예상과 지역별 상대평가가 가능하도록 하였다. 위험도와 취약도 및 리스크 분석은 다양한 인자를 동시에 고려하기 위해 여러 개의 기준에 대한 선호도를 결정하거나 최적 대안을 선택하는 다기준의사결정(MCDM)기법을 적용하였으며, MCDM기법 중 보편적으로 많이 이용되는 TOPSIS기법을 적용하였다. 이러한 리스크 분석은 우리나라 전체, 특정 시도, 시군구, 읍면동 간의 침수피해와 관련한 상대적 비교 평가가 가능하며, 대응 및 대비의 관점에서 저감 대책 수립의 우선 지역을 도출하는 데 활용될 수 있을 것이며, 침수피해 발생 후, 리스크가 큰 지역에 대해 우선적으로 복구 조치가 이뤄질 수 있을 것이다. 또한, 한정된 지자체 예산 안에서 도시홍수 피해 경감 대책 수립을 위한 의사결정에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Application of Level-Pool method for Flood and Storm Disaster Insurance Rate (풍수해보험요율 산정을 위한 Level-Pool 방법의 적용)

  • Yoo, Jae-hwan;Song, Ju-il;Jang, Moon-yup;Kim, Han-tae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.262-262
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    • 2015
  • 풍수해보험은 국민안전처가 관장하고 민영보험사가 운영하는 정책보험으로 국민이 예기치 못한 풍수해 피해에 대처할 수 있도록 보험료의 일부를 국가 및 지방자치단체에서 보조해 주는 제도이다. 그러나 풍수해보험은 불합리한 보험요율체계 등의 문제점으로 인해 저조한 가입률을 보이고 있다. 현재 풍수해보험요율 산정시 과거의 피해이력만을 근거로 보험요율을 산정하고 있다. 또한 풍수해 보험은 태풍, 홍수, 호우, 강풍, 풍랑, 해일, 대설, 지진을 대상재해로 분류하고 있으나 동일 시군구 내에서는 재해요인별 원인별 가중치가 동일하게 적용되어 단일 보험요율을 적용하고 있다. 현재의 불합리한 보험요율체계의 문제점을 보완하고 향후 피해발생 위험을 고려하여 피해 특성에 따라 지역적으로 차등화된 보험요율을 적용하는 방안이 필요하다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 풍수해보험요율 산정을 위해 풍수해보험 대상재해 중 내수침수에 대한 분석 방안을 제시하고 적용성을 검토하고자 하였다. 우선 다양한 내수침수분석방법 중 전국단위의 내수침수분석을 위해 경제성, 간편성, 정확성을 고려하여 Level-Pool 방법을 선정하였다. 그리고 기존 Level-Pool 방법의 문제점을 보완하기 위해 내수침수분석 결과의 정확성을 향상시킬 수 있도록 도시계획 용도지역을 고려한 수정 Level-Pool 방법을 제시하고, 풍수해저감종합계획과 비교 검토를 실시하여 적용성을 검토하였다. 또한, 제시한 수정 Level-Pool 방법을 울산, 대구, 경북, 강원지역에 적용하여 내수침수위험지역을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 제시한 수정 Level-Pool 방법을 통해 전국단위 내수침수 해석시 지역별로 차등화되고, 정확도가 높은 내수침수지역을 도출하여 풍수해보험요율 산정을 위한 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Categorical Prediction and Improvement Plan of Snow Damage Estimation using Random Forest (랜덤포레스트를 이용한 대설피해액에 대한 범주형 예측 및 개선방안 검토)

  • Lee, Hyeong Joo;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.157-162
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    • 2019
  • Recently, the occurrence of unusual heavy snow and cold are increasing due to the unusual global climate change. In particular, the temperature dropped to minus 69 degrees Celsius in the United States on January 8, 2018. In Korea, on February 17, 2014, the auditorium building in Gyeongju Mauna Resort was collapsed due to the heavy snowfall. Because of the tragic accident many studies on the reduction of snow damage is being conducted, but it is difficult to predict the exact damage due to the lack of historical damage data, and uncertainty of meteorological data due to the long distance between the damaged area and the observatory. Therefore, in this study, available data were collected from factors that are thought to be corresponding to snow damage, and the amount of snow damage was estimated categorically using a random forest. At present, the prediction accuracy was not sufficient due to lack of historical damage data and changes of the design code for green houses. However, if accurate weather data are obtained in the affected areas. the accuracy of estimates would increase enough for being used for be the degree preparedness of disaster management.

Study on Policy Improvement Measures to Respond to Infectious Diseases of Livestock through Field Investigation (현장 조사를 통한 가축전염병 대응 정책개선 방안 연구)

  • Park, Hyun Shik;Ham, Seung Hee;Lee, Jun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.275-288
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the characteristics of animal carcasses treatment and quarantine management of infectious diseases of livestock, and to present the effectiveness of quarantine and follow-up management of livestock infectious diseases. Method: Actually, a livestock epidemic occurred and the burial site and burial management facility that treated livestock carcasses were visited on-site to analyze the management status and problems. Result: The burial method of livestock outbreaks of livestock infectious diseases and the long-term follow-up management accordingly requires a large amount of manpower and budget to be spent. For example, it can be seen that it is an inefficient quarantine system. Conclusion: It is necessary to review plans for the establishment of integrated livestock infectious animal carcasses treatment facilities at the level of metropolitan cities, districts, and municipalities with the government, where there is no fear of secondary infectious disease transmission and no follow-up management is required.

An Analysis of Impact on the Quality of Life for Chronic Patients based Big Data (빅데이터 기반 만성질환자의 삶의 질에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Kim, Min-kyoung;Cho, Young-bok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.23 no.11
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    • pp.1351-1356
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of personal factors and community factors on the quality of life based on the presence of chronic patients based on the Big Data Platform. As a method of study, second data of 2017 community health survey and Statistics Korea by City·Gun·Gu public office were used and a multi-level analysis was conducted after separating EQ-5D index, individual factor and community factor. As a result, men, age, education level, monthly household income, having economic activity, the number of sports infrastructure were positively associated with the quality of life, and subjective health not good, extremely perceived stress were negatively associated with the quality of life. Research will continue to provide a platform independent of hardware that can utilize the cloud and open source for medical big data analysis in the future.

A Study on the Index Estimation of Missing Real Estate Transaction Cases Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 결측 부동산 매매 지수의 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Min;Kim, Kyuseok;Nam, Daisik
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.171-181
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    • 2022
  • The real estate price index plays key roles as quantitative data in real estate market analysis. International organizations including OECD publish the real estate price indexes by country, and the Korea Real Estate Board announces metropolitan-level and municipal-level indexes. However, when the index is set on the smaller spatial unit level than metropolitan and municipal-level, problems occur: missing values. As the spatial scope is narrowed down, there are cases where there are few or no transactions depending on the unit period, which lead index calculation difficult or even impossible. This study suggests a supervised learning-based machine learning model to compensate for missing values that may occur due to no transaction in a specific range and period. The models proposed in our research verify the accuracy of predicting the existing values and missing values.

An Analysis of the Impact of Suicide Prevention Policies on Elderly Suicide Rate Reduction (자살예방정책이 노인자살률 감소에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Tae-Ho;Huh, Soon-Im
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.318-331
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    • 2022
  • The government has been promoting suicide prevention policies, but the elderly suicide rate has still not improved. This study focused on the role of local governments in solving suicide problems and analyzed three-year data from 2015 to 2017 at local governments level to investigate the relationship between suicide prevention policies and elderly suicide rates. Multiple regression analysis and logistic regression analysis was conducted to control social capital factors, demographic factors, and medical use factors that can affect the elderly suicide rate. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that suicide prevention ordinances were enacted and suicide prevention centers were established in areas with high suicide rates. In areas with high suicide rates, the suicide rate decreases if the elapsed period is long after the establishment of the center. From the perspective of suicide rates, it was analyzed that the local welfare support system was more affected. Accordingly, it was confirmed that the suicide prevention policy should be established in connection with the reinforcement of welfare policies

A Study on Prioritization of Regional Development Strategies According to Industrial Varieties and Innovation Competency (산업 다양성과 혁신역량에 따른 지역 발전전략의 우선순위 설정에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Jaepil
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.357-379
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    • 2022
  • This study diagnoses the industrial varieties and innovation capacity of the Korean regional economy and discusses how the priority for autonomous regional development can be set. Since the late 1990s, regional development policies in Korea have been attempted from various angles to reduce the economic gap between the metropolitan area and non-metropolitan areas, but the establishment of a development strategy in consideration of regional industrial characteristics and innovation capabilities has been insufficient. With the advancement and diversification of technologies and industries, regions must seek strategic diversification to prepare for economic shocks, away from strategies that specialize in specific industries. In this study, industrial varieties in regional basis is characterized using unrelated and related varieties. Variety indices show different patterns between the metropolitan area and non-metropolitan areas and between manufacturing and service sectors, which raises the need to consider industrial characteristics in regional development. Lastly, using the variety index and the innovation capacity index as two dimensions, the regional economic status at the municipal level is categorized into four types, and proper regional development policy priorities are suggested for each type.

A study on the change of total fertility rate in regional level : An analysis using the panel data

  • Kim, Dokyun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2021
  • This study aims at exploring the change of the total fertility rate(TFR) in regional level and analysing what different effects the local labor market and housing market have on the change of TFR. Previous studies have emphasized that the job and housing issues of the youth are structural factors on the decline of TFR. However, considering that youth problem is variant in local level, the relationship of job and housing issues with TFR could be different in local level. This study analyses what effects the situation of local labor market and housing market have on the TFR from 2012 to 2018 in regional level. The result is that the employment and housing factors have different effects on capital areas and non-capital areas. While the high cost of housing has negative effects on TFR in capital areas, it has rather positive effects in non-capital areas. However, labor market variables have statistically insignificant effects on TFR.

A Study on Implementation of a Disaster Crisis Alert System based on National Disaster Management System

  • Hyong-Seop, Shim
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we propose a function and service of the Disaster Crisis Alert Management System that automatically analyzes the situation judgment criteria to issue a disaster crisis alert and a plan to operate in the National Disaster Management System(NDMS). In the event of a disaster, a crisis alert(interest-caution-alert-serious) is issued according to the crisis alert level. In order to automatically analyze and determine the crisis alert level, first, data collection, crisis alert level analysis, crisis alert level judgment, and disaster crisis alert management system that expresses the crisis alert level by spatial scale(province, city, district) were implemented. The crisis alert level was analyzed and expressed in two ways by applying the intelligent crisis alert level(determination of regional sensitivity, risk level, and crisis alert level) and the crisis alert standard of the crisis management manual(province-level standard setting). Second, standard metadata, linkage of situation information of target) and API standards for data provision are presented to jointly utilize data linkage and crisis alert data of the disaster and safety data sharing platform so that it can be operated within the NDMS.