• Title/Summary/Keyword: 붕괴확률

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Numerical Analysis and Comparison of the Influence of Safety Factor Variations in Slope Stability During Rainy Season (우기시 비탈면 안전율 변화 인자의 영향에 대한 수치해석적 비교연구)

  • Song, Pyung-Hyun;Baek, Yong;You, Byung-Ok;Hwang, Young-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.30 no.10
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2014
  • Many studies have been made on investigation, design, explanation and treatments etc. to minimize slope failure. However, the problem is that failures of cutting slope and natural slope due to Typhoon and localized heavy rainfall are still not reduced. It is difficult to treat the problem by only strengthening the design standard. And it is very necessary to carry out design and safety analysis under the most suitable conditions considering foundation and rainfall characteristics. In this study, variations of safety factor were discussed from different aspects to investigate the influence of different parameters of rainfall and analysis conditions. Rainfall and foundation conditions are supposed to be the most sensitive parameters to slope stability, and numerical analysis were performed by changing parameters of the two conditions. Rainfall behavior is based on the domestic statistical rainfall and foundation condition is selected as unsaturated soils. Study results show that, application of rainfall characteristics in different area and parameters of unsaturated soils are responding sensitively to variations of slope safety. Therefore, the input parameters should be fully examined when performing the practical design.

Evaluation of Roofing Potential at the Ground-structure Interface (지반-구조물 경계면의 루핑 포텐셜 평가)

  • Park, Jeongman;Kim, Kanghyun;Shin, Jongho
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2018
  • Piping is one of the most frequently occurring collapse type of a levee, and is often caused by roofing (backward erosion piping) at the ground-structure interface. Roofing is generally evaluated using creep ratio. However, creep ratio does not take into account the characteristics of the ground-structure interface. In this study, the roofing risk was investigated by using model test and numerical analysis considering the ground-structure interface characteristics. In the model test, it was confirmed that the piping potential decreased as the interface roughness increased, and this was applied to the numerical analysis. Existing numerical methods can not adequately simulate the particle behavior at the ground-structure interface because only the water level difference is considered. In this paper, particle behavior at the interface was investigated by performing seepage analysis and then, carrying out particle analysis technique simulating the boundary condition of the ground-structure interface. Analysis results have shown that the roofing resistance decreases as the ground-structure interface roughness decreases.

A Study on the Connection Method for the Collapse Damage of Electric Power Facilities due to Earthquake Effects (지진 영향으로 인한 전기시설물의 붕괴피해 연계 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Byung-Hoon;Lee, Byung-Jin;Oh, Seung-Hee;Jung, Woo-Sug;Kim, Kyung-Seok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.203-208
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we selected power and power distribution facilities corresponding to urban infrastructure from the types of damage that could be caused by earthquakes and studied how they were calculated to damage. To calculate the damage, a graph of the magnitude of the damage was produced by applying the vulnerability curve calculation formula, which can be calculated for each type and type of facility. The scale of the earthquake and the probability of the occurrence of damage by the maximum earthquake acceleration were shown in the form of a vulnerability rate when the earthquake occurred in the urban infrastructure facility for utilizing the calculation result. It also applied a method of quantifying the fragility, which is a method of converting the calculated fragility into an integrated form, to represent a constant value for the magnitude of the damage. Continuing research, such as the method applied in this paper, could help identify in advance the types of structures affected by an earthquake and respond to reducing damage.

Intrusion-Tolerant Jini Service Architecture for Enhancing Survivability of Ubiquitous Services (유비쿼터스 서비스 생존성 제고를 위한 침입감내 Jini 서비스 구조)

  • Kim, Sung-Ki;Park, Kyung-No;Min, Byoung-Joon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2008
  • Ubiquitous service environment is poor in reliability of connection and has a high probability that the intrusion and the system failure may occur. Therefore, in the environment, the capability of a system to collectively accomplish its mission in spite of active intrusions and various failure scenarios, that is, the survivability of services are needed. In this paper, we analyze the Jgroup/ARM framework that was developed in order to help the development of fault- tolerant Jini services. More importantly, we propose an intrusion-tolerant Jini service architecture to satisfy the security availability and quality of services on the basis of the analysis. The proposed architecture is able to protect a Jini system not only from faults such as network partitioning or server crash, but also from attacks exploiting flaws. It is designed to provides performance enough to show a low response latency so as to support seamless service usage. Through the experiment on a test-bed, we have confirmed that the architecture is able to provide high security and availability at the level that degraded services quality is ignorable.

Development of Spatial Information System for Regional Ground Stability Assessment near Dam area (댐 주변지역 광역적 지반 안정성 평가를 위한 공간 정보시스템 개발)

  • 장범수;이사호;최위찬;최재원;오영철
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2001
  • Ground failure such as landslide, rock fall land subsidence by heavy rainfall have damaged to people and property. Especially, the damage to important facility such as dam, bridge, tunnel and industrial complex may be possible. Therefore the ground failure must be assessed and counter plan must be prepared. So, the object of this study is to develop the spatial information system for regional ground stability assessment. For this, the topographic, geologic, soil, forest, land use, rainfall frequency map, and satellite image near 40 dams were collected and constructed to the spatial information system. The spatial information system was developed using Avenue in ArcView 3.2 environment and consists of pull down menus and icons. For application of the spatial information system, regional ground stability was assessed in Andong dam. The assessment was ground failure susceptibility and possibility. The spatial information can be used for regional ground stability assessment, prevention and mitigation of hazard, and management of ground as basic data.

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Seismic Performance Evaluation of a RC Special Moment Frame Building (철근 콘크리트 특수 모멘트 골조 건물의 내진 성능 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Wan;Kim, Jin-Koo
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.2 s.54
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2007
  • In this study the probability and the reliability-based seismic performance evaluation procedure proposed in the FEMA-355F was applied to a reinforced concrete moment frame building. For the FEMA procedure, which was originally developed for steel moment frame structures, to be applied to other structural systems, the capacity should be re-defined and the factors reflecting the uncertainties related to capacity and demand need to be determined. To perform the evaluation procedure a prototype building was designed per IBC 2003, and inelastic dynamic analyses were conducted applying site-specific ground motions to determine the parameters for performance evaluation. According to the analysis results, distribution of the determined capacities turned out to be relative]y smaller than that of the demands, which showed that the defined capacity was reasonable. It was also shown that the prototype building satisfied the target performance since the determined confidence levels exceeded the otjectives for both local and global collapses.

Collapse Probability of a Low-rise Piloti-type Building Considering Domestic Seismic Hazard (국내 지진재해도를 고려한 저층 필로티 건물의 붕괴 확률)

  • Kim, Dae-Hwan;Kim, Taewan;Chu, Yurim
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.7_spc
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    • pp.485-494
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    • 2016
  • The risk-based assessment, also called time-based assessment of structure is usually performed to provide seismic risk evaluation of a target structure for its entire life-cycle, e.g. 50 years. The prediction of collapse probability is the estimator in the risk-based assessment. While the risk-based assessment is the key in the performance-based earthquake engineering, its application is very limited because this evaluation method is very expensive in terms of simulation and computational efforts. So the evaluation database for many archetype structures usually serve as representative of the specific system. However, there is no such an assessment performed for building stocks in Korea. Consequently, the performance objective of current building code, KBC is not clear at least in a quantitative way. This shortcoming gives an unresolved issue to insurance industry, socio-economic impact, seismic safety policy in national and local governments. In this study, we evaluate the comprehensive seismic performance of an low-rise residential buildings with discontinuous structural walls, so called piloti-type structure which is commonly found in low-rise domestic building stocks. The collapse probability is obtained using the risk integral of a conditioned collapse capacity function and regression of current hazard curve. Based on this approach it is expected to provide a robust tool to seismic safety policy as well as seismic risk analysis such as Probable Maximum Loss (PML) commonly used in the insurance industry.

Development of PBD Method for Concrete Mix Proportion Design Using Bayesian Probabilistic Method (Bayesian 통계법을 활용한 성능기반형 콘크리트 배합설계방법 개발)

  • Kim, Jang-Ho Jay;Phan, Duc-Hung;Lee, Keun-Sung;Yi, Na-Hyun;Kim, Sung-Bae
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.171-177
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    • 2010
  • Recently, Performance Based Design (PBD) method has been studied as a next generation structural design method, which enables a designed structure to satisfy the required performance during its service life. One method of deciding whether the required performance has been satisfied is Bayesian method, which has been commonly used in seismic analysis. Generally, it is presented as a conditional probability of exceeding some limit state (i.e., collapse) for a given ground motion. In PBD of concrete mixture design, the same methodology can be applied to assess concrete material performance based on some conditional parameters (i.e. strength, workability, carbonation, etc). In this paper, a detailed explanation of the procedure of drawing satisfaction curve by using Bayesian method based on various material parameters is shown. Also, a discussion of using the developed satisfaction curves for PBD for concrete mixture design is presented.

Sensitivity Analysis of Input Parameters in Slope Stability Analysis (사면 안정해석에 적용되는 입력 인자들의 민감도 분석)

  • Baek Yong;Bae Gyu-Jin;Kwon O-Il;Chang Soo-Ho;Koo Ho-Bon
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2005
  • Shear strength parameters obtained from field tests are important factors in the analysis of slope stability. In this paper, sensitivity analysis was performed to evaluate the effect of input parameters on the analysis of slope stability. The input parameters selected for sensitivity analysis were slope angle, cohesion, and friction angle. Monte-Carlo Simulation method was to estimate input parameters for sensitivity analysis in slope stability, and the limit equilibrium method was used to calculate the factor of safety of slope stability. A rock slope, failed in the field, was used for the sensitivity analysis of input parameters in the analysis of slope stability. The result of analysis shows that the factor of safety of the rock slope was a little low. From partial correlation coefficient (PCC) of input parameters from the sensitivity analysis, slope stability was dependant mainly on cohesion and slope angle. The effect of friction angle was smaller than those of cohesion and slope angle on slope stability.

Derivation of External Flood Hazard Curves for SOC Facilities under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 SOC시설물의 외부침수 재해도 곡선 산정)

  • Kim, Beom Jin;Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun;Heo, Jun Haeng;Shin, Ju Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.16-16
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    • 2018
  • 최근 국가시설물에서는 집중호우 등으로 인한 대상 부지 내의 홍수 발생 시 주요시설물에 기능 마비가 발생할 수 있고, 궁극적으로는 대규모 사고로 이어질 수 있기 때문에 외부침수에 대비할 수 있는 위험도 분석이 필요하다. 대상 부지에서의 외부침수의 원인으로서는 LIP(Local Intensive Precipitation)에 의한 홍수 발생조건, 인근에 댐, 제방 등이 위치한 경우 이들 시설물의 붕괴에 따른 홍수류의 원전 유입, 지진해일/폭풍해일에 의한 바다로부터의 홍수 유입 등이 대표적인 예이다. 따라서 대상 부지 및 그 SOC시설물의 안전도를 높은 수준에서 관리하기 위해서는 극한홍수가 유입될 때 침수심, 침수유속, 침수시간, 침수강도 등의 재해도를 분석하여야하고, 이들 SOC시설물의 취약도 평가를 실시하고 재해도와 취약도를 결합한 연계분석을 통하여 위험도를 재평가하여야 한다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화 시나리오에 대해서 LIP(극한강우) 조건을 빈도별 분석하였고, 기후변화에 의한 가능최대강우량(PMP)의 재포락을 실시하고, 이를 확률강우조건과 비교 검토하였다. 대상부지에서의 RCP4.5와 RCP8.5 조건하에서 발생빈도-지속시간-극한강우량과의 상관도를 제시하였다. 지형분석의 고도화 및 수문분석을 통한 LIP를 이용한 극한 홍수량의 산정을 실시하였고, 수리분석에 의한 극한홍수조건의 침수해석을 실시하였다. 침수해석을 통한 수리변량(침수심, 침수강도, 침수지속시간 등)을 산정하였고, 침수해석결과에 주요지점별 발생빈도-지속시간-침수위의 관계를 재해도로 제시하였다. 본 연구 결과 집중호우 조건하에서 국가 주요시설물에서의 침수심, 침수강도 등에 대한 새로운 재해도 곡선을 산정함으로써 중요한 SOC시설물의 내수 설계, 홍수 방지기능 설계, 홍수 방지 대책 및 절차의 고도화 및 홍수 저감 기능 평가에 기준이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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