• Title/Summary/Keyword: 성능변수

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Financial Market Prediction and Improving the Performance Based on Large-scale Exogenous Variables and Deep Neural Networks (대규모 외생 변수 및 Deep Neural Network 기반 금융 시장 예측 및 성능 향상)

  • Cheon, Sung Gil;Lee, Ju Hong;Choi, Bum Ghi;Song, Jae Won
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.26-35
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    • 2020
  • Attempts to predict future stock prices have been studied steadily since the past. However, unlike general time-series data, financial time-series data has various obstacles to making predictions such as non-stationarity, long-term dependence, and non-linearity. In addition, variables of a wide range of data have limitations in the selection by humans, and the model should be able to automatically extract variables well. In this paper, we propose a 'sliding time step normalization' method that can normalize non-stationary data and LSTM autoencoder to compress variables from all variables. and 'moving transfer learning', which divides periods and performs transfer learning. In addition, the experiment shows that the performance is superior when using as many variables as possible through the neural network rather than using only 100 major financial variables and by using 'sliding time step normalization' to normalize the non-stationarity of data in all sections, it is shown to be effective in improving performance. 'moving transfer learning' shows that it is effective in improving the performance in long test intervals by evaluating the performance of the model and performing transfer learning in the test interval for each step.

Numerical Simulation of Standing Column Well Ground Heat Pump System Part II: Parametric Study for Evaluation of the Performance of Standing Column Well (단일심정 지열히트펌프의 수치적 모델링 Part II: 단일심정 지열히트펌프의 성능평가를 위한 매개변수 연구)

  • Park, Du-Hee;Kim, Kwang-Kyun;Kwak, Dong-Yeop;Chang, Jae-Hoon;Na, Sang-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2010
  • The SCW numerical model described in the companion paper was used to carry out a comprehensive parametric study to evaluate the performance of the SCW. The five ground related parameters, which are porosity, hydraulic conductivity, thermal conductivity, specific heat, geothermal gradient, and five SCW design parameters, which are pumping rate, well depth, well diameter, dip tube diameter, bleeding rate, were used in the study. Two types of numerical simulations were performed. The first type was used to perform short-term (24-hour) simulation, while the second type 14 day simulation. The study results indicate that the parameters that have important influence on the performance of SCW were hydraulic conductivity, thermal conductivity, geothermal gradient, pumping rate, and bleeding rate. The thermal conductivity had the most important influence on the performance of the SCW. With the increase in the geothermal gradient, the performance increased in the heat mode, but decreased in the cooling mode. The hydraulic conductivity influenced the performance when the value was larger than $10^{-4}m/s$. The depth of the well increased the performance, but at the cost of increased cost of boring. The bleeding had an important influence on SCW, greatly enhancing the performance at a limited increased cost of operation. Overall, this study showed that various factors had a cumulative influence on the performance of the SCW, and a numerical simulation can be used to accurately predict the performance of the SCW.

A Study on Ejector Performance Characteristics by Ejector Geometry/Performance Variables (이젝터 형상/성능 변수에 따른 이젝터 성능 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Ji-Seon;Yu, I-Sang;Shin, Dong-Hae;Lee, Hee-Jun;Ko, Young-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.496-502
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    • 2018
  • In this study, experimental and analytical studies were carried out to observe the phenomenon of aerodynamic throat formed according to the primary flow and secondary flow momentum of the ejector. The equilibrium interval of the aerodynamic throat, which is the main variable of the ejector performance, was observed through the experiment using the cold flow experiment and the analysis using FLUENT. Performance characteristics were investigated by the change of the primary flow rate and the throat diameter of the ejector cylinder. As a result, the performance of the standard ejector was confirmed to be within the range of 0.33~1.167(off-design/design) and cylinder throat diameter range of 1~1.17(off-design/design area ratio).

Evaluation of Face Recognition System based on Scenarios (얼굴인식 시스템의 시나리오 기반 평가 방법론)

  • Maeng, Doo-Lyel;Hong, Byung-Woo;Kim, Sung-Jo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.487-495
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    • 2010
  • It has been required to develop an accurate and reliable evaluation method for the performance of biometric systems as their use is getting popular. Among a number of biometric systems, face recognition is one of the most widely used techniques and this leads to develop a stable evaluation method for face recognition systems in order to standardize the performance of face recognition systems. However, it is considered as a difficult task to evaluation such systems due to a large number of factors that affect their performance. Thus, it may be infeasible to take into account all the environmental factors that are related to the performance of face recognition systems and this naturally suggests an evaluation method for the overall performance based on scenarios. In this paper, we have analyzed environmental factors that are related to the performance of general face recognition systems and proposed their evaluation method taking into account those factors. We have proposed an evaluation method based on scenario that considers the combination of individual environment factors instead of evaluating the performance of face recognition systems regarding each factor. Indeed, we have presented examples on the evaluation of face recognition systems based on scenario that takes into account overall environmental factors.

Effects of Stator Shroud Injection on the Aerodynamic Performance of a Single-Stage Transonic Axial Compressor (정익 슈라우드 공기분사가 단단 천음속 축류압축기의 공력성능에 미치는 영향)

  • Dinh, Cong-Truong;Ma, Sang-Bum;Kim, Kwang Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2017
  • In this study, stator shroud injection in a single-stage transonic axial compressor is proposed. A parametric study of the effect of stator shroud injection on aerodynamic performances was conducted using the three-dimensional Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations. The curvature, length, width, and circumferential angle of the stator shroud injector and the air injection mass flow rate were selected as the test parameters. The results of the parametric study show that the aerodynamic performances of the single-stage transonic axial compressor were improved by stator shroud injection. The aerodynamic performances were the most sensitive to the injection mass flow rate. Further, the total pressure ratio and adiabatic efficiency were the maximum when the ratio of circumferential angle was 10%.

Comparision of metaheuristic methods for generating long-term reservoir operation rule (장기 저수지운영률 도출을 위한 메타휴리스틱 기법의 비교)

  • Kang, Shin-Uk;Lee, Sang-Ho;Kim, Hyeon-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.226-226
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    • 2011
  • 최적 저수지운영을 위한 운영률 도출이나 강우-유출 및 수질 모형의 매개변수 추정 문제처럼 비선형적이고 추정해야할 변수의 수가 많은 경우, 수학적으로 모형화하기에 너무 복잡해서 선형계획법, 비선형계획법, 동적계획법 등을 사용하여 최적해를 구할 수 없는 경우도 있다. 이러한 문제에 대해서는 구조적 진화를 통해 최적해를 구하는 방법들이 사용된다. 일반적으로 미지수의 개수가 많아지면 전역최적해를 찾기가 어려워진다. 전역최적해를 찾는 여러 가지 방법들이 수자원 분야에서는 강우-유출모형의 매개변수를 추정하는데 많이 사용되고 있으며, 특히 유전자 알고리즘, SCE-UA 알고리즘 등 전역최적해를 찾는 메타휴리스틱 방법이 많이 사용되고 있다. 전역최적화 방법을 개발하는 연구자들은 최적화방법의 성능을 평가하기 위해 다양한 검사함수(test function)를 만들어 성능을 평가하고 있다. 본 연구에 사용한 검사함수는 Mishra의 연구(2006a, 2006b)에서 사용한 중요하고 복잡한 검사함수이다. 유전자 알고리즘, SCE-UA 알고리즘, DDS 알고리즘을 검사함수 중 전역해를 찾기 어려운 2 차원 함수 2 가지, 다차원 함수 4 가지 함수에 적용하여 각각의 탐색 성능을 평가하였다. 2차원 함수인 Bukin 함수에 대해서는 모든 최적화 방법이 전역최적해를 찾을 수 없었지만, 유전자 알고리즘이 가장 전역최적해에 가까웠고 다음으로 DDS 알고리즘 순서였다. 지역수렴 영역이 많을 것으로 판단되는 10, 30, 50 차원 Michalewicz 함수에 대해서는 DDS 알고리즘으로 구한 최적해가 전역최적해와 매우 근접하였고 다음으로 SCE-UA 알고리즘, 유전자 알고리즘 순이었다. 지역수렴 영역이 상대적으로 다른 함수보다 넓은 10 차원 Schwefel 함수에 대해서는 DDS 알고리즘으로 구한 최적해가 전역최적해와 거의 근접하였고 유전자 알고리즘과 SCE-UA 알고리즘은 매우 큰 편차를 보였다. 40, 80 차원 Schwefel 함수에 대해서는 3 가지 알고리즘 모두 전역최적해와 편차를 보였지만 DDS 알고리즘에 의한 최적해와 다른 두 알고리즘에 의한 최적해는 1 오더(order) 정도의 차이가 났다. 지역수렴 영역이 큰 Michalewicz 함수와 Schwefel 함수에 대한 결과는 매우 흡사한 결과이다. 이상과 같은 결과로, 유전자 알고리즘은 매개변수의 수가 적을 경우 우수한 탐색성능을 가졌으며, SCE-UA 알고리즘은 Griewank, Rastrigin 함수와 같은 형태인 경우 우수한 성능을 보였다. DDS 알고리즘은 전체적으로 우수한 탐색 능력을 가진 것으로 판단된다. 그러므로 수위구간 영역별 저수지운영률 도출을 위한 적절한 최적화방법으로 DDS 알고리즘을 선정하였다.

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The Credit Information Feature Selection Method in Default Rate Prediction Model for Individual Businesses (개인사업자 부도율 예측 모델에서 신용정보 특성 선택 방법)

  • Hong, Dongsuk;Baek, Hanjong;Shin, Hyunjoon
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we present a deep neural network-based prediction model that processes and analyzes the corporate credit and personal credit information of individual business owners as a new method to predict the default rate of individual business more accurately. In modeling research in various fields, feature selection techniques have been actively studied as a method for improving performance, especially in predictive models including many features. In this paper, after statistical verification of macroeconomic indicators (macro variables) and credit information (micro variables), which are input variables used in the default rate prediction model, additionally, through the credit information feature selection method, the final feature set that improves prediction performance was identified. The proposed credit information feature selection method as an iterative & hybrid method that combines the filter-based and wrapper-based method builds submodels, constructs subsets by extracting important variables of the maximum performance submodels, and determines the final feature set through prediction performance analysis of the subset and the subset combined set.

Feature selection and prediction modeling of drug responsiveness in Pharmacogenomics (약물유전체학에서 약물반응 예측모형과 변수선택 방법)

  • Kim, Kyuhwan;Kim, Wonkuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.153-166
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    • 2021
  • A main goal of pharmacogenomics studies is to predict individual's drug responsiveness based on high dimensional genetic variables. Due to a large number of variables, feature selection is required in order to reduce the number of variables. The selected features are used to construct a predictive model using machine learning algorithms. In the present study, we applied several hybrid feature selection methods such as combinations of logistic regression, ReliefF, TurF, random forest, and LASSO to a next generation sequencing data set of 400 epilepsy patients. We then applied the selected features to machine learning methods including random forest, gradient boosting, and support vector machine as well as a stacking ensemble method. Our results showed that the stacking model with a hybrid feature selection of random forest and ReliefF performs better than with other combinations of approaches. Based on a 5-fold cross validation partition, the mean test accuracy value of the best model was 0.727 and the mean test AUC value of the best model was 0.761. It also appeared that the stacking models outperform than single machine learning predictive models when using the same selected features.

Study on the Prediction of Absorption Performance by the Optimization of a Vertical Absorber (수직형 흡수기 최적화에 따른 흡수 성능 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jung-Kuk;Cho, Keum-Nam
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.14 no.3 s.43
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    • pp.194-202
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    • 2005
  • The present study was analytically and experimentally carried out to predict the absorption characteristics on combined heat and mass transfer process in a vertical falling film of variable absorbers. Heat and mass transfer enhancements were analytically investigated. Effects of geometric parameters by insert device (spring) and corrugate, flow pattern on absorption performances has been also investigated. Especially, the optimal values of absorber geometry (ID=22.8mm, L=1150m) and kinetic variables (solution flow rate, flow pattern) for maximum absorption performance has been predicted by the numerical analysis. The maximum absorption performance in a numerical analysis and experiment was shown at the wavy-flow by insert device (spring).

A study for improving data mining methods for continuous response variables (연속형 반응변수를 위한 데이터마이닝 방법 성능 향상 연구)

  • Choi, Jin-Soo;Lee, Seok-Hyung;Cho, Hyung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.917-926
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    • 2010
  • It is known that bagging and boosting techniques improve the performance in classification problem. A number of researchers have proved the high performance of bagging and boosting through experiments for categorical response but not for continuous response. We study whether bagging and boosting improve data mining methods for continuous responses such as linear regression, decision tree, neural network through bagging and boosting. The analysis of eight real data sets prove the high performance of bagging and boosting empirically.