• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수명예측모델

Search Result 299, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Prediction for Fatigue Life of Composite Ply-overlap Joint Structures (복합재 플라이 오버랩 조인트 구조의 피로 수명 예측)

  • Yeju Lee;Hiyeop Kim;Jungsun Park
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.62-70
    • /
    • 2023
  • We proposed a technique for predicting Stress-Life (S-N) curve or fatigue life using geometric features of a ply-overlap joint structure in which plies of two composite materials are partially or wholly laminated and bonded. Geometric features that could affect fatigue properties of a structure were selected as variables. By analyzing relationships between geometric variables and material constants of the Epaarachchi-Clausen model, a fatigue model for composites, relational expressions of these two factors were proposed. To verify the prediction accuracy of the proposed method, fatigue life of a CFRP/GFRP ply-overlap joint was predicted. Predicted life and life obtained by test data-based model were compared to actual life. High prediction accuracy was confirmed by calculating the coefficient of determination of the predicted S-N curve.

High Efficiency Life Prediction and Exception Processing Method of NAND Flash Memory-based Storage using Gradient Descent Method (경사하강법을 이용한 낸드 플래시 메모리기반 저장 장치의 고효율 수명 예측 및 예외처리 방법)

  • Lee, Hyun-Seob
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
    • /
    • v.11 no.11
    • /
    • pp.44-50
    • /
    • 2021
  • Recently, enterprise storage systems that require large-capacity storage devices to accommodate big data have used large-capacity flash memory-based storage devices with high density compared to cost and size. This paper proposes a high-efficiency life prediction method with slope descent to maximize the life of flash memory media that directly affects the reliability and usability of large enterprise storage devices. To this end, this paper proposes the structure of a matrix for storing metadata for learning the frequency of defects and proposes a cost model using metadata. It also proposes a life expectancy prediction policy in exceptional situations when defects outside the learned range occur. Lastly, it was verified through simulation that a method proposed by this paper can maximize its life compared to a life prediction method based on the fixed number of times and the life prediction method based on the remaining ratio of spare blocks, which has been used to predict the life of flash memory.

Prediction of Fretting Fatigue Life for Lap Joint Structures of Aircraft (항공기 겹침이음 조립구조의 프레팅 피로수명 예측)

  • Kwon, Jung-Ho;Joo, Seon-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.37 no.7
    • /
    • pp.642-652
    • /
    • 2009
  • Most of lap jointed aircraft structures encounter the fretting damages, which provoke fretting cracks prematurely and lead to significant reduction of fatigue life. In the case of ageing aircrafts especially, this fretting fatigue problem is a fatal threat for the safety and airworthiness. Recently, as the service life extension program(SLEP) of ageing aircrafts has become a hot issue, the prediction of fretting fatigue life is also indispensable. On these backgrounds, a series of experimental tests of fretting fatigue on bolted lap joint specimens, were performed. And the fretting crack initiation and propagation life of each specimen were evaluated using existing and newly proposed prediction models with the fretting parameters obtained from the FEA results for elasto-plastic contact stress analyses. The validations of prediction models were also discussed, comparing the prediction results with experimental test ones.

A three-dimensional patent evaluation model that considers the factors for calculating the internal and external value of a patent: Arrhenius chemical reaction kinetics-based patent lifespan prediction (특허의 내적.외적 가치산정요인을 고려한 입체적 특허평가모델: 아레니우스 화학반응속도론 기반의 특허수명예측)

  • Choi, Yong Muk;LEE, JAEWON;Cho, Daemyeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.113-132
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study is a new evaluation using the Arrhenius equation, which is known as the chemical reaction rate estimation equation, to evaluate the intrinsic and extrinsic value elements of patents as a model. The performance of the evaluation model was superior to the SVM, Logistic reg. and ANN models that were used as patent evaluation models in prior studies. In addition, there was a strong correlation between the predicted lifespan of the patent and the actual lifespan of the patent. These evaluation models may be used for evaluation purposes only, or if an evaluation is required, including a commercialization entity or technical characteristics.

Estimation of Storage Life for Propellant Bag by Using Gamma Process Model (감마과정 모델에 의한 장약포의 저장수명 예측)

  • Park, Sungho;Kim, Jaehoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.17-25
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to present a method to estimate the storage life of propellant bag for degradation of breaking load with storage time by using gamma process model. The nitrogen compound generated by natural decomposition of propellants degrades the breaking load of propellant bag with time. The statistical distributions of condition and lifetime with time were shown from the results of accelerated life test of propellant bag cloth at $80^{\circ}C$. It was found that the use of median for life was highly appropriate and the $B_1$ or $B_5$ life should be selectively applied to the quality assurance policy.

Improving Lifetime Prediction Modeling for SiON Dielectric nMOSFETs with Time-Dependent Dielectric Breakdown Degradation (SiON 절연층 nMOSFET의 Time Dependent Dielectric Breakdown 열화 수명 예측 모델링 개선)

  • Yeohyeok Yun
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.173-179
    • /
    • 2023
  • This paper analyzes the time-dependent dielectric breakdown(TDDB) degradation mechanism for each stress region of Peri devices manufactured by 4th generation VNAND process, and presents a complementary lifetime prediction model that improves speed and accuracy in a wider reliability evaluation region compared to the conventional model presented. SiON dielectric nMOSFETs were measured 10 times each under 5 constant voltage stress(CVS) conditions. The analysis of stress-induced leakage current(SILC) confirmed the significance of the field-based degradation mechanism in the low electric field region and the current-based degradation mechanism in the high field region. Time-to-failure(TF) was extracted from Weibull distribution to ascertain the lifetime prediction limitations of the conventional E-model and 1/E-model, and a parallel complementary model including both electric field and current based degradation mechanisms was proposed by extracting and combining the thermal bond breakage rate constant(k) of each model. Finally, when predicting the lifetime of the measured TDDB data, the proposed complementary model predicts lifetime faster and more accurately, even in the wider electric field region, compared to the conventional E-model and 1/E-model.

A Study for Lifetime Predition of Expansion Joint Using HILS (HILS 기법을 적용한 신축관 이음 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jung-Soo;Cho, Sueng-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.138-142
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study used HILS to test an expansion joint, which is vulnerable to the water hammer effect. The operation data for the HIL simulator was the length rate of the expansion joint by the water hammer, which was used for life prediction based on the vibration durability. For the vibration durability test, the internal pressure of the expansion joint was assumed to be a factor of the durability life, and the lifetime prediction model equation was obtained by curve fitting the lifetime data at each pressure. During the test, the major failure modes of crack and water leakage occurred on the surface of the bellows part. The lifetime prediction model typically follows an inverse power law model. The pressure is a stress factor, and the model is effective in only a specific environment. Therefore, another stress factor such as temperature will be added and considered for a mixed lifetime prediction model in the future.

An Improved Method for Estimating Technology Life Cycle Based on Cited Patent Life Time(CLT) (피인용특허수명(CLT)기반의 기술의 경제적 수명기간 산출 개선방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sanggook;Park, Hyunwoo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.49-74
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this study we analyzed factors affecting the life cycle of technology, quantified the evaluation criteria that will affect the life of the individual technologies, and finally proposed the improvements to calculate technology life cycle that the properties of individual technologies are reflected based on cited-patent life time(CLT). It is expected that the methodology proposed improves the limits of the existing standard model, presents more reasonable criteria and ease of persuasion on the results derived by appraisers, and finally gives a lot of the feasibility and the usability of technology life cycle derived by the improved method to appraisers.

  • PDF

For the software program ″Fatigue Life Prediction(FLP)″ (피로수명예측 프로그램)

  • 이억섭;이진구
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
    • /
    • 1999.06a
    • /
    • pp.13-18
    • /
    • 1999
  • 공업의 발전과 더불어 금세기 초반부터 선박, 항공기, 지하매설물, 차량 등의 대형 파괴사고가 자주 발생하면서 이들의 파괴원인을 규명하는 연구가 활발해졌고, 이에 따라 파괴역학의 중요성이 인식되기 시작했다. 따라서 피로파괴에 대한 연구 및 이해가 크게 진전되었다[1-7]. 그러나 대, 중, 소형 기계구조물의 설계, 제작, 운용 및 구성부품과 구조물의 안전성 유지와 보수에 관심이 있는 공학자들에게는 해결되지 않은 많은 문제가 남아있다. 본 연구의 목적은 기존의 파괴역학적개념과 이를 기초로 새로 창안된 모델들이 포함된 피로수명예측 프로그램을 개발하고 이를 실제 구조물의 수명 예측에 적용하여 신뢰성을 확인하는데 있다. (중략)

  • PDF

An Efficient Update of Estimation Model Using Delayed Update in Sensor Networks (센서 네트워크에서의 지연 갱신을 이용한 효율적인 예측 모델의 갱신)

  • Noh, Hyun-ho;Kim, Hongyeon;Min, Jun-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
    • /
    • 2011.11a
    • /
    • pp.1243-1247
    • /
    • 2011
  • 센서 네트워크는 많은 수의 센서들로 구성되며 물질세계와 상호작용하여 실시간 감시를 할 수 있는 큰 규모의 네트워크이다. 현실 세계의 물리적 변화를 지속적으로 감시하기 위하여 센서 네트워크에 속해 있는 각 센서들은 주기적으로 측정값을 읽어서 기지국(base station)에 전달하는 기능을 수행한다. 이러한 경우, 각 센서들의 지속적인 통신에 따른 에너지 낭비가 발생하여 센서 네트워크 전체의 수명을 단축시키게 된다. 따라서 데이터 모니터링에 있어서 예측을 통한 근사 데이터 수집을 통해 센서 네트워크의 수명을 연장하고자 하는 연구들이 진행되고 있다. 그러나 현재의 예측을 통한 근사 데이터 수집은 측정값의 변화가 클수록 예측 모델의 갱신이 잦다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 지연 갱신을 이용한 효율적인 예측 모델 갱신 기법을 제안한다. 제안된 기법에서는 예측이 실패하였을 경우 즉시 예측 모델을 갱신하는 대신 문제가 되는 구간의 측정값들을 지연, 근사화하여 전송함으로써 예측 모델의 잦은 갱신을 방지할 수 있다.