• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분위수

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Bayesian quantile regression analysis of private education expenses for high scool students in Korea (일반계 고등학생 사교육비 지출에 대한 베이지안 분위회귀모형 분석)

  • Oh, Hyun Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1457-1469
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    • 2017
  • Private education expenses is one of the key issues in Korea and there have been many discussions about it. Academically, most of previous researches for private education expenses have used multiple regression linear model based on ordinary least squares (OLS) method. However, if the data do not satisfy the basic assumptions of the OLS method such as the normality and homoscedasticity, there is a problem with the reliability of estimations of parameters. In this case, quantile regression model is preferred to OLS model since it does not depend on the assumptions of nonnormality and heteroscedasticity for the data. In the present study, the data from a survey on private education expenses, conducted by Statistics Korea in 2015 has been analyzed for investigation of the impacting factors for private education expenses. Since the data do not satisfy the OLS assumptions, quantile regression model has been employed in Bayesian approach by using gibbs sampling method. The analysis results show that the gender of the student, parent's age, and the time and cost of participating after school are not significant. Household income is positively significant in proportion to the same size for all levels (quantiles) of private education expenses. Spending on private education in Seoul is higher than other regions and the regional difference grows as private education expenditure increases. Total time for private education and student's achievement have positive effect on the lower quantiles than the higher quantiles. Education level of father is positively significant for midium-high quantiles only, but education level of mother is for all but low quantiles. Participating after school is positively significant for the lower quantiles but EBS textbook cost is positively significant for the higher quantiles.

Regional frequency analysis using spatial data extension method : I. An empirical investigation of regional flood frequency analysis (공간확장자료를 이용한 지역빈도분석 : I. 지역홍수빈도분석의 실증적 검토)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeong Eun;Lee, Jeongwoo;Jung, Yong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.439-450
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    • 2016
  • For the design of infrastructures controlling the flood events at ungauged basins, this study tries to find the regional flood frequencies using peak flow data generated by the spatial extension of flood records. The Chungju Dam watershed is selected to validate the possibility of regional flood frequency analysis using the spatially extended flood data. Firstly, based on the index flood method, the flood event data from the spatial extension method is evaluated for 22 mid/smaller sub-basins at the Chungju Dam watershed. The homogeneity of the Chungju dam watershed was assessed in terms of the different size of watershed conditions such as accumulated and individual sub-basins. Based on the result of homogeneity analysis, this watershed is heterogeneous with respect to individual sub-basins because of the heterogeneity of rainfall distribution. To decide the regional probability distribution, goodness-of fit measure and weighted moving averages method from flood frequency analysis were adopted. Finally, GEV distribution was selected as a representative distribution and regional quantile were estimated. This research is one step further method to estimate regional flood frequency for ungauged basins.

Analysis Program for Diffusion Model: SNUDM (확산모형 분석도구: SNUDM)

  • Koh, Sungryong;Choo, Hyeree;Lee, Dajung
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2020
  • This paper introduces SNUDM, an analysis program for Ratcliff's diffusion model, which has been one of the most important models in cognitive psychology over the past 35 years and which has come to occupy an important place in cognitive neuroscience in recent years. The analysis tool is designed with the basic principles of easy comprehension and simplicity in use. A diffusion process was programmed as the limit of a simple random walk in a manner resembling Ratcliff & Tuerlinckx(2002). The response time distribution of the model was constructed by simulating the time taken by a random walk until it reaches a threshold with small steps. The optimal parameter values in the model are found to be the smallest value of the chi-square values obtained by comparing the resulting distribution and the experimental data using Simplex method. For simplicity and ease of use, the input file used here is created as a file containing the quantile of the reaction time, the trials and other information. The number of participants and the number of conditions required for such work programs are given in a way that answers the question. Using this analysis tool, the experimental data of Ratcliff, Gomez, & McKoon(2004) were analyzed. We found the very similar pattern of parameter values to Ratcliff et al.(2004) found. When comparing DMAT, fast-dm and SNUDM with the generated data, we found that when the number of trials is small, SNUDM estimates the boundary parameter to a value similar to fast-dm and less than the DMAT. In addition, when the number of trials was large, it was confirmed that all three tools estimate parameters similarly.

Compensation and Amendment of Highway Travel Demand Forecasting (고속도로 교통수요 보정모형에 관한 고찰)

  • Lee, Eui-Jun;Kim, Young-Sun;Yi, Yong-Ju;OH, Young-Tae;Choi, Keechoo;Yu, Jeong Whon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 2013
  • In this study, a model of compensation and amendment of forecasted travel demand was developed to calculate the range of values depends on the changes in the risk factors, selecting factors that might affect traffic demand changes among risk factors. Selected factors are as follows: influenced area population, the number of registrated vehicle per person, ratio of service industry workers, and city intervals. Then this model is applied to six routes of expressway and the calculated value were compensated with error rate being reflected on each quartile value with respect to influenced area population (200,000 people standards). Result from appling developed model to Cheongwon-Sangju expressway suggests that the model could compensate the error rate by more than 50%, which in turn validate the effectiveness of the model developed. Some limitations and future research agenda have also been identified.

Location Analysis and Distributional Forecast of Prehistoric Sites in Ulsan Region Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 울산지역 선사유적 입지분석 및 분포예측)

  • Lee, Han-Dong;Kim, Gyo-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 2012
  • The optimum location of the prehistoric sites of Ulsan Metropolitan City are investigated by both quantile and natural breaks methods through GIS, and the settlement pattern is studied based on the possibility of presence of the prehistoric sites which are also analyzed with these methods. Such factors including elevation, slope, distance from the nearest water, aspect, geological features, soil drainage classes, subsoil and land use recommended are employed in the analysis. The optimum geographical environment is the place where it includes the water-base in the area that is the southern aspect of the gentle slope land of lowland. The geology is the Quaternary alluvium. The drainage class is fine and the deep soil saturn is the fine loamy soil and the recommendation of land use is the area that is the field. As a result of the forecast of distribution, the prehistoric sites showed the higher possibility of presence in the downstream region where the Taehwa river and Dongcheon river join because the region come close to the watercourse and the drinking water use is easy. And the aspect and elevation is the low area. The alluvium accumulated from the upper stream of the Taehwa river and Dongheon river was made roomily, the area where is suitable for the farming life. Therefore, this region is judged that the possibility of presence of the prehistoric sites is high.

The Relation between Net Rate of Endogenous Noncarbonic Acid Production from Diet Potassium and Protein Intakes and Bone Mineral Density in Korean Women (일부 한국 여성에 있어 칼륨과 단백질의 섭취량에 의한 NEAP(net rate of endogenous noncarbonic acid production)와 골밀도와의 관련성)

  • Bae, Yun-Jung;Choi, Mi-Kyeong;Kim, Mi-Hyun;Kim, Eun-Young;Lee, Joo-Yeon;Sung, Chung-Ja
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.35 no.9
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    • pp.1200-1206
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the relation between NEAP (net rate of endogenous noncarbonic acid production) from dietary potassium and protein intakes, and bone mineral density and urinary deoxypyridinoline (DPD) in Korean women. The subjects were 276 women aged $18\sim81$, and they were asked about general characteristics and nutrient intake using 24-hr recall method. Also, their bone mineral density of spine and femoral neck were measured using DEXA. Urinary DPD analysis was done in 106 postmenopausal women. The average energy, protein and potassium intake were 1503.0 kcal, 57.7 g and 60.8 mEq, respectively. Mean NEAP [54.5$\times${protein intake (g)/potassium intake (mEq)}-10.2] was 44.6. NEAP showed a significantly negative correlation with spine bone mineral density of the subjects after controlling for confounding factors (age, height and weight) (p<0.05). The lowest quartile of protein intake had the highest spine bone mineral density after controlling for confounding factors (p<0.05). There was no significant correlation between urinary DPD and calculated NEAP. These results provided positive relation between a ratio of lower protein to higher potassium dietary intake and bone mineral density.

Flood Frequency Analysis Considering Probability Distribution and Return Period under Non-stationary Condition (비정상성 확률분포 및 재현기간을 고려한 홍수빈도분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Yeong Seob;Kim, Hyeong Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.610-610
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    • 2015
  • 수공구조물의 설계에서는 홍수빈도분석을 통해 산정된 특정 재현기간에서의 확률수문량이 설계기준으로 사용된다. 그러나 최근 기후변화로 인해 이상기후 현상이 심해짐에 따라 수문기상자료의 정상성을 가정하는 기존의 홍수빈도분석은 변화되는 수문현상을 적절히 표현하지 못하는 경우가 많다. 본 연구에서는 확률분포의 모수가 시간에 따라 변화하는 비정상성 빈도분석기법을 적용하였으며 확률분포의 모수들을 최우추정법으로 추정하였다. 또한, 분위수 추정과정에서도 비정상성을 고려하여 정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간 및 위험도와 비교분석하였다. 확률분포는 GEV 분포를 사용하여 정상성 및 비정상성 모형 4개를 구축하였다. 특히, 비정상성 모형은 위치모수만 선형 경향성을 가지는 경우, 규모모수만 선형경향성을 가지는 경우, 위치 및 규모모수가 선형경향성을 가지는 경우의 3가지로 구분하여 적용하였다. 구축된 4개의 모형 중 적합모형을 선정하기 위해 우도비 검정과 Akaike 정보기준을 사용하였으며 적합모형선정 절차를 체계적으로 구축하고 적용하여 적합모형을 선정하였다. 본 연구에서 구축된 비정상성 홍수빈도분석 기법은 우리나라의 8개 다목적댐 (충주댐, 소양강댐, 안동댐, 임하댐, 합천댐, 대청댐, 섬진강댐, 주암댐)으로부터 취득된 과거 관측 댐 유입량을 대상으로 하여 적용되었다. 우도비 검정과 Akaike 정보기준을 이용한 적합 모형 선정 결과 합천댐과 섬진강댐이 비정상성 GEV 모형에 적합한 것으로 분석되었고, 나머지 지점의 다목적댐들은 정상성 모형에 적합한 것으로 분석되었다. 합천댐과 섬진강댐의 경우 비정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간이 정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간보다 매우 작게 산정되었으며 확률수문량과 위험도는 크게 산정되었다. 적합모형으로 정상성 모형이 선정된 6개의 다목적댐 중 소양강댐은 Mann-Kendall 비모수 경향성 검정 결과 유의하지는 않지만 비교적 큰 선형경향성을 가지고 있었다. 비록 비정상성 모형이 적합모형으로 선정되지는 않았지만 소양강댐에 비정상성 모형을 가정하여 재현기간과 확률수문량, 위험도를 분석한 결과 정상성 모형 가정에서 산정한 결과와 상당한 차이가 있었다. 이와 같은 결과는 수문자료의 정상성과 비정상성을 고려한 홍수빈도분석이 향후 수공구조물의 설계에 있어서 신뢰성 있는 확률수문량을 결정하는데 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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Pullout Tests on M12&M20 Stainless Steel Post-Installed Expansion Anchor for Seismic Design in Cracked Concrete (균열 콘크리트에 설치된 M12, M20 내진용 스테인리스스틸 확장식 후설치 앵커 인장 실험)

  • Kim, Jin-Gyu;Chun, Sung-Chul;An, Yeong-Seung
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2022
  • Recently, seismic design for anchors is required, which are used for connecting structural members and non-structural and structural members. In this study, pull-out tests on the new expansion anchors which have been developed for cracked concrete. The anchors of 12 mm and 20 mm diameters were tested which are commonly used. Experiments were conducted on non-cracked concrete and cracked concrete to evaluate the seismic performance of the post-installed anchor. The experimental method complies with the specified test protocol (KCI, 2018). Three experimental variables are included in this study: presence of cracks, concrete compressive strength, and effective embedment depth. The strength of the anchors was evaluated with the characteristic capacity K5% determined from the test results incorporated with the safety of 5% fractile. The characteristic capacity K5% of the non-cracked and cracked concrete specified in KDS 14 20 54 are 9.8 and 7.0, respectively. Test results show that all groups except the three groups have higher characteristic capacity K5% than the KDS code and the nominal strengths of the tested anchors can be determined with the obtained characteristic capacity K5%.

A Selection Methodology of the Appropriate Candidate Sites of Riverine Wetlands for Ecological Connection (생태축 연결을 고려한 하천습지의 적정 후보지 선정 방안)

  • Yujin Kang;Won-joon Wang;Haneul Lee;Junhyeong, Lee;Seungmin Lee;Hung Soo Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2023
  • In Korea, wetland policies are currently being pursued through long-term plans such as nationwide wetland surveys and wetland conservation basic plans. However, most policies focus on understanding the status of wetlands, such as their area, distribution, and biodiversity, and there is a lack of awareness regarding the need to conserve and manage wetland ecosystems as a single organism. Therefore, this study aims to identify potential riverine wetland sites that can be ecologically connected by considering functional aspects such as floodplain, biodiversity, habitat provision, and tourism resources. This study attempted to select a candidate site that could potentially provide ecological connectivity with three wetlands in the Nakdonggang River water system : Upo Wetland, Hwapocheon Wetland, and Junam Reservoir. 63 wetlands and 7 candidate sites located in 15 subwatersheds of the Nakdonggang River were analyzed, and the most suitable candidate site for ecological connectivity was selected based on the calculated scores. A suitability analysis was conducted using 9 evaluation factors to evaluate candidate sites, and the scoring method, using quantile, was applied to these factors. As a result, Upo2(Hopo) was selected as the most suitable site for ecological connectivity, receiving the highest score 36. Therefore, it is believed that Upo2(Hopo) can serve as a floodplain, habitat, biodiversity enhancer, and tourism resource while being the most suitable for ecological connectivity.

Development of Korean Healthy Eating Index for adults using the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data (국민건강영양조사 자료를 이용한 한국 성인의 식생활평가지수 개발)

  • Yook, Sung-Min;Park, Sohee;Moon, Hyun-Kyung;Kim, Kirang;Shim, Jae Eun;Hwang, Ji-Yun
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.419-428
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The current study was conducted in order to develop the Korean Healthy Eating Index (KHEI) for assessing adherence to national dietary guidelines and comprehensive diet quality of healthy Korean adults using the 5th Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) data. Methods: The candidate components of KHEI were selected based on literature reviews, dietary guidelines for Korean adults, 2010 Dietary Reference Intakes for Koreans (2010 KDRI), and objectives of HP 2020. The associations between candidate components and risk of obesity, abdominal obesity, and metabolic syndrome were assessed using the 5th KNHANES data. The expert review process was also performed. Results: Diets that meet the food group recommendations per each energy level receive maximum scores for the 9 adequacy components of the index. Scores for amounts between zero and the standard are prorated linearly. For the three moderation components among the total of five, population probability densities were examined when setting the standards for minimum and maximum scores. Maximum scores for the total of 14 components are 100 points and each component has maximum scores of 5 (fruit intakes excluding juice, fruit intake including juice, vegetable intakes excluding Kimchi and pickles, vegetable intake including Kimchi or pickles, ratio of white meat to read meat, whole grains intake, refined grains intake, and percentages of energy intake from carbohydrate) or 10 points (protein foods intake, milk and dairy food intake, having breakfast, sodium intake, percentages of energy intake from empty calorie foods, and percentages of energy intake from fat). The KHEI is a measure of diet quality as specified by the key diet recommendations of the dietary guidelines and 2010 KDRIs. Conclusion: The KHEI will be used as a tool for monitoring diet quality of the Korean population and subpopulations, evaluation of nutrition interventions and research.