• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사고피해영향 분석

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Consequence Analysis Using Release Scenario of API-581 BRD for Gas Explosion by Vessel Release (용기누출로 인한 가스 폭발사고에서 API-581 절차의 누출 시나리오에 의한 사고결과 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Ok;Lee, Hern-Chang;Cho, Ji-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.11 no.2 s.35
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2007
  • For consequence analysis at a gas explosion by vessel release, release rates, demage areas of facilities, and fatality areas were estimated and analyzed at various conditions(release materials, temperatures, pressures, and vessel types) by using the release scenario of API-581 BRD. Simulation results showed that release rates and consequences in the vessel release were higher than those in the pipe release, and the order of release rates and damage areas was as follows; tank>reactor>drum> column.

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Analysis of the Impact of Fire and Explosion Accidents due to LNG Leaks in the LNG Re-gasification Process (LNG 재기화 공정에서 LNG 누출에 따른 화재 및 폭발사고의 피해영향 분석)

  • Lee, Yoon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.825-833
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    • 2018
  • In this study, one calculated the range of damage to the combustion characteristics according to the composition of LNG and the size of leaking holes, and analyzed the damage effect in case of leakage accidents caused by pipe damage in the re-gasification process for the LNG supply system. In order to confirm the combustion characteristics according to LNG composition, there was no significant difference in the result of risk analysis by LNG-producing areas. However, the higher the methane content of the components, the lower the risk of flash fire, hazardous areas of overpressure due to explosion, and thermal radiation damage caused by jet fire. In addition, one investigated the effect of leakage, holes, and ruptures on the risk range and explosions according to the size of the pipe-leakage hole. Also, the influence of overpressure and the range of damage from radiant heat could be predicted. One confirmed the effect of LNG composition and pipe-leakage size on fire and explosion.

Estimation of Risk and Optimal Route to Transport Hazardous Materials -Application to Metropolitan Area- (위험물 수송을 위한 위험도 및 최적경로산정 -수도권 사례를 중심으로-)

  • 조용성;오세창
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 1999
  • 위험물차량사고는 일반차량의 교통사고시 발생하는 인명피해, 재산피해, 교통지체 외에 부가적으로 환경적 영향에 의한 엄청난 인명 및 재산손실을 유발시킬 수 있다. 따라서 이러한 위험물차량사고를 예방하고 피해를 최소로 줄이기 위해서는 위험물수송경로의 신중하고 체계적인 결정이 필수적이라 할 수 있다. 따라서, 본 연구는 위험물차량의 수송경로를 결정할 때 고려해야 할 여러 가지의 기준 및 목표에 따라 위험물수송경로를 설정하는 모형을 제시함으로써 위험물수송에 수반되는 위험을 최소화하면서 위험물차량의 통행시간, 거리, 비용 등을 최적화하여 위험물수송의 안전 및 운영효율성을 향상시키고자 한다. 먼저, 위험물 수송경로의 기준지표로 사용될 위험도를 나타내기 위해 사고율과 피해가능규모를 구하도록 사 고건수, 링크 주변노출인구, 링크상의 노출인구, 밀도 등을 변수로 하는 모형식을 제안하고, 두 번째로 위험물 수송을 위한 최적경로를 산출하기 위해 위험도와 통행시간을 목적함수로 하는 다목적계획모형을 제안하였고 기존의 최적경로 알고리즘을 적용하여 최적경로를 산출하였다. 마지막으로 실제 수도권지역을 대상으로 본 연구에서 제안한 모형을 적용하고 현재 일반적으로 사용되는 최단경로와 비교.분석하였다. 모형적용결과, 링크주변인구만을 고려하는 기존 모형에 비해 링크상의 인구를 함께 고려함으로써 좀더 실제적으로 교통상황을 충분히 반영한 피해규모를 산정하였다. 또한, 본 연구에서 제안한 위험도와 통행시간에 0.5의 비중을 주는 다목적모형이 기존의 위험도모형에 비해 충분한 안전성을 확보하면서 최소 4%, 최대 12%의 통행시간 개선의 효과가 있음을 나타냈다.

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A study on the case analysis of Nitric acid chemical accident and establishment of preventive measures (질산 화학사고 사례분석 및 독성피해 영향범위에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Seung;Shin, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.488-496
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    • 2020
  • This study was based on nitrate chemical accidents at home and abroad. Toxic gases due to adverse reactions are generated in the workplace, laboratory, hospital, container damage, and chemical misinjection. Through a case review of possible situations and safety, this study analyzed various cases of accidents, accident status, accident type, cause of the accident, location of the accidents, etc. from 2014 to 2018. The plans for improvement in education and nitrate accidents were reviewed. As a result, 36 nitrate chemical accidents were investigated, including 16 careless worker accidents, eight transportation accidents, and 12 facilities shortages. Nitrate chemical accidents are occurring continuously. Based on this, the range of toxic effects using CARIS was calculated at the worst-case scenario, and the effective response range was measured through the damage impact range. For this purpose, the impact range was predicted based on the strengthening of safety education, emergency action plan and correlation, and the quantified data was identified. In addition, the reliability of the scope of impact was reviewed based on the correlation formula that could facilitate the evacuation of residents, and it was applied to actual accident scenarios of the workplace to present the effects of the accident response and preventive measures.

A Study on Establishing a system for monitoring chemical complex (화학단지 모니터링체계 구축방안 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-Woo;Chun, Young-Woo;Cho, Myeong-heum
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2016.11a
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    • pp.302-303
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    • 2016
  • 최근 화학사고는 '10년 15건에서 '15년 111건으로 급속히 증가되고 있다. 이는 기존 산업시설의 노후화와 더불어 사용량 증가에 기인한 것으로 판단된다. 화학사고를 관리하기 위해서는 예방, 대비, 대응, 복구 단계별 대책 마련이 필요하다. 특히, 재난사고의 피해를 저감시키기 위해서는 현장중심의 위험물질에 대한 모니터링을 통해 신속히 위험을 감지하는 기술이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 화학단지 모니터링체계 구축을 위해 공간정보 기반의 위험물질 정보를 구축하였다. 또한 실시간 기상정보의 취득 및 처리를 위한 기반을 마련하였다. 실시간 기상정보를 활용하여 화학단지 내 바람장 분석을 통해 지점별로 풍향, 풍속을 산정하고 이를 기반으로 지형, 지물을 고려한 화학사고 발생시 그에 따르는 영향범위에 대한 분석을 실시하였다.

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Environmental Damage to Nearby Crops by Hydrogen Fluoride Accident (불화수소 누출사고 사례를 통한 주변 농작물의 환경피해)

  • Kim, Jae-Young;Lee, Eunbyul;Lee, Myeong Ji
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2019
  • BACKGROUND: Hydrogen fluoride is one of the 97 accident preparedness substances regulated by the Ministry of Environment (Republic of Korea) and chemical accidents should be managed centrally due to continual occurrence. Especially, hydrogen fluoride has a characteristic of rapid diffusion and very toxic when leaking into the environment. Therefore, it is important to predict the impact range quickly and to evaluate the residual contamination immediately to minimize the human and environmental damages. METHODS AND RESULTS: In order to estimate the accident impact range, the off-site consequence analysis (OCA) was performed to the worst and alternative scenarios. Also, in order to evaluate the residual contamination of hydrogen fluoride in crop, the samples in accident site were collected from 15-divided regions (East direction from accident sites based on the main wind direction), and the concentration was measured by fluoride ($F^-$) ion-selective electrode potentiometer (ISE). As a result of the OCA, the affected distance by the worst scenario was estimated to be >10 km from the accident site and the range by the alternative scenario was estimated to be about 1.9 km. The residual contamination of hydrogen fluoride was highest in the samples near the site of the accident (E-1, 276.82 mg/kg) and tended to decrease as it moved eastward. Meanwhile, the concentrations from SE and NE (4.96~28.98 mg/kg) tended to be lower than the samples near the accident site. As a result, the concentration of hydrogen fluoride was reduced to a low concentration within 2 km from the accident site (<5 mg/kg), and the actual damage range was estimated to be around 2.2 km. Therefore, it is suggested that the results are similar to those of alternative accident scenarios calculated by OCA (about 1.9 km). CONCLUSION: It is difficult to estimate the chemical accident-affecting range/region by the OCA evaluation, because it is not possible to input all physicochemical parameters. However simultaneous measurement of the residual contamination in the environment will be very helpful in determining the diffusion range of actual chemical accident.

A Factor Analysis and Regression-Based Prediction Model of Security Deposit Scam Amount for Preventing Rental Scam (부동산 전세사기 예방을 위한 요인 분석 및 회귀 분석 기반 전세보증사고 금액 예측 모델)

  • Seo Jung Ha;Se Hyeon Oh;Soh Jung Ban;Ji Youn Lee;Hyon Hee Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2024.05a
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    • pp.554-555
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    • 2024
  • 전세 사기로 인한 피해가 해마다 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 부동산 가격과 대출 데이터를 통해 전세 사기의 원인을 분석하고, 이에 대한 대처방안을 제시하였다. 데이터 분석 결과, 주택 가격의 상승과 부동산 정책의 변화가 전세사기에 주요한 영향을 미친다는 것과, 전세사기 사건 수와 부동산 가격 상승 사이에 높은 상관관계가 나타남을 확인했다. 또한, 회귀분석을 사용하여 연도에 따른 전세보증사고 금액 예측 모델을 구축하였다. 이를 토대로 부동산 시장 안정화와 함께 개인 및 정부 차원의 협력이 강화된다면 전세사기 피해를 줄일 수 있을 것이라 기대된다.

Analysis on Impact and Recovery Effectiveness of Hebei Sprit Oil Spill Accident for Living and Production Environment (허베이 스피리트호 유류유출 사고에 따른 생활 및 생산환경에 대한 영향 및 복원체감연구)

  • Lee, Moon-Suk;Kwon, Suk-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2011
  • The underlying principle of environmental conservation and restoration is to receive continuous services from nature. In this context, the basic objective of oil spill response and recovery activities is to allow affected residents to retain sustainability of their daily livelihood and productive environment. Hence, monitoring the status of socio-economic impact and the extent of restoration is an important parameter in the restoration effort to repair the damaged functions of environmental services with oil spill accident. However, assessment of socio-economic impact poses investigators with much difficulties in selecting the most appropriate approaches because the process often involves various stakeholders, directly and indirectly. Moreover, the analyses and interpretation of the results also pose a great challenge. The present study monitored fisheries and tourism numbers which were considered as major local socio-economic indicators of living and production environment affected by M/T Hebei Spirit oil-spill accident. This monitoring was conducted by examining the published papers and statistical reports. This was supplemented by surveying how the local residents actually felt about the damage and recovery for the first time in Korea. The results showed that the rate of the recovery was about 40~50 %, and the rate of the recovery seemed to be slowed or decreased. However, what the local residents actually felt was 2~10 points less than the literature surveys and statistical reports. These results suggested limits to using only the literature and statistical surveys for the traditional socio-economic impact assessment. The study also showed the need to include in the impact assessment process what and how the local residents actual feel about the oil spill damage and recovery process.

A Study on the Analysis of Urban Highways Traffic Accident's Impact Factors Based on Building Discriminant Models - In Busan Metropolitan City - (판별모델 구축에 따른 도시고속도로의 교통사고 영향요인 분석에 관한 연구 - 부산지역 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Jeong, Yong-Hwa;Choi, Yang-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.1269-1278
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    • 2014
  • The urban highway, which is a motorway constructed to solve traffic issues, has the characteristic of extremely high damage to life during traffic accidents because the speed of vehicles is higher than typical roadways. In particular, because traffic accidents involving serious injuries hold a very important place among overall traffic accidents, analysis on factors affecting the occurrence of traffic accidents involving serious injuries must be considered with priority when establishing a reduction measure. Therefore, the study built a model that was capable of distinguishing the degree of the factors as part of microscopic analysis for investigating the complex effect of many elements concerning the occurrence of traffic accidents involving serious injuries in urban highways. The results are as follows. First, discriminant model showed a comparatively high level in overall accuracy rates, and, considering the correlation ratio, the models were determined to be valid, as all characteristics of the factors were clearly distinguished. Second, the problems of traffic accidents involving serious injuries on urban highways according to each factor, were clearly drawn out through the discriminant model. Third, the improvement measure for the problems drawn out from the discriminant models were clearly proposed.

Quantitative Analysis of Damage Impacts in case of Bunkering NH3 from Tank Lorry to Fishing Vessel (어선-탱크로리 간의 NH3 이적 시 누출에 따른 정량적 피해영향분석)

  • Lim, Sang-Jin;Choi, Bu-Hong;Lee, Yoon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.10-20
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    • 2022
  • About 21% of domestic chemical accidents are caused by transport vehicles for the past 10 years in Korea. Also, ammonia is a chemical substance with the largest number of accidents, 82 out of 672. In this study, supposed seasonal alternative scenario and worst scenario in case of releasing ammonia during bunkering it from tank lorry to fishing vessel and interpreted seasonal impact and range through Python, ALOHA, Probit analysis. Radiation impact range of possibility for 2nd burn and for maximum radiation in winter scenario, which is one of the alternative scenarios, was the highest(range: 41m, radiation: 5.01kW/m2) while overpressure impact was less than minimum standard of impact. And toxicity impact range(EPRG-2) of the summer scenario was the widest(5.0km) and took a very high death rate near accident area(port area, tourist area) according to Probit analysis. the wort scenario had a similar impact and range of summer scenario.