• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사회적 할인율

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Climate Change and Socioeconomic Change Effects on the Four Major Rivers: An Economic Appraisal (기후변화와 사회경제요인 변화에 따른 4대강의 물부족 피해 추정)

  • Lee, Yoon
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.107-130
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    • 2012
  • Economic analysis of climate change in the Korean peninsula has been conducted in the four major river basins. Although climate change impacts can vary in many terms, typically flood damages from the increase of precipitation and drought from rainless, this research only focused on effects of altering precipitation due to the lack of information and depth-damage functional form in Korea. This research also considered a gamma function of 5 % failure to deal with uncertainty issues in water resources. For the detailed analysis, time different discount rates have been used for short, mid, and long period, viz., 2.76%, 1.45%, and 0.62%, respectively. Over all effects of climate change on four major riverbasins can be summarized as no short period damage except the Han river basin. In the Han river basin, rapid increases of residential water use lead short term water shortage.

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Optimum Population in Korea : An Economic Perspective (한국의 적정인구: 경제학적 관점)

  • Koo, Sung-Yeal
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2005
  • The optimum population of a society or country can be defined as 'the population growth path that maximizes the welfare level of the society over the whole generations of both the present and the future, under the paths allowed by its endowments of production factors such as technology, capital and labor'. Thus, the optimum size or growth rate of population depends on: (i) the social welfare function, (ii) the production function, and (iii)demographic economic interrelationship which defines how the national income is disposed into consumption(birth and education of children included) and savings on the one hand and how the demographic and economic change induced thereby, in turn, affect production capacities on the other. The optimum population growth path can, then, be derived in the process of dynamic optimization of (i) under the constraints of (ii) and (iii), which will give us the optimum population growth rate defined as a function of parameters thereof. This paper estimates the optimum population growth rate of Korea by: specifying (i), (ii), and (iii) based on the recent development of economic theories, solving the dynamic optimization problem and inserting empirical estimates in Korea as the parametric values. The result shows that the optimum path of population growth in Korea is around TFR=1.81, which is affected most sensitively, in terms of the size of the partial elasticity around the optimum path, by the cost of children, share of capital income, consumption rate, time preference, population elasticity of utility function, etc. According to a survey implemented as a follow up study, there are quite a significant variations in the perceived cost of children, time preference rate, population elasticity of utility across different socio-economic classes in Korea, which implied that, compared to their counterparts, older generation and more highly educated classes prefer higher growth path for the population of Korea.

A Study on the Reduction of Traffic Induced Contributions through Installing a Parking Guidance System (주차유도시스템 설치에 따른 교통유발부담금 경감을 위한 연구)

  • Choi, Yang-Won;Cho, Hyun-Seog
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2014
  • There are many traffic problems in a city such as parking, traffic jam caused by traffic induction facility. Therefore it is essential to demand for traffic demand management to building's owner whose building location causes traffic induction. According to the 90s traffic policy, government collects fee for traffic induction facility through traffic policy management and they encourage the building owner to join reduction of traffic jam program by reduction of traffic induction fee. However there are not many buildings owner joined this program because the program is not ghat beneficial. For example, if government set out parking guidance system (part of parking demanding system) in a city, it will reduce to 20% of traffic induced contributions but t can be used only once a year, so it is not efficient to used even it is valuable for about 10 years. In particular, according to the economic efficiency analysis, evaluate economically as net present value (NPV) to 2,160.44 million won, ratio of benefit/cost (B / C) to 2.44 during 10 years. Therefore this research will find out what is necessary for parking guidance system.

Cost-Benefit Analysis on Marine Transportation Safety Facility Using CVM(Contingent Valuation Method) (CVM을 이용한 해상교통안전시설 투자 편익 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyeob;Lee, Gunwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2014.06a
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    • pp.73-75
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    • 2014
  • Marine transportation facility is public goods for the general public and their safety. The study used the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM), a method to estimate economic value of non-market goods, such as environmental goods. In order to analyze economic effects of marine accidents preventable by the VTS, the study estimated costs caused by marine accident cases. It conducted surveys with people and shipping companies in local areas where VTS is to be established in the future. According to a survey with people in areas where marine transportation control center is to be built (Tongyoung), the yearly benefit from building new VTS is estimated at KRW 11billion. If fees are paid in the form of income tax for five years from 2014, corresponding benefits during the same period will reach KRW 47.3 billion in current value. An analysis on economic validity of VTS establishment in Tongyong showed the B/C ration stood at 3.193, far higher than 1. The Net Present Value (NPV) was KRW 32.5 billion and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) turned out to be 37.4% which was higher than social discount rates of 53.5%. On balance, the establishment has reasonable economic validity.

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A Study on the Evaluation of Competitiveness and Economic Feasibility of Ship Repair Industry in Korea (우리나라 수리조선의 경쟁력 및 경제성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dug-Sup;Shin, Sang-Hoon;Shin, Yong-John
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.69-86
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    • 2022
  • This study analyses the necessity of the large-size shipyard and explores competitiveness factors of it. Furthermore, the competitiveness is evaluated and the economic feasibility of building and operation of shipyard is examined. As a result of AHP analysis of the determining factors of the competitiveness of the repairing shipyard, the importance of the factors was found in the order of arrival and departure safety, repair technology, dock and wharf facilities, repair cost, repair period (on time delivery), and repair parts supply. Moving distance, repair service quality, repair parts supply, arrival and departure safety, repair technology, dock and quay wall facilities, and repair period (on time delivery) were identified as key factors in the AHP analysis for competitiveness of the Busan Port repair shipyard to be built in the future. As a result of the analysing economic feasibility, the net present value of the Busan Port repair shipyard construction and operation investment project was KRW 435.6 billion, and the internal rate of return was 9.8%, higher than the social discount rate (4.5%), and the cost-benefit ratio (B/C) was high at 1.167. As a result of the study, the necessity and economic feasibility of the Busan Port repair shipyard are sufficiently ensured, and the competitiveness assessment was highly positive.

The Maritime Environment Impact Assessment of Offshore Floating Wind Power in Ulsan - A Focus on Habitat Equivalence Analysis - (울산 부유식 해상풍력단지 조성에 따른 환경피해의 경제적 가치추정 - 서식지 등가성 분석법을 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Su-Young;Moon, Beom-Sik;Kim, Tae-Goun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.130-137
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    • 2021
  • The main purpose of this study is to provide an objective evaluation standard for the assessment of marine spatial characteristics via Ulsan floating offshore wind power project using HEA.. Various levels of damage occur in the waters (5,017.6) near the floating offshore wind power terminals in Ulsan, including commercial damage, ecological destruction and reduction in quality of life due to seascape damage. Alternative restoration projects for calculating the economic value of damage were selected including artificial reef projects and estimates based on HEA. For basic households with a 4.5% social discount rate and a 100% maturity index over four years, the damage was approximately 457 hundred million won. The HEA in this study resolves the possible irrationality in the evaluation of marine spatial characteristics, since the value is calculated based on objective and clear DATA. Therefore, the study results are intended to facilitate conflict resolution between stakeholders in the future during the implementation of the marine spatial plan.

Financial Feasibility Analysis for the Development of Urban Telecommunication Facility Purpose Site (도심 통신기반시설용지의 개발을 위한 재무타당성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kyungyong;Jeong, Moonoh;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2015
  • The telecommunication industry has been considered as a national fundamental infrastructure. However, due to the rapid evolution of technology and the change of industry market conditions, the telecommunication infrastructure needs no more huge space for facility and it leads its use to the mixed-use development based on private investment. This study intends to examine the financial feasibility of the development project for the optimal alternative use of telecommunication facility purpose site as a case study based on two types: contributed acceptance and multi-level designation. The NPA and IRR has been analyzed by the simulation of stochastic variables including rent price and its variation rate, vacancy rate, construction cost, capitalization rate and discount rate. The research finding indicates that the two types of development are satisfied with the financial feasibility and it is noteworthy that the rent price turns out to be the most critical factor for the project. Accordingly, it is expected that these research finding can be applied for providing the solid cases of financial feasibility analysis for the development project in limited use of telecommunication facility purpose site.

The Economic Feasibility Analysis of Crop Cultivation Practice Project in Pirganj and Kurigram Districts, Bangladesh (작물재배기술의 경제적 타당성 분석 : 방글라데시 피르간즈군과 쿠리그람군 사례)

  • Tabassum, Nazia;Lim, Jae-Hwan;Gim, Uhn-Soon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.85-100
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    • 2008
  • The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) funded collaborative project on The Economic Feasibility Analysis of Crop Cultivation Practice Project in Pirganj and Kurigram Districts in Bangladesh will started during 2008-2012, for 4 years with total project cost of US$ 571,270. The project will be implemented in 6 villages; has 1,097 hectares areas which is divided into 948 hectares of agricultural land, 52 hectares of forest land and 345 hectares of other land, covered 1,059 households equal to 5,305 persons in Pirganj and Kurigram districts The project has proposed to be implemented in joint collaboration by Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council (BARC), Bangladesh Agricultural Research Institute (BARI) and Rangpur Dinajpur Rural Service (RDRS) Bangladesh with full participation of the farmers' groups of respective project site. The specific objectives of the project are: (1) to estimate the productivity of paddy, wheat, maize, tobacco and sugarcane (2) to determine the cost of production and returns to the above mentioned crops (3) to study the interrelationship between inputs and output of the above mentioned crops and (4) to examine the resource utilization patterns at farm level. In this project analysis, the net incremental profit is US$33,028. The expected incremental project benefit and incremented production cost are estimated as US$ 219,959 and US$ 186,931 respectively. The financial decision making criteria would be followed in this crop cultivation practice project. After the project implementation, the expected project benefits are assumed to be continued for 15 years. The benefit cost ratio (B/C) of the project is estimated at 1.077 (table 11) when using discount rate of 10% as an opportunity cost of capital in Bangladesh. FIRR of project is estimated at 26.15% which is bigger than the opportunity cost by more than double. So this project is financially feasible and acceptable. Therefore, this project should be extended to other areas to increase the farm income and economic growth of marginal poor farmers in Bangladesh.

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A Cost-Benefit Analysis on the Introduction of EU REACH to Korea (EU 신화학물질정책(REACH) 도입에 대한 비용편익 분석)

  • Cheong, Hoe-Seog
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.53-79
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    • 2009
  • This study conducted a regulatory impact analysis regarding the introduction of the Korean version of REACH(Registration, Evaluation and Authorization of Chemicals). The direct cost of the Korean REACH is estimated at a total of 101 billion Korean won over the 11 year period. The cost includes pre-registration, testing, registration, Chemical Safety Assessment(CSA) and Chemical Safety Report(CSR), evaluation, and the authorization costs of 15,223 chemical substances produced and imported more than 1 ton per year in Korea in 2006. With regard to the benefit, the only public health benefit is included in the estimation. Based on the available foreign and domestic data, this study estimated that the economic values of public health benefits are in the range of 33.2~138.6 billion Korean won if only the savings of the National Health Expenditures are considered and it reaches 203.9~1,640.3 billion Korean won if the willingness to pay(WTP) for disease prevention is included. This study proved that the Korean REACH passed the cost/benefit criteria. The benefit-cost ratio of the Korean REACH, however, is estimated to be lower than its EU counterpart. Thus it is suggested that a rigorous study to reduce the costs to industry be required before the Korean government introduces the Korean REACH.

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A Study on the Selection of a Bridge Structure Type Using DEA and LCC (DEA기법과 LCC개념을 활용한 교량형식 선정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Sam-Heui;Kim, Jong-Gil
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2013
  • In this study, DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) was carried out on the four bridges, which have the same extension (L=1,615m), in order to select the most superior, economical method of construction using the LCC concept of each bridge structure in the case of the Ulsan-Pohang double track railway which is scheduled to be constructed. DEA models were analyzed with the CCR model, which was designed for the evaluation of relative efficiency of each model. The initial construction costs, maintenance costs, indirect costs (user costs + indirect loss of social costs), and life cycle costs were used as input variables, and average duration was applied as the output variable. LCC was applied to calculate the input variables, and to get the costs of LCC, 100 years of period and 4.83% of real discount rate were applied, and the costs are classified into initial construction, maintenance, user, and indirect loss of social cost. The analysis results showed that the Method 2 and 3 were evaluated as the most efficient, and the other alternatives were evaluated as the following order; Method 1, the default, and Method 4.