• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.29-40
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• 2008

Although a good understanding of the relationship between highway traffic accidents and highway geometric features is fundamental in highway design and safety, the relationship is not well understood quantitatively. The overall goal of this paper is to formulate a reliable statistical model fitting to historical highway accident data. The model can be used to estimate the effect of road design elements on safety for the practical purposes of highway design applications. En route to achieving this goal, a number of specific research objectives were accomplished: investigate the major design elements affecting highway safety; review the existing modeling approaches in order to assess the relationship between safety and highway design features; and formulate a statistical model fitting to the accident data in order to estimate the interchange ramp junction accident frequency of rural highways.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.131-143
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• 2012

The past researches on roadway segment safety estimation focused on intersections, which are the primary traffic accident regions. The past researches on roadway segments, However, analyzed the effects of certain factors on the traffic accident occurrence rate by organizing the individual geometric structures of the roads, and there is still a dearth of researches on the development of a traffic accident estimation model for rural roadway segments. Therefore, this research focused on rural two-lane and multilane roadway segments and developed traffic accident estimation models through the application of statistical techniques. This is required to explain such high frequency of zero counts in the traffic accident data. In this research, it was found that the Hurdle model is more suitable than the Poisson or negative binomial-regression model for explaining the excess zeros case. In addition, main variables were chosen to estimate their effects on traffic accident occurrence at rural roadway segments, and the safety at such rural roadway segments was estimated. In this research, it was assumed that there are different factors that affect the safety at two-way lane and multilane roadway segments, and a traffic accident estimation model was developed by dividing the two-way lane and multilane roadway segments.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.128-141
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• 2018

In this paper, a methodology to analyze the potential safe benefit of six cooperative driver assistance systems via V2V (vehicle-to-vehicle) communications is proposed. Although it is quite necessary to assess social impact with respect to new safety technologies for cooperative vehicles with V2V communications, there are few studies in Korea to predict the quantitative safety benefit analysis. In this study, traffic accident scenarios are classified based on traffic fatality between passenger cars. The sequential collision type is classified for a multiple pile-up with respect to collision direction such as forward, side, head-on collisions. Then movement of surrounding vehicle is considered for the scenario classification. Next, the cooperative driver assistance systems such as forward collision warning, blind spot detection, and intersection movement assistance are related with the corresponding accident scenarios. Finally, it is summarized how much traffic fatality may be reduced potentially due to the V2V communication based safety services.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.33-38
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• 2012

Analysis on gas accidents by types occurred has been made to prevent the recurrence of accidents, through analysis of past history of gas accident occurring environment. The number of gas accidents has been decreasing, but still accidents are occurring steadily. Gas-using environment and gas accidents are estimated to be closely connected since gas-using types are changing by time period, weather, etc. in terms of accident contents. As a result of analysing gas accidents by 7 meteorological elements, such as the mean temperature, the highest temperature, the lowest temperature, relative humidity, the amount of clouds, precipitation and wind velocity, it has been found out that gas accidents are influenced by temperature or relative humidity, and accident occurs more frequently when the sky is clean and wind velocity is slow. Possibility of gas accidents can be provided in real time, using the proposed model made to predict gas accidents in connection with the weather forecast service. Possibility and number of gas accidents will be checked real time by connecting to the business system of Korea Gas Safety Corp., and it is considered that it would be positively used for preventing gas accidents.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.46 no.3
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• pp.227-235
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• 2022

The purpose of this study was to analyze the risk and vulnerability of marine accidents based on statistical data on marine accidents at Ulsan Port, which has the largest amount of liquid cargo in Korea. It was found to be quite vulnerable to the risk of marine accidents, environmental damage, and vulnerability to environmental pollution accidents. Based on analysis results, marine accident scenarios and accident response strategies were prepared. Additionally, as a response strategy to prepare for large-scale marine pollution accidents at Ulsan Port, it is necessary to establish control equipment and infrastructure, as well as establish a control center to integrate marine accident safety functions. In particular, in the case of liquid cargo specialized ports such as Ulsan Port, considering the size of the cargo volume and the frequency of marine pollution accidents, it is urgent to build professional safety management institutions, which should make the port safer.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.52 no.6
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• pp.750-754
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• 2014

Quantitative risk analysis has been performed for a pervaporation process for production of high test peroxide. Potential main accidents are explosion and fire caused by a decomposition reaction. As the target process has a laboratory scale, the consequence is considered to belong to Category 3. An event tree has been developed as a model for occurrence of a decomposition reaction in the target process. The probability functions of the accident causes have been established based on the frequency data of similar events. Using the constructed model, the failure rate has been calculated. The result indicates that additional safety devices are required in order to achieve an acceptable risk level, i.e. an accident frequency less than $10^{-4}/yr$. Therefore, a layer of protection analysis has been applied. As a result, it is suggested to introduce inherently safer design to avoid catalytic reaction, a safety instrumented function to prevent overheating, and a relief system that prevents explosion even if a decomposition reaction occurs. The proposed method is expected to contribute to developing safety management systems for various chemical processes including concentration of hydrogen peroxide.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.49-54
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• 2015

The purpose of this study is to assess the risk of depending on the presence or absence of safety device of domestic heating and drying furnaces, by derivation and analysis of accident frequency of safety devices through FTA (Fault Tree Analysis). Installation standards are lacking in Korean for the safety device of LPG heating and drying furnace, which have a risk of explosion due to structure to trap the leaked gas. Four different safety devices were selected on the basis of NFPA and national standards for combustors of other equipment. Effects of frequency reduction in accidents were analyzed before and after installing the safety devices respectively. As a result, a minimal leakage safety device was presented for preventing damages from gas leak of domestic LPG heating and drying furnace.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.6D
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• pp.577-585
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• 2010

Traffic accidents are caused by several factors such as drivers, vehicles, and road environment. It is necessary to investigate and analyze them in advance to prevent similar and repetitive traffic accidents. Especially, the human factor is most significant element and traffic accidents by drinking-driving caused from human factor have become social problem to be paid attention to. The study analyzes traffic accidents resulting from drinking-driving and the effects of driver's attributes and environmental factors on them. The study is composed as two parts. First, the log-linear model is applied to analyze that accidents by drinking or non-drinking driving associate with road geometry, weather condition and personal characteristics. Probability is tested for drinking-driving accidents relative to non-drinking drive accidents. The study analyzes probability differences between genders, between ages, and between kinds of vehicles through odds multipliers. Second, traffic accidents related to drinking are classified into property damage, minor injury, heavy injury, and death according to their severity. Heavy injury is more serious than minor one and death is more serious than heavy injury. The ordinal regression models are established to find effecting factors on traffic accident severity.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.146-160
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• 2023

Purpose: The construction industry is a complex mechanism in which multiple processes are carried out at the same time, and the frequency and severity of accidents account for a higher proportion than other industries, and the accident fatality rate also accounts for more than 50% of all industries. In order to reduce such accidents, the government's disaster investigation method analyzes the limitations from the system safety point of view and proposes improvement plans. Method: The main contents of the government's serious accident investigation were identified, and the effectiveness/adequacy was analyzed from the system safety point of view. Result: Disaster investigation and analysis techniques tailored to violations and compliance were limited in providing fundamental solutions, and alternatives for accident prevention were possible for each component of the system when safety constraints, controls, and hierarchical interactions were combined. Conclusion: When combining the disaster investigation and analysis method from the current accident analysis method from the perspective of system safety, it is possible to identify the problems of interaction by class and communication process, so it is possible to suggest alternatives to prevent accidents from an integrated perspective.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2013.10a
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• pp.53-55
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• 2013

우리나라의 최근 수년간 선박의 교통관련 사고(충돌, 좌초, 접촉)를 분석해 보면 가장 많이 일어나는 사고가 충돌이고, 그 다음으로 많이 발생하는 사고는 좌초이다. 그동안 충돌 사고에 관한 연구는 활발히 진행되었지만, 그에 반해 좌초의 사고 빈도가 높음에도 불구하고 많은 연구가 이루어지지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 선박이 아닌 제 3의 위치에서 실시간으로 좌초 위험도를 계산하는 모델을 연구하였다. 위험도를 수심, DCPA, TCPA를 이용하여 0~100의 값으로 산출하였으며, 이 연구의 최종 목표는 전자해도 상에 색상을 달리하여 해역 전체의 위험도를 표시하는 프로그램을 개발하는 것이다.