• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.105-117
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• 2022

This study analyzes the effects between stock returns and interest rate spread, difference between long-term and short-term interest rate through the polynomial linear regression analysis. The existing research concentrated on the business forecast through the interest rate spread focusing on the US market. The previous studies verified the interest rate spread based on the leading indicators of business forecast by moderating the period of long-term/short-term interest rates and analyzing the degree of leading. After the 7th reform of composite indices of business indicators in Korea of 2006, the interest rate spread was included in the items of composing the business leading indicators, which is utilized till today. Nevertheless, there are a few research on stock returns of each industry and interest rate spread in domestic stock market. Therefore, this study analyzed the stock returns of each industry and interest rate spread targeting Korean stock market. This study selected the long-term/short-term interest rates with high causality through the regression analysis, and then understood the correlations with each leading period and industry. To overcome the limitation of the simple linear regression analysis, polynomial linear regression analysis is used, which raised explanatory power. As a result, the high causality was verified when using differences between returns of corporate bond(AA-) without guarantee for three years by leading six months and call rate returns as interest rate spread. In addition, analyzing the stock returns of each industry, the relation between the relevant interest rate spread and returns of the automobile industry was the closest. This study is significant in the aspect of verifying the causality of interest rate spread, business forecast, and stock returns in Korea. Even though it could be limited to forecast the stock price by using only the interest rate spread, it would be working as a strong factor when it is properly utilized with other various factors.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.48 no.1
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• pp.39-44
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• 2010

Economic feasibility of power generation system using waste woody biomass in a circulating fluidized bed combustor has been investigated. Effects of important variables such as capital investment, cost of waste wood, certified emission reduction(CER), system marginal price(SMP) on the benefit of business have been analyzed. Internal rate of return(IRR) was predicted as 16.67%, which implicates the business is promising based on the assumptions such as SMP of 99 Won/kWh, capital cost of 10.65 billion won, and complimentary providing of waste wood. Major factors affecting the benefit of business were as follows; system marginal price, operational rate, capital investment, expenditure of waste wood, certified emission reduction. In addition, it must be necessary to consider CHP power plant providing steam as one of the means to diversify sales network, for the management of the business risk.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.3-21
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• 2010

By the significant structural change in 1999, a partial privatization has occurred in Korean fossil-fuel power generation sector. Under the current price scheme wholesale electricity price is dependent on output size, and hence, may not satisfy the assumption of price-taking producers. The purpose of our study is constructing the productivity change measurements of Korean power generation sector taking into account possibly imperfect competition and variable returns to scale. Our approach based on Harrison (1994) and Levinsohn (1993) derives the plant-level productivity measurements of the period between 2001 and 2007, as well as the measurements of mark-ups and returns to scale. It is shown that the mark-up size is dependent on the plants' fuel type and is decreasing over time. Allowing for imperfect competition and variable returns to scale adjusts the productivity measurements substantially.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2009.07a
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• pp.329_330
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• 2009

한국전쟁의 폐허를 딛고 한세대 만에 세계최고수준의 전력 계통을 구축한 우리나라의 전력산업은 이제 성장한계에 이르러, 해외시장 진출을 통해 신성장동력을 확보하는데 주력하고 있다. 하지만 날로 치열해져 가는 국제경쟁의 틈바구니에서 세계 전력시장의 강자로 거듭나기 위해서는 전력산업의 전 분야에 걸쳐 보다 종합적이고 중장기적인 전략으로 접근하는 것이 필요하다. 한국전력의 해외사업은 1993년 발전 사업에 진출한 이래 성공적으로 확장을 거듭하고 있으나 글로벌 리더인 한국전력의 위상에 걸 맞는 시장 확보를 위해서는 발전뿐만 아니라 송변전, 배전, 통신 등 각 분야가 유기적으로 연결되어 시너지 효과를 창출해야 하고, 진출 대상국가의 전력산업 전체를 겨냥한 Total solution의 상품을 가지고 고객을 만족시킴과 동시에 수익을 극대화 해 나가야 한다. 이를 위해서는 전력계통 전체를 다루는 송변전기술을 이용한 기술마케팅을 통하여 진출대상국의 정보와 인맥을 확보한 뒤 이것을 바탕으로 리스크를 최소화 하고 수익성이 보장되는 발전 IPP사업 등 우량 사업을 개발하는 한편, 장차 그 나라의 전력시스템 전체를 한국화 해나감으로써 장기적인 시장을 확보하는 전략 아래 한국전력, 국내 전력업계 및 정부가 긴밀히 협력해 나가야 한다.

• Bulletin of the Korea Photovoltaic Society
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.35-41
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• 2018

기후환경 변화에 대한 대응과 친환경에너지로의 전환으로 우리나라는 새로운 재생에너지 정책을 추진하고 있다. 2030년에 재생에너지 비중을 20%까지 확대한다는 정책목표를 달성하기 위해서는 지속적이면서도 경제성을 갖출 수 있는 대형 태양광 발전소의 건설이 필요하나 현재의 제도와 가격구조로는 투자유치의 한계가 있다. 용량요금제는 기존의 석탄, 가스 발전소 사업의 안정성과 수익성을 보장하여 큰 규모의 투자를 유치하기 위하여 시행되었던 만큼, 투자 규모가 큰 대형 태양광 발전소의 투자유치를 위해서도 적용이 필요하다. 이는 태양광 발전이 기존 석탄, 석유 발전시장으로부터 독립된 전원으로의 위치를 찾고 투자유치, 규모의 경제 실현, 수익성 상승, 재투자의 선순환 구조를 만드는데 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• autumn
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• pp.306-310
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• 2002

Agreements such as the Uruguay Round and the New Round have dramatically changed international construction markets. The globalization of the construction industry provides tremendous opportunities for construction industry, while it generates the complex skeins of risks to contractors wllo would like to expand into new foreign markets. According to ENR, recently about $13.9\%$ of contractors that entered international construction markets have experienced loss in projects and furthermore, their average profits have also declined continuously. Accordingly, contractors need a strategic risk management system for assessing various risks and improving Profitability for overseas construction projects. This paper discusses the long-term trend of profitability performed by Korean contractors in international construction markets during the last 35 years. Then, it identifies the key factors that affect the profitability significantly through the structured surveys from 59 actual overseas projects. These factors can be used for developing a risk management system for international construction project.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.434-446
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• 2017

This study was carried out to suggest new indicators to be used at airports. Generally, passengers and cargo will be handled at the airport, and the airport will achieve revenues through them. However, all airports can not have the same distribution of passenger and cargo throughput. When comparing and analyzing several airports, a uniform result can be expected only if a unit airport throughput indicator is applied. The 'Work Load Unit' is an indicator that integrates passengers and cargo into one, and assumes that the value of one passenger is equivalent to the cargo volume of 100kg. The existing WLU was set up based on the experience at the airport rather than being established through reasonable grounds or analysis, so there was a lot of controversy. The purpose of this study is to overcome these limitations and to suggest new index. In this study, we applied a method to compare the relative value of cargo and passenger to airport revenue. In order to analyze cargo value and passenger value, airport revenues are classified into aircraft operation related revenues, passenger handling related revenues, and commercial revenues. A total of 50 airports were selected, including 14 airports in Asia, 18 airports in Europe and 18 airports in North America. According to the final analysis results, it is concluded that the cargo is equivalent to 280kg of cargo based on the contribution of one passenger averagely. This is higher than the value of 100Kg cargo per passenger.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.161-170
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• 2013

The FX (Foreign Exchange) is a form of exchange for the global decentralized trading of international currencies. The simple sense of Forex is simultaneous purchase and sale of the currency or the exchange of one country's currency for other countries'. We can find the consistent rules of trading by comparing the gradient boosting method and the decision trees methods. Methods such as time series analysis used for the prediction of financial markets have advantage of the long-term forecasting model. On the other hand, it is difficult to reflect the rapidly changing price fluctuations in the short term. Therefore, in this study, gradient boosting method and decision tree method are applied to analyze the short-term data in order to make the rules for the revenue structure of the FX market and evaluated the stability and the prediction of the model.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• v.47 no.4
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• pp.407-411
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• 2008

This study was conducted to estimate the economic injury level (EIL) and economic threshold (ET) of the green peach aphid, Myzus persicae, on Chinese cabbage (Brassica campestris var). The changes of biomass of Chinese cabbage and M. persicae density were investigated after introduction of M. persicae at different density (0, 2, 5, 10, 15, and 20 per plant; inoculated at 10d after planting). The densities of M. persicae largely increased from the above initial densities to 0, 92.3, 177.4, 406.9, 440.4, and 471.3 aphids per plant at 18d after the initial inoculation, respectively. The biomass of Chinese cabbage significantly decreased with increasing the initial inoculated density of M. persicae: 602.0, 264.2, 262.0, 109.3, 151.0, and 67.3 g in above plots with different initial densities, respectively. The relationship between cumulative aphid days (CAD) and yield loss (%) of Chinese cabbage was well described by a nonlinear logistic equation. Using the estimated equation, EIL of M. persicae on Chinese cabbage was estimated 25 CAD per plant based on the yield loss 13%, which take into account of an empirical gain threshold 5% and marketable rate 92% of spring Chinese cabbage. Also, ET was calculated at 80% of EIL: 20 aphids per plant. Until a more elaborate EIL-model is developed, the present result may be useful for M. persicae management at early growth stage of Chinese cabbage.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• v.50 no.4
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• pp.289-293
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• 2011

This study was conducted to develop economic injury level (EIL) of onion thrips, Thrips tabaci, on welsh onion (Allium fistulosum L. var) in the early transplanting stage. The changes of welsh onion biomass, yield loss, and T. tabaci density were investigated according to the inoculation periods of T. tabaci. In the early transplanting stage of welsh onion, the yield loss (%) increased with increasing inoculation periods: 17.0, 53.3, 38.4, and 80.8% yield loss in 5, 10, 15, and 20 d inoculation periods, respectively. The relationship between Cumulative Insect Days (CID) of T. tabaci and yield loss (%) of welsh onion was well described by a nonlinear logistic equation. Using the estimated equation, EIL of T. tabaci on welsh onion was estimated to 30 CID per plant based on the yield loss 12% (an empirical gain threshold 5% + marketable rate 93% of welsh onion). ET was calculated to 24 CID, which corresponds to 80% of EIL. Until a more defined EIL-model is developed, the present results should be useful for T. tabaci management in early growth stage of welsh onion. The effect of T. tabaci attack on the yield of welsh onion in late growing season (120 days after transplanting) was also examined. The yield of welsh onion increased at a low population density of T. tabaci and decreased at higher densities, showing a typical over-compensatory response.