• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.947-980
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• 2012

This study analyzes the long-run impacts of climate change on Korean agriculture and economy. We estimate the impacts of climate change on the productivities of major agricultural products including rice, dairy and livestock using both a simulation approach and a semiparametric econometric model. The former predicts a decline in productivity while the latter predicts an increase in productivity due to climate change, especially for rice. A recursive dynamic CGE model is used to analyze the general equilibrium impacts of productivity change under the two different scenarios, derived from the two productivity analysis approaches. The loss of GDP in 2050 is 0.2% or 0.02% of total GDP depending on the scenario. It is shown that the losses in dairy and livestock sectors are larger than that in rice sector, although the losses in those two non-rice sectors have been ignored by most existing works.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.9 no.5
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• pp.86-94
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• 2008

Productivity is one of key management indexes for evaluating soundness of a manufacturing organization and its efficiency. In many aspects of productivity management in the construction industry, however, intuition of an experienced field manager still plays a greater role while productivity data is not utilized efficiently for the construction management purposes, because the collection and analysis of the productivity-related information are not systematic. Lack of systematic method in collecting and analyzing the productivity data results in such problems. The existing WBS should therefore be improved to solve them. The authors developed a new WBS for productivity data collection and analysis by following the research direction that was determined by literature reviews, overseas cases, and interviews with field engineers. The new breakdown structure was then evaluated for its feasibility as a productivity analysis framework. It is expected that the productivity data collected by the WBS will be used for OLAP and mining for future productivity forecast.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.54 no.4
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• pp.83-92
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• 2012

짐바브웨는 식량부족을 격어 오고 있으며, 이는 기후변화에 따른 수자원의 부족, 인구증가, 개발 및 환경보전 등으로 인하여 앞으로는 더욱 심화될 것으로 보인다. 3가지 배출시나리오 (A2, A1B, B1)에 대한 13개의 GCM 기후자료로부터 상세화한 기후예측값과 AquaCrop 작물모형을 이용하여 기후변화가 짐바브웨의 주곡인 옥수수의 수확량에 미치는 영향과 모형예측값의 불확실성을 분석하였다. 작물생육환경이 잘 유지된다고 가정하고 옥수수 잠재생산량을 모의한 결과 기준년도 (1970s)에 비해 2020s, 2050s and 2090s 년대에 평균 (범위) 8 % (6-9 %), 14 % (10-15 %) 및 16 % (11-17 %) 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 같은 기간에 대한 물의 생산성은 평균 (범위) 7 % (4-13 %), 13 % (6-30 %) 및 15% (6-23 %) 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 기온의 꾸준한 상승과 대기중 이산화탄소 농도 증가로 인한 시비효과로 인하여 미래에는 옥수수 단위 생산량과 물의 생산성이 증가할 것으로 예측되었으며 증가 범위를 보면 모형간의 변동성이 상당히 큰 것을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구결과는 기후변화가 짐바브웨의 옥수수 생산량에 미치는 영향과 변동성을 제시하므로서 장기적인 식량계획의 기초자료로 이용될 수 있을 것이다.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.3-12
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• 2019

Despite the importance and function of productivity information, in the Korean construction industry, the method of collecting and analyzing productivity data has not been organized. Also, in most cases, productivity management is reliant on the experience and intuitions of field managers, and productivity data are rarely being utilized in planning and management. Accordingly, this study intends to develop a prediction model for interior finishes of apartment using deep learning techniques, so as to provide a foundation for analyzing the productivity impacting factors and predicting productivity. The result of the study, productivity prediction model for interior finishes of apartment using deep learning techniques, can be a basic module of apartment project management system by applying deep learning to reliable productivity data and developing as data is accumulated in the future. It can also be used in project engineering processes such as estimating work, calculating work days for process planning, and calculating input labor based on productivity data from similar projects in the past. Further, when productivity diverging from predicted productivity is discovered during construction, it is expected that it will be possible to analyze the cause(s) thereof and implement prompt response and preventive measures.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.813-818
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• 2007

Construction productivity is a key factor for efficiency evaluation of construction work process, project performance measurement, and basic data of work plan in construction industry. However, although construction productivity is important in construction industry, gathering methodology and analyzing methodology of productivity data are not well-organized therefore productivity data is not utilized in the construction industry The purpose of this study is to develop productivity prediction system using data mining technology based on activities and to suggest frameworks about productivity data collection, accumulation.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.548-553
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• 2006

Activity-based productivity data can be used as an significant reference in many areas of project management such as performance evaluation and project planning. However, the existence of various factors influencing construction productivity makes it difficult to collect and analyze the productivity data. In the most of the domestic construction sites, there is no systematic method to collect and analyze the productivity data along with information on influencing factors; it is common to heavily rely on experience and intuition of field managers when dealing with construction productivity data. Therefore it is necessary to develop a management system for collecting and utilizing the productivity data as well as the factors influencing construction productivity. The main objective of this research is to define the construction productivity and its influencing factors at the activity level. In addition, methodologies on how to analyze the productivity data and to estimate productivity of future projects are proposed.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2008.11a
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• pp.262-267
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• 2008

The domestic construction market started to expand steadily since 1970s. The building market which utilizes a sandwich panel with advantages of economical construction expenses and convenient construction has grown rapidly in recent years. However, the companies which specialize in constructing sandwich panels are relatively small or medium size, compared with other construction companies. As a result, studies on the improvement of productivity have not been conducted sufficiently. In this study, the construction sites of sandwich panel are investigated, and the work processes by each team are analyzed. Additionally, the productivity and the construction cost of each construction team are analyzed by constructing a model using the Web-Cyclone. It is expected that the results of this study can be applied to estimate the productivity and the construction cost of a sandwich panel construction that is appropriate for the on-site characteristics of small and medium sized construction companies in Korea. Also, similar processes can be simulated based on the modeling constructed in this study.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.484-487
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• 2022

This study suggests an XAI-based machine learning method to predict the productivity of tight oil reservoirs according to the production period. The XAI algorithm refers to interpretable artificial intelligence and provides the basis for the predicted result and the validity of the derivation process. In this study, we proposed a supervised learning model that predicts productivity in the early and late stages of production after performing data preprocessing based on field data. and then based on the model results, the factors affecting the productivity prediction model were analyzed using XAI.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.27-45
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• 1994

경기변동(景氣變動)에 대한 중요한 판단자료인 산업생산지수(産業生産指數)는 음력에 따르는 구정, 추석 등의 기간 및 시점변동으로 계절적 요인이 불규칙하게 나타나게 되고, 이로 인하여 지수(指數)의 분석에 혼란이 야기되고 있다. 산업생산지수(産業生産指數)의 계절변동(季節變動)은 일차적으로 근로일수(勤勞日數)에 그 원인이 있는 것으로 판단된다. 본고(本稿)에서는 통상의 계절조정방법 대신에 근로일수를 고려하여 1일당 생산을 기준으로 산업생산을 분석하였다. 근로일수(勤勞日數)는 확정적(確定的)(deterministic)인 성격을 가지고 있어 계절성(季節性)의 변동에 대한 예측(豫測)이 가능할 뿐 아니라, 1일당 생산을 고려할 경우 각 관측치의 시간적 길이를 동일하게 함으로써 생산과 재고의 관계를 설정하는 것이 용이해진다. 생산(生産)과 재고변화(在庫變化)만을 이용한 간단한 오차수정모형(error correction model)을 설정하여 생산의 표본외구간(標本外區間) 예측(豫測)(out of sample forecasting)을 수행한 결과, 근로일수(勤勞日數)로 조정하였을 경우 예측력이 현저히 개선됨을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.42-55
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• 2017

Since the phases and patterns of the climate adaptability of vegetation can greatly differ from region to region, an intensive pixel scale approach is required. In this study, Partial Least Squares (PLS) regression on satellite image-based vegetation index is conducted for to assess the effect of climate factors on vegetation productivity and to predict future productivity of forests vegetation in South Korea. The results indicate that the mean temperature of wettest quarter (Bio8), mean temperature of driest quarter (Bio9), and precipitation of driest month (Bio14) showed higher influence on vegetation productivity. The predicted 2050 EVI in future climate change scenario have declined on average, especially in high elevation zone. The results of this study can be used in productivity monitoring of climate-sensitive vegetation and estimation of changes in forest carbon storage under climate change.