This study attempted to verify the structural model of the influence of parental intimacy, parental supervision, peer pressure, and TV alcohol advertising on drinking behavior for adolescents. It was conducted through a self-written questionnaire from May 1 to 28, 2019, targeting 602 students in grades 1 to 3 of 8 middle schools in G city. Results First, The direct effect on drinking behavior was in the order of peer pressure and TV alcohol advertisement, and they explained the degree of drinking behavior by 14.4%. second, Parental intimacy has an indirect effect on peer pressure and drinking behavior through TV alcohol advertising. Parental supervision has an indirect effect on drinking alcohol through TV alcohol advertisements. In multiple groups, there is a difference between the groups in the parental supervision and peer pressure, and the parental supervision and the channel coefficient of TV alcohol advertisement. In order to reduce drinking behavior, a realistic light that can cope with peer pressure is needed.
COVID-19 has spread seriously around the world in 2020 and it is still significantly affecting our whole daily life. Currently, the whole world is still undergoing the pandemic and South Korea is no exception to it. During the pandemic, South Korea had several events that prevented or accelerated its spread. To establish the prevention policies for infectious diseases, it is very important to evaluate the intervention effect of such events. The susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model is often used to describe the dynamic behavior of the spread of infectious diseases through ordinary differential equations. However, the SIR model is a deterministic model without considering the uncertainty of observed data. To consider the uncertainty in the SIR model, the Bayesian approach can be employed, and this approach allows us to evaluate the intervention effects by time-varying functions of the infection rate in the SIR model. In this study, we describe the time trend of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and investigate the intervention effects for the events using the stochastic SIR model based on the Bayesian approach.
The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
/
v.8
no.6
/
pp.543-551
/
2022
The purpose of this study was to investigate the mediating effect of academic self-efficacy in the process that nursing students' task value affects class participation. The subjects of this study were 161 second-year students of the Department of Nursing at K University located in G city, and the data collection period was from October 5 to October 14, 2020. The mediating effect of academic self-efficacy in the relationship between task value and class participation was analyzed using Baron and Kenny's 3-step mediating effect verification procedure using simple and multiple regression analysis and the statistical significance of mediating effects was verified by the Sobel test. As a result of this study, task value and academic self-efficacy were major factors influencing class participation, and academic self-efficacy was found to be a significant partial mediating variable in the relationship between task value and class participation. These factors explained 55% of class participation. In order to increase learners' class participation, an integrated approach that can improve task value and academic self-efficacy is needed.
This research is one of a series of studies to develop a system to help agricultural producers and sellers determine when and how much to ship products to the wholesale market to maximize their profit. The purpose of this research is to incorporate the time-varying quality change effect, which was not used in the previous agricultural and marine product shipping model. The researchers developed four models to measure the quality change effect: quality declining steadily over time, quality declining rapidly at first and then slowly, quality declining first slowly and then rapidly, and quality rising over time and then decreasing again. According to the results of an empirical analysis of the effect of each model's quality change effect on shipments for apples traded in the Garak Wholesale Market from 2014 to 2021, statistical significance was found in the quality change effect of all four models. And there was no significant difference in explanatory power between the four models. Therefore, any of the four models should be introduced into the decision-making system for shipping time for apples.
Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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v.28
no.5
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pp.424-437
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2008
In this study, we collected teachers' opinions with regard to the effects of the instruction using analogy generation, the disadvantages of the instruction, the problem-solving methods of the instruction, and the teacher's role in it, and accordingly tried to investigate its effectiveness with the analysis of students' academic achievements and motivation, and through the student's interview, after applying the activities of creating generated analogies, finding the difference between the objects and comparisons, and presenting new-known genetics concepts as the students themselves generated analogies. As a result of a teachers' workshop on instruction using analogy development, it was expected to have a positive effect on students' understanding of scientific concepts in genetics, which were found to be difficult for students to understand in learning biology. Students found analogy examples for concepts in genetics in daily life, compared their analogs to those of peers, and examined inconsistencies between targets and analogs through the process of discussion, which finally led to their correct perception of scientific concepts in genetics. In addition, instruction using student-generated analogies proved to have a more positive effect on improving academic achievement and motivating learning, compared with traditional expository instruction.
In this paper, we introduce an extended GARCH model designed to address asymmetric leverage effects. The variance in the standard GARCH model is composed of past conditional variances and past squared residuals. However, it is not possible to model asymmetric leverage effects with squared residuals alone, so in this paper, we propose a new extended GARCH model to explain the leverage effects using the Yeo-Johnson transformation which adjusts transformation parameter to make asymmetric data more normal or symmetric. We utilize the reverse properties of Yeo-Johnson transformation to model asymmetric volatility. We investigate the characteristics of the proposed model and parameter estimation. We also explore how to derive forecasts and forecast intervals in the proposed model. We compare it with standard GARCH and other extended GARCH models that model asymmetric leverage effects through empirical data analysis.
Under-utilization of Korean women's education in the labor market has been observed and pointed out as a waste of valuable human resources. Although education provides women with positive returns when they work, it has been found that Korean women's education is not much related to the likelihood of women's labor force participation. This tendency cannot be explained by micro-economic theory, which says that educated women are more likely to participate in the labor force. Thus, in this analysis, a macro-level explanation is attempted to understand Korean women's economic behaviors in relation to education. Korea's rapid industrialization since 1960 has provided ample job opportunities mostly for less educated women. On the other hand, increasing demand for educated female labor has been moderate. Various restriction against women, especially married women, have prevailed in the Korean labor market. Restrictions against women and the marriage bar tend to be selectively applied to decent white-collar jobs, mostly affecting educated women. Furthermore, there has been no shortage of educated male labor due to its adequate supply. Since Korean women spend most of their adult lives in marriage, married women's low participation in the labor force is a critical factor for the low economic returns to women's education throughout their lifetime. Restriction against married women in the labor market also existed in the past of the United States and the Great Britain. However, along with the expansion of the service sector, married women in great numbers flowed into non-manual jobs. The post-1940 increase of married women in the labor force in those countries can be understood to be a result of a labor shortage for non-manual jobs. Also in Taiwan, which shares many common cultural and economic backgrounds with Korea, the marriage bar has been in decline since the late 1970s, along with an increasing demand for female labor in the service sector. In sum, the changes in the demand structure and the supply of educated male labor force will contribute to the lift of the marrige bar in Korea.
The shipping industry plummeted and was depressed due to the global economic crisis caused by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in the US in 2008. In 2020, the shipping market also suffered from a collapse in the unstable global economic situation due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but unexpectedly, it changed to an upward trend from the end of 2020, and in 2021, it exceeded the market of the boom period of 2008. According to the Clarksons report published in May 2021, the decrease in cargo volume due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has returned to the pre-corona level by the end of 2020, and the tramper bulk carrier capacity of 103~104% of the Panamax has been in the ports due to congestion. Earnings across the bulker segments have risen to ten-year highs in recent months. In this study, as factors affecting BDI, the capacity and congestion ratio of Cape and Panamax ships on the supply side, iron ore and coal seaborne tonnge on the demand side and Granger causality test, IRF(Impulse Response Function) and FEVD(Forecast Error Variance Decomposition) were performed using VAR model to analyze the impact on BDI by congestion caused by strengthen quarantine at the port due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the loading and discharging operation delay due to the infection of the stevedore, etc and to predict the shipping market after the pandemic. As a result of the Granger causality test of variables and BDI using time series data from January 2016 to July 2021, causality was found in the Fleet and Congestion variables, and as a result of the Impulse Response Function, Congestion variable was found to have significant at both upper and lower limit of the confidence interval. As a result of the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition, Congestion variable showed an explanatory power upto 25% for the change in BDI. If the congestion in ports decreases after With Corona, it is expected that there is down-risk in the shipping market. The COVID-19 pandemic occurred not from economic factors but from an ecological factor by the pandemic is different from the past economic crisis. It is necessary to analyze from a different point of view than the past economic crisis. This study has meaningful to analyze the causality and explanatory power of Congestion factor by pandemic.
KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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v.33
no.6
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pp.2473-2481
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2013
The two characteristics of two-lane-and-two-way traffic flow are platoon and overtaking triggered by low-speed vehicle. It is crucial to develop a robust model which simultaneously generates the behaviors of platoon by low-speed vehicle and overtaking using opposite lane. Hence, a microscopic two-lane and two-way vehicle model was introduced (B. Yoon, 2011), which is based on CA (Cellular Automata) which is one of discrete time-space models, in Korea. While the model very reasonably explains the behaviour of overtaking low-speed vehicle in stable traffic flow below critical density, it has shortcomings to the overtaking process in unstable traffic flow above the critical density. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develope a vehicle model to more realistically explain overtaking process in unstable traffic flow state based on the model developed in the previous study. The experimental results revealed that the car-following model robustly generates the various macroscopic relationships of traffic flow generating stop-and-go traffic flow and the overtaking model reasonably explains the behaviors of overtaking under the conditions of both opposite traffic flow and stochastic parameter to consider overtaking in unstable traffic flow state. The vehicle model presented in this study can be expected to be utilized for the analysis of two-lane-and-two-way traffic flows more realistically than before.
Kim, Gyoo-Bum;Cha, Eun-Jee;Jeong, Hae-Geun;Shin, Kyung-Hee
The Journal of Engineering Geology
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v.23
no.2
/
pp.105-115
/
2013
Increasing the river cross-section by barrage construction causes rises in the average river water levels and discharge rates in the rainy season. The time series patterns for groundwater levels measured at 23 riverside monitoring wells along the lower Nakdong River are compared for two cases: before and after water-filling at the Changnyeong-Haman Barrage. Monthly average groundwater levels indicate a distinct increase in groundwater levels in the upstream riverside close to the barrage. River-water level management by barrage gate control in August, during the rainy season, resulted in a 0.1 m decrease in groundwater levels, while water-filling at the barrage in December caused a 1.3 m increase in groundwater levels. The results of hierarchical cluster analysis indicate that seven groundwater monitoring wells and river water levels were in the same group before barrage construction, but that this number increased to 14 after barrage construction. Principal component analysis revealed that the explanation power of two principal components corresponding to river fluctuation, PC1 and PC2, was approximately 82% before barrage construction but decreased to 45% after construction. This finding indicates that the effect of the river level component that contributes to change in groundwater level, decreases after barrage construction; consequently, other factors, including groundwater pumping, become more important. Continuous surveying and monitoring is essential for understanding change in the hydrological environment. Water policy that takes groundwater-surface water interaction into consideration should be established for riverside areas.
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