• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.32 no.11
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• pp.31-42
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• 2016

Usually the seismic stability analysis of slope uses the pseudostatic analysis considering the inertial force by the earthquake as a static load. Geostructures such as slope include the uncertainty of soil properties. Therefore, it is necessary to consider probabilistic method for stability analysis. In this study, the probabilistic stability analysis of slope considering the uncertainty of soil properties has been performed. The fragility curve that represents the probability of exceeding limit state of slope as a function of the ground motion has been established. The Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) has been implemented to perform the probabilistic stability analysis of slope with pseudostatic analysis. A procedure to develop the fragility curve by the pseudostatic horizontal acceleration has been presented by calculating the probability of failure based on the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based response surface technique that reduces the required time of MCS. The results showed that the proposed method can get the fragility curve that is similar to the direct MCS-based fragility curve, and can be efficiently used to reduce the analysis time.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.139-194
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• 1997

80년 이후 최근까지의 우리나라 통화정책과 관련하여 세 가지 질문을 던지고 그에 대한 답을 찾고자 하는 것이 본 논문의 목적이다. 첫 번째 질문은, '중간표적으로 이용되어온 M2의 물가와 산출량에 대한 예측력은 어떻게 변하여왔는가' 하는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 Granger인과성 검정과 VAR을 이용한 예측오차분산분해를 통하여 시간의 흐름과 함께 M2의 예측력이 약화되어왔음을 보일 것이다. 두 번째 질문은, '그렇다면 그 원인은 무엇인가' 하는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 통화수요함수의 장기적 안정성에 대한 공적분 검정을 통하여 90년까지의 표본에서 발견되던 안정성에 대한 증거가 96년까지의 표본에서의 사라짐을 보이고, 이같은 통화수요함수의 안정성 상실을 M2의 예측력 약화의 원인인 것으로 해석할 것이다. 본 논문의 마지막 질문은, 'M2타깃팅의 실제 운영이 인플레이션 및 성장률 안정과 일관되게 추진되어 왔는가' 하는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 통화정책의 반응함수 추정을 통하여 80년 이후 우리나라의 통화정책이 기간에 따라 정책목표가 변화되어 왔음을 보일 것이다. 85년 이전에는 인플레이션의 안정이 추구되었으나 86년에서 92년까지의 기간에는 경기부양이 중점적으로 추구되었던 것으로 보이고, 최근에 이르러서는 인플레이션 안정과 성장률 안정이 비교적 균형되게 추구되고 있는 것으로 평가된다.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.179-184
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• 2006

An intuitive understanding of the dynamic pattern generation in asymmetric networks may be considered an essential component in developing models for the dynamic information processing. It has been reported that the neural network with cyclic connections generates multiple limit cycles. The dynamics of discrete time network with cyclic connections has been investigated intensively. However, the dynamics of a cyclic connection neural network in continuous-time has not been well-known due to the considerable complexity involved in its calculation. In this paper, the dynamic behavior of a continuous-time cyclic connection neural network, in which each neuron is connected only to its nearest neurons with binary synaptic weights of ${\pm}1$, has been investigated. Furthermore, the dynamics and stability of the network have been analyzed using a piece-wise linear approximation.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.211-221
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• 2009

With recent trends of super-tallness, atypical plan shapes and zoning constructions in high-rise buildings, a structural stability of the building under construction is arising as a key issue for design and construction plan. To ensure the structural stability under construction, the differential column shortening of vertical members, the lateral displacement of tower frames, and differential settlement of raft foundation by unbalanced distributions of a tower self-weight before the completion of a lateral load resisting system should be checked by construction sequence analysis, which should be performed by systematic combinations with structural health monitoring, construction compensation program, and construction panning. This paper presents the scheme of zone-based construction sequence analysis by using the existing commercial analysis program, to check the stability of high-rise building under construction. This scheme is applied to 3-dimensional structural analysis for a real high-rise building under construction. The analysis includes real construction zoning plans and schedules as well as creep and shrinkage effects and time-dependent properties of concrete. The simplified construction sequence and assumed material properties were continuously updated with the change on construction schedule and correlations with in-situ measurement data.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.24 no.12
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• pp.23-32
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• 2008

This paper presents the results of numerical investigation on the stability of reinforced earth wall during rainfall. A series of limit-equilibrium based slope stability analyses within the framework of unsaturated shear strength, coupled with transient seepage analyses, were conducted with due consideration of rainfall characteristics in Korea. It is shown that the factor of safety of the reinforced wall during rainfall decreases with time due to decreases in the suction in the reinforced as well as retained zones. Also revealed is that the decrease in the factor of safety depends not only on the backfill soil type but also on the rainfall characteristics. Practical implications of the findings were discussed.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.57-66
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• 2015

A numerical analysis was performed of the seepage from and stability of a mine waste-dump slope in Imgi, Busan, considering rainfall intensity. The 40-45° slope angle of the waste dump is relatively steep, and the depth of the waste dump down to bedrock is 7-8 m. The groundwater level was 6.6 m below the surface. Various laboratory tests on samples obtained from the waste dump were performed to determine the input data for seepage and stability analyses of the waste-dump slope during rainfall. The results of seepage analysis for various rainfall intensities using the SEEP/W program show that the wetting front moved down with increasing rainfall duration. When the rainfall intensity was > 50 mm/ hour and the duration was > 24 hours, the waste dump became fully saturated because the wetting front reached the groundwater level. The results of slope stability analysis coupled with seepage analysis using the SLOPE/W program show that the safety factor of the slope decreased as the wetting front moved down due to rainfall infiltration. After continuous rainfall for 5-6 hours, the safety factor of the slope suddenly decreased but then recovered and converged. The sudden decrease was induced by an increase in pore-water pressure and a decrease in matric suction down to a certain depth as the wetting front approached the potential sliding surface.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2011.02a
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• pp.169-169
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• 2011

토양수분의 시공간적 분포는 수문 및 침식 모형 등에 중요한 근거를 제공하는 동시에 사면에서의 증발과 강우형성, 강우로 내려온 물이 침투나 하천 유입 등으로 인해 다시 해수로 들어가는물 순환 과정을 이해하기 위한 수문과정의 중요한 요소이다. 최근 들어 토양수분에 대한 많은 연구가 진행이 되고 있지만, 토양수분을 직접 측정하는 과정이 매우 어렵기에 통계적인 방법을 통해 예측을 하는 경우가 많다. 그렇기에 이번 연구에서는 설마천과 청미천 유역의 토양수분 자료를 이용하여 통계적 방법 중에 하나인 시간안정도 분석을 실시하여 시공간적 변동성에 대해 해석하였다. 토양수분 자료의 유의성을 검토해 본 결과, 연구지역에서의 토양수분의 공간적 분포는 Gumbel 분포가 적합하다는 결과가 나왔고, 이로 인해 연구지역의 토양이 비 균질함을 알 수 있었으며, 시간 안정도 분석을 통해 유역을 대표하는 지점을 찾을 수 있었다. 각 유역의 대표성을 띄는 지점을 찾음으로써, 모든 측정 지점에서 측정해보지 않더라도, 유역의 전체적인 토양수분 값의 분포를 예측해 볼 수 있다. 이는 토양수분 자료를 이용하는 향후 연구에 많은 경제성과 효율성을 제시할 수 있다. 외부적인 환경요인이 토양수분의 변동성에 어느 정도의 영향을 미치는지에 대한 분석을 분산 분석과 Tukey's 분석으로 실시하였고, 점토질의 토양과 경사도가 토양수분 변동성에 영향을 미친다는 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 경사도가 토양수분의 변동성에 영향을 미친다는 결과를 통해, 산지 지형이 많은 우리나라의 대표적인 지표 특성상 향후 연구에 기반이 될 것이다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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• 2001.11a
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• pp.219-224
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• 2001

본 연구는 울진 원자력발전소 5＆6호기 Class 1680, Parallel Gate 16-inch, Motor Operated Valve (Valve ID No. SI-653 and 654)에 부착되는 Equalizing Bypass Pipe Line (EBPL)이 밸브 시스템에 발생시키는 진동하중에 의한 영향을 동적 피로안정성 관점에서 규명하기 위하여 수행된 것이다. Equalizing Bypass Line Part의 최종 설계된 형상을 Fig. 1에 나타내었다. 본 해석을 위하여 운용 중 발생되는 부착부의 잔류진동 레벨이 3축 방향 가속도로 측정되었다. 본 연구에서는 해당 시변 가속도 데이터를 바탕으로 정확한 시간-응력 이력을 얻기 위하여 시간영역에서 천이 진동해석 (Transient Vibration Analysis)을 수행하였으며, 이를 실제적인 피로해석에 활용하였다. 시간영역에서의 천이 진동해석 및 피로해석을 위해 상용유한요소 해석프로그램인 ANSYS (Version 5.6)를 활용하였다.(중략)

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.25-35
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• 2009

Slope failures are one of the significant disasters which causes lots of human casualties and huge financial losses every year. Previous researches on the slope failure have indicated that most accidents are closely related to the pore water pressure in the slope due to rainfall during the rainy seasons or stormy weather conditions. It would be therefore appropriate to consider the effect of pore water pressure in the design of slopes. As the existing slopes are generally reinforced by plants and other slope protecting measures, their boundary conditions are highly complicated. In this paper an attempt to develop a new modeling and analysis technique of slopes is proposed by including pore water pressure and adopting the coupled finite element method. Non-reinforced and reinforced slope models are considered. Representative analysis showed that the numerical modeling considering pore water pressure is appropriate in slope stability analysis. Flow behavior in the slopes is identified for various hydraulic boundary conditions. It is also shown that the effect of pore water pressure on slope stability is significant.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.469-470
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• 2010