• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.247-253
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• 2006

본고는 주요 댐호수의 휴양가치를 댐호수의 특성별로 도출하고자 실제로 댐호수를 선택한 행위를 분석하고, 아울러 선택실험을 통해 가상적으로 설정된 특성을 가진 댐을 방문할지를 선택하도록 하여 그 결과를 분석하기도 하였다. 또한 현시선호된 선택과 진술선호선택을 모두 결합하여 분석하는 기법도 사용하였다. 분석결과 진술선호자료와 현시선호자료간의 이질성이 상당한 것으로 나타났으나 두 자료를 결합함으로써 모든 특성변수들이 만족도에 미치는 영향이 직관과 부합되도록 도출되었다. 댐호수의 수량과 수질 모두가 레크리에이션 가치에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으나, 특히 수질개선의 편익 증가효과가 매우 크다는 것이 확인되었다. 그 외에도 홍보관, 주변 숙박시설 및 음식점, 인근 휴양지와의 연계성 등도 휴양가치 증가에 영향을 미치는 주요 변수로 파악되었다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.3 s.74
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• pp.41-48
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• 2004

This research develops a model of participation and scheduling choice of urban leisure activity. A nested legit model was found to be an appropriate approach. Data collected from Deagu and Pohang City were used for empirical estimation of model parameters. The empirical results confirmed several behavioral aspects associated with participation and scheduling choice of urban leisure activity. The paper presents a discussion on implications that can be inferred from the empirical results. Finally, future potential research question are also discussed.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.131-139
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• 2010

The transport mode choice problem is to determine which of the alternative transport modes connecting an origin and destination will be used by a traveler. Most of the research relating to transport mode choice have mainly been focused on modeling, properties, and applications of the model, but rarely were concerned with equilibrium among the modes. This paper proves the equilibrium among the modes by using a logit mode choice model, and then verifies it with the Korean Transport Database (KTDB). In order to obtain such an equilibrium, this paper also presents a solution algorithm based on the fixed point theorem. The algorithm was tested with an example and confirmed the equilibrium solution.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.32 no.2
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• pp.199-211
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• 2019

This paper is concerned with issues in the finite mixture of regression modeling as well as the simultaneous selection of the number of mixing components and relevant predictors. We propose a penalized likelihood method for both mixture components and regression coefficients that enable the simultaneous identification of significant variables and the determination of important mixture components in mixture of regression models. To avoid over-fitting and bias problems, we applied smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalties on the logarithm of component probabilities suggested by Huang et al. (Statistical Sinica, 27, 147-169, 2013) as well as several well-known penalty functions for coefficients in regression models. Simulation studies reveal that our method is satisfactory with well-known penalties such as SCAD, MCP, and adaptive lasso.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.119-134
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• 2001

This paper proposed a dynamic transit vehicle simulation model and a dynamic transit passengers simulation model, which can simultaneously simulate the transit vehicles and passengers traveling on a transit network, and also developed an algorithm of dynamic departure time choice model based on individual passenger. The proposed model assumes that each passenger's behavior is heterogeneous based on stochastic process by relaxing the assumption of homogeneity among passengers and travelers have imperfect information and bounded rationality to more actually represent and to simulate each passenger's behavior. The proposed model integrated a inference and preference reforming procedure into the learning and decision making process in order to describe and to analyze the departure time choices of transit passengers. To analyze and evaluate the model an example transit line heading for work place was used. Numerical results indicated that in the model based on heterogeneous passengers the travelers' preference influenced more seriously on the departure time choice behavior, while in the model based on homogeneous passengers it does not. The results based on homogeneous passengers seemed to be unrealistic in the view of rational behavior. These results imply that the aggregated travel demand models such as the traditional network assignment models based on user equilibrium, assuming perfect information on the network, homogeneity and rationality, might be different from the real dynamic travel demand patterns occurred on actual network.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.2 s.73
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• pp.77-86
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• 2004

In this study, we applied the Bayesian Network for the case of the mode choice models using the Seoul metropolitan area's house trip survey Data. Sex and age were used lot the independent variables for the explanation or the mode choice, and the relationships between the mode choice and the travellers' social characteristics were identified by the Bayesian Network. Furthermore, trip and mode's characteristics such as time and fare were also used for independent variables and the mode choice models were developed. It was found that the Bayesian Network were useful tool to overcome the problems which were in the traditional mode choice models. In particular, the various transport policies could be evaluated in the very short time by the established relation-ships. It is expected that the Bayesian Network will be utilized as the important tools for the transport analysis.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.1161-1165
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• 2006

본 연구는 OLS 및 변수선택법에 의해 통계학적 모형의 매개변수를 산정하여 모형의 적용성을 입증하고 하천 주요지점에 대한 홍수위 예측을 통해 홍수예보 및 예측 업무에 기여코자하는데 연구목적이 있다. 다중선형회귀모형을 구성하기 위한 독립변수는 예보지점의 수위/유출량 자료와 상류지점의 수위/유출량 자료, 그리고 유역의 선행 평균강우량 등의 자료를 독립변수로 하여 통계학적 홍수예측을 위한 다중선형 회귀모형을 각각 구성하여 적합성 여부를 판단하였다. 매개변수 산정은 OLS(Ordinary least square root method)와 변수선택(Stepwise)방법에 의해 산정하였으며, 중랑천 유역의 2002년부터 2005년까지의 수문사상 16개를 선정하여 모형에 적용한 결과 두 매개변수 산정방법 모두 30분에서 90분 예측은 상대적으로 정확한 결과를 나타내었으며, OLS 및 변수선택법에 의한 매개변수 산정결과 변수선택법에 의한 방법이 OLS 방법보다는 상관성이나 효율지수면에서 조금 더 정확한 값을 나타내고 있으나 독립변수의 일관성을 감안한다면 변수선택법보다는 OLS방법에 의한 매개변수 산정이 타당할 것으로 사료된다. 기존의 홍수예보 업무에 활용되고 있는 수문학적 홍수예측 모형인 저류함수법의 여러 매개변수 조정에 의한 홍수위 예측 방법보다는 비교적 간단한 통계적 방법에 의한 홍수위 예측 방법으로 홍수예보의 선행시간 확보가 필수적인 중랑천과 같이 유역면적이 작은 중소하천에서의 홍수예보 업무에 효과적으로 이용 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.35-51
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• 1997

The main objective of this research is to develop urban workers' daily travel pattern choice model. For this research, a hovel pattern choice model was empirically estimated by using a survey data collected from Kyongsan and Yeungchun City. For this research, a nested logit model structure was employed. For the model specification, it is hypothesized that urban workers' daily travel pattern choice behavior is represented by two stages of choices with single-destination or multi destination travel pattern choice as the higher stage, and the number of tours as the lower stage. The urban workers' daily travel pattern choice model developed in this research yields intuitively reasonable results. From the empirical results, it is found to be sensible to represent urban workers' daily travel patterns as the nested logit model structure Hypothesized in this research. furthermore, future directions of model development are suggested.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.23 no.6
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• pp.1169-1178
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• 2010

This article consider a performance model selection based on AIC under unbalanced deign in linear mixed effect models. Vaida and Balanchard (2005) proposed conditional AIC for model selection in linear mixed effect models when the prediction of random effects is of primary interest. Theoretical properties of cAIC and related criteria have been investigated by Liang et al. (2008) and Greven and Kneib (2010). However, all of the simulation studies were performed under a balanced design. Even though functional form of AIC remain same even under the unbalanced deign, it is worthwhile to investigate performance of AIC based model selection criteria under the unbalanced design. The simulation study in this article shows how unbalancedness affects model selection in linear mixed effect models.

• Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.1.2-1.2
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• 1999

시각적 선택에 대한 과거 정신물리학적, 신경 생리학적 연구결과를 토대로 Feature Gate 라는 신경 망 모형을 제안하였다. 이 모형에는 공간 배치도가 위계 적으로 구성되어 있으며, 정보의 흐름이 위계의 각 수준으로부터 그 다음 수준으로 넘어갈 때 주의 게이트에 의해 조절되도록 되어 있다. 주의 게이트들은 독특한 세부 특징을 가진 위치에 반응하는 상향식 시스템과 표적 세부 특징이 있는 위치에 반응하는 하향식 기제 모두에 의해 조절된다. 본 연구는 Feature Gate 모형의 하향식 기제에 초점을 맞추어 모형을 설명하고, 현재 다른 모형들이 설명하지 못하는 Moran & Desimone(1985)의 연구결과를 이 모형이 어떻게 설명하는지를 제시하고자 한다. Feature Gate 모형은 병렬 적인 세부특징 검색, 계열 적 접합표적 검색, 단서에 의한 주의의 점진적 감소 모형, 세부특징-주도적인 공간적 선택, 주의의 분할, 방해자극 위치의 억제, 주변 억제 등을 포함한 시각적 주의 연구의 여러 가지 많은 현상들을 설명하는데 하나의 일관적인 해석을 제공해 준다. 앞으로 이 모형을 더욱 확장, 발전 시켜 세부특징의 조합된 배열에 반응하는 상위 수준의 유닛을 사용한다면 시각적 선택과정이 포함된 형태 재인 모형으로 개발될 수 있다.