• Title/Summary/Keyword: 승수효과

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The Economic Impact Analysis on the Water Industry with Social Accounting Matrix (사회계정행렬을 이용한 수자원분야 정책 효과 분석)

  • Choi, Hanjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2014
  • This paper analyses the economic effects of the water industry on the Korean economy by using Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). The SAM is constructed based on the Input-Output table, National account and Family income and expenditure survey for Korea in 2009. Through the SAM multiplier analysis, I estimate the effects of water investment. As the results, this study has found the followings. i) output multiplier effects of water sector are 5.300~7.741, ii) value added multiplier effects of water sector are 0.685~1.158, iii) income multiplier effects of water sector are 0.511~0.984, iv) redistributed income multiplier effects of water sector are -0.096~0.247. The results indicate that a significant influence on the industrial production and the household income in Korea.

The Government Expenditure Multiplier in Korea : Evidence From Input-Output Table Panel Data (산업연관표 패널 자료를 이용한 정부지출 승수 추정)

  • Hong, Minki
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.33-60
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    • 2021
  • This study estimates the fiscal multiplier using Input-Output table panel data from year of 2010 to 2018. Considering the endogeneity of the government expenditure, this study uses the share of government expenditure by sector in the initial period as an instrument variable. The estimation from the panel fixed effect instrumental variables model shows that the estimate for the current period of government expenditure is 1.15~1.22 and the estimate for the cumulative multiplier is 1.23~1.32 depending on the method of controlling time trend. Since the general equilibrium effect absorbed by the time-fixed effect in the estimation equation, the estimated multiplier in this study may be different from the multiplier of the economy as a whole. The general equilibrium effect depends on the response of monetary policy, changes in tax policy, and interaction between sectors.

환경(環境)-사회계정(社會計定)(ESAM)을 이용한 환경과 경제와의 상관(相關) 관계(關係) 분석(分析)

  • Kim, Jeong-In
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.113-136
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    • 1995
  • 자원 및 환경이 경제에 미치는 영향이 큼에도 불구하고 경제-환경의 상관관계를 분석하는 방법은 아직 초보 단계에 있다. 본 연구에서는 UN, 세계은행, 멕시코 정부가 구축한 환경계정(環境計定)을 한 국가의 경제상태를 사회계정에 도입한 후, 환경(環境)-사회계정(社會計定)(ESAM) 행렬을 구축하고, Pyatt와 Round의 분할 행렬 방법에 의해서 직 간접 파급승수 효과를 측정하여, 환경관련 외생변수가 경제변수에 미치는 효과를 분석하였다. 분할 행렬 분석 결과, 농업관련 외생변수에 변화가 있으면 제조업 부문과 상업부문, 민간 서비스부문(금융, 보험, 부동산)이 가장 크게 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 레온티에프의 승수효과와 유사한 전이효과(轉移效果)는 순수한 간접효과인 순환효과의 상쇄로 인해 기존의 산업 연관분석에 의존한 분석은 경제와 환경의 관계를 과대추정할 수 도 있다는 것이다. 자본 투자가 5% 감소할 경우, 경제 전 부문에 상당한 영향을 준 것으로 나타났으며 생산부문에서는 임업, 건설업이 가장 영향을 받으며, 환경부문에서는 토양의 침식으로 인한 환경서비스의 감소가 가장 크게 영향을 받는 것으로 추정되었고 수산자원 또한 많은 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다.

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Analysis Ripple Effect for Physical Promotion in Connection with Local Cultural Contents: Primarily based on Specialized Streets (지역 문화콘텐츠의 물리적 홍보 파급효과 분석 -특화거리를 중심으로-)

  • Shon, Sang-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2016
  • Utilization of cultural contents is more and more increasing as it is believed to improve local problems and provide historical values. This kind of business is positive in terms of the fact that it attracts visitors into local areas and activate local commercial areas. Under this trend, the construction of specialized streets is required to be approached with first priority to solve problems of cities. So to speak, it's more important to solve intrinsic problems found in local communities and then approach cultural contents step-by-step rather than constructing new spaces with first priority. Moreover, cultural contents should accompany economic aspects which result in local community-friendly and sympathetically concentrated values. Under this sentiment, the efforts to suggest economic ripple effects for government local government's businesses using cultural contents are very important. This study analyzed how much economic ripple effects is yielded by reflecting cultural contents. As the result of analysis, specialized street with cultural contents applied are proved to be more concentrated on multiplier of expediting employment, income and tax and tourism industry than service industry. On the contrary to this, service industry showed more concentrated multiplier of expediting production, income, added values and chain reaction effect (coefficients for influence and sensitivity for front and rear side of tourism industry. Based on these results, construction of specialized streets with cultural contents applied is proved to help synergy effects for local economy.

Reduced Impact of Export on Korea's Economic Growth - Export Multiplier Approach (한국경제의 성장둔화와 수출승수)

  • Oh, Jong-seok;Hong, Sungwook;Kang, Duyong
    • 사회경제평론
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.1-38
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    • 2018
  • In this study we attempt to quantify the export multiplier to definitively show how exports have undergirded the Korean economy and doing so we will describe how the export multiplier effect has diminished since the global financial crisis in 2008. We also argue that a trend of disinclination in the marginal propensity to consume, one of the determinants of the multiplier, has played an important role in its contraction. In this new, alien economic environment, the kinds of policies that once buttressed the export-led growth strategy of the halcyon days require immediate revision. More policies should implemented that bolster domestic demand, especially consumption, rather than continuing efforts to facilitate supply side-based growth through export-friendly policies.

An Analysis on Employment Multiplier Effects of Conglomerate and Small-to-Medium Enterprises within An Information & Communication Activity-Commodity Model (정보통신 활동.상품모형을 통한 대기업과 중소기업의 고용창출효과 분석)

  • Kim, Sin-Pyo
    • 한국디지털정책학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.403-419
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    • 2004
  • 이글은 한국은행 산업분류 세분류 404 부문 중 정보통신부문에 해당하는 (1) 유선통신기기, (2) 무선통신 및 방송기기, (3) 컴퓨터 및 주변기기, (4) 통신시설, (5) 초고속망서비스, (6) 부가통신, (7) 소프트웨어 개발 공급, (8) 컴퓨터관련 서비스 분야를 중심으로 대기업과 중소기업의 고용창출 효과를 활동 상품 틀이라는 분석도구를 이용해 파악해 보는데 있다. 분석결과, 정보통신 분야별 산업활동에 대응하는 대기업의 고용승수는 컴퓨터 관련 서비스업 (0.0196), 소프트웨어 개발공급업 (0.0186), 유선통신기기업 (0.0152), 통신시설업 (0.0146), 컴퓨터 및 주변기기업 (0.0132) 등의 순으로 높게 나타났다. 그리고 정보통신 분야별 산업활동에 대응하는 중소기업의 고용승수는 통신시설업 (0.0165), 컴퓨터 빛 주변기기업 (0.0151), 유선 통신기기업 (0.0143), 컴퓨터관련서비스업 (0.0126) 등의 순으로 높게 나타났다. 이와 같이 분석된 정보 통신 분야별로 대기업과 중소기업의 고용창출효과는 현실적으로 직면해 있는 IT 분야의 고용창출 문제를 해결하는데 중요한 정보로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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The Regional Economic Growth Strategy Based on the Characteristics of Local Public Finance of Gyeonggi-do (경기도 재정력 변동의 특성에 따른 경제성장 전략 연구 -다양한 지역구분에 따른 실증분석-)

  • Park, Wan Kyu;Ji, Ann Cho;Song, Il Hwan
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.84-104
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we divided Gyeonggi-do into Northern, Southern, Western, and Eastern Parts and found out fiscal variables which affected regional economic growth of each Part differentially. And we drew the strategy for economic growth of each Part. After we found out the variables which affected regional economic growth using fixed-effect model, we carried out causality test to determine whether a specific fiscal variable caused economic growth. In the Eastern Part, local tax revenues had a significant effect on the economic growth. Total expenditures, current expenditure in the Southern Part and social welfare expenditure, expenditure on industries, current expenditure in the Northern Part had noticeable effects on economic growth respectively. And we calculated multipliers of fiscal variables to compare the magnitudes of effects among these Parts.

Estimating the Economic Impact of '2011 Seoul Motor Show' Using Regional Input-Output Model: Based on Expenditures of Exhibition Attendees (지역산업연관모델을 이용한 '2011 서울모터쇼'의 경제적 파급효과 분석: 전시참관객의 지출액을 바탕으로)

  • Kim, Dae-Kwan;Han, Youn-Joo;Lee, Sang-Min;Choe, Yeong-Bae;Song, Soo-Yeop
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.187-196
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    • 2011
  • This study aimed to estimate the economic impact of the '2011 Seoul Motor Show' using a direct survey-based regional input-output(I-O) model. Based on the regional I-O table, Exhibition multipliers were derived with respect to output, income, employment, value-added and indirect tax. Attendees' survey was conducted to estimate per capita expenditure. The results of this study indicated that all attendees of '2011 Seoul Motor Show' generated 53.1 billion Won of output impact, 11.7 billion Won of income impact, 24.1 billion Won of Value-added impact, 2.6 billion Won of tax impact, and 1,030 part-time and full-time jobs throughout direct and indirect effects. Another result of this study was that output multiplier of the exhibition industry was similar with other industries, however, income, employment and value-added multipliers were relatively larger than those of other industries.

The Transmission of Foreign Disturbances into a Small Country (해외경제교란이 소국경제에 미치는 영향)

  • Son, Il-Tae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.3-29
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the transmission of domestic and foreign real and monetary disturbances into a small country with heavy imports of intermediate goods, and to analyze how the wage indexation in a small country affects the transmission of foreign disturbances into a small country. We consider the two countries, a small country and the rest of the world, two goods, and rational expectations world model under flexible exchange rate system with perfect capital mobility. We find out that foreign disturbances are transmitted into a small country through the price channel, the foreign output multiplier channel, and the nominal interest rate channel, and the foreign real balance channel. We have conducted an empirical investigation by using the Korean data for a small country and the U.S. data for a large country to see how real and monetary disturbances originating from the US affects the Korean economy with wage indexation.