• Title/Summary/Keyword: 소지역 추정법

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소지역 추정법을 이용한 시군구의 실업자 추정

  • 이계오;정연수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.229-250
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    • 2000
  • 신뢰할 만한 소지역 통계 작성을 위한 다양한 소지역 추정 기법들이 최근 많은 관심속에 개발되고 있다. 이 논문은 다양한 소지역 추정 기법들 중 일부 기법들에 대한 간략한 소개 및 실례를 제시한다. 먼저 대표적인 소지역에 대한 간접추정법인 인구통계학적 방법, 합성추정법과 복합추정법에 관한 이론 및 추정절차를 살펴보았고, 모형 기반 추정법으로써 경험적 베이즈(EB) 추정법과 계층적 베이즈(HB) 추정법을 소개하였다. 마지막으로 합성추정법과 복합추정법을 이용하여 충북의 시군구 실업자 추정에 적용해 보았고, 시군구 실업자 추정결과를 직접 추정법의 결과와 비교하였다.

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Evaluations of Small Area Estimations with/without Spatial Terms (공간 통계 활용에 따른 소지역 추정법의 평가)

  • Shin, Key-Il;Choi, Bong-Ho;Lee, Sang-Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.229-244
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    • 2007
  • Among the small area estimation methods, it has been known that hierarchical Bayesian(HB) approach is the most reasonable and effective method. However any model based approaches need good explanatory variables and finding them is the key role in the model based approach. As the lacking of explanatory variables, adopting the spatial terms in the model was introduced. Here in this paper, we evaluate the model based methods with/without spatial terms using the diagnostic methods which were introduced by Brown et al. (2001). And Economic Active Population Survey(2005) is used for data analysis.

Semiparametric and Nonparametric Mixed Effects Models for Small Area Estimation (비모수와 준모수 혼합모형을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • Jeong, Seok-Oh;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2013
  • Semiparametric and nonparametric small area estimations have been studied to overcome a large variance due to a small sample size allocated in a small area. In this study, we investigate semiparametric and nonparametric mixed effect small area estimators using penalized spline and kernel smoothing methods respectively and compare their performances using labor statistics.

A Comparative Study of Small Area Estimation Methods (소지역 추정법에 관한 비교연구)

  • Park, Jong-Tae;Lee, Sang-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2001
  • Usually estimating the means is used for statistical inference. However depending the purpose of survey, sometimes totals will give the better and more meaningful in statistical inference than the means. Here in this study, we dealt with the unemployment population of small areas with using 4 different small area estimation methods: Direct, Synthetic, Composite, Bayes estimation. For all the estimates considered in this study, the average of absolute bias and men square error were obtained in the Monte Carlo Study which was simulated using data from 1998 Economic Active Population Survey in Korea.

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On Application of Small Area Estimation to the Unemployment Statistics of Si-Gun-Gu (시군구 실업자 추정을 위한 소지역 추정법)

  • 이계오
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2000
  • After commencing the local self~governing system. it has been requested to make statistics about Si-Gun-Gu level. and the necessity of unemployment statistics in Si-GunGu area has also been proposed as the unemployment became a political issue and social problem due to an I:YIF situation Throughout this paper, therefore, we suggest two small area estimations that can produce the unemployment statistics of Si-Gun-Gu based on the Current Population Survey In addition, we estimate the unemployment number of Si-Gun-Gu in ChungBuk area from the real data of the Current Population Survey. Finally, It was also proved that the applicability of small area estimation was valid in comparison with efficiency of small area estimations.

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Estimation of the Number of the Unemployed Using Small Area Estimation Methods (소지역 추정방법을 이용한 실업자 수 추정 사례연구)

  • Kwon, Se-Hyug
    • Survey Research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2009
  • With the current sampling scheme, the sampling variance is getting larger in producing smaller regional statistics than the designed area, The larger sample size can make the variance reduced but the efficiency of sample survey lower. The desired confidence level of sampling survey can be obtained using the current sample scheme with the same sample size and administrative data. In this paper, the number of the unemployed of 5 regions in Daejon are estimated using small area estimation methods and the CV values in each estimation method is calculated and compared for their estimation efficiency as empirical study. Jackknife method is proposed to estimate the MSE of synthetic estimator and composite estimator more accurately.

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A Small Area Estimation for Monthly Wage Using Mean Squared Percentage Error (MSPE를 이용한 임금총액 소지역 추정)

  • Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.403-414
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    • 2009
  • Many researches have been devoted to the small area estimation related with the area level statistics. Almost all of the small area estimation methods are derived based on minimization of mean squared error(MSE). Recently Hwang and Shin (2008) suggested an alternative small area estimation method by minimizing mean squared percentage error. In this paper we apply this small area estimation method to the labor statistics, especially monthly wages by a branch area of labor department. The Monthly Labor Survey data (2007) is used for analysis and comparison of these methods.

Shrinkage Small Area Estimation Using a Semiparametric Mixed Model (준모수혼합모형을 이용한 축소소지역추정)

  • Jeong, Seok-Oh;Choo, Manho;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.605-617
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    • 2014
  • Small area estimation is a statistical inference method to overcome large variance due to a small sample size allocated in a small area. A shrinkage estimator obtained by minimizing relative error(RE) instead of MSE has been suggested. The estimator takes advantage of good interpretation when the data range is large. A semiparametric estimator is also studied for small area estimation. In this study, we suggest a semiparametric shrinkage small area estimator and compare small area estimators using labor statistics.

A case study of small area estimation about charter and monthly rent price index (소지역모형 추정기법을 활용한 전·월세 추정)

  • Lee, Seung Soo;Park, Won Ran;Chung, Sung Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.327-337
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    • 2017
  • In this study we compared three models for small area estimation, Fay-Herriot, Hierarchical Bayses model and spatio-temporal model about charter, monthly rent price index. Charter, monthly rent price of Korea are important issue in these days. Because housing type rapidly changes from self to charter and monthly rent. The accuracy of the estimation was checked on four scales, that is ARB, ASRB, AAB, ASD. In this result, the spatio-temporal model among applied models has most optimal scales about small area estimation of charter and monthly rent index.

A Study on the Estimation of Chungbuk Quarterly GRDP by Using Small Area Estimation (충청북도 분기별 GRDP 추계방안 연구: 소지역 추정법의 적용)

  • 이계오;김윤수;유정빈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.131-152
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    • 2001
  • In this Era of Information and Localization, Gross Regional Domestic Product(GRDP) is recognized as indispensable informatin to establish regional economic policy. Especially, to raise Chungbuk provinece´s economical independence and to establish effectual regional economic development plans. Chungbuk province needs quarterly estimated GRDP for developing regional economic forecasting system. In this study, utilizing small area estimation is proposed to estimate the quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP provided by the Bureau of Statistics and nation´s GDP provid by the Bank of Korea exists. Moreover, from the nation´s quarterly GDP in each section of economical activity, this study has presumed the quarterly comovement, applied it to subdivide Chungbuk annual GRDP quarterly, and estimated quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP.