• Title/Summary/Keyword: 비선형회귀분석

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Fast Detection of Abnormal Data in IIoT with Segmented Linear Regression (분할 선형 회귀 분선을 통한 IIoT의 빠른 비정상 데이터 탐지)

  • Lee, Tae-Ho;Kim, Min-Woo;Lee, Byung-Jun;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Youn, Hee-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2019.07a
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    • pp.101-102
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    • 2019
  • 산업용 IoT (IIoT)는 최근들어 제조 시스템의 중요한 구성 요소로 간주된다. IIoT를 통해 시설에서 감지된 데이터를 수집하여 작동 조건을 적절하게 분석하고 처리한다. 여기서 비정상적인 데이터는 전체 시스템의 안전성 및 생산성을 위해 신속하게 탐지되어야한다. 기존 임계 값 기반 방법은 임계 값 미만의 유휴 오류 또는 비정상적인 동작을 감지 할 수 없으므로 IIoT에 적합하지 않다. 본 논문에서는 예측 구간과 우선 순위기반 스케줄링을 이용한 분할 선형 회귀 분석을 기반으로 비정상적인 데이터를 검출하는 새로운 방법을 제안한다. 시뮬레이션 결과 제안한 기법은 비정상적인 데이터 검출 속도에서 임계치, 일반 선형 회귀 또는 FCFS 정책을 사용하는 기존의 기법보다 우수함을 알 수 있었다.

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Analysis of the Correlation between Obesity and Individual Health issues and their impact on the National Economy (비만과 개인 건강문제가 미치는 국가 경제의 상관관계 분석)

  • Seong-Kyung Bae;Jai-Soon Baek;Sung-Jin Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2024.01a
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    • pp.157-160
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    • 2024
  • 비만은 단순히 개인의 게으름의 문제가 아니라 하나의 위험한 질병으로서 치료를 위해 전문가의 도움이 전적으로 필요로 한다. 개인만의 극복해야 하는 문제가 아니라 사회적 문제로 거론되어 국가 차원에서의 규제와 같은 적극적인 도움이 필요하다. 비만으로 생기는 경제적 손실 또한 무시할 수 없다. 의료비용, 생산성 감소, 사회 보건 문제, 질병 예방 비용 등이 있다. 이 연구는 전 연령층을 대상으로 하되, 아시아, 북아메리카, 남아메리카와 같이 대륙별로 근처 나라들의 2009년에서 2019년까지 10년의 비만 지수와 경제지표를 R을 활용한 회귀분석, 상관관계 분석, Pearson 회귀분석으로 비교하여 가치 있는 결과를 찾는 데 있다. 비만의 해결은 개인의 행복뿐만 아니라 국가의 경제 성장 그리고 회복에 큰 핵심적 요소가 된다는 걸 검증하는 연구이다.

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Fuzzy Nonlinear Regression Model (퍼지비선형회귀모형)

  • Hwang, Seung-Gook;Park, Young-Man;Seo, Yoo-Jin;Park, Kwang-Pak
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 1998
  • This paper is to propose the fuzzy regression model using genetic algorithm which is fuzzy nonlinear regression model. Genetic algorithm is used to classify the input data for better fuzzy regression analysis. From this partition. each data can be have the grade of membership function which is belonged to a divided data group. The data group, from optimal partition of the region of each variable, have different fuzzy parameters of fuzzy linear regression model one another. We compound the fuzzy output of each data group so as to obtain the final fuzzy number for a data. We show the efficiency of this method by means of demonstration of a case study.

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Prediction for Nonlinear Time Series Data using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 비선형 시계열 자료의 예측)

  • Kim, Inkyu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.357-362
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    • 2012
  • We have compared and predicted for non-linear time series data which are real data having different variences using GRCA(1) model and neural network method. In particular, using Korea Composite Stock Price Index rate, mean square errors of prediction are obtained in genaralized random coefficient autoregressive model and neural network method. Neural network method prove to be better in short-term forecasting, however GRCA(1) model perform well in long-term forecasting.

Study on the Estimation of Duncan & Chang Model Parameters-initial Tangent Modulus and Ultimate Deviator Stress for Compacted Weathered Soil (다짐 풍화토의 Duncan & Chang 모델 매개변수-초기접선계수와 극한축차응력 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Kunsun
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2018
  • Duncan & Chang(1970) proposed the Duncan-Chang model that a linear relation of transformed stress-strain plots was reconstituted from a nonlinear relation of stress-strain curve of triaxial compression test using hyperbolic theory so as to estimate an initial tangent modulus and ultimate deviator stress for the soil specimen. Although the transformed stress-strain plots show a linear relationship theoretically, they actually show a nonlinearity at both low and high values of strain of the test. This phenomenon indicates that the stress-strain curve is not a complete form of a hyperbola. So, if linear regression analyses for the transformed stress-strain plot are performed over a full range of strain of a test, error in the estimation of their linear equations is unavoidable depending on ranges of strain with non-linearity. In order to reduce such an error, a modified regression analysis method is proposed in this study, in which linear regression analyses for transformed stress-strain plots are performed over the entire range of strain except the range the non-linearity is shown around starting and ending of the test, and then the initial tangent modulus and ultimate deviator stresses are calculated. Isotropically consolidated-drained triaxial compression tests were performed on compacted weathered soil with a modified Proctor density to obtain their model parameters. The modified regression analyses for transformed stress-strain plots were performed and analyzed results are compared with results estimated by 2 points method (Duncan et al., 1980). As a result of analyses, initial tangent moduli are about 4.0% higher and ultimate deviator stresses are about 2.9% lower than those values estimated by Duncan's 2 points method.

Dynamic Instability of Strength-Limited Bilinear SDF Systems (강도한계 이선형 단자유도 시스템의 동적 불안정)

  • Han, Sang-Whan;Kim, Jong-Bo;Bae, Mun-Su;Moon, Ki-Hoon
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2008
  • This study investigates the dynamic instability of strength-limited bilinear single degree of freedom (SDF) systems under seismic excitation. The strength-limited bilinear hysteretic model best replicates the hysteretic behavior of the steel moment resisting frames. To estimate the dynamic instability of SDF systems, the collapse strength ratio is used, which is the yield-strength reduction factor when collapse occurs. Statistical studies are carried out to estimate median collapse strength ratios and those dispersions of strength-limited bilinear SDF systems with given natural periods, hardening stiffness ratios, post-capping stiffness ratios, ductility and damping ratios ranging from 2 to 20% subjected to 240 earthquake ground motions recorded on stiff soil sites. Equations to calculate median and standard deviation of collapse strength ratios in strength-limited bilinear SDF systems are obtained through nonlinear regression analysis. By using the proposed equations, this study estimated the probabilistic distribution of collapse strength ratios, and compared this with the exact values from which the accuracy of the proposed equations was verified.

Prediction of golf scores on the PGA tour using statistical models (PGA 투어의 골프 스코어 예측 및 분석)

  • Lim, Jungeun;Lim, Youngin;Song, Jongwoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 2017
  • This study predicts the average scores of top 150 PGA golf players on 132 PGA Tour tournaments (2013-2015) using data mining techniques and statistical analysis. This study also aims to predict the Top 10 and Top 25 best players in 4 different playoffs. Linear and nonlinear regression methods were used to predict average scores. Stepwise regression, all best subset, LASSO, ridge regression and principal component regression were used for the linear regression method. Tree, bagging, gradient boosting, neural network, random forests and KNN were used for nonlinear regression method. We found that the average score increases as fairway firmness or green height or average maximum wind speed increases. We also found that the average score decreases as the number of one-putts or scrambling variable or longest driving distance increases. All 11 different models have low prediction error when predicting the average scores of PGA Tournaments in 2015 which is not included in the training set. However, the performances of Bagging and Random Forest models are the best among all models and these two models have the highest prediction accuracy when predicting the Top 10 and Top 25 best players in 4 different playoffs.

Comparison of the Explanation on Visual Texture of Cotton Textiles using Regression Analysis and ANFIS - on Warmness (회귀분석과 ANFIS를 활용한 면직물의 시각적 질감에 대한 해석 비교 - 온난감을 중심으로)

  • 주정아;유효선
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2004
  • The regression analysis and Adaptive -Network based Fuzzy-inference system (ANFIS) were applied to the explanation on human's visual texture of cotton fabrics with 7 mechanical properties. The ANFIS uses the structure with fuzzy membership function and neural network. The results obtained by the statistical analysis through the coefficient of correlation and regression analysis showed that subjective texture had a linear relationship with mechanical properties. But It had a relatively low coefficient of determination and was difficult that the statistical analysis explained other relationship with the exception of a lineality and interaction among mechanical properties. Comparing the statistical analysis, the ANFIS was an effective tool to explain human's non-linear perceptions and their interactions. But to apply ANFIS to human's perceptions more effectively, it is necessary to discriminate effective input variables through controlling the properties of samples.

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Flood Damage Estimation Using Regional Regression Analysis (지역회귀분석을 이용한 홍수 피해금액 추정)

  • Jang, Ock-Jae;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.74-78
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    • 2009
  • 우리 사회가 발전함에 따라 재해의 위험으로부터도 안전하게 살고자 하는 대중들의 욕구 또한 증가하고 있다. 하지만 최근의 기후변화와 이상홍수의 사례에서 볼 때 현재 우리가 처해 있는 자연재해로부터의 위협은 과거와는 상이하다는 것을 알 수 있다. 이러한 위협에 대처하기 위해서는 우리에게 노출된 재해의 특성을 평가하는 과정이 무엇보다 선행되어져야 한다. 홍수로 인한 피해는 대부분이 인명이나 재산피해가 주를 이루기 때문에 홍수위험도의 평가결과도 발생 가능한 인명이나 재산피해로 표현되는 것이 적절하다고 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지역회귀분석을 적용하여 가능 홍수 피해금액을 추산하고, 이를 통해 각 지역별 홍수위험도를 평가하는 방법을 제안하였다. 지역회귀분석은 강우유출모형이나 확률분포모형의 매개변수들을 유역 특성인자들로 표현하기 위해 수문학 분야에서 사용되어져 왔으며 본 연구에서는 이 방법을 홍수 피해금액 추정에 응용하였다. 지역회귀방법의 절차는 먼저 계측지역에서는 홍수 피해금액과 시강우량 자료를 바탕으로 비선형회귀분석을 실시한 후 이 회귀식의 계수를 다시 해당 지역의 인문 사회 경제학적 인자들로 표현하였다. 이러한 방법을 통해 지역적 인자들이 홍수 피해에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 분석할 수 있었으며 궁극적으로 미계측지역에서도 지역적 인자들을 통해 특정 빈도에 발생 가능한 홍수 피해금액을 추정할 수 있었다. 최종적으로 추정된 홍수 피해금액과 지역 총 자산의 비를 통해 홍수위험지도를 작성하였다. 본 연구결과를 수자원장기종합계획에서 홍수위험도 평가를 위해 사용된 홍수피해잠재능(Potential Flood Damage; PFD)과 비교해 보면 PFD에서는 각 인자들의 가중치 산정에서 전문가의 주관이 개입될 수 있다는 단점이 있었으나 과거 피해금액과의 상관관계를 분석한 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 극복할 수 있었다.

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Characteristics and Models of the Side-swipe Accident in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged Signalized Intersections (4지 신호교차로의 측면접촉사고 특성 및 사고모형 - 청주시를 사례로 -)

  • Park, Sang-Hyuk;Kim, Tae-Young;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the side-swipe accidents of 4-legged signalized intersections in Cheongju. The objectives are to analyze the characteristics of the accidents and to develop the related models. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular emphasis to finding the appropriate methodology to modelling. The main results are as follows. First, injuries were analyzed to be twice than property-only accidents in the side-swipe accidents. The accidents were evaluated to occur more in inside-intersection. Also, the accidents were analyzed to be almost the auto-related accidents and to be occurred by the unsafely-driving activity. Second, multiple linear regression models were evaluated to be more statistically significant than multiple non-linear. The most fitted models were analyzed to be the models with the number of accidents as the dependent variable. The factors of side-swipe accidents analyzed in this study were ADT, area of intersection, right-turn-only-lane, number of pedestrian crossings, limited speed of main road, maximum grade and number of signal phase.

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