• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
• /
• v.9 no.2
• /
• pp.109-134
• /
• 1987

현재 우리나라 공공투자(公共投資)의 비용편익분석(費用便益分析)에서 사용되는 사회적할인율(社會的割引率)은 13%로서 이는 1981년에 산정된 민간부문(民間部門)의 투자수익률(投資收益率)을 근거로 채택된 수준이다. 본고(本稿)에서는 최근 우리나라 경제여건(經濟與件)의 변화를 반영하여 사회적할인율(社會的割引率)의 적정수준을 산정하였다. 분석방법(分析方法)으로서 소비이자율(消費利子率), 생산자이자율(生産者利子率), 그리고 자본비용(資本費用)을 계산하였다. 동시에 OECD, UNIDO, 그리고 세계은행(世界銀行)의 계산방법에 따른 각 할인율(割引率)을 산정하고 그 범위를 제시하였다. 분석결과에 따르면 소비이자율(消費利子率)이 8.3~11.8%, 생산자이자율(生産者利子率)이 7.5~13.5%, 자본비용(資本費用)이 8.3~10.3% 수준을 보이고 있다. OECD 방법(方法)에 의하면 8.9~13.0%, UNIDO 방법(方法)에 따르면 4~10%, 세계은행(世界銀行) 방법(方法)에 의하면 7.0~9.8%로 산정되었다. 이와 같은 분석결과를 종합적으로 검토할 때 우리나라의 사회적할인율(社會的割引率)은 7.0~13.5% 범위로 산정되며 적정할인율(適正割引率)은 10% 수준으로 추정된다.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
• /
• v.12 no.4
• /
• pp.71-92
• /
• 2013

Unlike general public investment projects, when it comes to environmental public investment projects, there is a gap between those who pay the costs, and those who receive the benefits. This is because of the long term nature of environmental investments, which entails that the majority of the costs are paid by the current generation, while the benefits are reaped by future generations. Because of this, when the social discount rate is set at a standard, singular rate, an issue of relative underestimation of the benefits reaped by future generations may occur during the analytic process. This paper begins with the recognition of this problem, and attempts to estimate a suitable social discount rate that can be applied to environmental investment projects. Taking into account recent economic situations, the social discount rate is currently being estimated at between 2.9 ~ 4.9%. Also, this paper used preliminary feasibility studies that took place so far, to analyze the standard pattern of benefit generation. This revealed that alterations in social discount rates can bring significant changes in economic feasibility test results. Simulation results showed that roughly 6% of B/C ratios could be increased by 1%p. resulting in a decrease in social discount rates. Also if we use hyperbolic discount rates, instead of using the current singular rate, there would be a meaningful increase in the benefits for the future generation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.28 no.2
• /
• pp.65-75
• /
• 2010

When the cost-benefit analysis is applied for social discount rate(SDR), the choice of SDR to be used in analysis is critical. One of the important issues when public investment project evaluate what is the SDR theory, so there have studied about SDR and no exact answer it so far. In this study, there are three of SDR theories that be estimated social time preference rate, social investment returns and the weighted average method from 1990s, 2000 to 2003 and 2004 to 2008.. First, social time preference method computes consumer's interest rate and the model of Pearce and Ulph(1999). Second, social investment returns method computes private returns of capital. Third, the weighted average method computes the model of Squire, L., Herman G. van der Tak(1975) and private consumption expense and the private investment expense. SDR is estimated in the rage between 2.4% and 3.9% from 2004 to 2008. It is not appropriate that the interest rate was unstable. But it is consider for social equity from present to future generations. Considering this things, downward need to the value of current SDR 5.5%.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
• /
• v.81 no.3
• /
• pp.280-286
• /
• 1992

When the social cost-benefit analysis is applied for analyzing the public forestry investment, the choice of discount rate to be used in analysis is critical. In this paper, the social discount rate discussed in the public economics was introduced and the social time preference rate as a measure of that was estimated for Korea. The component parameters of the model used are : the elasticity of social marginal utility of consumption and the growth rate of real consumption. The results for the social time preference rate and the elasticity of social marginal utility of consumption are 6.2% and -1.38, respectively, which are plausible and thus can be used as a useful basis in establishing rational resource allocation policies.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
• /
• v.24 no.1
• /
• pp.85-107
• /
• 2015

This study analyzes the effect of applying hyperbolic social discount rate onto the results of benefit-cost analysis of environmental public investment projects in Korea. In order to check the application possibility to the actual feasibility study, the discount factors generated by hyperbolic function, rather than traditional exponential one, would be applied to the benefit and cost data from the pre-feasibility studies which peformed for environmental public investment projects. The results of this study shows that using hyperbolic social discount rate is effective for enhancing test results, only under the condition of which the full expansion of the time periods of analysis is satisfied. According to the simulation results of this study, to achieve higher benefit/cost ratio by using hyperbolic social discount rate, the period should be increased up to 120 to 150 years at least.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2023.05a
• /
• pp.446-446
• /
• 2023

우리나라는 물의 재이용 촉진 및 지원에 관한 법률에 따라 수자원의 지속 가능한 이용을 목적으로 빗물이용시설의 설치 및 운영을 법·제도적으로 의무화하고 있으며, 위 법에 근거하여 지방자치단체에서는 빗물이용시설의 설치를 장려하기 위한 재정 지원 정책을 시행하고 있다. 환경 투자사업의 일환인 빗물이용시설 설치 사업은 장기간에 대한 경제성 분석이 요구되며, 분석에 이용된 경제성 분석 방법 및 사회적 할인율에 따라 분석 결과가 상이할 수 있다. 이에 따라, 이 연구에서는 순현재가치와 편익-비용 비율을 비교·검토하여 빗물이용시설의 경제성 분석에 적합한 방법을 제시하였으며, 경제성 분석에서 불확실한 요소인 사회적 할인율과 물가상승률에 대한 민감도 분석을 통해 두 요소의 불확실성을 평가하였다. 분석 대상 시설은 인천 청라지구 1공구에 계획된 빗물이용시설이며, 경제성 분석 기간은 지방공기업법 시행규칙에 제시된 건축물의 내용 연수인 30년으로 하였다. 편익-비용 비율을 이용하여 빗물이용시설의 경제성을 분석한 결과, 저류용량이 285 m³에서 최대 수익률이 나타났으며, 순현재가치는 저류용량이 1105 m³일 때 최대 수익이 발생하는 것으로 분석되었다. 분석 대상 지역의 경우에 285 m³에 대한 양적 신뢰도는 7.3%로 빗물이용시설의 효과를 기대하기 어려운 결과이며, 이와 같은 결과는 편익-비용 비율이 사업의 경제성을 수익률로 평가함에 따라 투자 규모를 반영하지 않는 한계로 인한 것으로 판단된다. 사회적 할인율과물가상승률에 대한 민감도 분석 결과, 사회적 할인율이 낮아지고 물가상승률이 높아짐에 따라 빗물이용시설의 저류용량과 그에 상응하는 최대 순현재가치가 커지는 경향을 보였다. 이는 미래가치를 높게 평가할수록 빗물이용시설의 저류용량이 크게 설계될 수 있음을 의미한다.

• Management & Information Systems Review
• /
• v.36 no.1
• /
• pp.21-40
• /
• 2017

This study is to examine the effects of marketing communications strategies which are also buying brand image and beauty services supplier discount information on consumer attitudes. Beauty service providers will have to consider that price discounts are worried impact on the brand image and purchase intentions. In this study, an empirical analysis demonstrated the impact on the brand image, price discount and discounts way. Discount in this study was shown to negatively affect the brand image, there is also a purchased showed a positive impact. Therefore, the proposed price reductions only way to save off the asking price was lower this distinction and professionalism. On the other hand, intent-upon price discount were positive. If such a price discount if the discount just present attitude towards the use of low discount rates but suggested it was found that the intent is absolutely high.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
• /
• v.1 no.2
• /
• pp.163-177
• /
• 2010

This study analyzes the economies of photovoltaic systems in an apartment complex of 1,185 households, in cases of feed-in tariff and subsidy for solar home program of the government. When including the revenue only from electricity sales, NPVs of subsidy and that of feed-in tariff are -560 million KRW and -87 million KRW respectively. With the avoided social cost included without the revenues from CERs, NPVs of subsidy and feed-in tariff are -556 million KRW and -84 million KRW respectively. With the revenues from CERs, NPV of subsidy is -526 million KRW and NPV of feed-in tariff is -54 million KRW. As results of sensitivity analysis based on the changes in capital costs and discount rates, while all scenarios with subsidy including the revenues from CERs are not commercially viable, all scenarios with feed-in tariff exclusive of the revenues from CERs are commercially viable when discount rate is less than 7.2% or capital cost is less than 6,840 thousand KRW/kW. In the cases that include the avoided social cost, while all scenarios with subsidy including the avoided social cost as well as the revenues from CERs are not commercially viable, all scenarios with feed-in tariff are commercially viable without the revenues from CERs when discount rate is less than 7.2% or capital cost is less than 6,856 thousand KRW/KW. The results indicate that the changes in discount rates do not influence the revenues from CERs, but the revenues from electricity sale. Considering that the number of apartment complex and the positive environmental and social benefits from PV system, government needs to promote its diffusion.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
• /
• 2010.07a
• /
• pp.393-396
• /
• 2010

생산자로부터 고객에 이르는 상품 공급 활동을 관리하는 경영기법인 공급사슬관리(SCM)는 기존의 폐쇄적이고 정적인 환경에서 개방적이고 동적인 환경으로 변화하고 있다. 이러한 변화에 대응하기 위한 실험이나 연구는 부족한 상황이다. TAC SCM은 동적인 SCM 환경에서 다른 경쟁자들과의 경쟁을 통하여 다양한 SCM 전략을 시험할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 실시간 SCM 환경에서 능동적 할인 전략을 적용한 에이전트를 설계 및 구현하였다. 능동적 할인은 입찰 성공률에 따라 할인율을 변경하여 적용하여 항상 일정한 생산량을 보유할 수 있도록 한다. 본 연구의 실험 결과에서 제안한 에이전트가 서버에서 제시한 Dummy 에이전트보다도 높은 수익과 안정된 생산을 할 수 있음을 보였다.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
• /
• v.26 no.4
• /
• pp.383-390
• /
• 2002

The time cost of ship end cargoes is one of the most important data for decision-making of port investment and operational efficiency. Studies in this area were initiated internationally by Goss and Mann in late 70's and also done in Korea 10 years ago using the same methodology as Goss. The main purpose of this paper is to revisit to estimate the time cost using updated data. The estimation was undertaken sampling data on various investment and operating costs by vessel from 205 vessels, comprising 47.5％ of the notional fleet in Korea as well as on cargoes from international trade statistics. Compared with the study of 10 years ago, major finding of this research is that time costs of liquid and dry bulk carriers have increased, in case of the former type, showing almost doubled cost increase. The increase is deemed to be caused by very expensive LNG carriers. Lowered social discount rate in this study compared with 10 years ago, in general, has mused the costs to stay at similar level to the previous study. Sensitivity tests were conducted using various social discount rates.