• Title/Summary/Keyword: 생산성 예측

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A Process of Selecting Productivity Influencing Factors For Forecasting Construction Productivity (생산성 예측을 위한 생산성 영향요인 선정 프로세스)

  • Lim, Jae-In;Kim, Yea-Sang;Kim, Young-Suk;Kim, Sang-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.92-100
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    • 2008
  • Productivity is acknowledged as a very important factor for successful construction projects. Various data items collected daily form a construction site can be used for monitoring its productivity by analyzing them. However, no analytical methods for that purpose have been established in the domestic construction industry yet. Previous researches that utilized OLAP and data mining to analyze the factors that affect the productivity did not do well with predicting future cases with sufficient reliability. This research therefore proposes a new analytical process which is capable of figuring out the factors that would affect the productivity of future projects, through qualitative and quantitative analysis of the data collected from past projects.

The Development of Productivity Prediction Model for Interior Finishes of Apartment using Deep Learning Techniques (Deep Learning 기반 공동주택 마감공사 단위작업별 생산성 예측모델 개발 - 내장공사를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Giryun;Han, Choong-Hee;Lee, Junbok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2019
  • Despite the importance and function of productivity information, in the Korean construction industry, the method of collecting and analyzing productivity data has not been organized. Also, in most cases, productivity management is reliant on the experience and intuitions of field managers, and productivity data are rarely being utilized in planning and management. Accordingly, this study intends to develop a prediction model for interior finishes of apartment using deep learning techniques, so as to provide a foundation for analyzing the productivity impacting factors and predicting productivity. The result of the study, productivity prediction model for interior finishes of apartment using deep learning techniques, can be a basic module of apartment project management system by applying deep learning to reliable productivity data and developing as data is accumulated in the future. It can also be used in project engineering processes such as estimating work, calculating work days for process planning, and calculating input labor based on productivity data from similar projects in the past. Further, when productivity diverging from predicted productivity is discovered during construction, it is expected that it will be possible to analyze the cause(s) thereof and implement prompt response and preventive measures.

Explanation of Influence Variables and Development of Tight Oil Productivity Prediction Model by Production Period using XAI Algorithm (XAI를 활용한 생산기간에 따른 치밀오일 생산성 예측 모델 개발 및 영향변수 설명)

  • Han, Dong-kwon;An, Yu-bin;Kwon, Sun-il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.484-487
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    • 2022
  • This study suggests an XAI-based machine learning method to predict the productivity of tight oil reservoirs according to the production period. The XAI algorithm refers to interpretable artificial intelligence and provides the basis for the predicted result and the validity of the derivation process. In this study, we proposed a supervised learning model that predicts productivity in the early and late stages of production after performing data preprocessing based on field data. and then based on the model results, the factors affecting the productivity prediction model were analyzed using XAI.

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The Development of a Construction Productivity Prediction Model Based on Data Mining (데이터 마이닝 기반의 건설 생산성 예측 모델 개발)

  • Woo, Gi-Beom;Ahn, Jy-Sung;Oh, Se-Wook;Kim, Young-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.813-818
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    • 2007
  • Construction productivity is a key factor for efficiency evaluation of construction work process, project performance measurement, and basic data of work plan in construction industry. However, although construction productivity is important in construction industry, gathering methodology and analyzing methodology of productivity data are not well-organized therefore productivity data is not utilized in the construction industry The purpose of this study is to develop productivity prediction system using data mining technology based on activities and to suggest frameworks about productivity data collection, accumulation.

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Forecasting of Port Productivity to Response Very Large Container Ship (초대형 컨테이너선 기항에 대응하는 항만생산성 예측)

  • Choi Yong-Seok;Ha Tae-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.319-325
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this paper is to forecast the port productivity of container terminal to response very large container ship. In general, the productivity of container terminal is evaluated by productivity of stevedoring system including container cranes, yard cranes, and yard tractors. Therefore, we analyzed the current productivity of container crane as port productivity in Pusan ports and forecast net productivity and gross productivity of container cranes to handle the containers cf very large container ship. In order to improve the productivity, we summarize alternatives of stevedoring system and operation system.

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Climate Change, Agricultural Productivity, and their General Equilibrium Impacts: A Recursive Dynamic CGE Analysis (기후변화에 따른 농업생산성 변화의 일반균형효과 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Lee, Hanbin
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.947-980
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the long-run impacts of climate change on Korean agriculture and economy. We estimate the impacts of climate change on the productivities of major agricultural products including rice, dairy and livestock using both a simulation approach and a semiparametric econometric model. The former predicts a decline in productivity while the latter predicts an increase in productivity due to climate change, especially for rice. A recursive dynamic CGE model is used to analyze the general equilibrium impacts of productivity change under the two different scenarios, derived from the two productivity analysis approaches. The loss of GDP in 2050 is 0.2% or 0.02% of total GDP depending on the scenario. It is shown that the losses in dairy and livestock sectors are larger than that in rice sector, although the losses in those two non-rice sectors have been ignored by most existing works.

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Yield Forecasting Method for Smart Farming (스마트 농업을 위한 생산량 예측 방법)

  • Lee, Joon-goo;Moon, Aekyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.619-622
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    • 2015
  • Recently, there are growing fluctuations of productivity and price caused by severe weather conditions in the agriculture. Yield forecasting methods have been studied to solve the problems. This paper predicted yield per area, production area, and elements of weather based on the linear equation. A yield is calculated by multiplying the production area times the yield per area that is compensated using the weighted sum of the elements of weather. In experiments, proposed method shows that a forecasting precision is the more than 90%.

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General Circulation Model Derived Climate Change Impact and Uncertainty Analysis of Maize Yield in Zimbabwe (GCM 예측자료를 이용한 기후변화가 짐바브웨 옥수수 생산에 미치는 영향 및 불확실성 분석)

  • Nkomozepi, Temba D.;Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2012
  • 짐바브웨는 식량부족을 격어 오고 있으며, 이는 기후변화에 따른 수자원의 부족, 인구증가, 개발 및 환경보전 등으로 인하여 앞으로는 더욱 심화될 것으로 보인다. 3가지 배출시나리오 (A2, A1B, B1)에 대한 13개의 GCM 기후자료로부터 상세화한 기후예측값과 AquaCrop 작물모형을 이용하여 기후변화가 짐바브웨의 주곡인 옥수수의 수확량에 미치는 영향과 모형예측값의 불확실성을 분석하였다. 작물생육환경이 잘 유지된다고 가정하고 옥수수 잠재생산량을 모의한 결과 기준년도 (1970s)에 비해 2020s, 2050s and 2090s 년대에 평균 (범위) 8 % (6-9 %), 14 % (10-15 %) 및 16 % (11-17 %) 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 같은 기간에 대한 물의 생산성은 평균 (범위) 7 % (4-13 %), 13 % (6-30 %) 및 15% (6-23 %) 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 기온의 꾸준한 상승과 대기중 이산화탄소 농도 증가로 인한 시비효과로 인하여 미래에는 옥수수 단위 생산량과 물의 생산성이 증가할 것으로 예측되었으며 증가 범위를 보면 모형간의 변동성이 상당히 큰 것을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구결과는 기후변화가 짐바브웨의 옥수수 생산량에 미치는 영향과 변동성을 제시하므로서 장기적인 식량계획의 기초자료로 이용될 수 있을 것이다.

A study on the impact on predicted soil moisture based on machine learning-based open-field environment variables (머신러닝 기반 노지 환경 변수에 따른 예측 토양 수분에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Gwang Hoon Jung;Meong-Hun Lee
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2023
  • As understanding sudden climate change and agricultural productivity becomes increasingly important due to global warming, soil moisture prediction is emerging as a key topic in agriculture. Soil moisture has a significant impact on crop growth and health, and proper management and accurate prediction are key factors in improving agricultural productivity and resource management. For this reason, soil moisture prediction is receiving great attention in agricultural and environmental fields. In this paper, we collected and analyzed open field environmental data using a pilot field through random forest, a machine learning algorithm, obtained the correlation between data characteristics and soil moisture, and compared the actual and predicted values of soil moisture. As a result of the comparison, the prediction rate was about 92%. It was confirmed that the accuracy was . If soil moisture prediction is carried out by adding crop growth data variables through future research, key information such as crop growth speed and appropriate irrigation timing according to soil moisture can be accurately controlled to increase crop quality and improve productivity and water management efficiency. It is expected that this will have a positive impact on resource efficiency.

WBS Development for Acquisition and Analysis of public Housing Productivity Data (공동주택 생산성 데이터 수집/분석을 위한 WBS 개발)

  • Kim, Jae-Woo;Kim, Yea-Sang;Kim, Young-Suk;Kim, Sang-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.86-94
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    • 2008
  • Productivity is one of key management indexes for evaluating soundness of a manufacturing organization and its efficiency. In many aspects of productivity management in the construction industry, however, intuition of an experienced field manager still plays a greater role while productivity data is not utilized efficiently for the construction management purposes, because the collection and analysis of the productivity-related information are not systematic. Lack of systematic method in collecting and analyzing the productivity data results in such problems. The existing WBS should therefore be improved to solve them. The authors developed a new WBS for productivity data collection and analysis by following the research direction that was determined by literature reviews, overseas cases, and interviews with field engineers. The new breakdown structure was then evaluated for its feasibility as a productivity analysis framework. It is expected that the productivity data collected by the WBS will be used for OLAP and mining for future productivity forecast.