• Title/Summary/Keyword: 순서적 사고

Search Result 107, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

The Study on the Severity of Children Traffic Accident using Ordinal Logistic Regression Analysis (순서형 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 어린이 사고심각도 분석 연구)

  • Yoon, Byoung-Jo;Ko, Eun-Hyeck;Yang, Sung-Ryong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
    • /
    • 2016.11a
    • /
    • pp.259-260
    • /
    • 2016
  • 어린이의 경우 다른 연령층에 비해 신체적, 정신적으로 완성되지 못하여 교통사고의 가능성이 높으며, 특히 전국의 어린이 교통사고는 점진적으로 감소 추세이나 인천의 어린이 교통사고는 감소하다가 다시 증가 추세에 들어선 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 어린이 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인들을 발견하고 제시하고자 하였다. 순서형 로지스틱 회귀분석을 활용하여 순서척도인 반응변수에 대한 설명변수의 오즈(Odds)를 확인하고자 하였으며 안전운전불이행, 차대사람(횡단중), 차대차(측면직각충돌)사고가 유의한 결과로 나타났다. 안전운전불이행으로 인한 사망사고와 기타사고의 오즈차이는 1.35배, 측면직각충돌로 인한 사망사고와 기타사고의 오즈차이는 1.76배 증가하는 것으로 나타났고, 횡단중인 경우에는 오히려 사망 위험도의 오즈값이 0.58배로 감소하는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

The Effect of Robot-Used Play through Appreciation of Picture Books on Children's Sequential Thinking (그림책 감상을 통한 로봇 활용 놀이가 유아의 순서적 사고에 미치는 영향)

  • An Ji Su;Nam Ki Won
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.357-365
    • /
    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of children's robot-based play on sequential thinking through appreciation of picture books. For this purpose, 15 children aged 5 years old in each kindergarten located in Seoul were selected and J kindergarten (experimental group) supported <Picture book appreciation robot play> and C kindergarten (comparison group) supported <Picture book appreciation free play>. In order to examine the difference in play experience between the two groups, the score data before and after play support was collected using the sequential thinking test tool, and the collected data were analyzed using SPSS 28.0 program to perform ANCOVA (Covariance Analysis). As a result, the experimental group that experienced robot-based play through picture book appreciation showed significant improvement in the total score of sequential thinking and the sub-areas of dynamics, behavior, and intention compared to the control group.The results of this study are valuable as a play study to discover the value of robots as a creative play medium led by young children and to promote sequential thinking ability, which is emphasized as the capacity of future society.

교사양성대학 수학교육과 '해석학' 강좌 운영 -교육과정 및 교수학습 방법개발과 관련한-

  • Lee, Byeong-Su
    • Communications of Mathematical Education
    • /
    • v.15
    • /
    • pp.23-28
    • /
    • 2003
  • 실수계와 n-차원 벡터 공간을 대수적 특성, 순서적 특성 그리고 위상적 특성을 중심으로 전개하고, 실변수 실가 함수와 n-차원 벡터 공간을 정의역으로 하는 실가함수를 연속성 (미분가능성), 단조성 그리고 볼록성을 중심으로 내용을 다룬다. 특히 실생활과 관련하여 이론을 전개하여 학습을 지도할 수 있는 교육과정을 개발하고, 직관적인 사고와 수리 논리적인 사고의 적절한 배합을 통해 학습자들이 적극적으로 학습에 임할 수 있는 교수 학습 방법을 개발하는 것을 목적으로 한다.

  • PDF

Injury Severity Analysis of Truck-involved Crashes on Korean Freeway Systems using an Ordered Probit Model (순서형 프로빗 모형을 적용한 고속도로 화물차 사고 심각도)

  • Kang, Chanmo;Chung, Younshik;Chang, Yoo Jin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.391-398
    • /
    • 2019
  • In general, truck-involved crashes increase severity in terms of both injury level and crash impact level. Recently, although the frequency and fatality of truck-involved crashes in Korea are rising, their associative studies are very limited. Therefore, the objective of this study is to identify critical factors influencing on injury severity of truck-involved crashes on Korean freeway system. To carry out this objective, this study uses an ordered probit model (OPM) based on a 6-year crash dataset from 2012 to 2017. From the analysis, eight variables were found to have a great effect on injury severity: older driver, crash speed, rear-end collision, number of vehicles involved, drowsy driving, nighttime (0:00 to 6:00) driving, overturn or rollover, and vehicle's fire after crash. However, injury severity was less severe in crashes under snowy condition and crashes to traffic facilities (i.e., crash alone).

Severity Analysis of the Pedestrian Crash Patterns Based on the Ordered Logit Model (Ordered Logit Model을 이용한 보행자 사고 심각도 요인 분석)

  • Choi, Jai-Sung;Kim, Sang-Youp;Hwang, Kyung-Sung;Baik, Seung-Yup
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.11 no.1
    • /
    • pp.153-164
    • /
    • 2009
  • This Paper presents the severity analysis result of the year 2006 national pedestrian crashes using the data base of 37,589 records prepared for the National Police Bureau. A set of attributing factors considered to affect pedestrian crash patterns were selected, and their contributing effects were investigated by applying the Ordered Logit Model. This model was selected because this model has been able to afford satisfactory results when the dependent variable involved ordered severity levels; fatal, injury, and property- damage-only in this investigation. The investigation has unveiled the followings; First, the pedestrian crash patterns were dependent upon human -drivel and pedestrian- characteristics including gender, age, and drinking conditions. Second, other contributing factors included vehicle, roadway geometric, weather, and hour of day characteristics. Third, seasonal effect was not contributive to crash patterns. Finally, the application of the Ordered Logit Model facilitated the ordered severity level analysis of the pedestrian crash data. This paper concludes that conventional wisdom on the pedestrian crash characteristics is largely truthful. However, this conclusion is limited only to the data used in this analysis, and further research is required for its generalization.

  • PDF

The Analytic Study Of the Traffic Accident's Injury by Epidemiological Method (역학적 방법에 의한 교통 상해사고 분석 연구)

  • 홍창의;임평남;김진현
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.91-98
    • /
    • 1998
  • 본 논문에서 교통 상해사고 위험요인들을 정량화하고, 위험요인들 중 교통 상해사고 원인에 가장 근접한 것이 무엇인가를 밝히려고 했다. 사례-조사 연구방법으로는 의학분야에서 많이 사용되는 환자-대조군 방법론을 채택하였다. 서울, 양평, 천안지역을 대상으로 1007년 중 입원환자를 중심으로 채혈조사와 설문조사를 통해 환자국 총 117건과 도로상에서의 일반운전자를 중심으로 호기 알콜테스트와 설문조사를 통한 대조군 총 483건을 수집하여 분석하였다. 승용차의 경우, 교통 상해사고 발생 위험요인으로 27개 항목들이 추출되고, 그 중 '도로의 부적합' 항목(RRR 값:4.057)을 포함 14개 항목이 교통 상해사고 원인에 가장 근접한 것으로 나타났다. 오토바이의 경우, 마찬가지 방법으로 최종적으로 '면허 보유기간' 항목(RRR값:3.733)을 선두로 하여 총 11개 항목이 교통 상해사고를 일으키는 원인에 가깝다는 결과를 얻었다. 또한, 두 경우 모두 인적 요인에 의한 결과피가 크기 때문에 이에 대한 경찰의 지속적인 단속이 필요함을 알 수 있었고, 상대위험도가 높게 나타난 순서대로 교통안전투자 우선순위에 정하면, 효율적인 교통 상해사고 감소를 기할 수 있으리라는 결론에 도달했다.

  • PDF

Risk Factors Affecting the Injury Severity of Rental Car Accidents in South Korea : an Application of Ordered Probit Model (순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 렌터카 사고 심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • Kwon, Yeong min;Jang, Ki tae;Son, Sang hoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-17
    • /
    • 2018
  • Over the past five years (2010-2014), the total number of traffic accidents has decreased from 226,878 to 223,552 with decrease of 0.37 percent each year. The death toll has also decreased from 5,505 to 4,762. However, the number of rental car accidents and fatalities has been steadily increased. Despite of its growth, no previous study has been conducted on rental car accident severity. This study analyzed data of 18,050 rental car accidents in South Korea collected from 2010 to 2014 and then processed in order to identify which factors could affect the accident severity. Seventeen factors related to rental car accident severity were grouped into four categories: driver, vehicle, roadways and environment. As a result of the ordered probit model analysis, fourteen variables excluding age, intersection, and day of week were found to affect the severity of rental car accidents. The results of the study summarized as follows. First of all, violation of traffic regulations such as speeding increase the severity of rental car accidents. Secondly, rental accident severity is higher at curved sections of complicated roadway, which the driver's field of view is impaired. The results of this study can be used to reduce the severity of rental car accidents in transportation safety.

Comparative Analysis of Elderly's and Non-elderly's Human Traffic Accident Severity (고령운전자와 비고령운전자의 인적교통사고 심각도 비교분석)

  • Lee, Sang Hyuk;Jeung, Woo Dong;Woo, Yong Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.11 no.6
    • /
    • pp.133-144
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study focused on estimating influential factors of traffic accidents and analyzing traffic accident severity of elderly and non elderly using traffic accident data. In order to reclassify elderly and non elderly traffic accident by a statistical method from entire traffic accident data, multiple discriminant analysis was applied. Also ordered logit model was applied for analyzing traffic accident severities using traffic accident severities as an independent variable and transportation facilities, road conditions and human characteristics as dependent variables. As results of the comparison between elderly and non elderly traffic accident, the traffic accident severity was affected by the age, types of traffic accidents, human characteristics and road conditions as well. Also, transportation facilities and road conditions affected to more elderly traffic accident than non elderly. Therefore, traffic accident severity would be decreased with the improvement of transportation facilities and road conditions for the elderly.

njury Severity Analysis of Cyclists in Two Wheeler to Taxi Crashes: An Application of Vehicle Black Box Data in Incheon, Korea (차량 블랙박스 자료를 활용한 택시-이륜차 사고에서의 이륜차 이용자 사고 심각도 분석)

  • Kim, Seonjung;Chung, Younshik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.38 no.6
    • /
    • pp.917-923
    • /
    • 2018
  • In recent, technological advancement including a vehicle black box (VBB) has led to reducing such underreporting issues and errors of crash data. The objective of this study is to analyze the injury severity of cyclists on taxi-to-two wheeler crashes based on the accurate crash data collected from the VBB in taxi. This study defined the two wheelers as bicycle and motorcycle. To perform this study, we used the VBB data collected from taxis operating in Incheon, South Korea for a two-year period (2010-2011). An ordered probit model was applied to analyze the injury severity in crashes. As a result, new injury severity factors were found: increase of the crash speed of taxi, damage of crash-involved vehicles (i.e., taxi and/or two wheeler), not standing of cyclists after crash, and second or third impact of cyclists after first crash.

Factors Influencing Crash Severity by the Types of Bus Transportation Services Using Ordered Probit Models (순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 버스 운송사업 유형 별 사고심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • YOON, Sangwon;KHO, Seung-Young;KIM, Dong-Kyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-22
    • /
    • 2018
  • Buses, one of the representative public transportation modes, are divided into a vareity of service types according to the purpose of operation, operating distance, and management agencies. Although bus-involved crashes may cause large amount of damage due to the higher number of passengers boarded on a bus, prior research has little focused on crash severity according to bus service types. This study aims to investigate factors influencing crash severity in bus-involved crashes and to present policy implications to reduce crash severity by bus service type. To do this, bus-involved crash data from the Traffic Accident Analysis System (TAAS) during five-year period are used. Ordered probit models for three types of bus service, i.e., city bus, suburban and express buses, and charter buses, are estimated to analyze the factors of accident severity. The results show that there are significant differences of factors affecting crash severity among the types of bus services while speed and road surface influence all the types of buses. In case of local buses, time of day, roadway alignment, and installation of a traffic signal are found to be statistically significant factors. Seat belt and road class have significant effects on injury severity of the intercity and express buses. Chartered buses have time of day, driving experience, seatbelt, traffic signal, and day of week as the significant factors. The results of this study are expected to contribute to the reduction of the crash severity by each bus service type.