• Title/Summary/Keyword: 성장모형

Search Result 1,447, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

A Comparative Study on the Growth Performance of Korean Indigenous Chicken Pure Line by Sex and Twelve Strains (토종닭 순계 12계통과 성별에 따른 성장능력 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Kigon;Park, Byoungho;Jeon, Iksoo;Choo, Hyojun;Ham, Jinjoo;Park, Keon;Cha, Jaebeom
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
    • /
    • v.48 no.4
    • /
    • pp.193-206
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aimed to identify the growth performance of Korean indigenous chicken pure-line by sex and twelve strains conserved in Poultry Research Institute, National Institute of Animal Science, Rural Development Administration. The effect of sex and strain on body weight was significantly different in every period, with males being heavier in all periods than females. In the case of biweekly weight gain, the tendency to increase rapidly from birth to six weeks old, and to decrease in the period from twelve to fourteen weeks old was common across all sex and strains. Depending on sex and strain, there were significant differences in age and the number of peaks. Regardless of sex and strain, the determination coefficient and adjusted determination coefficient showed high goodness of fit (99.1~99.9%) to growth functions. However, for each model, the goodness-of-fit had variations by sex and strains. von Betalanffy function had the best fit to growth curves in all the female strains except strain D. On the other hand, Gompertz function had the best fit for all the male strains except strain C. Logistic function showed the lowest goodness-of-fit in all sex and strains. Mature weights were in the order of von bertalanffy, Gompertz, and Logistic models, while growth ratio and maturing rate followed the order of logistic, gompertz, and von bertalanffy functions. This information could be useful for Korean indigenous chicken management and designing crossbreeding tests and breeding programs.

A Study on Trip Distribution Estimation Model's Accuracy: Using Daegu City O-D Tables (통행분포 예측모형별 예측 정확도(精確度)에 관한 연구: 대구시 O-D표를 대상으로)

  • Ryu, Yeong-Geun;Woo, Yong Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.30 no.5
    • /
    • pp.43-59
    • /
    • 2012
  • It is generally assumed about trip distribution estimation model that growth factor model's estimation accuracy is higher than that of other models in short-term and that gravity model's estimation accuracy is higher than that of other models in long-term. For validation of such assumptions, this study compares estimation accuracies of each estimation model using 3year(1988, 1992, 2004) O-D tables from Daegu city. Each estimation model's accuracy were compared by mid-size and large-size zone as well as short-term and long-term target years. The results show that the trip distribution estimation model selection by usual assumption is not always right.

A Study on Forecasting of Overseas Tour - Gravity Model and Regression Model (해외관광 수요예측 모형에 관한 연구 제목 - 중력모형과 회귀모형)

  • Choi, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.103-111
    • /
    • 2001
  • Now a day, overseas tour which is due to economic development grows very much. In this situation, a forecast of overseas tour is required to establish tourism policy for tourism marketing. In this paper, we compare regression model and gravity model for a forecast of overseas tour. Using gravity model, this study also suggests an attraction which is suitable to our situation, and suggested attraction is compared and analyzed with another.

  • PDF

A study on prediction for attendances of Korean probaseball games using covariates (공변량을 이용한 한국프로야구 관중 수 예측에 대한 고찰)

  • Han, Ga-Hee;Chung, Jigyu;Yoo, Jae Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1481-1489
    • /
    • 2014
  • For predicting yearly total attendances in Korean probaseball games, ARIMA models have been widely adopted so far. In this paper, we discuss two other ways of ARIMAX and growth curves with an exogenous variable to predict the attendances. By using the exogenous variable, it turns out that the prediction has been improved compared to ARIMA. It is concluded that various statistical methods must be considered for better prediction, and its results can be applied to predict the attendances of other pro sports.

Understanding and Application of Hierarchical Linear Model (위계적 선형모형의 이해와 활용)

  • Yu, Jeong Jin
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.169-187
    • /
    • 2006
  • A hierarchical linear model(HLM) provides advantages over existing traditional statistical methods (e.g., ordinary least squares regression, repeated measures analysis of variance, etc.) for analyzing multilevel/longitudinal data or diary methods. HLM can gauge a more precise estimation of lower-level effects within higher-level units, as well as describe each individual's growth trajectory across time with improved estimation. This article 1) provides scholars who study children and families with an overview of HLM (i.e., statistical assumptions, advantages/disadvantages, etc.), 2) provides an empirical study to illustrate the application of HLM, and 3) discusses the application of HLM to the study of children and families. In addition, this article provided useful information on available articles and websites to enhance the reader's understanding of HLM.

  • PDF

An Empirical Estimation on Contributions of Education Level to Economic Growth by (한국의 교육이 경제성장에 미친 영향 분석;내생성장모형과 $1975{\sim}'04$년간 자료를 이용하여)

  • Jang, Chang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Population Association of Korea Conference
    • /
    • 2006.12a
    • /
    • pp.113-128
    • /
    • 2006
  • The main theme of this paper was to investigate the role of education as a source of economic growth in Korea. In this study, first, the objective mode was built by extending neoclassical Solow growth theory. Second, the capital deepening typical of an endogenous economic per-capita growth model was developed empirically for seven East-Asian economies as for the medium term, during $1975{\sim}2004$. And then we found the meaning of coefficients of growth factors, direct relative contribution of each input to per-capita growth in seven East-Asian countries, relative indirect contribution of education to per-capita growth in Korea, accounting for difference due to accumulation in Korea. The indirect relative contributions of secondary and higher education and R&D to per-capita growth change the results somewhat. Secondary education is still the largest single contributor 83.6 percent of predicted growth is due to secondary school enrollment in Korea. Primary education comes second with 37.5 percent and followed by higher education at -52.9 percent. Physical investment gives 62.3 percent and unimproved raw labor contributes only -1.4 percent.

  • PDF

예산항목별(豫算項目別) 거시경제적(巨視經濟的) 효과(效果)

  • Lee, Gye-Sik;Go, Yeong-Seon
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.3-89
    • /
    • 1995
  • 우리나라 거시계량모형(巨視計量模型)들이 지닌 취약점의 하나는 중요한 거시변수간의 일관성 있는 회계관계가 결여된 것이다. 본(本) 모형(模型)은 기존의 한국경제에 대한 거시모형(巨視模型)과 거시변수간에 일관성 있는 회계관계를 강조하는 IMF모형(模型) 등을 포괄하는 자금계획(資金計劃)(financial programming)모형(模型)을 사용하고, 특히 자금순환계정(資金循環計定)을 모형화함으로써 10개의 세입항목, 5개의 세출항목 등 15개의 예산항목이 거시경제(巨視經濟)에 미치는 효과를 분석하고 있다. 본고(本稿)에서는 중요한 현안과제인 물가안정(物價安定)에 구체적인 재정정책수단들이 어떤 영향을 미치는 것인가, 그리고 부수적인 효과로서 각 정책수단이 성장(成長), 국제수지(國際收支), 재정수지(財政收支)에도 어떤 효과를 갖는가를 정책(政策)시뮬레이션을 통하여 분석하고 물가안정(物價安定) 등 중요목표에 따른 예산항목별 우선순위를 제시하였다. 본고(本稿)에서 고려한 15개의 정책대안(政策代案) 가운데 본(本) 연구(硏究)의 주된 관심사인 물가(物價) 측면에서는 인건비(人件費) 감소(減少)가 최선의 대안, 순대출(純貸出) 감소(減少)가 최악의 대안, 부수적인 효과로서 성장(成長) 측면에서는 순대출(純貸出) 감소(減少)가 최선의 대안, 인건비(人件費) 감소(減少)가 최악의 대안, 경상수지(經常收支) 측면에서는 근로소득세(勤勞所得稅) 세율인상(稅率引上)이 최선의 대안, 순대출(純貸出) 감소(減少)가 최악의 대안, 재정수지(財政收支) 측면에서는 순대출(純貸出) 감소(減少)가 최선의 대안, 세외수입(稅外收入) 증가(增加)가 최악의 대안으로 나타난다. 이와 같이 여러가지 정책대안별로 거시경제(巨視經濟)에 미치는 효과가 차이나는 것은 본(本) 모형(模型)이 재정(財政)과 금융(金融)을 종합해서 분석하는 모형(模型)으로서 재정정책변수의 변화가 궁극적으로 통화량(通貨量)에 어떤 영향을 미치는가에 따라 크게 좌우되기 때문이다.

  • PDF

Economic Impacts of Renewable Portfolio Standard on Domestic Industry (신재생에너지 의무할당제의 국내산업에 대한 파급효과)

  • Kim, Hyun Jae;Cho, Gyeong Lyeob
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.805-828
    • /
    • 2010
  • Korea also plans to introduce Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) for strengthening market functions after 2012 as United States and several members of EU countries did. Through the introduction of RPS, it requires energy industry to supply new and renewable energy at fixed rate. Therefore, it will contribute to the distribution of new and renewable energy. This paper analyzed the economic effect of the introduction of RPS using CGE. The summary of the paper on the analysis of the economic effect based on endogenous growth theory under imperfect market competition by using CGE is as follows; Since RPS possibly regulates the amount of new and renewable energy, it can achieve the target amount of new and renewable energy without fail. As achieving the target amount accurately, the distribution of more advanced skills can be expected. However, GDP reduction can occur because investment cost increases due to the requirement of new and renewable energy supply. Therefore, in the long run, it is appropriate to introduce RPS because it contributes to the distribution of new and renewable energy and can be utilized as a new growth engine to encourage economic growth.

  • PDF

The Impact of Reading on Self-Efficacy and Multicultural Acceptance: Using Multi-variate Latent Growth Model (독서가 자기효능감과 다문화수용성에 미치는 영향 분석 - 다변량 잠재성장모형을 적용하여 -)

  • Sungjae Park
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.53 no.4
    • /
    • pp.293-318
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of reading on self-efficacy and multicultural acceptance. The Korean Education and Employment Pannel II data were used for the analysis. Through analyzing the data with latent growth model, the growth trajectories for reading, self-efficacy, and multicultural acceptance were identified, and the relationship between three variances were analyzed using multi-variate latent growth model. As results, reading books, self-efficacy, and multicultural acceptance were decreased, as times go by. Next, the intercept of reading was postively related with self-efficacy and multicultural acceptance. Finally, self-efficacy mediated between the intercept of reading and the multicultural acceptance, and it's statistically significant.

An Analysis of the Effect of Insider Ownership on Firm's Financial Structure and Growth Policy (경영자의 내부지분율과 기업의 재무구조 및 성장정책)

  • Jang, Hwee-Yong;Park, Jong-Kap
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.61-82
    • /
    • 1999
  • 대주주들이 경영권을 직접 행사하고 있는 우리나라의 경영환경에서 기업의 의사결정은 대주주의 보유지분 정도에 따라 상당히 달라 질 수 있다. 즉, 소유경영자의 지분이 적으면 적을수록 경영자 자신의 이익과 전체 주주의 이익은 괴리되고 경영자의 경영상의 위험수용성(危險受容性)은 높아지게 된다. 이에 따라 내부지분율이 낮은 기업일수록 보다 높은 성장을 선호하고 위험성이 높은 투자대안을 선택할 가능성이 증대된다. 상기한 연구가설을 검정하기 위하여 94년부터 97년까지 4년간의 상장기업 자료를 이용하여 내부지분율과 부채비율, 그리고 성장률과의 관계를 분석하였다. 특히, 내부지분율을 포함하는 기업의 재무구조 다중회귀모형과 성장률의 다중회귀모형을 구축하여 내부지분율이 기업의 재무구조와 성장률에 대한 유의적인 설명력을 보유하고 없는지 여부를 검정하였다. 실증분석 결과는 내부지분율이 낮은 기업일수록 부채비율과 성장률이 상대적으로 높다는 연구가설을 일관성 있게 지지하고 있다. 이러한 연구결과는 정부의 기업정책에 대한 중요한 시사점을 던져주고 있다. 즉, 이제까지 기업들은 경영권에 대한 위협없이 내부지분율을 저하시킬 수 있었고, 이러한 상황에서 기업의 고부채, 고성장 전략은 소유경영자의 시각에서 볼 때는 극히 합리적인 것이었다. 하지만, 정부가 기업의 매수합병시장을 활성화시키면 많은 기업들은 경영권의 보호를 위해 내부지분율을 높이게 될 것이다. 이 경우 기업들은 보다 보수적인 경영을 하게 되어 부채비율은 낮아지고 과도한 성장정책은 지양될 것으로 예상된다. 따라서, 보다 건전한 기업경영을 유도하기 위해서는 내부지분율이 제고되어야 하고, 이를 위해서는 아직도 남아있는 매수합병의 장애요인들을 조속히 제거하는 것이 필요할 것이다.

  • PDF