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한국경기순환(韓國景氣循環)의 원인(原因) : 구조모형(構造模型)에 의한 분석(分析)

  • Baek, Ung-Gi;Lee, Jin-Myeon
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.3-44
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    • 1994
  • 본교(本橋)는 백터자기회귀모형(自己回歸模型)(VAR)에 비하여 작성과정이 까다롭고 복잡하지만 경제구조의 파악이 용이하고 경제체계내에 주어진 충격의 해석이 분명한 연립방정식(聯立聯立方程式) 구조모형(構造模型)을 사용하여 경기순환(景氣循環)의 원인을 밝히고자 하였다. 새로 작성된 경기순환모형(景氣循環模型)은 거시경제(巨視經濟) 분기모형(分期模型)으로서 추정기간은 1972년부터 1992년까지 21년으로 통계청(統計廳) 기준의 제1순환기부터 제5순환기까지 포함하고 있으며, 경기순환(景氣循環)의 원인분석을 위해서 가상적(假想的) 시뮬레이션(counter factual simulation) 기법을 사용하였다. 본고(本稿)는 향후 경기순환(景氣循環)의 안정(安定)을 도모하거 위해서 다음의 몇가지 결론을 내리고 있다. 첫째, 건설투자(建設投資)는 경기변동(景氣變動)의 진복(振福)을 확대(擴大)시켜 온 경향이 있기 때문에 경기부양(景氣浮揚) 및 경기진정(景氣鎭靜)을 위한 정책변수로 바람직하지 않다. 왜냐하면 정부가 경기변동(景氣變動)을 감지(感知)하기까지는 시간이 걸리며, 경기변동(景氣變動)의 체감 직후 건설투자(建設投資)를 통해서 경기부양(景氣浮揚) 혹은 경기진정(景氣鎭靜)을 이루고자 하더라도 정책수립부터 정책효과의 가시화(可視化)에까지 이르는 시차(時差)로 인하여 건설투자(建設投資)가 정부의 의도와는 반대로 경기순행적(景氣順行的)인 역할(役割)을 할 가능성이 있기 때문이다. 둘째, 통화(通貨)가 생산(生産) 및 물가변동(物價變動)에 미치는 영향은 서로 상충관계(相衝關係)(trade-off) 에 있는 것으로 보이기 때문에 정부는 민간신용(民間信用) 등 통화변수(通貨變數)를 경기조절수단(景氣調節手段)으로 사용할 경우에는 사전에 정책효과(政策效果)를 충분히 고려해서 시행해야 할 것이다. 셋째 해외도매물가(海外都賣物價), 원유도입가격(原油導入價格) 및 국제상품가격(國際商品價格) 등 해외물가변수(海外物價變數)의 변동은 GNP는 물론이고 큰 폭의 물가변동(物價變動)을 초래하기 때문에, 해외부문(海外部門)의 충격에 따른 경기변동(景氣變動)을 안정시키기 위해서 정부는 유가자유화(油價自由化)를 통한 유류가격안정(油類價格安定)및 원유비양수준(原油備養水準)의 제고(提高), 해외원자재(海外原資材) 수입선(輸入先)의 다변화 등을 통하여 해외물가충격(海外物價衝擊)이 국내경제에 미치는 영향을 최소화하도록 노력해야 할 것이다.

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Removal of Ammonia-Nitrogen Contained in Landfill Leachate by Ammonia Stripping(I) (암모니아 탈기공정을 이용한 침출수의 암모니아성 질소제거(I))

  • Lee, Byung-Jin;Cho, Soon-Haing
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.1893-1904
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    • 2000
  • Nitrogen compounds are one of the major pollutants which cause eutrophication problems of the river or lake and red tides problems of the ocean. Currently available technologies for the removal of nitrogen compounds are mostly biological treatment. However, biological treatment is only effective for the wastewater which contains low concentration of nitrogen compounds. Leachate from solid waste landfill or industrial wastewater which contains high concentration of nitrogen can not be effectively treated by most of the currently available biological treatment technologies. With this connection. the objective of this study is to examine the applicability of ammonia stripping technology for the removal of high concentration of ammonia nitrogen compounds of the leachate from solid waste landfill. It can be concluded that ammonia stripping technology which was placed before the biological treatment process was very effective for the removal of high concentration of ammonium compounds. The chemical cost for the ammonia stripping was 16 percent higher than MLE process, so other methods like sludge recycling are needed for the reduction of operation cost. Further details are discussed in this paper.

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Comparative Studies Of the $UV/H_2O_2,\;UV/TiO_2/H_2O_2$ and Photo-Fenton Oxidation for Degradation of Citric Acid ($UV/H_2O_2,\;UV/TiO_2/H_2O_2$, Photo-Fenton 산화방법에 의한 Citric Acid의 분해효율 비교)

  • Seo, Min-Hye;Cho, Soon-Haing;Ha, Dong-Yun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.429-437
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    • 2006
  • To establish the efficient treatment technology of chemical cleaning wastewater from power plant, several AOPs($UV/H_2O_2,\;UV/TiO_2/H_2O_2$, Photo-Fenton oxidation) were investigated. Treatment efficiencies and the electrical energy requirements based on the EE/O parameter(the electrical energy, required per order of pollutant removal in $1m^3$ wastewater) were evaluated. TOC removal efficiencies of $UV/H_2O_2,\;UV/TiO_2/H_2O_2$, Photo-Fenton oxidation at the optimum conditions were 95.5%, 92.3%, 91.5%, respectively. The electrical energy requirements of $UV/H_2O_2,\;UV/TiO_2/H_2O_2$, Photo-Fenton oxidation were $11.26kWh/m^3,\;3.85kWh/m^3,\;0.799kWh/m^3$, respectively. From these results, it could be concluded that all of the three oxidation processes were effective for the degradation of citric acid. Considering the treatment efficiency and economical aspect, photo-Fenton oxidation was the most efficient treatment process among the three processes tested.

Analysis of the Mental Images in Episodic Memory with Comparison between the patients with Dementia of Alzheimer Type and Healthy Elderly People (알츠하이머성 치매환자와 건강한 노인의 일화기억 이미지 비교 분석)

  • Han, Kyung-Hun;Ernst, Poppel
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.79-107
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    • 2009
  • Episodic memory, i.e. memorization of information within a spatiotemporal environment, is affected Alzheimer's disease(AD), but its impairment may also be occurred in the normal aging process. The purpose of this study is to analyze and evaluate memory in with Dementia of Alzheimer Type by examining their cognitive skills in episodic memory using the technique. This new method involves assessing the mental images the subject's own past in the mind like projected and movies. Three patients in the early stage of Dementia of Alzheimer Type, one with mild depression, and 2 healthy controls for comparison were asked to retrieve their episodic memory of the previous day, week, month, and a day testing day. The answers were then analyzed with regards to their specific features as emotional state, color, and time order. In the following day, the subjects were tasked to recall again the images they reproduced in the day's test order to observe of memory. Results showed that all 3 patients failed to arrange the retrieved images in time order and their images of the previous day were unclear in color and were stationary like photographs, even when they reproduced the mental images at much quantity as controls. patients could not remember particular events of yesterday, and only recalled the general occurrences of every day life. These results suggest that in the early stage of Dementia of Alzheimer Type, difficulties in the retrieval of recent episodic memory begin to primarily occur, and qualitative impairment happens earlier than quantitative.

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Degradation Characteristics of Oxalic Acid and Citric Acid by UV/H2O2 Oxidation (Oxalic Acid와 Citric Acid UV/H2O2에 의한 분해특성 조사)

  • Ha, Dong-Yun;Cho, Soon-Haing;Choi, Young-Soo;Kyung, Gyu-Seok;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.1307-1318
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the degradation characteristics of oxalic acid and citric acid by $UV/H_2O_2$ oxidation. For this purpose, the effects of pH, $H_2O_2$ dosage and the concentration of each compounds on the degradation of oxalic acid and citric acid by $UV/H_2O_2$ were investigated. Oxalic acid was effectively degraded at the wavelength of 254 nm, while the degradation efficiency of citric acid was very low at the same wavelength. It was also found that both organic substances were not degraded by the injection of $H_2O_2$ only. The optimum pH of degradation of oxalic acid and citric acid was 4 and 4 to 6, respectively. In the case of $UV/H_2O_2$ oxidation, the degradation efficiency was increased by increasing $H_2O_2$ dosage. The degradation efficiency decreased when the dose of $H_2O_2$ exceeds 200 mg/L. From these results, it can be concluded that the optimum reaction conditions for the degradation of oxalic acid and citric acid by $UV/H_2O_2$ oxidation were pH 4 and 200mg/L of $H_2O_2$.

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Classification of nasal places of articulation based on the spectra of adjacent vowels (모음 스펙트럼에 기반한 전후 비자음 조음위치 판별)

  • Jihyeon Yun;Cheoljae Seong
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2023
  • This study examined the utility of the acoustic features of vowels as cues for the place of articulation of Korean nasal consonants. In the acoustic analysis, spectral and temporal parameters were measured at the 25%, 50%, and 75% time points in the vowels neighboring nasal consonants in samples extracted from a spontaneous Korean speech corpus. Using these measurements, linear discriminant analyses were performed and classification accuracies for the nasal place of articulation were estimated. The analyses were applied separately for vowels following and preceding a nasal consonant to compare the effects of progressive and regressive coarticulation in terms of place of articulation. The classification accuracies ranged between approximately 50% and 60%, implying that acoustic measurements of vowel intervals alone are not sufficient to predict or classify the place of articulation of adjacent nasal consonants. However, given that these results were obtained for measurements at the temporal midpoint of vowels, where they are expected to be the least influenced by coarticulation, the present results also suggest the potential of utilizing acoustic measurements of vowels to improve the recognition accuracy of nasal place. Moreover, the classification accuracy for nasal place was higher for vowels preceding the nasal sounds, suggesting the possibility of higher anticipatory coarticulation reflecting the nasal place.

A Study of the Time-Space and Appreciation for the Performance Culture of Gwanseo Region in Late Joseon Period: Focusing on Analysis of Terminology (조선후기 관서지방의 공연 시공간과 향유에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Hye-jin
    • (The) Research of the performance art and culture
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    • no.22
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    • pp.287-325
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    • 2011
  • This paper studies the time-space and appreciation of the performance culture of Gwanseo region, which is considered to have formed a characteristic culture in late Joseon period. For this purpose, 4 gasa written in hangeul (Korean alphabet), as well as 4 yeonhaeng gasa, 108 articles of Gwanseoakbu were examined. Plus, among the 9 types of yeonhaengrok (Documents of Performance culture) written in Chinese character, those parts which describe the performance traits have been analyzed. Then, 'main list of terminology' has been deduced based on the categorization according to the following points : 1) subjects of performance and appreciation 2) time and period of performance 3) space of performance 4) contents of performance 5) background and motive for performance and 6) method of performance. Through this process, various 'nouns' and 'predicate verbs' in relation to performance culture emerged, which were systemized according to types of performance elements and categories. Major terminology includes predicate verbs and symbolic verbs such as nokuihongsang,' 'baekdaehongjang,' 'jeolsaekgeumga,' 'cheonga,' 'hwaryu,' 'gamuja,' and 'tongsoja,' as well as the terms already known such as gisaeng, iwon, yangbang, akgong, and jeonak, which refer to musicians and dancers. Subjects of performance were divided into performers and listeners, categorized into concert, music, and dance, according to performance form. In the case for music, it was divided into instrumental or vocal, solo or accompanied (byeongju, self-accompaniment). In the case for vocal music, noteworthy was the inclusion of profesional artist's singing (called gwangdae or uchang). The record of 23 names of popular artists from Gwanseo region, with mention of special talents for each person, reflects the degree of activeness and artistic level of the province. Depending on the appreciating patrons, the audience were indicated as the terms including 'yugaek (party guest),' jwasang,' 'on jwaseok,' and 'sonnim (guests).' It seems that appraisal for a certain performance was very much affected by the tastes, views, and disposition of the appreciating patrons. Therefore it is interesting to observe different comparative reviews of concerts of different regions given by literary figures, offering various criticism on identical performance. In terms of performance space, it has been divided into natural or architectural space, doing justice to special performance sites such as a famous pavilion or an on-the-boat performance. Specific terms related to the scale and brightness of stage, as well as stage props and cast, based on descriptions of performance space were found. The performance space, including famous pavilions; Yeongwangjeong, Bubyeokru, Baeksangru, Wolparu, and Uigeomjeong, which are all well-known tourist sites of Gwanseo province, have been often visited by viceroys. governors, and envoys during a tour or trip. This, and the fact that full-scale performances were regularly held here, and that more than 15 different kinds of boats which were used for boat concert are mentioned, all confirm the general popularity of boat concerts at the time. Performance time, categorized by season or time of day (am/pm/night) and analyzed in terms of time of occurrence and duration, there were no special limitation as to when to have a performance. Most morning concerts were held as part of official duties for the envoys, after their meeting session, whereas evening concerts were more lengthy in duration, with a greater number of people in the audience. In the case of boat concert, samples include day-time concert and performances that began during the day and which lasted till later in the evening. Major terminology related to performance time and season includes descriptions of time of day (morning, evening, night) and mention of sunset, twilight, moonlight, stars, candles, and lamps. Such terms which reflect the flow of time contributed in making a concert more lively. Terminology for the contents of performance was mostly words like 'instrumental,' 'pungak,' or 'pungnyu.' Besides, contextual expressions gave hints as to whether there were dance, singing, ensemble, solo, and duets. Words for dance and singing used in Gwanseo province were almost identical to those used for gasa and jeongjae in the capital, Hanyang. However, many sentences reveal that performances of 'hangjangmu' of hongmunyeon, sword dance, and baettaragi were on a top-quality level. Moreover, chants in hanmun Chinese character and folk songs, which are characteristic for this region, show unique features of local musical performance. It is judged that understanding the purpose and background of a performance is important in grasping the foundation and continuity of local culture. Concerts were usually either related to official protocol for 'greeting,' 'sending-off,' 'reports,' and 'patrols' or for private enjoyment. The rituals for Gwanseo province characteristically features river crossing ceremony on the Daedong river, which has been closely documented by many. What is more, the Gwanseo region featured continued coming and goings of Pyeongan envoys and local officers, as well as ambassadors to and fro China, which required an organized and full-scale performance of music and dance. The method of performance varied from a large-scale, official ones, for which female entertainers and a great banquet in addition to musicians were required, to private gatherings that are more intimate. A performance may take the form of 'taking turns' or 'a competition,' reflecting the dynamic nature of the musical culture at the time. This study, which is deduction of terminology in relation to the time-space and appreciation culture of musical performances of Gwanseo region in late Joseon period, should be expanded in the future into research on 'the performance culture unique to Gwanseo region,' in relation to the financial and administrative aspects of the province, as well as everyday lifestyle. Furthermore, it could proceed to a more intensive research by a comparative study with related literary documents and pictorial data, which could serve as the foundation for understanding the use of space and stage, as well as the performance format characteristic to Korean traditional performing arts.