• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2022.05a
• /
• pp.286-286
• /
• 2022

홍수피해를 최소화하기 위한 수공구조물의 적정 규모 결정을 위해 사용되는 홍수빈도분석에는 통계적 분석절차에 따른 불확실성이 포함된다. 따라서 불확실성이 포함된 범주 내에서 가장 적절한 설계홍수량(design flood)를 결정하는 과정은 수공구조물의 최종단계에서 중요하게 다루어져야 하는 부분이나 이를 제시한 연구는 많지 않다. 비용-편익 분석기법을 홍수빈도분석 절차에 도입하여 구성되는 총 기대비용함수(total expected cost function)는 설계홍수량 중 최적 설계홍수량(optimal design flood)를 결정하기 위한 새로운 접근방식이다. 이 절차는 UNCODE(UNcertainty COmpliant DEsign)로 명명되어 사용된 바 있으나, 국내에서는 아직 적용 결과가 소개되지 않고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 UNCODE의 수학적 구성 절차를 소개함과 함께 북한강수계에 위치한 수력발전댐(화천댐, 춘천댐, 의암댐, 청평댐)의 년최대유입량을 사용하여 최적 설계홍수량을 산정하고 이 결과를 기존 홍수빈도분석 결과와 비교하였다. 불확실성이 고려된 총 기대비용함수로부터 확률분포함수들(Gumbel 및 GEV)의 모수를 추출하는 과정에서 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 사용하여 불확실성의 범위를 추정하였으며, 비용-편익 분석기법에 사용되는 비용 및 피해함수는 수학적 구성의 편의성을 위하여 1차 선형함수로 가정되었다. 4개의 발전용댐, 2개의 확률분포 및 2개의 재현기간에 대하여 최적 설계홍수량의 중앙값이 기존 홍수빈도분석 절차에 의해 산정된 설계홍수량보다 일정 정도 큰 값으로 산정됨을 알 수 있었다. 향후에는 본 연구에서 적용된 절차를 간단한 수식형태로 함수화하여 발전용댐 운영의 실무업무나 하천기본계획의 수립 등에 있어 비용-편익분석 기법의 적용성을 높이기 위한 연구가 진행될 필요가 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
• /
• v.16 no.6
• /
• pp.587-594
• /
• 2016

This study aims to analyze the benefit-cost of the cleaning device for photovoltaic power generation systems in buildings in order to check its economic feasibility. A product, which has similar characteristics to the ultrasound-based cleaning device and is widely used in South Korea, was selected to compare with the benefit-cost value of the ultrasound-based cleaning device in this study. In order to quantitatively and qualitatively analyze benefit and cost aspects of the two products, categories and evaluation factors of each aspect as well as evaluation criteria were identified. Based on the identified evaluation factors and criteria, this study conducted face-to-face interviews with 15 experts to measure weights of benefit and cost aspects of the products. As the results, the total benefit weight of the ultrasound-based cleaning device was larger than its total cost weight since the benefit-cost value was greater than 1, which was 1.6 times of that of to compared product. Therefore, from the economic perspective, it is worth to develop the cleaning device for photovoltaic power generation systems applying ultrasound technology.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2020.06a
• /
• pp.275-275
• /
• 2020

홍수빈도분석의 실용적 측면의 목적은 특정 재현기간에 대하여 발생 가능한 홍수량을 설계홍수량(design flood)으로 설정함으로써 댐, 제방, 배수시설, 하수관거 등의 치수기능을 가진 치수시설물이 설계홍수량 내에서 홍수로 인한 피해를 발생시키지 않도록 그 규모와 기능을 설계함에 있다. 이와 같은 중요한 기능을 담고 있는 홍수빈도분석의 기술적 절차는 해외 및 국내의 기존 연구자들에 의해 많은 연구가 진행된 바 있으나, 보다 적절한 설계홍수량 산정절차 및 설계홍수량의 최종 결정을 위한 기술적 수단의 제공을 위한 연구가 많은 연구자들에 의해 지금도 진행 중에 있다. 그러나 이와 같이 결정된 설계홍수량이 특정유역에서 발생될 수 있는 피해규모에 대해 얼마나 적정한 지의 여부를 과학적으로 판단하기 위한 연구는 많지 않다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 홍수빈도분석을 통해 산정된 설계홍수량의 적정성 여부를 과학적으로 판단하기 위해 비용-편익분석 기법을 이용하여 최적설계홍수량을 결정하였다. 특히 본 연구에서는 불확실성으로 발생되는 범위를 고려한 최적설계홍수량을 산정하기 위하여 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 사용하였으며, 자료의 종류에 따른 홍수량의 변화를 분석하기 위하여 년최대계열 및 부분시계열 자료를 각각 적용하였다. 한강유역에서 가평대성, 여주 및 한강대교 수위표 지점에서 측정된 자동관측유량장치에 의한 홍수량 자료를 활용하였으며, 최적설계홍수량이 기존 설계홍수량에 비해 크게 산정됨을 알 수 있었다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2007.05a
• /
• pp.1655-1659
• /
• 2007

하천을 횡단하는 교량은 하천의 배수위를 증가시키는 중요한 요인으로 작용한다. 더욱이 산지 하천에 시공된 교량은 유송잡물에 의한 폐색으로 인하여 교량 직상류부에 홍수피해를 가중하는 역할을 하기도 한다. 본 연구에서는 교량 재가설에 따른 경제적 타당성을 검토하고자 교각에 집적되는 유송잡물에 의한 배수위만이 홍수범람을 일으키는 원인으로 가정하여 제방고 이상의 홍수용량이 범람한 상황을 고려하였다. 이러한 홍수량이 유역내에서 어느 정도의 피해를 입히는지에 대하여 다차원 홍수피해 산정방법에 의거 교각의 개수를 줄임으로써 저감할 수 있는 침수피해액을 산정하였다. 그리고 교량의 재가설을 위한 개략공사비를 비용으로 보고, 재가설에 따라 저감할 수 있는 침수피해액을 편익으로 산정하여 비용-편익 분석을 실시한 결과 합리적으로 교량의 경간장을 확보하는 방안을 마련할 수 있었다.

• Clean Technology
• /
• v.26 no.3
• /
• pp.168-176
• /
• 2020

The introduction of the Korea toxics use reduction (TUR) program to build a clean society is generally evaluated based on social economic criteria. Among various techniques, benefit-cost analysis is the most commonly used. This method is focused on the calculation and comparison of all the benefits and costs attributable to the TUR program. However, since it is reasonable to consider not only economic criteria but also policy criteria in the process of evaluation, it is necessary to reflect on the criteria weights found in the benefits and costs. This study aims at developing a new evaluation technique to achieve this purpose and apply it to the Korean TUR program to be implemented in 2020. This study selected competitiveness, toxic substances' emission reduction ratio, and health improvement as policy criteria. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique was initially used to calculate the weight and then, based on the results, the concept of information entropy introduced by Claude Shannon was used to eliminate subjective bias. As a result of the study, it was found that the revised benefit-cost analysis considering the weights of the policy criteria, as well as the existing economic criteria, could be a reasonable alternative in evaluating the feasibility of TUR regulations for highly toxic substances.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 2006.07a
• /
• pp.335-336
• /
• 2006

최근 보급률이 급격하게 증가하고 있는 소형열병합발전(CHP)의 도입에 대한 전력회사(Utility)의 영향을 분석하기 위해서는 편익과 손실을 함께 고려해야 하는데 CHP의 도입에 대한 편익을 분석하기 위하여 사용되는 회피비용은 크게 에너지회피비용, 설비건설 회피비용, 손실회피비용 그리고 환경회피비용으로 구분된다. 그리고 기존의 전력회사 Utility의 측면에서 CHP 도입으로 인한 전력판매 수입의 감소나 시장점유율 축소도 함께 분석을 해야 한다. 이에 본 논문에서는 CHP보급으로 인한 편익 중 에너지회피비용(Energy Avoided Cost)을 산정하기 위한 효율적인 방안을 제시하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.55 no.6
• /
• pp.405-419
• /
• 2022

Flood frequency analysis commonly used to design the hydraulic structures to minimize flood damage includes uncertainty. Therefore, the most appropriate design flood within a uncertainty should be selected in the final stage of a hydraulic structure, but related studies were rarely carried out. The total expected cost function introduced into the flood frequency analysis is a new approach for determining the optimal design flood. This procedure has been used as UNCODE (UNcertainty COmpliant DEsign), but the application has not yet been introduced in South Korea. This study introduced the mathematical procedure of UNCODE and calculated the optimal design flood using the annual maximum inflow of hydroelectric dams located in the Bukhan River system and results were compared with that of the existing flood frequency. The parameter uncertainty was considered in the total expected cost function using the Gumbel and the GEV distribution, and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm was used to sample the parameters. In this study, cost function and damage function were assumed to be a first-order linear function. It was found that the medians of the optimal design flood for 4 Hydroelectric dams, 2 probability distributions, and 2 return periods were calculated to be somewhat larger than the design flood by the existing flood frequency analysis. In the future, it is needed to develop the practical approximated procedure to UNCODE.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare
• /
• v.57 no.2
• /
• pp.297-320
• /
• 2005

This study was attempted to give aids in making 'the Disability Discrimination Act' by estimating the potential Cost-Benefit in case that the discrimination on the disabled is removed. The potential benefits from this Disability Discrimination Act are calculated considering the income increase of the people with disabilities from additional employment for them and the decrease of employment levies and the public assistance benefits. The potential cost was made focusing on the following 2 expenses- the extra expenditures that the owners of companies had to invest from the employment of the disabled and the managing expenses for correcting discrimination organizations. As the result of this estimation, the potential net present value under the 7% discount rate is very high as 12,700,301 million won and the cost-benefit ratio is also great as 96.8. The consequence of the sensitive analysis in changing the discount rate also does not have great changes. As the result of these estimating results, it is known that when the discrimination is solved by the 'Disability Discrimination Act', the pure benefit of our society will become tremendous. After all, it could be said that the need for 'the Disability Discrimination Act' is emphasized and should be emphasized.

• Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
• /
• v.32 no.4
• /
• pp.419-447
• /
• 2001

This study is to analyze a cost-benefit and a cost-effectiveness on the basis of number full-text downloaded from IDEAL in the electronic journals consortium of Y University Library during 2000. The result of this study shows that Y University Library used more the combined print and electronic journals than only electronic journals, and in the case of the analysis on the cost-benefit, there was no benefit, but the cost-effectiveness was very high. Based upon the result of this study, it suggests that academic libraries request a trial from the information agency and carry out user instruction analysis of varied use statistics, user satisfaction survey so as to promote use of electronic journals.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
• /
• v.36 no.1
• /
• pp.43-80
• /
• 2014

This study suggests a model for calculating total benefit rigorously to use the contingent valuation method (CVM) in cost-benefit analysis (CBA). Estimating households' willingness to pay through survey method, the study attempts to demonstrate if a respondent's income and the distance between a respondent's residence and the location of a target facility affect her willingness to pay. The estimation results from a structural model show that income and distance-decay effects exist and that the calculated total benefit varies largely when these effects are ignored. The study emphasizes the effects of income and distance-decay on the total benefit must be carefully considered in using CVM for CBA. Even though the total project cost is precisely estimated, the benefit/cost (B/C) ratio may differ largely when the total benefit is not correctly calculated. Also, an ad hoc model generates significantly different estimates from the utility difference model this study adopted. The difference in estimates suggests that the total benefit has to be estimated by a structural model. Finally, simulations are performed to check the validity of the model as well as to predict consequences when income and distance-decay effects are not properly treated. The results from simulations reveal it is not desirable to ignore those effects considering the perspectives of balanced regional development.