• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수온이력

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Correlation and Hysteresis Analysis of Air-Water Temperature in Four Rivers: Preliminary study for water temperature prediction (우리나라 하천의 기온-수온의 상관관계 및 이력현상 분석: 미래 하천수온 변화 예측을 위한 사전검토)

  • An, Ji-Hyuck;Lee, Khil-Ha
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.17-32
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    • 2013
  • The potential impact of water temperature on air temperature in response to recent anthropogenic global warming has been noticed. To predict climate, induced change in river aquatic environment, it is necessary to understand the thermal constrains of fish species and the timing of the projected river temperature. As a preliminary study, air-water temperature relationship was analyzed on the basis of the observed data during the time period of 2009-2011 and the number of data corresponds to 873-1083. As a result of analyzing the auto-and cross-correlation coefficient between air-water temperature, high correlation is shown (~0.9). It is also found that the correlation coefficient of air temperature is higher than that of water temperature at the lag time less than approximately 10 days. Observed data was divided into two groups to investigate hysteresis: rising limb and falling limb. For some stations there is strong evidence that hysteresis exist between air-water temperature relationships. Consequently it is recommended that seasonal hysteresis needs to be included in determining an airwater relationship.

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Effect of Air Temperature Changes on Water Temperature and Hysteresis Phenomenon in Lake Paldang (기온 변화에 따른 팔당호 수온 영향 및 이력현상)

  • Yu, Soonju;Im, Jongkwon;Lee, Bomi
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.323-337
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    • 2020
  • Long-term continuous data were used to investigate changes in air and water temperature and temperature hysteresis at Lake Paldang, the largest source of drinking water in South Korea. Based on the temperatures at Yangpyeong, near Lake Paldang, using a seasonal Mann-Kendall test, the rate of change of increase in temperature over the last 27 years (0.060℃/yr, 1993-2019) was higher than that of during 47 years (0.048℃/yr, 1973-2019). The air and water temperatures in Lake Paldang and its influent rivers had a high correlation (R > 0.9, p < 0.005); however, the water temperature increased at rate slower than the river water temperature, and the water temperature decreased slowly as the air temperature fell. The depth-averaged water temperature also changed more slowly than the surface water of the lake both when the air temperature was high and when it was low. This is likely because the lake has a larger area and a longer heat retention time than rivers, resulting in a greater hysteresis of water temperature at lake.

Correlation and Hysteresis Analysis between Air and Water Temperatures in the Coastal Zone - Masan Bay (연안해역 기온과 수온의 상관관계 및 이력현상 분석)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Lee, Khil-Ha;Cho, Kyung-Jun;Kim, Jun-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.213-221
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    • 2007
  • In response to anthropogenic global warming due to a buildup greenhouse gas, the effect of the air temperature on water temperature has been noticed and some efforts have been made to build an air/water temperature relationship at the Masan Bay area by the Ministry of Maritime Affairs & Fisheries (MOMAF). As a result of analyzing the auto- and cross-correlation coefficient between air/water temperature, high correlation $(\sim0.9)$ is shown and the correlation coefficient of air temperature is higher than that of water temperature at the lag time less than approximately 10 days. Separate functions are fitted to the air/water relationship at the Masan Bay to take hysteresis into account. The slopes of the straight line for the rising limb are 0.829 and 0.774 for MA1 and MA2 station respectively, while 1.385 and 1.444 ($\sim1.75$ times larger) for the falling limb. Consequently, the seasonal hysteresis should be considered in order to determine an air/water relationship and accurately estimate the water temperature using the air temperature at Masan Bay.

Variation Pattern Analysis on the Air and Surface Water Temperatures of the Yellow Sea Monitoring Buoy (황해중부부이에서 관측된 기온 및 표층수온의 변화양상 분석)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Jin-Yong;Shim, Jae-Seol;Kim, Seon-Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.316-325
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    • 2010
  • Harmonic analyses are carried out in order to obtain the major frequency components of the air temperature (AT) and surface water temperature (SWT) data monitored in the Middle Area of the Yellow Sea (Yellow Sea monitoring buoy). The analysis shows the annual and semi-annual components are predominant and the higher frequency components are relatively weak with contribution to the short fluctuations, i.e. below $0.2{\sim}0.5^{\circ}C$, in the AT and SWT. The standard deviation of the AT residual is 2.4 times larger than that of the SWT residual and the occurrence frequency distributions of the AT and SWT residual components are both closely fitted to a normal-distribution function. The variation pattern on the AT-SWT plane forms the clear continuous hysteresis loop in anti-clockwise direction which is composed of the AT-SWT rising period, AT-SWT falling period, and the constant SWT period in winter season.

Building a Nonlinear Relationship between Air and Water Temperature for Climate-Induced Future Water Temperature Prediction (기후변화에 따른 미래 하천 수온 예측을 위한 비선형 기온-수온 상관관계 구축)

  • Lee, Khil-Ha
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.21-38
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    • 2014
  • In response to global warming, the effect of the air temperature on water temperature has been noticed. The change in water temperature in river environment results in the change in water quality and ecosystem, especially Dissolved Oxygen (DO) level, and shifts in aquatic biota. Efforts need to be made to predict future water temperature in order to understand the timing of the projected river temperature. To do this, the data collected by the Ministry of Environment and the Korea Meteororlogical Administration has been used to build a nonlinear relationship between air and water temperature. The logistic function that includes four different parameters was selected as a working model and the parameters were optimized using SCE algorithm. Weekly average values were used to remove time scaling effect because the time scale affects maximum and minimum temperature and then river environment. Generally speaking nonlinear logistic model shows better performance in NSC and RMSE and nonlinear logistic function is recommendable to build a relationship between air and water temperature in Korea. The results will contribute to determine the future policy regarding water quality and ecosystem for the decision-driving organization.

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Nonlinear correlation analysis between air and water temperatures in the coastal zone, Korea (우리나라 연안 기온과 수온의 비선형 상관관계 분석)

  • Lee, Khil-Ha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.128-135
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    • 2007
  • In response to anthropogenic global warming due to a buildup greenhouse gas, the effect of the air temperature on water temperature has been noticed. Therefore, effects have been made to build an air/water temperature relationship at three study regions using the data collected by the Ministry of the Maritime Affairs and Fisheries (MOMAF). The air/water relationship varies with time-scale and weekly time-scale was chosen for the study. The data were fitted to the S-shaped non-linear relationship, and the parameters for the S-curve were derived using a single-criteria multi-parameter optimization scheme. Separate regression curves were fitted to consider seasonal hysteresis at the Masan site. The study results support the S-shaped non-linear relationship is the best fit for the air/water relationship at the Korean coastal zone. This study will contribute to determine the future policy regarding water quality and ecosystem for the decision-driving organization.

The Ocean Environment Sensor Data Mining based on USN Middleware (해양 환경에서의 USN 미들웨어 기반 센서 데이터 마이닝)

  • Kim, Sung-Ho;Kim, Lyong;Lee, Jun-Wook;Chung, Jae-Du;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.433-436
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    • 2006
  • 유비쿼터스는 간단히 말해서 많은 센서 들로 이루어진 무선 센서 네트워크이며 해양 환경 감시 서비스는 해양에 센서들을 설치함으로써 유비쿼터스 환경을 구축하고 해양 환경 변화를 감시한다. 센서 노드들로부터 수온, 기온, 염도 등을 센서 데이터들이 측정이 되며 이러한 데이터를 기반으로 유용한 지식을 탐사해낸다. 그러나 기존의 데이터 마이닝 기법은 이력 데이터에 대해서 마이닝 기법을 적용하지만 센서 데이터들은 아주 빠른 속도로 대량으로 유입이 되기 때문에 기존의 데이터 마이닝 기법은 적용이 불가능하게 된다. 그러므로 센서 데이터에 맞는 새로운 센서 데이터 마이닝 기법이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 센싱된 센서 데이터들을 기반으로 해양 환경 감시 서비스에 제공할 수 있는 센서 마이닝 기법들을 제안한다.

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The Relationship between Drought and Red tide Phenomena through ROC Analysis (ROC분석을 통한 가뭄과 적조현상의 관계분석)

  • Hwang, Sung Jin;Lee, Byung Hyun;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.145-145
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    • 2020
  • 가뭄은 과거부터 현재까지 국내뿐만 아니라 국외에서도 지속적으로 발생하고 있으며 가뭄피해를 줄이기 위하여 많은 연구가 과거에 수행되었고 현재까지도 진행되고 있다.(강동호 외 2명, 2019명) 가뭄은 일반적으로 강수량의 부족이 원인이 되어 나타나며 홍수와 달리 장기간에 걸쳐 광범위한 지역에 피해가 나타나는 특징이 있다. 그렇기에 가뭄은 감시 및 예측에 대한 어려움이 존재하며 우리나라에서도 가뭄으로 인해 수자원 공급 긴장상태를 경험하는 빈도가 점차 증가하고 있는 추세이다.(유지영 외 3명, 2016) 적조현상은 특정 조류의 폭발적인 증식으로 해수가 붉은 빛을 띄며 용존산소량을 부족하게 만들어 해양 생태계를 파괴하는 현상이다. 적조현상은 1990년대 이후 대규모 적조가 발생하여 1995년에는 적조로 인해 약 764억의 손실이 발생한 사례가 있다.(연합뉴스, 2019.09) 이후에도 적조현상은 점점 광역화, 장기화, 고밀도화 되면서 연평균 110억 이상의 피해를 지속적으로 주고 있다. 본 연구에서는 대상 지역을 대한민국 완도로 설정 하였다. 섬이라는 지역의 특성 상 가뭄이 발생하면 식수원의 공급이 어렵고 평시에도 물을 아끼기 위한 노력이 끊이지 않는 곳이다. 실제로 완도는 우리나라에서 가장 많은 피해이력이 있는 지역이다. 또 2016년 완도에서는 적조로 인해 전복이 집단 폐사하며 358억의 피해를 입은 사례가 있다.(중앙일보, 2016.09) 그렇기에 완도지역을 대상 지역으로 하여 비강우의 장기화 등의 이유로 나타나는 가뭄을 기상학적 가뭄지수 SPI를 활용하여 분석하고 ROC 분석을 통해 수온의 상승 시 나타나는 적조현상과의 관계를 분석함으로서 적조현상이 발생하는 한 척도로 가뭄의 발생 및 장기화를 생각 할 수 있는지 판단하고자 한다.

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