• Title/Summary/Keyword: 상관관계 오차

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The Inter-correlation Analysis between Oil Prices and Dry Bulk Freight Rates (유가와 벌크선 운임의 상관관계 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Byoung-Churl;Lee, Kee-Hwan;Kim, Myoung-Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.289-296
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the inter-correlation between crude oil prices and Dry Bulk Freight rates. Eco-friendly shipping fuels has being actively developed to reduce carbon emission. However, carbon neutrality will take longer than anticipated in terms of the present development process. Because of OVID-19 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine, crude oil price fluctuation has been exacerbated. So we must examine the impact on Dry Bulk Freight rates the oil prices have had, because oil prices play a major role in shipping fuels. By using the VAR (Vector Autoregressive) model with monthly data of crude oil prices (Brent, Dubai and WTI) and Dry Bulk Freight rates (BDI, BCI and (BP I) 2008.10~2022.02, the empirical analysis documents that the oil prices have an impact on Dry bulk Freight rates. From the analysis of the forecast error variance decomposition, WTI has the largest explanatory relationship with the BDI and Dubai ranks seoond, Brent ranks third. In conclusion, WTI and Dubai have the largest impact on the BDI, while there are some differences according to the ship-type.

Uncertainty Analysis for the Resistance and Self-Propulsion Test of Ship Model (저항, 자항시험에 있어서의 불확실성 해석)

  • 박동우;김민규;강선형
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2003
  • To predict the powering performance of full scale ships from the towing tank tests, resistance, propeller open water and self-propulsion tests are conducted. Model tests inevitably include the experimental error defined as the sum of two types of uncertainties, bias and precision errors. The induced errors in each element of model test are propagated through various routes and correlated with one another. The correlation coefficients are very important in the uncertainty analysis. The coefficient gives a direction(increase or decrease) for a value of error in individual elements. If the coefficient is not used accurately, the error bounds of the individual elements are overestimated or underestimated. In this study, the new methodology is applied to the uncertainty analysis of HMRI's towing tank tests, thus error bounds of each element is suggested and verified by several repetitive experiments.

Phenotypic, Genotypic and Environmental Correlations among Some Characters of Phyllostachys bambusoides Sieb. et Zucc. (대나무 수개형질간(數個形質間)의 상관관계(相關關係)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Chung, Young-Gwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 1975
  • This study was intended to clarify interrelations among seven characters of bamboo and their influences upon its culm-volume. The analysis of covariance was used to obtain phenotypic correlations, genotypic correlations and environmental correlations among some characters of Phyllostachys bambusoides Sieb. et Zucc., and thereby path-coefficients were calculated based on Dewey's method. The characters considered here included the breast height diameter, culm-height, clear-length, subterranean stem, number of bamboo joints, butt-end diameter and culm-volume of bamboo. Average values, standard errors, variances and standard deviations for the characters mentioned above are shown in Table 1, and phenotypic correlations, genotypic correlations and environmental correlations among seven characters are shown in Table 2, according to the results, there are highly significant relationships among lines but not among some replications. According to Table 4, heritability values in the breast height and butt-end diameters are higher than those in other characters mentioned above. On the other hand, environmental correlations among general characters appear to have lower values than phenotypic and genotypic correlations do. It also appears that the butt-end diameter and breast height diameter are highly correlated with the culm-volume of bamboo. The path-coefficients of individual characters to the culm-volume of bamboo are computed from the correlations (Table 4) and presented in Figure 1 and Table 5, where it could shown the direct and indirect effects on the bamboo culm-volume of each character.

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Development of a Realtime Surface Image Velocimeter without Reference Points (참조점이 필요없는 실시간 표면영상유속계 개발)

  • Yu, Kwonkyu;Yoo, Byeongnam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.73-73
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    • 2015
  • 자연 하천의 홍수 유량 측정은 매우 어렵고 많은 비용과 시간, 노력을 요하는 작업이다. 보다 안전하고 경제적인 유량 측정의 대안으로 제시된 것이 하천 표면의 영상 분석을 이용하는 표면영 상유속계이다. 본 연구는 안드로이드 기반의 스마트폰을 이용한 실시간 표면영상유속계를 개발하는 것이다. 스마트폰에 내장된 카메라, GPS, 방향 센서, CPU를 활용하여, 실시간으로 현장에서 하천의 표면유속을 측정하는 것이다. 먼저, 스마트폰의 GPS를 이용하여 측정 현장의 위치를 잡고, 경사계(방향 센서)를 활용하여 카메라와 촬영면의 기하적인 관계를 설정한다. 수표면과 카메라의 높이차만을 입력하고, 측정된 카메라의 경사에서 하천 수표면의 위치관계를 추정할 수 있는 카메라 모형을 작성하였다. 이 방법을 이용함으로써 기존 표면영상유속계의 단점 중 하나인 참조점 보정이 필요없도록 하였다. 내장된 카메라로 정해진 시간(3초) 동안 동영상을 촬영하고, 촬영된 동영상은 개방 소스의 영상처리 라이브러리인 JavaCV를 이용하여 프레임별로 분할하고, 이를 시공간 영상 분석하여 하천 표면의 2차원 유속장을 추정한다. 영상의 시공간 분석에는 상호상관 시공간분석법을 이용하였다. 모든 코드는 안드로이드 운영체제에서 실행되도록 Java로 작성하였다. 시판되는 안드로이드 스마트폰에 적용하여 현장 시험한 결과 3초간의 영상 처리에 5초 정도를 소요하여, 거의 실시간으로 유속을 측정할 수 있었다. 또한 유속 측정 오차는 일반적인 영상 처리의 오차인 5% 내외였다.

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Examinations on Applications of Manual Calculation Programs on Lung Cancer Radiation Therapy Using Analytical Anisotropic Algorithm (Analytical Anisotropic Algorithm을 사용한 폐암 치료 시 MU 검증 프로그램 적용에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Jong-Min;Kim, Dae-Sup;Hong, Dong-Ki;Back, Geum-Mun;Kwak, Jung-Won
    • The Journal of Korean Society for Radiation Therapy
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: There was a problem with using MU verification programs for the reasons that there were errors of MU when using MU verification programs based on Pencil Beam Convolution (PBC) Algorithm with radiation treatment plans around lung using Analytical Anisotropic Algorithm (AAA). On this study, we studied the methods that can verify the calculated treatment plans using AAA. Materials and Methods: Using Eclipse treatment planning system (Version 8.9, Varian, USA), for each 57 fields of 7 cases of Lung Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy (SBRT), we have calculated using PBC and AAA with dose calculation algorithm. By developing MU of established plans, we compared and analyzed with MU of manual calculation programs. We have analyzed relationship between errors and 4 variables such as field size, lung path distance of radiation, Tumor path distance of radiation, effective depth that can affect on errors created from PBC algorithm and AAA using commonly used programs. Results: Errors of PBC algorithm have showned $0.2{\pm}1.0%$ and errors of AAA have showned $3.5{\pm}2.8%$. Moreover, as a result of analyzing 4 variables that can affect on errors, relationship in errors between lung path distance and MU, connection coefficient 0.648 (P=0.000) has been increased and we could calculate MU correction factor that is A.E=L.P 0.00903+0.02048 and as a result of replying for manual calculation program, errors of $3.5{\pm}2.8%$ before the application has been decreased within $0.4{\pm}2.0%$. Conclusion: On this study, we have learned that errors from manual calculation program have been increased as lung path distance of radiation increases and we could verified MU of AAA with a simple method that is called MU correction factor.

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A Study on the Relationship between Dissimilar Metals Friction Welded Joints Strength Properties and Ultrasonic Reflection Coefficients (이종재 마찰용접부 강도특성과 초음파 반사계수와의 상관성에 관한 연구)

  • S. K. Oh;D. J. Kim;S. D. Han
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.34-34
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    • 1987
  • Friction welding has emerged as a reliable process for high-production commercial application with significant economic and technical advantages. But nondestructive test in friction weld was not clearly developed. Therefore the experimental verification is necessary in order to understand the characteristics of the pulse echo effects according to various change in welding conditions. This paper presents a new attempt to detect the bond strength of friction welds by ultrasonic. Instead of looking for a flaw or cracks at the interface, the new approach evaluates the coefficient by reflection which provides a single quantitative indicator involving the acoustic energy reflected at the interface. The objective of this study is to find the relationship between the reflection coefficients and the weld strength. Results of the bar-to-bar friction welding of aluminum to copper and stainless steel and such relationship investigation are presented and interpreted.

A Study on the Relationship between Dissimilar Metals Friction Welded Joints Strength Properties and Ultrasonic Reflection Coefficients (이종재 마찰용접부 강도특성과 초음파 반사계수와의 상관성에 관한 연구)

  • O, Se-Gyu;Kim, Dong-Jo;Han, Sang-Deok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.80-85
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    • 1987
  • Friction welding has emerged as a reliable process for high-production commercial application with significant economic and technical advantages. But nondestructive test in friction weld was not clearly developed. Therefore the experimental verification is necessary in order to understand the characteristics of the pulse echo effects according to various change in welding conditions. This paper presents a new attempt to detect the bond strength of friction welds by ultrasonic. Instead of looking for a flaw or cracks at the interface, the new approach evaluates the coefficient by reflection which provides a single quantitative indicator involving the acoustic energy reflected at the interface. The objective of this study is to find the relationship between the reflection coefficients and the weld strength. Results of the bar-to-bar friction welding of aluminum to copper and stainless steel and such relationship investigation are presented and interpreted.

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A Study on the Development of Ultrasonic Urine Volume Detection Sensor and the Correlation between Urine Volume and Bladder Interwall Distance (초음파 뇨량검출 센서의 제작 및 방광 벽간거리와 뇨량과의 상관관계에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, H.H.;Lee, E.H.
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.256-267
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we studied the ultrasonic urine volume sensor of urinary alarm system for home use to detect the time of urination as a assistive methodology for the incontinence patients and the correlation between urine volume and bladder interwall distance by using developed sensor. The developed sensor was designed to minimize the measurement error by using ultrasound with 2.25 MHz center frequency which provides higher resolution as well as longer penetration depth. To verify usefulness of the developed sensor, we performed a preliminary experiment of estimating bladder volume from the measured distance between interior and posterior wall of bladder. In the preliminary experiment, bladder volume estimated from the result using a commercial ultrasonography system. The experimental results show there exists god correlation between the actual urine volume and the measured interwall distance of the bladder. In conclusion, the developed ultrasound bladder volume sensor can be applied to an urine alarm system which provides patient the exact time of urination, it will be contribute in health care and welfare society.

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Hybrid Particle Image Velocimetry Based on Affine Transformation (어파인변환 기반 하이브리드 PIV)

  • Doh, Deog-Hee;Cho, Gyong-Rae;Lee, Jae-Min
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.603-608
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    • 2011
  • Since PTV (particle tracking velocimetry) provides velocity vectors by tracking each particle in a fluid flow, it has significant benefits when used for nano- and bio-fluid flows. However, PTV has only been used for limited flow fields because interpolation data loss is inevitable in PTV in principle. In this paper, a hybrid particle image velocimetry (PIV) algorithm that eliminates interpolation data loss was constructed by using an affine transformation. For the evaluation of the performance of the constructed hybrid PIV algorithm, an artificial image test was performed using Green-Taylor vortex data. The constructed algorithm was tested on experimental images of the wake flow (Re = 5,300) of a rectangular body ($6cm\;{\times}3cm$), and was demonstrated to provide excellent results.

Influence of Carbonation of Concrete on Electrical Resistivity (콘크리트의 탄산화가 전기저항에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoon, In-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2014
  • Electrical resistivity of concrete can be measured in a more rapid and simple way for estimating durability of the concrete, however, carbonation causes a result of misleading for durability testing because carbonation leads to a significant reduction in the permeability and porosity of concrete. The purpose of this study is to estimate and quantify the effect of carbonation of concrete on a surface electrical resistivity measurement. Samples of three mixes with difference w/c were prepared and exposed in a carbonation chamber for 330 days. The results show that carbonation leads high electrical resistivity. The increase is substantial and has been shown to proportional to the extent of the carbonation by some of extent. The relationship between electrical resistivity and carbonation depth is taken in the study. Resistivity ratio of carbonated concrete to air concrete decreased significantly from the specific carbonation depth, however, resistivity ratio of carbonated concrete to air concrete had a linear relation with carbonation depth. From the relationship between electrical resistivity and carbonation depth, it is expected that the result should be subsequently used as a calibration curve for estimating carbonated concrete to overcome the interruption effect of carbonation on regular measurements of the electrical resistivity.