• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수요변수

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Feasibility Model Development by Applying System Dynamics Method in Residential Officetel (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 오피스텔 사업타당성 분석 모델 개발)

  • Jang, Jun-Ho;Ha, Sun-Geun;Kim, Kyeong-Ryoung;Son, Ki-Young;Son, Seung-Hyun;Lee, Taick-Oun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.285-294
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    • 2018
  • Due to the low interest rates of banks according to the breakdown economy after the global financial crisis in 2008 As a substitute for financial products, the investment demand has been increased for rentable investment funds such as commercial building and officetel. However, the problems such as oversupply, decrease of a rental profit and negative perception of development projects have been occurred. One of the primary problems is the existing deterministic method of project feasibility analysis. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop feasibility model by applying system dynamics method in residential officetel. To achieve the objective, first, the previous studies are investigated. Second, the causal loop diagram is structured based on the collected data. Third, the feasibility model is developed through the causal loop diagram. Fourth, the effectiveness is validated and compared to collected actual data. The proposed model can be helpful whether or not conduct execution of an officetel development project to the decision makers.

Factors of China Art Price Formation -Focusing on contemporary artists- (중국 미술품 가격 형성 요인 실증분석 -컨템퍼러리 미술 작가 중심으로-)

  • Kwon, Hyeog-In;Lee, Jae-Hwa;Lee, Jin-Kyung;Song, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.629-639
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    • 2011
  • This paper classifies factors that form Chinese contemporary art price which comes into the spotlight in the current fine art market and consider the characteristics that form price with Chinese art only. The data were analyzed applying hedonic price setting models which include market value as a dependent variable with the various characteristics that art includes as the individual factors. The result has found that Chinese contemporary art has the more effects on factors of artists than sales factors. The social factor is worthy of notice in that Chinese GDP jointly raised with the price of Chinese contemporary art. At this point that interest in and demand of Chinese contemporary art are higher, it is thought that the result of this study will raise comprehension and convincing purchase direction will be suggested to collectors.

The Analysis of the Factors and Weights for the Performance Mesurement of Hospital CRM System (병원의 CRM시스템 성과측정을 위한 주요요인 및 가중치 분석)

  • Hong, Hyun-Gi;Chun, Je-Ran
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.915-923
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    • 2007
  • Recently we can see many cases that the CRM Systems are implemented and operated in Hospitals. The reason for such situation is the management environments in medical service market is changing rapidly one hand, and on the other hand the competitions among the Hospitals became more severe. In this paper we try to present the factors and weights as index for the measurement of Hospital CRM's System Performance. To achieve this goal, we derived the primary factors for the success of the CRM Systems based on the precedent researches, and futhermore carry out the verification of the rightness of those factors. For the verification of the rightness of the factors, we employ the Structured-Model-Analysis Method of AMOS. This enhance the meaning of the analysis result of the factors. And we use the AHP method to compare the importance grade of each success factors, because the comparison of importance level of each success factor is very crucial for the measurement of the Hospital CRM's system performance. As a result, we derived the primary factors and analyzed the weights in this paper, which might be used as the guiding Index for the measurement of the Hospital CRM' System Performance.

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Etching properties of $Na_{0.5}K_{0.5}NbO_2$ thin film using inductively coupled plasma (유도결합 플라즈마를 이용한 $Na_{0.5}K_{0.5}NbO_2$ 박막의 식각 특성)

  • Kim, Gwan-Ha;Kim, Kyoung-Tae;Kim, Jong-Gyu;Woo, Jong-Chang;Kim, Chang-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.116-116
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    • 2007
  • 21 세기에 접어들면서 인터넷을 통한 정보 통신의 발달과 개인 휴대용 이동 통신기기의 활발한 보급에 따라 휴대형 전자기기들의 소형화와 고성능화로 나아가고 있다. 이러한 전자기기에 사용될 IC의 내장 메모리 또한 집적화 및 고속화, 저 전력화가 이루어져야 한다. 이러한 전자기기들에 필수적인 압전 세라믹스 부품 중 압전 부저 및 기타 음향 부품등을 각종 전자기기와 무선 전화기에 채택함으로써 압전 부품에 대한 수요와 생산이 계속 증가할 것으로 전망된다. 이처럼 압전 세라믹스를 이용한 그 응용 범위는 대단히 방대하며, 현재 모든 압전 부품들은 PZT 계열 재료로 만들어지고 있고, 차후 모두 비납계열 재료로 대체될 것이 확실시된다. Pb의 환경오염은 이미 오래전부터 큰 문제점으로 인식되고 있었으며 그 일례로 미국의 캘리포니아 주에서는 1986년부터 약 800종의 유해물질, 그 중에서도 Pb 사용을 300ppm 이하로 규제하는 Proposition 65를 제정하여 실행하고 있다. 그리고 2003년 2월에 EU (European Union) 에서 발표한 전자산업에 관한 규제 사항중 하나인 위험물질 사용에 관한 지칭 (Restriction of Hazardous Substance, RoHS) 에 의하면, 2006 년 7월부터 전기 전자 제품에 있어서 위험 물질인 Pb을 포함한 중금속 물질(카드늄, 수은, 6가 크롬, 브롬계 난연재)의 사용을 금지한다고 발표하였다. 비록 전자세라믹 부품에 함유된 Pb는 예외 사항으로 두었지만 대체 가능한 물질이 개발되면 전자세라믹 부품에서도 Pb의 사용을 금지한다고 규정하였다. 더욱이 일본은 2005 년부터 Pb 사용을 금지시켰다. 이와 같이 Pb가 환경에 미치는 영향 때문에 비납계 강유전 물질 및 압전 세라믹스 재료에 대한 연구가 전 세계적으로 활발히 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 비납계 강유전체의 patterning을 위해서, NKN 박막을 고밀도 플라즈마원인 ICP를 이용하여 식각 mechanism을 연구하고, 식각변수에 따른 식각 공정을 최적화에 대하여 연구하였다. 가스 혼합비에 따라 식각 할때 700 W의 RF 전력과 - 150 V의 직류 바이어스 전압을 인가하였고, 공정 압력은 2 Pa, 기판 온도는 $23^{\circ}C$로 고정하였다. 식각 속도는 Tencor사의 Alpha-step 500을 이용하여 측정되었으며 식각 시 NKN 박막 표면과 라디칼과의 화학적인 반응을 분석하고 식각 메커니즘을 규명하기 위하여 XPS(x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy)를 사용하였다.

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An Experimental Study of Flexible-Stiff Mixed System of High Yield Ratio-High Strength Steel for the Practical Use (고항복비-고강도강의 유강혼합구조 시스템 적용에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Oh, Sang Hoon;Kim, Jin Won;Moon, Tae Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.17 no.4 s.77
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    • pp.395-405
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    • 2005
  • This paper summarizes the test results of the flexible-stiff mixed system for the effective use of high-strength steel. Steel with a high degree of strength and performance is being increasingly required as buildings get larger and taller. High-strength steels cannot be used for many applications, though, because they have a number of defects. For instance, they have a high yield ratio, a small strain in maximum stress, and equal Young's modulus compared to mild steels. A new structural system is needed to effectively use high-strength steels with some defects. This paper proposes the flexible-stiff mixed system for the effective use of high-strength steels with high yield ratios. The possibility of using the system is discussed through the test of flexible-stiff mixed columns with high-strength steels. The main variable of the specimens is the yield displacement ratio, including both the force ratio and the stiffness ratio. The proper yield displacement ratio is proposed by adopting the flexible-stiff mixed system. The test results showed that the proposed flexible-stiff mixed system has a high capacity for energy absorption and the highest capacity for energy absorption when the yield displacement ratio of the flexible element to the stiff element ranges from 2.7 to 3.3.

Develpment of Analysis and Evaluation Model for a bus Transit Route Network Design (버스 노선망 설계를 위한 평가모형 개발)

  • Han, Jong-Hak;Lee, Seung-Jae;Kim, Jong-Hyeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.161-172
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    • 2005
  • This study is to develop Bus Transit Route Analysis and Evaluation Model that can product the quantitative performance measures for Bus Transit Route Network Design. So far, in Korea, there are no so many models that evaluate a variety of other performance measures or service quality that are of concern to both the transit users and operator because of lower-level bus database system and transit route network analysis algorithm's limit. The BTRAEM in this research differ from the previous approach in that the BTRAEM employs a multiple path transit trip assignment model that explicitly considers the transfer and different travel time after boarding. And we develop input-output data structure and quantitative performance measure for the BTRAEM. In the numerical experimental applying BTRAEM to Mandl transit network, We got the meaningful results on performance measure of bus transit route network. In the future, we expect BTRAEM to give a good solution in real transit network.

Modified Empirical Formula of Dynamic Amplification Factor for Wind Turbine Installation Vessel (해상풍력발전기 설치선박의 수정 동적증폭계수 추정식)

  • Ma, Kuk-Yeol;Park, Joo-Shin;Lee, Dong-Hun;Seo, Jung-Kwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.846-855
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    • 2021
  • Eco-friendly and renewable energy sources are actively being researched in recent times, and of shore wind power generation requires advanced design technologies in terms of increasing the capacities of wind turbines and enlarging wind turbine installation vessels (WTIVs). The WTIV ensures that the hull is situated at a height that is not affected by waves. The most important part of the WTIV is the leg structure, which must respond dynamically according to the wave, current, and wind loads. In particular, the wave load is composed of irregular waves, and it is important to know the exact dynamic response. The dynamic response analysis uses a single degree of freedom (SDOF) method, which is a simplified approach, but it is limited owing to the consideration of random waves. Therefore, in industrial practice, the time-domain analysis of random waves is based on the multi degree of freedom (MDOF) method. Although the MDOF method provides high-precision results, its data convergence is sensitive and difficult to apply owing to design complexity. Therefore, a dynamic amplification factor (DAF) estimation formula is developed in this study to express the dynamic response characteristics of random waves through time-domain analysis based on different variables. It is confirmed that the calculation time can be shortened and accuracy enhanced compared to existing MDOF methods. The developed formula will be used in the initial design of WTIVs and similar structures.

A Study on the Forecasting Trend of Apartment Prices: Focusing on Government Policy, Economy, Supply and Demand Characteristics (아파트 매매가 추이 예측에 관한 연구: 정부 정책, 경제, 수요·공급 속성을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jung-Mok;Choi, Su An;Yu, Su-Han;Kim, Seonghun;Kim, Tae-Jun;Yu, Jong-Pil
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.91-113
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    • 2021
  • Despite the influence of real estate in the Korean asset market, it is not easy to predict market trends, and among them, apartments are not easy to predict because they are both residential spaces and contain investment properties. Factors affecting apartment prices vary and regional characteristics should also be considered. This study was conducted to compare the factors and characteristics that affect apartment prices in Seoul as a whole, 3 Gangnam districts, Nowon, Dobong, Gangbuk, Geumcheon, Gwanak and Guro districts and to understand the possibility of price prediction based on this. The analysis used machine learning algorithms such as neural networks, CHAID, linear regression, and random forests. The most important factor affecting the average selling price of all apartments in Seoul was the government's policy element, and easing policies such as easing transaction regulations and easing financial regulations were highly influential. In the case of the three Gangnam districts, the policy influence was low, and in the case of Gangnam-gu District, housing supply was the most important factor. On the other hand, 6 mid-lower-level districts saw government policies act as important variables and were commonly influenced by financial regulatory policies.

Factors Affecting Changes in Forest Recreational Activities During the COVID-19 Pandemic (코로나19 팬데믹 이후 산림 휴양 활동의 변화 요인)

  • Chang, Chuyoun;Park, So-Hee;Seol, Ara
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.110 no.4
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    • pp.711-723
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    • 2021
  • During the COVID-19 pandemic, social distancing affected daily life and leisure activities, including forest recreational activities. This study identified changes in people's participation in forest recreational activities and factors affecting their participation. It collected data from 1,000 samples through an online survey and analyzed it using a binary logit model with interaction terms. It was observed that there were decreases in the participation in visits to urban parks and green areas, outdoor activities in forests and mountains, and trips to mountain villages after the COVID-19 outbreak. People in their 40s, 50s, and 60s were more likely to decrease their participation in all kinds of forest recreational activities than those in their 20s. Moreover, higher household income earners were more likely to decrease their involvement in outdoor activities in forests and mountains. With respect to the place of residence, the residents in the Seoul metropolitan area were less likely to decrease their participation in trips to mountain villages than those outside this area. Thus, this study suggests that online forest recreation information services and forest management are needed to meet the demands of forest recreation for young generations and diversify the function of forests and rural areas as a safe leisurely space.

Analysis of dependence structure between international freight rate index and U.S. and China trade uncertainty (국제 해운 운임지수와 미국과 중국의 무역 불확실성 사이의 의존성 구조 분석)

  • Kim, Bu-Kwon;Kim, Dong-Yoon;Choi, Ki-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2020
  • Trade is an important economic activity. In particular, since the establishment of the World Trade Organization (WTO), the scope of trade has been expanding due to events such as the entry of China into the WTO in 2001, the establishment of a multilateral trading system, mitigation and integration of trade barriers, and the establishment of the free trade agreement (FTA). Despite the expansion of the trade market, however, extreme events such as the 2008 global financial crisis, the 2016 Brexit, and the 2018 US-China trade war have had a direct negative impact on the trade market. Therefore, the present this study analyzed the dependence structure between the international shipping freight rate index, a variable representing trade activities, and the trade uncertainty between the US and China. The following is a summary of the analysis results. First, the US-Chinese trade policy uncertainty and international shipping freight rate index presented a Frank copula and rotated Clayton copula 270° distribution, respectively, showing the same distribution structure for each country. Second, the Kendall's tau correlation revealed a negative dependence between the international shipping freight rate index and US-Chinese trade policy uncertainty. The degree of dependence was greater in the combination of uncertainty in China's trade policy and international shipping freight rates. In other words, the dependence of global demand and trade policy uncertainty confirmed that China was stronger than the US. Finally, the tail dependence results revealed that the US-Chinese trade policy uncertainty and international shipping freight rates were independent of each other. This means that extreme events related to the trade policy uncertainty or international shipping rate index were not affected by each other.