• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.129-148
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• 2023

Bitcoin is a blockchain technology-based digital currency that has been recognized as a representative cryptocurrency and a financial investment asset. Due to its highly volatile nature, Bitcoin has gained a lot of attention from investors and the public. Based on this popularity, numerous studies have been conducted on price and trend prediction using machine learning and deep learning. This study employed LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) and CNN (Convolutional Neural Networks), which have shown potential for predictive performance in the finance domain, to enhance the classification accuracy in Bitcoin price trend prediction. XAI(eXplainable Artificial Intelligence) techniques were applied to the predictive model to enhance its explainability and interpretability by providing a comprehensive explanation of the model. In the empirical experiment, CNN was applied to technical indicators and Google trend data to build a Bitcoin price trend prediction model, and the CNN model using both technical indicators and Google trend data clearly outperformed the other models using neural networks, SVM, and LSTM. Then SHAP(Shapley Additive exPlanations) was applied to the predictive model to obtain explanations about the output values. Important prediction drivers in input variables were extracted through global interpretation, and the interpretation of the predictive model's decision process for each instance was suggested through local interpretation. The results show that our proposed research framework demonstrates both improved classification accuracy and explainability by using CNN, Google trend data, and SHAP.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.105-123
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• 2022

Thanks to the remarkable success of Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) techniques, a new possibility for its application on the real-world problem has begun. One of the prominent applications is the bankruptcy prediction model as it is often used as a basic knowledge base for credit scoring models in the financial industry. As a result, there has been extensive research on how to improve the prediction accuracy of the model. However, despite its impressive performance, it is difficult to implement machine learning (ML)-based models due to its intrinsic trait of obscurity, especially when the field requires or values an explanation about the result obtained by the model. The financial domain is one of the areas where explanation matters to stakeholders such as domain experts and customers. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to incorporate financial domain knowledge into local rule generation to provide explanations for the bankruptcy prediction model at instance level. The result shows the proposed method successfully selects and classifies the extracted rules based on the feasibility and information they convey to the users.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.11 no.8
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• pp.339-346
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• 2022

Recently, the resource depletion and climate change problem caused by the massive usage of fossil fuels for electric power generation has become a critical issue worldwide. According to this issue, interest in renewable energy resources that can replace fossil fuels is increasing. Especially, photovoltaic power has gaining much attention because there is no risk of resource exhaustion compared to other energy resources and there are low restrictions on installation of photovoltaic system. In order to use the power generated by the photovoltaic system efficiently, a more accurate photovoltaic power forecasting model is required. So far, even though many machine learning and deep learning-based photovoltaic power forecasting models have been proposed, they showed limited success in terms of interpretability. Deep learning-based forecasting models have the disadvantage of being difficult to explain how the forecasting results are derived. To solve this problem, many studies are being conducted on explainable artificial intelligence technique. The reliability of the model can be secured if it is possible to interpret how the model derives the results. Also, the model can be improved to increase the forecasting accuracy based on the analysis results. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an explainable photovoltaic power forecasting scheme based on BiLSTM (Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory) and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations).

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.609-611
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• 2023

4차 산업혁명의 발달로 스마트공장 기술이 발달하면서, 딥 러닝을 활용한 공정 과정에서 나타나는 이상을 탐지하는 기술이 활발히 연구되고 있다. 하지만 공정 과정에서 발생하는 휘발성유기화합물(VOCs) 저감 설비에서 발생하는 이상을 탐지하기 위한 연구는 적극적으로 진행되고 있지 않다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 딥 러닝 기술을 이용하여 VOCs 저감설비에서 발생하는 이상을 탐지하고, 설명가능 인공지능(XAI)을 활용하여 이상에 큰 영향을 미치는 주요 설비를 특정하여 이상 발생 시 관리자가 용이하게 설비들을 관리할 수 있도록 하였다.

• Journal of The Korean Association of Information Education
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.491-499
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• 2021

Major countries in the world have established strategies for educating about artificial intelligence(AI) and with large investments are actively implementing these strategies. With this trend, domestic ministries have made efforts to establish national strategies to better educate students about AI. This paper presents the syllabus of AI classrooms which has been developed and presented to pre-service and in-service elementary school teachers for their use. In addition, the AI education tools they particularly preferred and their future plans for utilizing them in the elementary school classroom were investigated. Through this study, it was found that pre-service and in-service elementary school teachers strongly prefer lectures about AI education tools that can be immediately applied in the classroom, rather than learning about the theoretical basis of AI. At issue, however, is that the ability to utilize AI is usually based on a sufficient understanding of the theory. Thus, this paper suggests further study to identify better pedagogical practices to improve students' understanding the theoretical basis of AI.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.49-57
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• 2022

Recently, various uses of artificial intelligence have been made possible through the deep artificial neural network structure of machine learning, demonstrating human-like capabilities. Unfortunately, the deep structure of the artificial neural network has not yet been accurately interpreted. This part is acting as anxiety and rejection of artificial intelligence. Among these problems, we solve the capability part of artificial neural networks. Calculate the size of the artificial neural network structure and calculate the size of data that the artificial neural network can process. The calculation method uses the group method used in mathematics to calculate the size of data and artificial neural networks using an order that can know the structure and size of the group. Through this, it is possible to know the capabilities of artificial neural networks, and to relieve anxiety about artificial intelligence. The size of the data and the deep artificial neural network are calculated and verified through numerical experiments.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.385-388
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• 1998

급격한 경영환경의 변화로 인하여 고객만족을 최우선시하게 됨에 따라, 고객의 다양한 품질 요구를 신속 정확히 만족시키는 것이 주요 경영과제가 되었다. 이러한 상황에 대처 가능한 품질관리가 이루어지기 위해서는 품질기준에 대한 객관적 검증 및 지속적인 보완이 필요하며, 품질설계에 관련된 지식들을 체계적으로 수집하여 공유할 수 있는 체제가 갖추어져야 한다. 이와 같은 목적을 달성하기 위해 인공지능 기법들을 이용한 지능형 품질시스템(Intelligent Quality System, IQS)이 많은 관심을 모으고 있다. 본 연구에서는 일관 제철소의 품질관리를 위해 개발된 IQS중 품질설계 시뮬레이션 지원시스템(Quality Design Simulation Support System, QDSim)에 대해 설명한다. QDSim은 신경망을 기반으로 설계 구현되었는데, 품질설계 시뮬레이션을 지원하기 위해 크게 두가지 기능을 수행한다. 첫째 기능은 주어진 원재료의 구성비와 조업조건에 의해 생산될 제품의 최종 품질특성을 예측하는 것이며, 두 번째는 품질예측치가 고객의 요구 품질, 즉 목표품질을 만족시키는 입력 조건을 찾아가는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 QDSim의 이론적 근거 및 구현내용을 설명한 후, IQS내의 타 시스템과의 관계를 설명한다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2021.10a
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• pp.530-532
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• 2021

This paper deals with AI education service that enables developers who have completed basic programming education to program in C/C++ language in order to learn big data and artificial intelligence. In addition, a customized development environment configuration system according to the development environment and how the user implements and tests artificial intelligence are explained. And also it has a function to check the effect on artificial intelligence through manipulation of various internal parameters. It is expected that it will be possible to develop artificial intelligence education services without language restrictions through networks in the future.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2000.04b
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• pp.172-174
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• 2000

기업과 산업등 여러분야에 적용하기 위하여 인공지능, 통계학, 데이터베이스등의 각 분야에서 활발히 연구되고 있는 데이터마이닝은 알 수 없는 미래에 대한 예측이 가능하다는 장점을 갖기 때문에 더욱 가치가 있다. 데이터셋을 설명하기 위한 설명모델링과 예측을 하기 위한 예측모델링의 두 가지 범주로 나뉘어 발전되어왔으나, 데이터셋을 설명하기 위한 분석보다는 미래를 예측하기 위한 분석의 중요성이 점점 증가되고 있다. 이 논문에서는 마코프 성분을 갖는 과거의 이력 데이터를 기반으로 일정한 시점 또는 일정 기간동안의 변화량을 예측할 수 있는 예측모델링 방법을 제시한다.

• The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.97-117
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• 2021

Predicting term deposit subscriptions is one of representative financial marketing in banks, and banks can build a prediction model using various customer information. In order to improve the classification accuracy for term deposit subscriptions, many studies have been conducted based on machine learning techniques. However, even if these models can achieve satisfactory performance, utilizing them is not an easy task in the industry when their decision-making process is not adequately explained. To address this issue, this paper proposes an explainable scheme for term deposit subscription forecasting. For this, we first construct several classification models using decision tree-based ensemble learning methods, which yield excellent performance in tabular data, such as random forest, gradient boosting machine (GBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM). We then analyze their classification performance in depth through 10-fold cross-validation. After that, we provide the rationale for interpreting the influence of customer information and the decision-making process by applying Shapley additive explanation (SHAP), an explainable artificial intelligence technique, to the best classification model. To verify the practicality and validity of our scheme, experiments were conducted with the bank marketing dataset provided by Kaggle; we applied the SHAP to the GBM and LightGBM models, respectively, according to different dataset configurations and then performed their analysis and visualization for explainable term deposit subscriptions.