• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.101-107
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• 2013

Because forest fires are predicted to increase in severity and frequency under global climate change with important environmental implications, an understanding of fire dynamics is critical for mitigation of these negative effects. For the reason, researchers with different background, such as ecologists, physicists, and mathematical biologists, have developed the simulation models to mimic the forest fire spread patterns. In this study, we suggested a novel model considering the wind effect. Our theoretical forest was comprised of two different tree species with varying probabilities of transferring fire that were randomly distributed in space at densities ranging from 0.0 (low) to 1.0 (high). We then studied the distributional patterns of burnt trees using a two-dimensional stochastic cellular automata model with minimized local rules. We investigated the time, T, that the number of burnt trees reaches 25% of the whole trees for different values of the initial tree density, fire transition probability, and the degree of wind strength. Simulation results showed that the values of T decreased with the increase of tree density, and the wind effect decreased in the case of too high or low tree density. We believe that our model can be a useful tool to explore forest fire spreading patterns.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.1-12
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• 2014

Crown fire, the main propagation type of large forest fire, has caused extreme damage with the fast spread rate and the high flame intensity. In this paper, we developed the probability equation to predict the crown fires using the spatial features of topography, fuel and weather in damaged area by crown fire. Eighteen variables were collected and then classified by burn severity utilizing geographic information system and remote sensing. Crown fire ratio and logistic regression model were used to select related variables and to estimate the weights for the classes of each variables. As a results, elevation, forest type, elevation relief ratio, folded aspect, plan curvature and solar insolation were related to the crown fire propagation. The crown fire propagation probability equation may can be applied to the priority setting of fuel treatment and suppression resources allocation for forest fire.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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• 2012.04a
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• pp.488-491
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• 2012

우리나라는 1960년대부터 실시된 조림 정책을 통해 산림이 점차 울창해지고 있어 산림 내 연소물질이 증가되어 산불 피해 강도가 점차 높아지고 있다. 산불방지에 대한 예방차원으로 피해를 저감시키거나 위험을 완화시키는 대표적인 임업적 기술을 적용하는 방법으로 방화림 조성과 방화선 구축을 들 수 있다. 방화림 조성은 산림내 연소물질 관리 또는 수종을 갱신하여 산불확산으로부터 화재강도를 낮추어 산림의 산불위험성을 낮추는 방법이다. 대표적인 기술로는 간벌과 가지치기, 하예작업, 활엽수림 조성 등의 방법이 있다. 방화선 구축작업을 임내 연료물질을 완전히 제거하여 산불이 확산되지 않도록 구축하는 작업이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 일본과 중국의 산불 방화림 조성과 방화선 구축 사례를 조사 분석하여 국내 적용 가능한 기술을 선별하고자 하였다. 그 결과, 산불에 강한 수종을 선발하였고 산불에 강한 숲 조성 방법 및 방화선 구축 방법 등을 도출하였다. 이에 본 연구 결과를 토대로 산림내 주요사찰, 기간시설 및 군사시설 등과 같은 주요시설물이 산불로부터 안전하게 보호되고 피해를 최소화하는데 도움이 될 것으로 사료된다.

• Journal of agriculture & life science
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• v.44 no.6
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• pp.69-78
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• 2010

Haines index which include the rating of atmosphere instability and dryness indicated the potential of the forest fire danger. In this study, the relationships between forest fire occurrence and Haines index were analyzed. The probability of forest fire occurrence was the highest in April and HI 5, 6 and the dryness of atmosphere was higher than the atmosphere instability. Therefore, It was proved that HI affected on the forest fire occurrence and propagation.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.15-20
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• 2009

For the effective management of forest fire, understanding of regional forest fire patterns is needed. In this paper, forest fire ignition and spread characteristics were analyzed based on forest fire statistics. Fire occurrences, burned area, rate of spread, and burned area per fire between 1991 and 2007 were parameterized for the cluster analysis, which results were displayed using GIS to detect spatial patterns of forest fire. Administrative districts such as cities and counties were classified into 5 clusters by fire susceptibility. Metropolitan areas had fire characteristics that were infrequent, slow rate of spread, and small burned area. However, 4 cities and counties showing fast rate of spread, and large burned area, in the eastern regions of Taeback Mountain range, were the most susceptible areas to forest fire. The next vulnerable cities and counties were located in the West and South Coast area.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.259-266
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• 2014

Understanding the forest fire patterns is necessary to comprehend the stability of the forest ecosystems. Thus, researchers have suggested the simulation models to mimic the forest fire spread dynamics, which enables us to predict the forest damage in the scenarios that are difficult to be experimentally tested in laboratory scale. However, many of the models have the limitation that many of them did not consider the complicated environmental factors, such as fuel types, wind, and moisture. In this study, we suggested a simple model with the factors, especially, the geomorphological structure of the forest and two types of fuel. The two fuels correspond to susceptible tree and resistant tree with different probabilities of transferring fire. The trees were randomly distributed in simulation space at densities ranging from 0.5 (low) to 1.0 (high). The susceptible tree had higher value of the probability than the resistant tree. Based on the number of burnt trees, we then carried out the sensitivity analysis to quantify how the forest fire patterns are affected by the structure and tree density. We believe that our model can be a useful tool to explore forest fire spreading patterns.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.454-454
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• 2022

Residents near the fire site are more anxious as they rely only on media information and the government's evacuation order due to the lack of information to understand the progress of the wildfire. Therefore, in the event of a wildfire, we try to understand the inconvenience of not being able to know the progress of the fire and solve it. This makes it possible to check the progress of wildfires and the spread of debris using the system interface (API) and weather data of the thermal infrared satellite image data (NASA FIRMS, Fire Information for Resource Management System), and finally, the purpose of this study. The results are provided through the Web including GIS-based visualization to provide decision-making reference information for evacuation in the event of a forest fire from the perspective of residents.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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• 2008.06a
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• pp.465-470
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• 2008

우리나라는 산림은 단순림이 많고 밀도가 높기 때문에 산불이 한번 발생하면 대형 산불로 확산될 우려가 크다. 이 때문에 산불 발생을 미리 예측하여 대응할 필요가 있다. 산불 발생예측을 위해서는 산불 발생에 영향을 미치는 인자와 산불 발생의 관계를 파악하는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구는 1997년부터 2006년까지 발생한 전국에서 발생한 산불의 point data를 이용하였다. 산불 발생 지점의 지형인자와 지리인자, 그리고 산불 발생 당시의 기상인자로 DB를 구축하고 산불 발생과의 관계를 구명하였다. 지형인자 분석은 고도, 방위, 경사에 따른 산불 발생 빈도를 분석하였고, 그 상관관계를 분석하였다. 지리인자 분석에서는 인구밀도, 산불 발생지역의 접근성(도로에 따른 접근성, 대도시와의 거리에 따른 접근성)에 대한 산불 발생의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 기상인자와 산불 발생의 관계는 전국 76개소에서 관측된 온습도 데이터를 보간한 자료와 산불 발생과의 관계를 분석하였다. 기상인자 분석은 산불이 가장 빈번하게 발생하는 3월 하순, 4월 초순, 4월 중순 자료를 평균하여 산불 발생 빈도와의 상관관계를 분석하고 산불 발생 위험지역을 도출하였다. 본 연구를 통해서 각 인자와 산불 발생의 관계를 분석해보았다. 하지만 각 인자간의 관계를 분석하지 못한 것이 한계점이라고 할 수 있다. 차후 연구에서는 각 인자간의 관련성을 분석하고 산불 발생의 원인과 인자간의 구체적인 인과관계를 밝히는 것도 필요할 것으로 보인다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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• 2011.11a
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• pp.289-293
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• 2011

대형 산불이 발생했을 경우 인접 마을 등에 대한 피난 연구는 국내에서 아직까지 이루어지지 않고 있으며 대부분의 대피 대상자들이 재해 약자들로 구성되어있어 산불 대피에 관한 연구가 필요한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 산불 대피지도 알고리즘을 개발하여 산불의 진행경로 및 확산에 따른 적정한 대피경로를 제시함으로서 인적 피해를 저감하는데 그 목적이 있다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.89-92
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• 2015

In this paper, we propose a method to reduce the fire suppression time. Our suggestions can secure a safe area according to the diffusion path and speed of the fire, forest fire prediction minimize casualties and property damage forests. The existing path prediction method wildfire spread predict the wildfire spread model and speed through topography, weather, fuel factor and the image information. In this case, however, occur to control a large mountain huge costs. Also Focus on the diffusion model predictions and the path identified by the problem arises that insufficient efforts to ensure the safe area. In this paper, we estimate the moving direction and speed of fire at a lower cost, and proposes an algorithm to ensure the safety zone for fire suppression. The proposed algorithm is a technique to analyze the attribute information that temperature, wind, smoke measured over time. According to our algorithm forecast wildfire moving direction and ensure the safety zone. By analyzing the moving speed and the moving direction of the simulated fire in a given environment is expected to be able to quickly reduce the damage to the forest fire fighters.