• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사고모형

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A Study on The Problem in Policy of Korean Resident Registration Number: On Basis of Freedom of Data Provision (현행 주민번호제도의 문제점에 관한 연구: 정보 제공 자유도를 기반으로)

  • Rhee, Hae-kyung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2016
  • Although the problem of personal data leakage is reported to be serious, there has been no research that tries to excavate out that real cause of the leakage in scientific prospective. Although this topic is considered to be crucial, there have been no literatures relevant to the topic, and the reason for this limitation is that scientific approach to this problem was not feasible. In this respect, in this paper a model for such scientific analysis and a methodology of analysis have been devised. Results show that the degree of rigidity turns out be the determinant that vindicates the degree of leakage. The notion of data rigidity is revealed to be very strongly correlated to the number of hacking incidents in each country. The notion of resident data freedom was then deployed in this paper to determine the world-wide ranking for a slew of different countries. The United Kingdom and the Republic of Korea turned out to be the two extreme countries that lie in the spectrum of the scale, with UK the most flexible and ROK one of the most rigid.

Development of Programs to Enhance the Scientific Creativity - Based on Theory and Examples - (과학 창의성 계발을 위한 프로그램 개발 - 이론과 예시를 중심으로 -)

  • Han, Ki-Soon;Kim, Byung-No;Choe, Seung-Urn;Jung, Hyun-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.334-348
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    • 2002
  • In this study we have developed programs to enhance the scientific creativity by reviewing literature on the creativity and analyzing the theoretical models related to gifted education. The scientific creativity is regarded as the process of problem solving and problem finding, in particular, solving and finding the ill-defined but significant problems. In general, the important components of the scientific creativity are considered as the scientific knowledge, process skill, divergent/critical thinking, ill-defined problem, and problem finding. The program developed for the purpose of the study is composed of three stages based on Renzulli's model : general exploratory activities, group training activities and individual and small group investigations of real problems. The developed program in this study consists of 4 themes, 15 school hours in the earth science area. The process and products of the program development as well as the background of the present research are described and discussed in detail.

Macro-Level Accident Prediction Model using Mobile Phone Data (이동통신 자료를 활용한 거시적 교통사고 예측 모형 개발)

  • Kwak, Ho-Chan;Song, Ji Young;Lee, In Mook;Lee, Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.98-104
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    • 2018
  • Macroscopic accident analyses have been conducted to incorporate transportation safety into long-term transportation planning. In macro-level accident prediction model, exposure variable(e.g. a settled population) have been used as fundamental explanatory variable under the concept that each trip will be subjected to a probable risk of accident. However, a settled population may be embedded error by exclusion of active population concept. The objective of this research study is to develop macro-level accident prediction model using floating population variable(concept of including a settled population and active population) collected from mobile phone data. The concept of accident prediction models is introduced utilizing exposure variable as explanatory variable in a generalized linear regression with assumption of a negative binomial error structure. The goodness of fit of model using floating population variable is compared with that of the each models using population and the number of household variables. Also, log transformation models are additionally developed to improve the goodness of fit. The results show that the log transformation model using floating population variable is useful for capturing the relationships between accident and exposure variable and generally perform better than the models using other existing exposure variables. The developed model using floating population variable can be used to guide transportation safety policy decision makers to allocate resources more efficiently for the regions(or zones) with higher risk and improve urban transportation safety in transportation planning step.

Modeling the Value of RFID System using Value-Focused Thinking (가치 중심 사고를 적용한 RFID 시스템의 가치 모형 개발)

  • Son, Kyung-Won;Cho, Sung-Ku;Yeom, Se-Kyoung;Chung, Seung-Hyun
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.204-215
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    • 2012
  • Recently, more and more firms are considering the adoption of RFID technology because it is expected to make process automation easier and has many different application areas. A review of existing studies about RFID adoption methodology shows that the most of the proposed methodologies are mainly based on economic evaluations. However, in the near future when the adoption and diffusion of RFID become major forces among business firms, it would surely have some limits to decide its adoption solely on the basis of economic considerations. In order for all the important strategic objectives to be considered during the major decision processes, it is necessary to make explicit what the decision makers really want to achieve from the RFID system. In this paper, we propose a general value model of RFID system which can provide an overall vision of all values RFID adoption may offer and a way to search and evaluate alternatives on the basis of these values. Especially, this model contains not only opportunities but also risks of RFID adoption so that a balanced consideration can be made. The model building process was essentially based on the 'value-focused thinking' approach proposed by R. Keeney. The proposed model is expected to provide insights about what to do in the process of introduction in order to maximize the potential benefits and minimize the negative risks. Referring to this value model, the important decisions would have greater chance to be based on a balanced consideration of opportunities and risks.

An Experimental Study of Direct Containment Heating Phenomena (격납용기 직접가열 현상에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Chanyoung Chung;Gyoodong Jeun;Bang, Kwang-Hyun;Kim, Moohwan
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.413-423
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    • 1993
  • This paper reports an experimental study of direct containment heating (DCH) which would occur if the primary system pressure is still high at the time of vessel breach during a light water reactor core melt accident. The experiments were conducted in 1/30-scale cavity models of Kori unit 1 and 2 and Young Kwang unit 3 and 4 nuclear power plants. One 1/20-scale model of the Kori plant was also used to investigate the scaling effect. The primary variables in the experiments were initial vessel pressure, vessel breach size and cavity geometry. It is observed that higher initial pressure and larger breach size enhance the melt dispersal fraction. Also, the cavity geometry appears to affect the dispersal rate greatly. A simple correlation of melt dispersal fraction is proposed in terms of nondimensional effective period. This correlation shows good agreement with the present experimental data, the KAIST data and the BNL data.

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A Development of the Accident Prediction Models Considering Compound Curves (복합선형 사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Soo-Il;Won, Jai-Mu;Im, Ji-Hee;Lee, Jae-Myung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.84-88
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    • 2010
  • The main point of this study is to find ways to prevent accidents at complex linear sections in advance by improving geometric structure elements that can be considered from the designing stage. Complex linear roads are consisted of sections where straight sections connect with curved sections or sections where curved sections connect with curved sections with relatively high possibility of accidents and accidents can be reduced through improving designing elements in these sections. Therefore, this study aims to develop accident forecasting model in complex linear roads and to clarify major elements affecting traffic accidents. The results of analysis showed that the groups are divided into a group less than 355m based on curve radius of 355m, a group whose curve radius exceeds 355m and a group whose incline exceeds -0.79 and a group whose curve radius is below 355m and incline exceeds -0.79 for straight section + curved section, and for curved section + curved section, it is divided into a group whose first curved section is less than 410m based on curve radius of 410m and the first curve is turning right and a group exceeding 410m and the first curve is turning left. The major variables common in 2 models are front curve radius and curve types(left, right), road surfaces, weather.

Discernment Model of Traffic Accident for an Age-old Driver's License Management (고령운전자 면허관리를 위한 교통사고발생 판별모형 개발)

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Lee, Soo-Beom;Lee, Soo-IL
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2011
  • The weight of elderly people in Korea has been increasing. Statistics show that the percentage of the elderly people in Korea was 3.1% in 1970; 3.8% in 1980; 5.1% in 1990, and 7.2% in 2000. Based on this trend, thus, the number of elderly people could be estimated to be 14% of the whole Korean population in 2018. This reveals that Korea is entering a super-aging society with remarkable fast pace. In such a change, the statistics related to elderly people driving license and the occurrence of traffic accidents are showing a noticeable numerical value. The number of traffic accident fatality in Korea ranks the highest value in OECD Countries. However, the research on old drivers in the nation is going on partially centering on system improvement and management scheme. Thus, first of all, researches about the linkage & characteristics between the driving behavior of old drivers and traffic accident should be implemented, in order properly to draw system improvement and management scheme for the old drivers. Therefore, the focus of this study is the influence model for discerning the severity of the age-old-caused traffic accidents by inquiring into the relation between the Driving Aptitude Test items that make it possible to measure their behavioral characteristics and influential factors by age group on the basis of the data on traffic accidents. The analysis results can be used as basic data for suggesting the behavioral research and countermeasure for traffic safety and its management for old driver in preparation for the aging society.

A Study on the Development of a Traffic Accident Ratio Model in Foggy Areas (안개지역의 교통사고심각도 모형개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Soo-Il;Won, Jai-Mu;Ha, Oh-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.171-177
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    • 2008
  • As the risk of traffic accidents caused by mists emerged as a social problem, recently safety facilities to be prepared for mists are being actively installed when designing roads. But in some part, the facilities are being installed imprudently without analyzing the extent of occurrences of mists that would increase the risk of traffic accidents and appropriate countermeasures against the occurrences of mists are not being suggested. For that reason, in this study, first questionnaire surveys were executed on road users in order to draw the factors affecting the traffic accidents caused by mists, a mist traffic accident predicting model was developed and an accident seriousness determining model that can determine accident seriousness was developed. In this way, by extracting major factors affecting mist traffic accidents to grasp risk factors in roads to be caused by mists, safety of roads can be enhanced and traffic accidents in road operations can be decreased. As the affecting factors influencing mist traffic accidents, were extracted sightable distances, durations of mists and whether daytime or nighttime as major factors and the plan to install the facilities for the prevention of mist traffic accidents was suggested to prevent the traffic accidents to be caused by those factors and also the plan to operate roads considering sightable distances was suggested to solve the problem of insufficient sightable distances to be caused by mists was suggested. It is judged that the road safety in the areas where mists occur can be improved through foregoing methods.

Development of An Adaptive Route Guidance Strategy under Non-recurrent Traffic Congestion (돌발적 교통혼잡하에서 적응형 경로 안내 전략의 수립 및 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 이상건
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.175-192
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    • 1997
  • 첨단 교통정보 시스템(ATIS)의 핵심요소라고 할 수 있는 동적경로안내 시스템 (Dynamic Route Guidance System)은 운전자가 목적지에 도착하기까지 실시간 교통정보를 토대로 최적경로를 안내해줌으로써 날로 심화되고 있는 교통혼잡을 최소화 할 수 있으리라 기대를 모으고 있다. 특히 교통사고나 긴급 도로공사 등으로 인해 발생하는 돌발적 교통혼잡하에서는 DRGS의 역할이 더욱 커질 것으로 예상되고 있다. 본 논문은 돌발적 교통혼잡하에서 보다 효과적인 DRGS의 경로안내 전략을 수립하고 평가하는데 그 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 우선 하부구조기반 DRGS와 개인차량기반 DRGS의 장단점을 비교하고 시스템 아키텍쳐와 경로안내전략의 관계를 규명하였다. 또한 효율적인 경로안내를 위해 사용자평형 (User Equilibrium) 경로안내전략과 시스템 최적화(System Optimal) 경로안내 전략을 이상형교통망 (Idealized Network)을 통해 비교 분석하였다. 그리고 돌발적 교통 혼잡하에서 사용자평형 경로 안내를 사용할 경우 야기될 수 있는 Braess Paradox 문제와 시스템 최적경로안내를 사용할 경우 일어날 수 있는 사용자 호응도(User Compliance) 문제를 동시에 감안한 적응 형 경로안내 전략을 개발하였다. 이 방법은 위의 경로 안내 전략들이 가지고 있는 장단점을 상황에 따라 평가하여 경로안내 전략을 선택하는 과정을 수행시간을 절약하지 못할 것으로 평가되면 사용자 호응도를 고려하여 사용자 평형 전략을 선택하도록 하였다. 돌발적 교통 혼잡하에서 통행 시간을 동적으로 예측하기 위해서는 이산 확정적 대기행렬모형 (Discrete Deterministic Queueing Model)이 적용되었다. 한편, 적응형 전략의 효율성을 평가하기 위 해 이상형교통망과 실제 미국 Virginia 주의 Fairfax Country에 소재한 주간 고속도로 66번 과 인접 교통망을 대상으로 각종 돌발교통혼잡상황을 전제로 한 Traffic Simulation과 정보 제공 시나리오를 INTEGRATION Model을 사용하여 실행하였다. 그 결과 적응형전략이 단지 사용자평형 경로안내전략만 사용하는 경우에 비해 교통 혼잡도와 유고상황의 체류정도에 따라 3%에서 10%정도까지 전체통행시간을 절약할 수 있다는 결론을 얻었다.

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Investigation into Industrial Application of Creative Knowledge Creation Model Using Whole Brain Theory and Creative Thinking Tools (전뇌 이론과 창의적 사고 도구를 활용한 창의적 지식 창출 모형의 산업적 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, JooHyung;Yang, DongYol;Choi, ByoungKyu
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2005
  • Knowledge is recognized as the most important asset among enterprises. Therefore, the necessity of knowledge management is ever on the increase nowadays. While many people have endeavored to develop knowledge storage, sharing and usage, knowledge creation is not sufficiently investigated for practical application, because knowledge creation is largely related to creativity and difficult to establish a systematic methodology. In order to overcome such problems, the creative knowledge creation model is proposed by using the whole brain theory and creative thinking tools. First of all, the creative knowledge creation model is based on the Nonaka's knowledge creation model integrated with the whole brain theory. The whole brain theory is then used as a standard to organize a whole brain team that is composed of members who have diverse thinking patterns. For creative thinking tools, the mandal-art and the contradiction matrix of TRIZ are used for a knowledge conversion. Each process of the creative knowledge creation model is sequentially suggested and several terms are defined. In order to verify the effectiveness of the creative knowledge creation model, the proposed model is applied to the development of a dishwasher with a new concept. According to the order of the proposed method, the model is applied twice in the cycle of spiral evolution. Three kinds of dish-washing methods have been developed using the proposed model. The results of the application are then analyzed and presented.

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