• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수단선택모형

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Utility Maximization, The Shapes of the Indifference Curve on the Characteristic Space and its Estimation: A Theoretical Approach (개인여객 효용의 극대화 및 운송특성공간상의 무차별곡선의 형태와 그 추정)

  • Kim, Jong-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.157-168
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    • 2009
  • The random utility theory and the multinomial logit model (including a more recent variant--the mixed multinomial logit) derived from it have constituted a back bone for theoretical and empirical analyses of various travel demand features including mode choice. In their empirical applications, however, it is customary to specify random utilities which are linear in modal attributes such as time and cost, and in socio-economic variables. The linearity helps easy derivation of important information such as value of travel time savings by calculating marginal rate of substitution between time and cost. In this paper the author focuses on the very linearity of the random utilities. Taking into account the fact that the mode chooser is also labour supplier, commodity consumer as well as leisure-seeker, the author sets up a maximization model of the traveller, which encompasses various economic activities of the traveller. The author derive from the model the indifference curve defined on the space of modal attributes, time and cost and investigate under what conditions the random utility of the traveller becomes linear. It turns out that there exist the conditions under which the random utility is really linear in modal attributes, but the property does not hold when the traveller has a corner solution on the space of modal attributes, or when the primary utility function of the traveller is directly affected by labour provided and/or the travel time itself. As a corollary of the analysis, a random utility is suggested, approximated up to the second order of the variables involved for empirical studies of the field.

A Literature Review on the Commuting Behaviors and Urban Spatial Characteristics (통행행태와 도시공간특성에 관한 이론적 고찰)

  • Seo, Jong Gook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2015.11a
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 TOD는 대중교통수단의 분담율 제고가 목적인데 이를 위한 정책대안의 모색에 필요한 새로운 분석기법을 제시하였다. 교통수단의 결정요인은 개인 특성과 라이프스타일 그리고 도시공간특성인데 이 요인들은 상호의존적으로 복합적 결합작용은 한다. 또한 개인과 그룹 및 지역 특성은 서로 다른 차원에서 상호의존성을 갖는다. 전통적 회귀분석과는 달리 위계적 분석모형은 요인들 간의 상호의존성과 복합결합적 영향관계를 규명하는 장점이 있다. 이러한 분석 기법에 의한 결과는 보다 효율적인 TOD정책 대한의 모색에 많은 기여를 할 것으로 기대된다.

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Supply Chain-based Freight Distribution Channel Choice Model using Distribution Channel Analysis (유통경로분석을 통한 공급사슬기반의 화물유통경로선택모형 개발)

  • Go, Yeong-Seung;Park, Dong-Ju;Kim, Chan-Seong;Kim, Hyeon-Su;Park, Min-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.133-146
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study is to develop a supply chain-based freight distribution channel choice model considering shippers' logistics behaviors which will be used for freight demand estimation. For this purpose, this study utilized the distribution channel data of the petrochemical and automobile industries collected by KTDB center. The distribution channel choice models for these industries were developed by including transport mode, time, cost, and shipment size. It was found that the multinomial logit model with transport cost, time and shipment size is the best, and as shipment increases, bigger transport mode is preferred. Generally direct distribution channel with small truck was preferred over the one using distribution center and/or big truck.

An Analysis of the Causes of the Welfare Gain Achieved by Congestion Pricing and Transit Subsidies (혼잡통행료와 대중교통 보조금의 효용개선 원인 분석)

  • Rhee, Hyok-Joo;Yu, Sang-Gyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 2013
  • We analyze the efficiency of congestion pricings and transit subsidies in the spatial micro-economic model based on a general equilibrium environment. In this setting, we decompose the total welfare change into component factors and identify the reason of the change in the efficiency caused by policy instruments; these component factors are divided into indirect factors and direct factors including of origin-destination and mode choices. We set up the model as adding mode choice to the standard format in the fashion of Anas and Kim (1996) and extend the methodology proposed by Yu and Rhee (2011) and Rhee (2012) for deriving theoretical and analytical solution. Most of welfare gain comes from the modal shift from car to bus. The relative efficiency of subsidies in relation to the first-best pricing is lower than it of congestion pricings although the change in bus share by subsidies is similar to it by congestion pricing. Subsidies give rise to more modal shift from a car to a bus for long-distance commuting than it caused by congestion pricings. As the increase of bus share for long-distance commuting leads to the increase of cross-commuters passing through CBD, the welfare gain by subsidies is lower than it by congestion pricings.

Analyzing the Relationship Between Precipitation and Transit Ridership Through a Seemingly Unrelated Regression Model (SUR 모형을 이용한 강수량과 대중교통 승객 수간 관계 분석)

  • Shin, Kangwon;Choi, Keechoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2014
  • Weather condition is one of the crucial factors affecting travelers' mode choice. Nevertheless, there are numerous indefinite traffic phenomena under various weather conditions. This study was conducted to verify the hypothesis that transit riderships decrease as precipitation increases. To clarify the relationship between precipitation and transit ridership, a seemingly unrelated regression model was employed with data such as daily precipitation and daily transit riderships of 3 transit modes (bus, metro, and shuttle bus) collected in Busan for recent 24 months. The estimation results show that transit riderships decreased as the daily precipitation increased when the daily precipitation is greater or equal to 10mm/day (0.169%, 0.101%, and 0.172% reduction in bus, metro, and shuttle bus riderships, respectively, when the daily precipitation increased by 1mm). When comparing the impact of precipitation on transit riderships by modes using a cross-equation parameter restriction test, the decrease in metro ridership is relatively insensitive to the change in precipitation. However, the negative coefficient of precipitation in the metro ridership estimation model indicates that the transit users in Busan may alter their mode to taxi or automobile and/or may give up the trip itself in bad weather condition.

A Technique of Forecasting Market Share of Transportation Modes after Introducing New Lines of Urban Rail Transit with Observed Mode Share Data (관측 교통수단 분담률 자료를 활용한 도시철도 신설 후 수단분담률 예측분석 기법)

  • Seo, Dong-Jeong;Kim, Ik-Ki;Lee, Tae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.7-18
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    • 2012
  • This study suggested a method of forecasting market-share of each mode after introducing new urban rail transit lines. The study reflected the observed market share of presently operating urban rail transit into forecasting process in order to improve accuracy in predicting market share of each modes. For more realistic representation of the forecasting model, we categorized O/D pairs according to attributes of trip distance, access time and number of transfers. The analysis results of traveler's mode choice behavior with observed data showed that the trip distances are longer, the share of urban rail tends to be higher, and that the number of transfers is fewer and the access times are lesser, the share of urban rail also tends to be higher. Then, incremental logit model was used in estimating mode choice probabilities for O/D pairs along with rail transit lines while utilizing observed market shares of each modes and differences in transit service level. As the next step, the market share of rail transit after introducing new rail transit lines was forecasted by using incremental logit model with the intial share values calculated the previous analysis step. It also reflected changes in level of service for automobile in highway due to changes in highway systems and changes in mode shares after introducing new lines of rail transit. It can be expected that the proposed method would more realistically duplicates phenomena of mode choice behavior for rail transit and that it would be more theoretically logical than the typical existing methods using SP data and incremental logit model or using addictive logit model in this country.

Development of AHP-MAUT Hybrid Model to Enhance Effectiveness of Decision Support System (의사결정지원시스템 AHP의 편의성 개선을 위한 하이브리드 모형의 개발)

  • Bae Deuk Jong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.421-426
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    • 2024
  • The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) converts people's judgment criteria into objective numerical values using pairwise comparisons. However, the need for an excessive number of pairwise comparisons poses a problem. To mitigate this issue, most existing studies have utilized the process separation approach. The method of process separation devised in this study is a "separation and integration approach," where 1) the standard AHP process is used for evaluating judgment criteria, and 2) the Multi-Attributive Utility Technique (MAUT) is applied for comparing alternatives. This AHP-MAUT Hybrid model was applied to a real analysis case, specifically analyzing the transportation choices of commuters between Bundang and Gangnam Station in Gyeonggi Province. The results showed that the computational process was reduced by 42.03% when applying the Hybrid model compared to using the AHP model alone. Furthermore, the choice results of residents using the Hybrid model were compared with those using the standard AHP. The consistency between the two models' choices was 82.1%, indicating a significant level of consistency. In conclusion, this study contributes by presenting a simpler, more convenient, yet equally effective Hybrid model as a new decision-support system alternative to AHP.

A Hierarchical Analysis on the Commuting Behaviors and Urban Spatial Characteristics II (통행행태와 도시공간특성에 관한 위계적 분석 II)

  • Seo, Jong Gook
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.182-193
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of the study is to analyze the relationship between travel behavior and urban spatial characteristics in a hierarchical manner. Method: This study analyzed the relationship between traffic patterns and urban spatial characteristics for 83 cities in Korea by using a hierarchical linear model. Results: It was found that the urban spatial characteristics influenced the choice of transportation mode and travel time with personal attributes. However, the degree of influence on the choice of the means and the time required is relatively low through the policy of changing the city attribute, so the policy effect of mobilizing the land use policy for the traffic is theoretically, but the scale is not bigger than expected. Conclusion: In high density or the bigger scale of the city, the mass transportation system is widely supplied and used, but it does not overcome the drawback that it takes more time than the autos.

Developing a Transit Assignment Model Considering Waiting Time Variation and Line Capacity (대기시간변동 및 용량을 고려한 대중교통 통행배정모형)

  • Kim, Jin Howan;Kim, Dong Sun;Kim, Ji Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1525-1534
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    • 2014
  • In recent years, the passengers are likely to decide their route on impulse due to the development of the integrated public transport system, and real-time information system. Especially, public transport fare integration in Seoul Metropolitan area, 2004 makes them not to have resistance about changing the modes or routes and their route choice is most effected by the degree of congestion. Assignment model have limitations to describe route changes by congestion. In this study, the concept of a link cost function used in road assignment and Effective frequency is introduced to describe the passengers' behavior when the capacity of public transport is over and the waiting time variation. Two situations, new transit line operation and accident, are set up to validate the model, as a result of the transit assignment by this model, the traffic on networks is not over the capacity. It is expected that this study will be of help to reflect the various behaviors in transit assignments.

A Study on Activity Type Based on Multi-dimensional Characteristics (개인의 복합적인 특성에 따른 활동유형 분석)

  • Na, Sung Yong;Lee, Seungjae;Kim, Joo Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.544-553
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    • 2014
  • Activity-based models analyze individuals' various daily activities that are identified as a decision-making unit for transportation planning. In other words, it is the model that determines the types of activities according to the social, economic and situational characteristics of the groups with the same activity patterns and predicts individuals' activity time, distance, spatial movement and transportation mode. The activity-based model is a method of estimating more efficient and realistic demand in transportation forecasting because traffic is regarded as a complex decision-making process that an individual and other people participate in. In this paper, we grasp the factors affecting choice behavior of activity pattern and analyze choice behavior of activity pattern based on multi-dimensional characteristic of each person. First, we classify activity types of reviewing the trip chain and activity purpose. Next, we identified preferable activity types using complicated characteristics of main agent of activity. We concluded that choice behavior of activity pattern is dependent on complex characteristics of each agent, and further multi-dimensional characteristics of each person are affected over the whole decision process of activity schedule.