• Title/Summary/Keyword: 북극진동지수

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The Study on Occurrence of Asian Dust and Their Controlling Factors in Korea (한국의 황사 출현에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Young;Lee, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.675-690
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    • 2009
  • This paper aims to analyze number of Asian dust days and their controlling factors in Korea. Asian dust days, Arctic oscillation index, Antarctic oscillation index and Eurasian snow cover data were used in this study. The number of Asian dust days was increasing after the middle 1980s. The number of Asian dust days was concentrated in April. The number of Asian dust days was increased second half (5.1 days) than first half (3.2 days) of the study period. The number of Asian dust days had positive relationship with winter Arctic oscillation index and Antarctic oscillation index. When the Arctic oscillation index and Antarctic oscillation index is positive, the Asian dust days will be increased. The number of Asian dust days had negative relationship with the Eurasian snow cover. When the Eurasian snow cover will be decreased, the Asian dust days will be increased.

Selection of a Mother Wavelet Using Wavelet Analysis of Time Series Data (시계열 자료의 웨이블릿 분석을 위한 모 웨이블릿의 선정문제)

  • Lee, Hyunwook;Song, Sunguk;Zhu, Ju Hua;Lee, Munseok;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.259-259
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    • 2019
  • 시계열 자료들을 분석하고자 하는 경우 자료가 정상성(stationarity)을 만족하는 경우는 드물다. 특히 계절성을 제거한 자료들에서는 정량화하기 어려운 주기성이 많이 관찰된다. 즉, 어떤 특정지역에서 나타나는 현상이 다른 기상 현상에 영향을 미칠 것은 자명한 일이나 그 관련성이 선형(linearity)일 가능성은 극히 드물다. 따라서 그들 사이의 관련성이 선형성에 근거한 지표들로 정량화되어야 한다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해서 다양한 방법이 사용되며 그중에서 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 본 연구를 진행하였다. 웨이블릿 변환(wavelet transforms)은 특수한 함수의 집합으로 구성되어 기존 웨이블릿 신호의 분석을 위해 사용되는 방법이다. 이 변환은 푸리에 변환에서 변형된 방법으로 특정한 기저 함수(base function)를 이용하여 기존의 시계열 자료를 주파수로 바꾸는 변환이다. 웨이블릿 변환에서 기저 함수를 모 웨이블릿이라고 하며 이를 천이, 확대 및 축소 과정을 통해 주파수를 구성한다. 웨이블릿 분석은 모 웨이블릿을 분해하고 재결합하여 시계열 분석을 할 수 있다. 모 웨이블릿 함수에는 Haar, Daubechies, Coiflets, Symlets, Morlet, Mexican Hat, Meyer 등의 여러 가지 종류의 모 웨이블릿 함수가 있으며 모 웨이블릿이 달라지면 결과가 다르게 나타난다. 기존에는 Morlet 웨이블릿을 주로 이용하여 주파수분석에 사용하여 결과를 도출하였다. 그리고 시계열 자료는 크게 백색잡음(White Noise), 장기기억(Long Term Memory), 단기기억(Short Term Memory)으로 나뉜다. 각 시계열 자료의 종류에 따라 임의의 시계열 자료를 산정하여 그에 따른 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 모 웨이블릿의 특성을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서는 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 시계열 자료의 최적 모 웨이블릿을 결정하고자 남방진동지수(SOI), 북극진동지수(AOI)의 자료를 이용하여 웨이블릿 분석을 시도하였다. 웨이블릿 분석은 모 웨이블릿에 따라 달라지는 결과를 토대로 분석하였으며 이를 정상성과 지속성에 따라 분류된 시계열에 적용하여 최적 모 웨이블릿을 결정하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 임의의 시계열 자료에서 설정한 최적의 모 웨이블릿을 AOI와 SOI와 같은 실제 시계열 자료에 대입하여 분석을 진행하였다. 본 연구에서는 시계열 자료의 종류를 구분하고 자료의 특성에 따라 가장 적합한 모 웨이블릿을 구하고자 하였다.

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Evaluation of autocorrelation characteristics of arctic oscillation and its cross-correlation to the monsoon and typhoon (북극진동의 자기상관 특성 및 우리나라 장마 및 태풍과의 교차상관 특성 평가)

  • Lee, Hyunwook;Song, Sunguk;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.1247-1260
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    • 2018
  • This study investigated the effect of arctic oscillation by analyzing the cross-correlation characteristics between the arctic oscillation index (AOI) and the number of typhoons occurred in the North Pacific, the number of typhoons affecting South Korea, total rainfall amount and number of rainy days during the monsoon season in South Korea. For this analysis, the monthly AOI data were transformed into the average data about January and seasonal AOI data representing winter, spring, fall and winter. The typhoon data and monsoon data were all those collected annually. The data period for this analysis was determined to be from 1961 to 2016 by considering the data available. Based on this analysis, it was found that the arctic oscillation has a weak but statistically significant effect on the monsoon characteristics of South Korea. However, the level of effect was not consistent over the data period but varied significantly periodically. For example, the cross-correlation coefficient derived for the recent 10 years was estimated to be higher than 0.8, but was simply insignificant during the 30 years before the last decade. The overall effect of arctic oscillation on the occurrence of typhoon was found to be statistically insignificant, but was also fluctuating periodically to show somewhat significant effect. Finally, it should be mentioned that the effect of arctic oscillation on the typhoon and monsoon had been changing by turns from 1960s to 2000s. However, in the 2010s, it happened that the effect of arctic oscillation has become significant on both typhoon and monsoon in South Korea.

Selecting a mother wavelet for univariate wavelet analysis of time series data (시계열 자료의 단변량 웨이블릿 분석을 위한 모 웨이블릿의 선정)

  • Lee, Hyunwook;Lee, Jinwook;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.8
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    • pp.575-587
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    • 2019
  • This study evaluated the effect of a mother wavelet in the wavelet analysis of various times series made by combining white noise and/or sine function. The result derived is also applied to short-memory arctic oscillation index (AOI) and long-memory southern oscillation index (SOI). This study, different from previous studies evaluating one or two mother wavelets, considers a total of four generally-used mother wavelets, Bump, Morlet, Paul, and Mexican Hat. Summarizing the results is as follows. First, the Bump mother wavelet is found to have some limitations to represent the unstationary behavior of the periodic components. Its application results are more or less the same as the spectrum analysis. On the other hand, the Morlet and Paul mother wavelets are found to represent the non-stationary behavior of the periodic components. Finally, the Mexican Hat mother wavelet is found to be too complicated to interpret. Additionally, it is also found that the application result of Paul mother wavelet can be inconsistent for some specific time series. As a result, the Morlet mother wavelet seems to be the most stable one for general applications, which is also assured by the recent trend that the Morlet mother wavelet is most frequently used in the wavelet analysis research.

Influence of Spring Warming in the Arctic-East Asia Region on the Arctic Oscillation and Dust Days in Korea Attributed to Dust Storms (북극-동아시아 지역의 봄철 온난화가 북극 진동-한국의 황사 사례일의 종관 기상에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Ji-Sun Kim;Jae-Hee Cho;Hak-Sung Kim
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.121-135
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    • 2024
  • This study examined the influence of near-surface atmospheric warming in the Arctic-East Asia region during spring (March-May) from 1991 to 2020 on the synoptic-scale meteorology of dust storm-induced dust days in Seoul, Korea, in response to the Arctic Oscillation. Increased springtime warming in the Arctic-East Asia region correlated with a reduction of six days in the occurrence of dust storm-induced dust days in Seoul, Korea, along with a decline in the intensity of these days by -1.6 ㎍ m-3yr-1 in PM10 mass concentration. The declining number of dust storm-induced dust days in Korea during the 2010s was the result of synoptic-scale meteorological analysis, which showed increased high-pressure activity as indicated by the negative potential vorticity unit. Moreover, a distinct pattern emerged in the distribution of dust storm-induced dust days in Korea based on the Arctic Oscillation Index (AOI), showing an increase in negative AOI and a decrease in positive AOI. Although the northward shift of the polar jet weakened the southerly low-pressure system activity over Mongolia and northern China, a reinforced high-pressure system formed over the Chinese continent during dust-storm-induced dust days with a negative AOI. This resulted in both a decrease in the frequency of dust-storm-induced dust days and reduction in wind speeds, facilitating their transport from source regions to Korea. Conversely, on days with positive AOIs, an extensive warm and stagnant high-pressure system dominated mainland China, accompanied by further cooling of the northern segment of the polar jet. A notable decline in wind speed in the lower troposphere across the Mongolia-northern China-Korea region diminished the occurrence of dust storm-induced dust days and also weakened their long-range transport.

Changes of Unusual Temperature Events and their Controlling Factors in Korea (한국의 이상기온 출현 빈도의 변화와 그 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Heo In-Hye;Lee Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.41 no.1 s.112
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    • pp.94-105
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    • 2006
  • This paper aims to analyze changes of unusual temperature events on summer and winter and their controlling factors. There has been obviously an increased frequencies of summer unusual high temperature occurrence and decreased frequencies of winter unusual low temperature at most of stations. WMI, winter SHI and AOI might be essential for prediction of unusual temperature during winter and summer OHI and spring NPI for summer unusual low temperature. These factors are crucial because they reflect the recent global warming trend as well as have apparent associations with unusual temperature occurrence frequency in Korea.

Climate Variability and Chum Salmon Production in the North Pacific (북태평양 기후변화와 연어 생산력 변동)

  • Kim, Su-Am;Kang, Su-Kyung;Seo, Hyun-Ju;Kim, Eun-Jung;Kang, Min-Ho
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2007
  • The relationship between North Pacific chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) population and climate variability was investigated in the North Pacific ecosystem. Time-series for the Aleutian Low Pressure, Southern Oscillation, Arctic Oscillation, and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) indices dating back to 1950 are compared with the chum salmon catch using a cross-correlation function (CCF) and cumulative sum (CuSum) of anomalies. The results of CCF and CuSum analyses indicated that there was a major change in climate during the mid 1970s, and that the chum salmon population responded to this climate event with a time-lag. The PDO and chum salmon returns showed a highly significant correlation with a time-lag of 3 years, while the AOI with a time-lag of $6{\sim}7$ years. The favorable environments for fry chum salmon might cause better growth in the coastal areas, but higher growth rate during the early stage does not seem to be related to the improved return rate of spawning adults. Rather, growth in the Okhotsk Sea or the Bering Sea during immature stages has a significant correlation with return rate, which implies the size-related mortality process. The development of a local climate index is necessary to elucidate the effect of climate variability on the marine ecosystem around the Korean Peninsula.

Movement of Cold Water Mass in the Northern East China Sea in Summer (하계 동중국해 북부 해역에서 저층 냉수괴의 거동)

  • Jang, Sung-Tae;Lee, Jae-Hak;Kim, Cheol-Ho;Jang, Chan-Joo;Jang, Young-Suk
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2011
  • The Yellow Sea Cold Water (YSCW) is formed by cold and dry wind in the previous winter, and is known to spread southward along the central trough of the Yellow Sea in summer. Water characteristics of the YSCW and its movement in the northern East China Sea (ECS) are investigated by analyzing CTD (conductivity-Temperature-Depth) data collected from summertime hydrographic surveys between 2003 and 2009. By water mass analysis, we newly define the North Western Cold Water (NWCW) as a cold water mass observed in the study area. It is characterized by temperature below $13.2^{\circ}C$, salinity of 32.6~33.7 psu, and density (${\sigma}_t$) of 24.7~25.5. The NWCW appears to flow southward at about a speed less than 2 cm/s according to the geostrophic calculation. The newly defined NWCW shows an interannual variation in the range of temperature and occupied area, which is in close relation with the sea surface temperature (SST) over the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea in the previous winter season. The winter SST is determined by winter air temperature, which shows a high correlation with the winter-mean Arctic Oscillation (AO) index. The negative winter-mean AO causes the low winter SST over the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea, resulting in the summertime expansion and lower temperature of the NWCW in the study area. This study shows a dynamic relation among the winter-mean AO index, SST, and NWCW, which helps to predict the movement of NWCW in the northern ECS in summer.

Selection of mother wavelet for bivariate wavelet analysis (이변량 웨이블릿 분석을 위한 모 웨이블릿 선정)

  • Lee, Jinwook;Lee, Hyunwook;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.11
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    • pp.905-916
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    • 2019
  • This study explores the effect of mother wavelet in the bivariate wavelet analysis. A total of four mother wavelets (Bump, Mexican hat, Morlet, and Paul) which are frequently used in the related studies is selected. These mother wavelets are applied to several bivariate time series like white noise and sine curves with different periods, whose results are then compared and evaluated. Additionally, two real time series such as the arctic oscillation index (AOI) and the southern oscillation index (SOI) are analyzed to check if the results in the analysis of generated time series are consistent with those in the analysis of real time series. The results are summarized as follows. First, the Bump and Morlet mother wavelets are found to provide well-matched results with the theoretical predictions. On the other hand, the Mexican hat and Paul mother wavelets show rather short-periodic and long-periodic fluctuations, respectively. Second, the Mexican hat and Paul mother wavelets show rather high scale intervention, but rather small in the application of the Bump and Morlet mother wavelets. The so-called co-movement can be well detected in the application of Morlet and Paul mother wavelets. Especially, the Morlet mother wavelet clearly shows this characteristic. Based on these findings, it can be concluded that the Morlet mother wavelet can be a soft option in the bivariate wavelet analysis. Finally, the bivariate wavelet analysis of AOI and SOI data shows that their periodic components of about 2-4 years co-move regularly every about 20 years.

A Characteristic of Wintertime Snowfall and Minimum Temperature with Respect to Arctic Oscillation in South Korea During 1979~2011 (1979~2011년, 북극진동지수 측면에서의 겨울철 남한지역 신적설과 최저 온도 특성)

  • Roh, Joon-Woo;Lee, Yong Hee;Choi, Reno K.Y.;Lee, Hee Choon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2014
  • A characteristic of snowfall and minimum temperature variability in South Korea with respect to the variability of Arctic Oscillation (AO) was investigated. The climatic snowfall regions of South Korea based on daily new fresh snowfall data of 59 Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) stations data corresponding to the sign of AO index during December to February 1979~2011 were classified. Especially, the differences between snowfalls of eastern regions and that of western regions in South Korea were seen by each mean 1000hPa geopotential height fields, which is one of physical structure, for the selected cases over the East Asia including the Korean Peninsula. Daily minimum temperature variability of 59 KMA station data and daily AO index during the same period were investigated using Cyclo-stationary empirical orthogonal function (CSEOF) analysis. The first CSEOF of wintertime daily AO index and that of minimum temperature of 59 KMA stations explain 33% and 66% of total variability, respectively. Correlation between principal component time series corresponding to the first CSEOF of AO index and that of temperature at the period of 1990s is over about -0.7 when that of AO index leads about 40 days.