• Title/Summary/Keyword: 생물종 분포 모형

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A nationwide analysis of mammalian biodiversity hotspots in South Korea (전국단위의 포유류 생물다양성우수지역 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Jiyeon;Kwon, Hyuksoo;Seo, Changwan;Kim, Myungjin
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.453-465
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    • 2014
  • Hotspots are top sites in terms of species diversity as the most threatened and most diverse sites which have been used to select priority areas for reserves. The purpose of this paper is to identify biodiversity hotspots through analyzing nationwide spatial patterns of species richness and rarity of Korean mammals. Four endangered mammals and eleven common mammals were selected as target species. Environmental variables as model input data were consisted of topography, distance, and vegetation structure etc. and Maxent was used to develop species distribution models for target species. Species richness and rarity were used as index of biodiversity. The results of this study were as follows. Firstly, hotspots of species richness for endangered mammals were in high elevation and steep mountain areas. However, species richness for whole mammals were high in low elevation of mountains. Secondly, distribution pattern of species rarity for endangered mammals were similar as richness. However, hotspots of species rarity for whole mammals were a little different from species richness. Species rarity was high in both low and high elevation of mountain areas. This study will provide the useful information for a biodiversity assessment, a habitat conservation, a national ecological network plan, and the management of protected areas.

Application of Habitat Suitability Models for Assessing Climate Change Effects on Fish Distribution (어류 분포에 미치는 기후변화 영향 평가를 위한 서식적합성 모형 적용)

  • Shim, Taeyong;Bae, Eunhye;Jung, Jinho
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2016
  • Temperature increase and precipitation changes caused by change alter aquatic environments including water quantity and quality that eventually affects the habitat of aquatic organisms. Such changes in habitat lead to changes in habitat suitability of the organisms, which eventually determines species distribution. Therefore, conventional habitat suitability models were investigated to evaluate habitat suitability changes of freshwater fish cause by change. Habitat suitability models can be divided into habitat-hydraulic (PHABSIM, CCHE2D, CASiMiR, RHABSIM, RHYHABSIM, and River2D) and habitat-physiologic (CLIMEX) models. Habitat-hydraulic models use hydraulic variables (velocity, depth, substrate) to assess habitat suitability, but lack the ability to evaluate the effect of water quality, including temperature. On the contrary, CLIMEX evaluates the physiological response against climatic variables, but lacks the ability to interpret the effects of physical habitat (hydraulic variables). A new concept of ecological habitat suitability modeling (EHSM) is proposed to overcome such limitations by combining the habitat-hydraulic model (PHABSIM) and the habitat-physiologic model (CLIMEX), which is able to evaluate the effect of more environmental variables than each conventional model. This model is expected to predict fish habitat suitability according to climate change more accurately.

Prediction of Shift in Fish Distributions in the Geum River Watershed under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 금강 유역의 어류 종분포 변화 예측)

  • Bae, Eunhye;Jung, Jinho
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.198-205
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    • 2015
  • Impacts of climate change on aquatic ecosystems range from changes in physiological processes of aquatic organisms to species distribution. In this study, MaxEnt that has high prediction power without nonoccurrence data was used to simulate fish distribution changes in the Geum river watershed according to climate change. The fish distribution in 2050 and 2100 was predicted with RCP 8.5 climate change scenario using fish occurrence data (a total of 47 species, including 17 endemic species) from 2007 to 2009 at 134 survey points and 9 environmental variables (monthly lowest, highest and average air temperature, monthly precipitation, monthly lowest, highest and average water temperature, altitude and slope). The fitness of MaxEnt modeling was successful with the area under the relative operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.798, and environmental variables that showed a high level of prediction were as follows: altitude, monthly average precipitation and monthly lowest water temperature. As climate change proceeds until 2100, the probability of occurrence for Odontobutis interrupta and Acheilognathus yamatsuatea (endemic species) decreases whereas the probability of occurrence for Microphysogobio yaluensis and Lepomis macrochirus (exotic species) increases. In particular, five fish species (Gnathopogon strigatus, Misgurnus mizolepis, Erythroculter erythropterus, A. yamatsuatea and A. koreensis) were expected to become extinct in the Geum river watershed in 2100. In addition, the species rich area was expected to move to the northern part of the Geum river watershed. These findings suggest that water temperature increase caused by climate change may disturb the aquatic ecosystem of Geum river watershed significantly.

A Short Record for the New Distribution and Some Morphological Characters of Archidium ohioense Schimp. ex Müll. Hal. (Archidiaceae) (Archidium ohioense의 신분포지 및 특징)

  • Eunhwa Yoo;Kyounghoon Kim;Shin-Ho Kang
    • Proceedings of the Plant Resources Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2023.04a
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    • pp.28-28
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    • 2023
  • Archidium ohioense Schimp. ex Müll. Hal.는 국내 자생 정보가 부족했던 종으로 본 연구를 통해 경기도 연천군 전곡읍 간파리 감악산에서 신분포지를 확인하였다. A. ohioense가 속하는 Archidium Brid. (Archidiaceae)는 극지방을 제외한 아열대지역에서 온대지역까지 분포하며, 총 36종이 생육하는 것으로 알려져 있고, 최근 anti-inflammatory와 antisickling potentials에 관한 효능 연구가 수행되고 있다. A. ohioense의 잎은 난상피침형~삼각상피침형으로 잎가장자리는 밋밋하나 잎끝에 미세한 치돌기가 있다. 잎맥은 굵고 1개이며 잎끝까지 또는 짧게 돌출되어 있다. 중앙세포는 마름모형, 긴 선형의 마름모형이고, 익부세포는 마름모형에서 직사각형이다. 추후 분자생물학적인 연구 및 생태학적인 연구가 추가된다면 안정적인 자원화에 기여할 수 있을 것이라 사료된다.

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Selection of Optimal Models for Predicting the Distribution of Invasive Alien Plants Species (IAPS) in Forest Genetic Resource Reserves (산림생태계 보호구역에서 외래식물 분포 예측을 위한 최적 모형의 선발)

  • Lim, Chi-hong;Jung, Song-hie;Jung, Su-young;Kim, Nam-shin;Cho, Yong-chan
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.589-600
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    • 2020
  • Effective conservation and management of protected areas require monitoring the settlement of invasive alien species and reducing their dispersion capacity. We simulated the potential distribution of invasive alien plant species (IAPS) using three representative species distribution models (Bioclim, GLM, and MaxEnt) based on the IAPS distribution in the forest genetic resource reserve (2,274ha) in Uljin-gun, Korea. We then selected the realistic and suitable species distribution model that reflects the local region and ecological management characteristics based on the simulation results. The simulation predicted the tendency of the IAPS distributed along the linear landscape elements, such as roads, and including some forest harvested area. The statistical comparison of the prediction and accuracy of each model tested in this study showed that the GLM and MaxEnt models generally had high performance and accuracy compared to the Bioclim model. The Bioclim model calculated the largest potential distribution area, followed by GLM and MaxEnt in that order. The Phenomenological review of the simulation results showed that the sample size more significantly affected the GLM and Bioclim models, while the MaxEnt model was the most consistent regardless of the sample size. The optimal model overall for predicting the distribution of IAPS among the three models was the MaxEnt model. The model selection approach based on detailed flora distribution data presented in this study is expected to be useful for efficiently managing the conservation areas and identifying the realistic and precise species distribution model reflecting local characteristics.

Complimentary Assessment for Conserving Vegetation on Protected Areas in South Korea (보호지역의 식물종 보전 상보성 평가)

  • Park, Jin-Han;Choe, Hyeyeong;Mo, Yongwon
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.436-445
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    • 2020
  • The number of protected areas has been steadily increased in Korea to achieve Aichi Target 11, and there are studies on potential protected areas that required additional designation. However, there has been an insufficient assessment of the complementarity of protected areas to conserve biodiversity effectively. This study identified the potential habitat areas using the species distribution model for plant species from the 3rd National Ecosystem Survey and compared the plant species abundance in the existing protected area and the potential protected areas using the similarity indices, such as the Jaccard index, Sorenson index, and Bray-Curtis index. As a result, we found that the complementarity of the existing protected areas and most potential protected areas were low, leading to the preservation of similar plant species. Only the buffer zone for Korea National Arboretum had high complementarity and thus is important to conserve some species with the other protected areas. This study confirmed that it was necessary to select additional protected areas outside the existing or potential protected areas to protect plant species with a low inclusion ratio of potential habitats within the protected area. This study is significant because it identified the ecological representativeness of each protected area to examine if the individual protected area can conserve unique and various species and proposed a method of finding candidate areas for additional conservation spatially. The findings of this study can be a valuable reference for the qualitative improvement of protected areas through the complementarity assessments, including animals and the effectiveness assessment study of protected areas using the National Ecosystem Survey data in the future.

Analysis of Microplastic Transport in the Paldang Reservoir Using MPT-Q3D (MPT-Q3D를 이용한 팔당호 내 미세플라스틱 거동 분석)

  • Sun Mi Lee;Inhwan Park
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.475-475
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    • 2023
  • 직경 5 mm 이하의 미세플라스틱은 인류 활동에 의해 생산되어 하수처리장 처리수, 우수토구, 도로 분진 등 다양한 경로를 통해 하천에 유입되고 있다. 하천에 유입된 미세플라스틱은 하천흐름을 따라 하류로 이동하여 해양환경에까지 이른다. 미세플라스틱은 수체를 따라 이동할 뿐 아니라 수생생물에 의해 섭식되기도 하여 인체 위해성이 우려되는 상황이다. 특히 서울과 경기도의 주요 상수원인 팔당호는 북한강, 남한강, 경안천이 유입되어 형성되기 때문에 미세플라스틱의 유입에 따른 이송-분산 거동 평가가 중요한 영역이다. 본 연구에서는 준3차원 입자추적기법을 이용한 미세플라스틱 거동해석 모형, MPT-Q3D를 개발하였으며 팔당호 내 미세플라스틱의 거동 특성을 분석하였다. MPT-Q3D 모형은 2차원 흐름해석모형과 연계한 입자의 준3차원 거동해석을 위해 step-by-step computation method를 적용하였으며, 전단류에 의한 입자의 수평거동과 난류확산에 및 침강속도에 의한 연직거동 두 단계 계산과정에 따라 입자의 거동을 해석했다. 전단류는 2차원 흐름해석결과로부터 유속의 연직분포식을 적용하여 생성하였으며, 생성된 전단류에 의해 각 연직층 별 유속이 계산되고 𝚫t 이후 입자의 종, 횡 방향 이동거리를 계산한다. 또한 난류확산에 의한 무작위적 거동 계산을 위해 Gaussian 분포를 따른 난수 생성을 통해 무작위적 거동을 계산했다. 각 연직층에 위치한 미세플라스틱 입자의 종, 횡 방향 거동을 계산한 후 입자의 연직거동을 계산한다. 입자의 연직 위치는 난류확산과 침강속도에 따라 계산되며 침강속도는 미세플라스틱의 밀도 및 직경에 따라 결정된다. 현장 샘플링 결과에 따라 팔당호로 유입되는 미세플라스틱은 폴리스틸렌(PS), 폴리에틸렌(PE), 폴리에스테르(Polyester)가 있으므로, 세 종류의 미세플라스틱을 동시에 주입하여 팔당호 내 거동을 분석했다. 남한강, 북한강, 경안천의 유량 차이로 인해 팔당호로 유입되는 미세플라스틱은 대체로 남한강과 북한강의 흐름특성에 영향을 받았다. 경안천의 경우 유량이 낮아 팔당호로 유입되지 못하고 좌안을 따라 하류로 이동됐다. 남한강과 북한강에서 유입된 미세플라스틱은 주로 팔당호 내 소내섬을 거쳐 팔당댐 쪽으로 이동했다. 또한 팔당댐 인근에서는 PP, PE, Polyester 순으로 많은 양이 유입되는 결과가 나타났다.

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Estimation of potential distribution of sweet potato weevil (Cylas formicarius) and climate change impact using MaxEnt (MaxEnt를 활용한 개미바구미(Cylas formicarius)의 잠재 분포와 기후변화 영향 모의)

  • Jinsol Hong;Heewon Hong;Sumin Pi;Soohyun Lee;Jae Ha Shin;Yongeun Kim;Kijong Cho
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.505-518
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    • 2023
  • The key to invasive pest management lies in preemptive action. However, most current research using species distribution models is conducted after an invasion has occurred. This study modeled the potential distribution of the globally notorious sweet potato pest, the sweet potato weevil(Cylas formicarius), that has not yet invaded Korea using MaxEnt. Using global occurrence data, bioclimatic variables, and topsoil characteristics, MaxEnt showed high explanatory power as both the training and test areas under the curve exceeded 0.9. Among the environmental variables used in this study, minimum temperature in the coldest month (BIO06), precipitation in the driest month (BIO14), mean diurnal range (BIO02), and bulk density (BDOD) were identified as key variables. The predicted global distribution showed high values in most countries where the species is currently present, with a significant potential invasion risk in most South American countries where C. formicarius is not yet present. In Korea, Jeju Island and the southwestern coasts of Jeollanam-do showed very high probabilities. The impact of climate change under shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios indicated an expansion along coasts as climate change progresses. By applying the 10th percentile minimum training presence rule, the potential area of occurrence was estimated at 1,439 km2 under current climate conditions and could expand up to 9,485 km2 under the SSP585 scenario. However, the model predicted that an inland invasion would not be serious. The results of this study suggest a need to focus on the risk of invasion in islands and coastal areas.

Predicting the suitable habitat of the Pinus pumila under climate change (기후변화에 의한 눈잣나무의 서식지 분포 예측)

  • Park, Hyun-Chul;Lee, Jung-Hwan;Lee, Gwan-Gyu
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.379-392
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    • 2014
  • This study was performed to predict the future climate envelope of Pinus pumila, a subalpine plant and a Climate-sensitive Biological Indicator Species (CBIS) of Korea. P. pumila is distributed at Mt. seorak in South Korea. Suitable habitat were predicted under two alternative RCPscenarios (IPCC AR5). The SDM used for future prediction was a Maxent model, and the total number of environmental variables for Maxent was 8. It was found that the distribution range of P. pumila in the South Korean was $38^{\circ}7^{\prime}8^{{\prime}{\prime}}N{\sim}38^{\circ}7^{\prime}14^{{\prime}{\prime}}N$ and $128^{\circ}28^{\prime}2^{{\prime}{\prime}}E{\sim}128^{\circ}27^{\prime}38^{{\prime}{\prime}}E$ and 1,586m~1,688m in altitude. The variables that contribute the most to define the climate envelope are altitude. Climate envelope simulation accuracy was evaluated using the ROC's AUC. The P. pumila model's 5-cv AUC was found to be 0.99966. which showed that model accuracy was very high. Under both the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, the climate envelope for P. pumila is predicted to decrease in South Korea. According to the results of the maxent model has been applied in the current climate, suitable habitat is $790.78km^2$. The suitable habitats, are distributed in the region of over 1,400m. Further, in comparison with the suitable habitat of applying RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 suitable habitat current, reduction of area RCP8.5 was greater than RCP4.5. Thus, climate change will affect the distribution of P. pumila. Therefore, governmental measures to conserve this species will be necessary. Additionally, for CBIS vulnerability analysis and studies using sampling techniques to monitor areas based on the outcomes of this study, future study designs should incorporate the use of climatic predictions derived from multiple GCMs, especially GCMs that were not the one used in this study. Furthermore, if environmental variables directly relevant to CBIS distribution other than climate variables, such as the Bioclim parameters, are ever identified, more accurate prediction than in this study will be possible.

Considerations and Alternative Approaches to the Estimation of Local Abundance of Legally Protected Species, the Fiddler Crab, Austruca lactea (법정보호종, 흰발농게(Austruca lactea) 서식 개체수 추정에 대한 검토와 대안)

  • Yoo, Jae-Won;Kim, Chang-Soo;Park, Mi-Ra;Jeong, Su-Young;Lee, Chae-Lin;Kim, Sungtae;Ahn, Dong-Sik;Lee, Chang-Gun;Han, Donguk;Back, Yonghae;Park, Young Cheol
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.122-132
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    • 2021
  • We reviewed the methods employed in Korean tidal flat surveys to measure the local abundance of the endangered wildlife and marine protected species, the fiddler crab, Austruca lactea. A complete census for infinite population is impossible even in a limited habitat within a tidal flat, and density estimates from samples strongly vary due to diverse biological and ecological factors. The habitat boundaries and areas shift with periodicities or rhythmic activities of organisms as well as measurement errors. Hence the local abundance calculated from density and habitat areas should be regarded as transient. This conjecture was valid based on the spatio-temporal variations of the density averages, standard error ranges, and spatial distribution of the crab, A. lactea observed for 3 years (2015-2017) in Songdo tidal flat in Incheon. We proposed the potential habitat areas using the occurrence probability of 50% from logistic regression model, reflecting the importance of habitat conservation value as an alternative to local abundance. The spatial shape of potential habitat predicted from a generalized model would remain constant over time unless the species' critical environmental conditions change rapidly. The species-specific model is expected to be used for the introduction of desired species in future habitat restoration/creation projects.