• Title/Summary/Keyword: 비용 추계

Search Result 67, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Socioeconomic Costs of Alcohol Drinking in Korea (음주의 사회경제적 비용 추계)

  • Chung, Woo-Jin;Chun, Hyun-Jun;Lee, Sun-Mi
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-29
    • /
    • 2006
  • Objectives: We wanted to estimate the annual socioeconomic costs of alcohol drinking in Korea. Methods: The costs were classified as direct costs, indirect costs and the other costs. The direct costs consisted of direct medical costs, indirect medical costs and subsidiary medical costs. Particularly, the medical costs and population attributable fraction for disease were considered to reflect the calculation of the direct medical costs. The indirect costs were computed by the extent to which the loss of productivity and loss of the workforce might have occurred due to changes in mortality and morbidity according to alcohol drinking. The other costs consisted of property loss, administration costs and costs of alcoholic beverage. Results: The annual costs, which seemed to be attributable to alcohol drinking, were estimated to be 149,352 hundred million won (2.86% of GDP). In case of the latter, the amount includes 9,091 hundred million won for direct costs (6.09%), 62,845 hundred million won for the reduction and loss of productivity (42.08%), 44,691 hundred million won for loss of the workforce (29.92%), and the other costs (21.91%). Conclusions: Our study confirms that compared with the cases of Japan (1.9% of GNP) and the other advanced countries (1.00-1.42% of GDP), alcohol drinking incurs substantial socioeconomic costs to the Korean society. Therefore, this study provides strong support for government interventions to control alcohol drinking in Korea.

The research on the water fee effect of SWC project (SWC 사업의 지방상수도 요금영향 연구)

  • Jang, Seokwon;Kim, SangMoon;Park, Imsu;Choi, Hanju;Lee, ByoungChul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.132-132
    • /
    • 2016
  • 수돗물에 대한 국민적 불신과 불안의 해소는 K-water의 정책목표로서 지난 10여년 동안 추진되어온 중점과제이다. 특히 수돗물에 불신으로 직접 음용하는 비율이 1~6% 내외에 불과하고 이로 인해 많은 사회적 비용이 발생하고 있는 것이 현실이다. K-water에서는 수돗물에 대한 오해를 불식시키기 위해 '14년부터 건강한 수돗물을 공급하는 스마트워터시티(Smart Water City, 이하 SWC) 구축사업을 시작하였다. SWC사업은 권역별로 거점 도시를 구축해 추진 중이며, 북부권(파주시, 송산그린시티), 중부권(세종시), 남부권(부산에코델타시티) 중 수도권지역본부는 파주시를 대상으로 시범 사업을 실시하였고 전국적 확산을 위해 2015년 '건강한 물 공급 확대 및 SWC 구축 중장기 계획'을 수립하였는데 2024년까지 총 2,940억원이 투입될 예정이다. SWC 사업의 지속적인 추진을 위해서는 충분한 재원의 확보가 뒷받침되어야 하며 수도 요금 인상요인도 발생할 것으로 전망되어 이에 대한 대응방안을 마련하는 것도 필요하다. 상수도 요금의 설정방법은 다양하지만, 본 연구에서는 SWC 사업이 위수탁대가 및 상수도 요금에 미치는 영향을 분석하고, "지불의사금액"(Willingness to Pay:WTP)과 함께 가계소득과 가계지출을 기반으로 한 수익자의 "지불가능금액"(Affordability to Pay : ATP)을 추계하여 적정 상수도요금 수준을 검토하고자 한다.

  • PDF

Construction of Basin Scale Climate Change Scenarios by the Transfer Function and Stochastic Weather Generation Models (전이함수모형과 일기 발생모형을 이용한 유역규모 기후변화시나리오의 작성)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Seoh, Byung-Ha;Kim, Nam-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.36 no.3 s.134
    • /
    • pp.345-363
    • /
    • 2003
  • From the General Circulation Models(GCMs), it is known that the increases of concentrations of greenhouse gases will have significant implications for climate change in global and regional scales. The GCM has an uncertainty in analyzing the meteorologic processes at individual sites and so the 'downscaling' techniques are used to bridge the spatial and temporal resolution gaps between what, at present, climate modellers can provide and what impact assessors require. This paper describes a method for assessing local climate change impacts using a robust statistical downscaling technique. The method facilitates the rapid development of multiple, low-cost, single-site scenarios of daily surface weather variables under current and future regional climate forcing. The construction of climate change scenarios based on spatial regression(transfer function) downscaling and on the use of a local stochastic weather generator is described. Regression downscaling translates the GCM grid-box predictions with coarse resolution of climate change to site-specific values and the values were then used to perturb the parameters of the stochastic weather generator in order to simulate site-specific daily weather values. In this study, the global climate change scenarios are constructed using the YONU GCM control run and transient experiments.

Optimization of Water Reuse System under Uncertainty (불확실성을 고려한 하수처리수 재이용 관로의 최적화)

  • Chung, Gun-Hui;Kim, Tae-Woong;Lee, Jeong-Ho;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.43 no.2
    • /
    • pp.131-138
    • /
    • 2010
  • Due to the increased water demand and severe drought as an effect of the global warming, the effluent from wastewater treatment plants becomes considered as an alternative water source to supply agricultural, industrial, and public (gardening) water demand. The effluent from the wastewater treatment plant is a sustainable water source because of its good quality and stable amount of water discharge. In this study, the water reuse system was developed to minimize total construction cost to cope with the uncertain water demand in future using two-stage stochastic linear programming with binary variables. The pipes in the water reuse network were constructed in two stages of which in the first stage, the water demands of users are assumed to be known, while the water demands in the second stage have uncertainty in the predicted value. However, the water reuse system has to be designed now when the future water demands are not known precisely. Therefore, the construction of a pipe parallel with the existing one was allowed to meet the increased water demands in the second stage. As a result, the trade-off of construction costs between a pipe with large diameter and two pipes having small diameters was evaluated and the optimal solution was found. Three scenarios for the future water demand were selected and a hypothetical water reuse network considering the uncertainties was optimized. The results provide the information about the economies of scale in the water reuse network and the long range water supply plan.

Can 'Buy-One Give-One' Business Model be Profitable? ('Buy-One Give-One' 비즈니스모델의 수익 구조에 대한 수리적 분석)

  • Han, Yunsun;Seo, Youngdoc
    • Review of Culture and Economy
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.3-20
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study proposes that the cultural corporation can be more profitable by adopting the 'Buy-One Give-One' Business Model (BOGO BM) under certain conditions. Specifically, the conditions are that 1) consumers' utility for donating is high enough and 2) the production cost is low enough due to economies of scale or process innovation from employee's intrinsic motivation. We adopt a mathematical model where the demand function is a simple linear function and two companies compete with each other by choosing their quantity of output (the Cournot model). Specifically, we investigate the profitability of the BOGO BM in four situations: 1) a monopolist enjoying reduced cost due to process innovation from employee's intrinsic motivation, 2) a monopolist enjoying reduced cost due to economies of scale, 3) the duopoly with BOGO BM and a general company, 4) the duopoly with two BOGO BM companies. In each situation, BOGO BM can be more profitable than other general companies can under certain conditions.

Analysis of ensemble streamflow prediction effect on deriving dam releases for water supply (용수공급을 위한 댐 방류량 결정에서의 앙상블 유량 예측 효과 분석)

  • Kim, Yeonju;Kim, Gi Joo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.56 no.12
    • /
    • pp.969-980
    • /
    • 2023
  • Since the 2000s, ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) has been actively utilized in South Korea, primarily for hydrological forecasting purposes. Despite its notable success in hydrological forecasting, the original objective of enhancing water resources system management has been relatively overlooked. Consequently, this study aims to demonstrate the utility of ESP in water resources management by creating a simple hypothetical exercise for dam operators and applying it to actual multi-purpose dams in South Korea. The hypothetical exercise showed that even when the means of ESP are identical, different costs can result from varying standard deviations. Subsequently, using sampling stochastic dynamic programming (SSDP) and considering the capacity-inflow ratio (CIR), optimal release patterns were derived for Soyang Dam (CIR = 1.345) and Chungju Dam (CIR = 0.563) based on types W and P. For this analysis, Type W was defined with standard deviation equal to the mean inflow, and Type P with standard deviation ten times of the mean inflow. Simulated operations were conducted from 2020 to 2022 using the derived optimal releases. The results indicate that in the case of Dam Chungju, more aggressive optimal release patterns were derived under types with smaller standard deviations, and the simulated operations demonstrated satisfactory outcomes. Similarly, Soyang Dam exhibited similar results in terms of optimal release, but there was no significant difference in the simulation between types W and P due to its large CIR. Ultimately, this study highlights that even with the same mean values, the standard deviation of ESP impacts optimal release patterns and outcomes in simulation. Additionally, it underscores that systems with smaller CIRs are more sensitive to such uncertainties. Based on these findings, there is potential for improvements in South Korea's current operational practices, which rely solely on single representative values for water resources management.

Cost-of-illness Study of Asthma in Korea: Estimated from the Korea National Health Insurance Claims Database (건강보험 청구자료를 이용한 우리나라 천식환자의 질병비용부담 추계)

  • Park, Choon-Seon;Kwon, Il;Kang, Dae-Ryong;Jung, Hye-Young;Kang, Hye-Young
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.39 no.5
    • /
    • pp.397-403
    • /
    • 2006
  • Objectives: We estimated the asthma-related health care utilization and costs in Korea from the insurer's and societal perspective. Methods: We extracted the insurance claims records from the Korea National Health Insurance claims database for determining the health care services provided to patients with asthma in 2003. Patients were defined as having asthma if they had ${\geq}$2 medical claims with diagnosis of asthma and they had been prescribed anti-asthma medicines, Annual claims records were aggeregated for each patient to produce patient-specific information on the total utilization and costs. The total asthma-related cost was the sum of the direct healthcare costs, the transportation costs for visits to health care providers and the patient's or caregivers' costs for the time spent on hospital or outpatient visits. Results: A total of 699,603people were identified as asthma patients, yielding an asthma prevalence of 1.47%. Each asthma patient had 7.56 outpatient visits, 0.01 ED visits and 0.02 admissions per year to treat asthma. The per-capita insurance-covered costs increased with age, from 128,276 Won for children aged 1 to 14 years to 270,729 Won for those aged 75 or older. The total cost in the nation varied from 121,865 million to 174,949 million Won depending on the perspectives. From a societal perspective, direct health care costs accounted for 84.9%, transportation costs for 15.1 % and time costs for 9.2% of the total costs. Conclusions: Hospitalizations and ED visits represented only a small portion of the asthma-related costs. Most of the societal burden was attributed to direct medical expenditures, with outpatient visits and medications emerging as the single largest cost components.

Projecting Public Expenditures for Long-Term Care in Korea (노인장기요양보험 급여비용의 중장기 추계)

  • Yun, Hee-Suk;Kwon, Hyung-Joon
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.37-63
    • /
    • 2010
  • Public expenditures on long-term care are a matter of concern for Korea as in many other countries. The expenditure is expected to accelerate and to put pressure on public budgets, adding to that arising from insufficient retirement schemes and other forms of social spending. This study tried to foresee how much health care spending could increase in the future considering demographic and non-demographic factors as the drivers of expenditure. Previous projections of future long-term expenditure were mainly based on a given relation between spending and age structure. However, although demographic factors will surely put upward pressure on long-term care costs, other non-demographic factors, such as labor cost increase and availability of informal care, should be taken into account as well. Also, the possibility of dynamic link between health status and longevity gains needs to be considered. The model in this study is cell-base and consists of three main parts. The first part estimated the numbers of elderly people with different levels of health status by age group, gender, household type. The second part estimated the levels of long-term care services required, by attaching a probability of receiving long-term care services to each cell using from the sample from current year. The third part of the model estimated long-term care expenditure, along the demographic and non-demographic factors' change in various scenarios. Public spending on long-term care could rise from the current level of 0.2~0.3% of GDP to around 0.44~2.30% by 2040.

1984년(年) 도시가구(都市家口)의 동등화소비단위(同等化消費單位) 추정(推定)과 분석(分析)

  • Yu, Jong-Gu;Ju, Hak-Jung
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.71-88
    • /
    • 1987
  • 본고(本稿)에서는 소비지출(消費支出)을 상이(相異)한 가구특성(家口特性)을 지닌 단위가구(單位家口)의 소비지출(消費支出)로 환산(換算)하기 위한 지수(指數)(디플레이터), 즉 상이(相異)한 가구특성(家口特性)들을 지닌 도시가구(都市家口)의 동등화소비단위(同等化消費單位)를 추계(推計) 분석(分析)하였으며 이를 위하여 "조르겐슨-슬레스닉"의 모형(模型)을 적용(適用)하였다. 특징적(特徵的)으로 나타난 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 품목별(品目別) 동등화소비단위(同等化消費單位)나 총화(總和) 동등화소비단위(同等化消費單位) 모두 가구주(家口主) 직종별(職種別)로는 일용근로자(日傭勤勞者), 자영업자(自營業者), 봉급자(俸給者)의 순서로 높아지고 가구원수(家口員數)는 3명(名)에서 4명(名)으로 느는 데 따라 크게 증가되고 있다. 둘째, 가구원수(家口員數)의 증가(增加)에 따른 동등화단위(同等化單位)의 증가와 일관성 있게 가구주(家口主) 연령별(年齡別)로는 자녀(子女)를 한두 명 두게 되는 25~29세(歲)의 연령층(年齡層)에 유의(有意)한 동등화단위(同等化單位)의 증가가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 지출항목별(支出項目別)로는 광열비(光熱費)와 수도료(水道料)를 제외한 모든 지출비용(支出費用)에서 소비생활(消費生活)에 있어서 규모(規模)의 경제(經濟)가 나타난 바 이러한 광열비(光熱費)와 수도료(水道料)의 추정결과(推定結果)는 우리나라에 있어서 누진적(累進的)인 요율체계(料率體系)에서 기인(基因)한 것으로 해석된다. 이 연구(硏究)가 함축하는 가장 큰 정책적(政策的) 의미(意味)는 일용근로자가구(日傭勤勞者家口)의 동등화소비단위(同等化消費單位)가 가장 낮음으로써 같은 수준의 경제성장률(經濟成長率)을 전제하더라도 이들에게 소득(所得) 및 소비(消費)의 증대(增大)가 일어나면 국민경제(國民經濟) 전체로서의 복지후생수준(福祉厚生水準)이 가장 크게 향상될 수 있음을 함축하고 있는 데 있다.

  • PDF

Medical Expenditure Attributable to Overweight and Obesity in Adults with Hypertension, Diabetes and Dyslipidemia : Evidence from Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Data and Korea National Health Corporation Data (성인의 고혈압, 당뇨병, 이상지질혈증으로 인한 총 진료비 중 과체중 및 비만의 기여분 : 국민건강영양조사자료와 국민건강보험공단 자료를 중심으로)

  • Kang, Jae-Heon;Jeong, Baek-Geun;Cho, Young-Gyu;Song, Hye-Ryoung;Kim, Kyung-A
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.77-88
    • /
    • 2010
  • Objectives: This study was conducted to estimate medical expenditure attributable to overweight and obesity in adults with hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia using Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination survey data and Korea National Health Corporation data. Methods: The medical expenditure of hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia related to overweight and obesity were composed of inpatient care costs, outpatient care costs and medication costs. The population attributable risk (PAR) of overweight and obesity was calculated from national representative data of Korea such as the National Health Insurance Corporation cohort data and 2005 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination survey data. Results: The medical expenditure attributable to overweight and obesity of hypertension were 456 billion won (men : 215 billion won, women : 241 billion won). Those of diabetes were 282 billion won (men : 148 billion won, women : 135 billion won), and of dyslipidemia were 17 billion won (men : 9 billion won, women : 8 billion won). Consequently, these costs corresponded to 33.3% of total medical expenditure due to hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia. Conclusions: We found a substantial medical expenditure due to overweight and obesity of hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia were very high. In order to reduce these costs, effective national strategies for prevention and management of overweight and obesity should be established and implemented.