• Title/Summary/Keyword: 선형 변수

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비매개변수적 Kernel 가중함수의 수문학적 응용

  • 문영일
    • Water for future
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2000
  • 전통적인 매개변수적 목적함수 추정방법은 관측자료의 모든 영역에 걸쳐 선형 또는 지수함수 형태의 가정을 기본으로 매개변수를 추정하는 반면 비매개 변수적 Kernel 가중함수를 이용한 방법은 목적함수의 형태에 대한 가정이 필요 없이 관심 있는 임의의 추정지점에서 이웃하는 자료를 이용하여 목적함수를 국지적으로 근사하는 방법이다. 추계학적 수문학의 전형적인 문제인 "목적함수의 가정"에 의해 발생되는 문제를 줄이려는 노력의 일환으로 비매개변수적 Kernel 가중함수를 이용하는 방법에 연구되었고, 본 지면에서는 Kernel 가중함수를 이용한 비매개변수적 확률밀도함수의 기본이론과 빈도해석, 회귀모형 및 비동질성 천이확률 등의 수문학적 응용에 대하여 살펴보았다.

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Subset Selection in the Poisson Models - A Normal Predictors case - (포아송 모형에서의 설명변수 선택문제 - 정규분포 설명변수하에서 -)

  • 박종선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.247-255
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, a new subset selection problem in the Poisson model is considered under the normal predictors. It turns out that the subset model has bigger valiance than that of the Poisson model with random predictors and this has been used to derive new subset selection method similar to Mallows'$C_p$.

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Studies on Probabilistic Nonlinear First Ply Failure Loads and Buckling Loads of Laminated Composite Panels (적층복합재료 패널의 확률론적 비선형 초기파단하중 및 좌굴하중에 관한 연구)

  • Bang, Je-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • Probabilistic nonlinear first ply failure loads of flat composite panels and nonlinear buckling loads of curved composite panels with cutouts are estimated to provide the more reliable main load carrying structure in the renewable energy industry and offshore structures. The response surface method approximates limit state surface to a second order polynomial form of random variables with the results of deterministic finite element analyses at given sampling design points. Furthermore, the iterative linear interpolation scheme is used to obtain a more accurate approximation of the limit state surface near the most probable failure point (MPFP). The advanced first order second moment method and the Monte Carlo method are performed on an approximated limit state surface to evaluate the probability of failure. Finally, the sensitivity of the reliability index with respect to transformed random variables is investigated to figure out the main random variables that have an effect on failures.

Development of a Nonlinear SI Scheme using Measured Acceleration Increment (측정 가속도 증분을 사용한 비선형 SI 기법의 개발)

  • Shin, Soo-Bong;Oh, Seong-Ho;Choi, Kwang-Hyu
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.8 no.6 s.40
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2004
  • A nonlinear time-domain system identification algorithm using measured acceleration data is developed for structural damage assessment. To take account of nonlinear behavior of structural systems, an output error between measured and computed acceleration increments has been defined and a constrained nonlinear optimization problem is solved for optimal structural parameters. The algorithm estimates time-varying properties of stiffness and damping parameters. Nonlinear response of restoring force of a structural system is recovered by using the estimated time-varying structural properties and computed displacement by Newmark-$\beta$ method. In the recovery, no pre-defined model for inelastic behavior has been assumed. In developing the algorithm, noise and incomplete measurement in space and state have been considered. To examine the developed algorithm, numerical simulation and laboratory experimental studies on a three-story shear building have been carried out.

Automatic Parameter Estimation of Hydrogeologic Field Test around Underground Storage Caverns by using Nonlinear Regression Model (비선형 회귀모형을 이용한 지하저장공동 주변 현장수리지질시험 매개변수의 자동 추정)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Cho, Won-Cheol;Kim, Nam-Won
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.359-369
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    • 2008
  • For the design and effective management of underground storage caverns, preliminary investigation on the hydrogeologic parameters around caverns and analysis on the groundwater flow must be carried out. The data collection is very imporatnat task for the hydrogeologic design so various hydraulic tests have been performed. When analyzing the injection/fall off test data, existing graphical method to estimate the parameters in Theis' equation is widely used. However this method has some sources of error when estimating parameters by means of human faults. Therefore the method of estimating parameters by means of statistical methods such as regression type is evaluated as a useful tool. In this study, nonlinear regression analysis for the Theis' equation is suggested and applied to the estimation of parameters for the real field interference data around underground storage caverns. Damping parameter which reduce the iteration numbers and inhance the convergence is also introduced.

An educational tool for binary logistic regression model using Excel VBA (엑셀 VBA를 이용한 이분형 로지스틱 회귀모형 교육도구 개발)

  • Park, Cheolyong;Choi, Hyun Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.403-410
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    • 2014
  • Binary logistic regression analysis is a statistical technique that explains binary response variable by quantitative or qualitative explanatory variables. In the binary logistic regression model, the probability that the response variable equals, say 1, one of the binary values is to be explained as a transformation of linear combination of explanatory variables. This is one of big barriers that non-statisticians have to overcome in order to understand the model. In this study, an educational tool is developed that explains the need of the binary logistic regression analysis using Excel VBA. More precisely, this tool explains the problems related to modeling the probability of the response variable equal to 1 as a linear combination of explanatory variables and then shows how these problems can be solved through some transformations of the linear combination.

Determinants of student course evaluation using hierarchical linear model (위계적 선형모형을 이용한 강의평가 결정요인 분석)

  • Cho, Jang Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1285-1296
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    • 2013
  • The fundamental concerns of this paper are to analyze the effects of student course evaluation using subject characteristic and student characteristic variables. We use a 2-level hierarchical linear model since the data structure of subject characteristic and student characteristic variables is multilevel. Four models we consider are as follows; (1) null model, (2) random coefficient model, (3) mean as outcomes model, (4) intercepts and slopes as outcomes model. The results of the analysis were given as follows. First, the result of null model was that subject characteristics effects on course evaluation had much larger than student characteristics. Second, the result of conditional model specifying subject and student level predictors revealed that class size, grade, tenure, mean GPA of the class, native class for level-1, and sex, department category, admission method, mean GPA of the student for level-2 had statistically significant effects on course evaluation. The explained variance was 13% in subject level, 13% in student level.

Estimation of the WGR Multi-dimensional Precipitation Model Parameters using the Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 WGR 다차원 강우모형의 매개변수 추정)

  • Jeong, Gwang-Sik;Yu, Cheol-Sang;Kim, Jung-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.473-486
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    • 2001
  • The WGR model was developed to represent meso-scale precipitation. As a conceptual model, this model shows a good link between atmospheric dynamics and statistical description of meso-scale precipitation(Waymire et al., 1984). However, as it has maximum 18 parameters along with its non-linear structure, its parameter estimation has been remained a difficult problem. There have been several cases of its parameter estimation for different fields using non-linear programming techniques(NLP), which were also difficult tasks to hamper its wide applications. In this study, we estimated the WGR model parameters of the Han river basin using the genetic algorithm(GA) and compared them to the NLP results(Yoo and Kwon, 2000). As a result of the study, we can find that the sum of square error from the GA provide more consistent parameters to the seasonal variation of rainfall. Also, we can find that the higher rainfall amount during summer season is closely related with the arrival rate of rain bands, not the rain cell intensity.

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