• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.12
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• pp.1247-1260
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• 2018

This study investigated the effect of arctic oscillation by analyzing the cross-correlation characteristics between the arctic oscillation index (AOI) and the number of typhoons occurred in the North Pacific, the number of typhoons affecting South Korea, total rainfall amount and number of rainy days during the monsoon season in South Korea. For this analysis, the monthly AOI data were transformed into the average data about January and seasonal AOI data representing winter, spring, fall and winter. The typhoon data and monsoon data were all those collected annually. The data period for this analysis was determined to be from 1961 to 2016 by considering the data available. Based on this analysis, it was found that the arctic oscillation has a weak but statistically significant effect on the monsoon characteristics of South Korea. However, the level of effect was not consistent over the data period but varied significantly periodically. For example, the cross-correlation coefficient derived for the recent 10 years was estimated to be higher than 0.8, but was simply insignificant during the 30 years before the last decade. The overall effect of arctic oscillation on the occurrence of typhoon was found to be statistically insignificant, but was also fluctuating periodically to show somewhat significant effect. Finally, it should be mentioned that the effect of arctic oscillation on the typhoon and monsoon had been changing by turns from 1960s to 2000s. However, in the 2010s, it happened that the effect of arctic oscillation has become significant on both typhoon and monsoon in South Korea.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.302-312
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• 2006

This study has investigated the effect of Arctic Oscillation (AO) on cold surge through atmospheric circulation and heat source analysis for the past winters from 1979 to 2004. The number of occurrence of cold surge in the negative AO phase is about 14.3% larger than that in the positive AO phase. The number of occurrence of cold surge per a month in the negative (positive) AO phase is about 1.33 (1.05), respectively, indicating that the negative AO phase has about 26.6% larger occurrence than the positive AO phase. It means that the cold surge has occurred frequently in particular months with the negative AO phase. And it also shows that surface temperature in the negative AO phase is about $0.6^{\circ}C$ lower than in positive AO phase. As a result of the analysis for the difference of heat source according to the intensity of AO, it shows that surface air temperature around the Korean peninsula in the negative AO phase is more lower than in positive AO phase by the intensification of cold advection term. However, heat source term cancels out the cooling effect by cold advection term, indicating that it suppresses the decrease in surface air temperature. It results in a small difference of $0.6^{\circ}C$ in surface air temperature between the positive and negative AO phase in spite of the significance of atmospheric circulation change.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.44 no.6
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• pp.675-690
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• 2009

This paper aims to analyze number of Asian dust days and their controlling factors in Korea. Asian dust days, Arctic oscillation index, Antarctic oscillation index and Eurasian snow cover data were used in this study. The number of Asian dust days was increasing after the middle 1980s. The number of Asian dust days was concentrated in April. The number of Asian dust days was increased second half (5.1 days) than first half (3.2 days) of the study period. The number of Asian dust days had positive relationship with winter Arctic oscillation index and Antarctic oscillation index. When the Arctic oscillation index and Antarctic oscillation index is positive, the Asian dust days will be increased. The number of Asian dust days had negative relationship with the Eurasian snow cover. When the Eurasian snow cover will be decreased, the Asian dust days will be increased.

• The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.61-72
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• 2007

The relationship between North Pacific chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) population and climate variability was investigated in the North Pacific ecosystem. Time-series for the Aleutian Low Pressure, Southern Oscillation, Arctic Oscillation, and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) indices dating back to 1950 are compared with the chum salmon catch using a cross-correlation function (CCF) and cumulative sum (CuSum) of anomalies. The results of CCF and CuSum analyses indicated that there was a major change in climate during the mid 1970s, and that the chum salmon population responded to this climate event with a time-lag. The PDO and chum salmon returns showed a highly significant correlation with a time-lag of 3 years, while the AOI with a time-lag of $6{\sim}7$ years. The favorable environments for fry chum salmon might cause better growth in the coastal areas, but higher growth rate during the early stage does not seem to be related to the improved return rate of spawning adults. Rather, growth in the Okhotsk Sea or the Bering Sea during immature stages has a significant correlation with return rate, which implies the size-related mortality process. The development of a local climate index is necessary to elucidate the effect of climate variability on the marine ecosystem around the Korean Peninsula.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.45 no.3
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• pp.319-341
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• 2010

The purposes of this study are to classify heavy snowfall types in the Republic of Korea based on fresh snowfall data and atmospheric circulation data during the last 36(1973/74-2008/09) snow seasons and to identify typical surface synoptic climate patterns that characterize each heavy snowfall type. Four synoptic climate categories and seventeen regional heavy snowfall types are classified based on sea level pressure/surface wind vector patterns in East Asia and frequent spatial clustering patterns of heavy snowfall in the Republic of Korea, respectively. Composite analyses of multiple surface synoptic weather charts demonstrate that the locations and intensity of pressure/wind vector mean and anomaly cores in East Asia differentiate each regional heavy snowfall type in Korea. These differences in synoptic climatic fields are primarily associated with the surge of the Siberian high pressure system and the appearance of low pressure systems over the Korean Peninsula. In terms of hemispheric atmospheric circulation, synoptic climatic patterns in the negative mode of winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) are also associated with frequent heavy snowfall in the Republic of Korea at seasonal scales. These results from long-term synoptic climatic data could contribute to improvement of short-range or seasonal prediction of regional heavy snowfall.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.374-387
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• 2007

We examined the characteristics of atmospheric circulation over East Asia to find the causes of the unusual warm winter 2006/2007 in Korea. During that time, the anomalous atmospheric conditions are characterized by the weakening of the Siberian High and the Aleutian Low, the enhancement of low-level south easterlies near Korea, and the weakening of upper-level jet to the south of Japan. These patterns are considerably associated with the atmospheric condition of non-blocking year over the Siberia (60-140E). In addition, both El $Ni\widetilde{n}o$ and Arctic Oscillation (AO) are likely to induce those patterns. Therefore, it is suggested that the anomalous atmospheric states related to non-blocking flow, El $Ni\widetilde{n}o$, and the positive phase of AO are responsible for the warmest winter season in 2006/2007 for the period of 1958/1959-2006/2007.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.259-259
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• 2019

시계열 자료들을 분석하고자 하는 경우 자료가 정상성(stationarity)을 만족하는 경우는 드물다. 특히 계절성을 제거한 자료들에서는 정량화하기 어려운 주기성이 많이 관찰된다. 즉, 어떤 특정지역에서 나타나는 현상이 다른 기상 현상에 영향을 미칠 것은 자명한 일이나 그 관련성이 선형(linearity)일 가능성은 극히 드물다. 따라서 그들 사이의 관련성이 선형성에 근거한 지표들로 정량화되어야 한다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해서 다양한 방법이 사용되며 그중에서 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 본 연구를 진행하였다. 웨이블릿 변환(wavelet transforms)은 특수한 함수의 집합으로 구성되어 기존 웨이블릿 신호의 분석을 위해 사용되는 방법이다. 이 변환은 푸리에 변환에서 변형된 방법으로 특정한 기저 함수(base function)를 이용하여 기존의 시계열 자료를 주파수로 바꾸는 변환이다. 웨이블릿 변환에서 기저 함수를 모 웨이블릿이라고 하며 이를 천이, 확대 및 축소 과정을 통해 주파수를 구성한다. 웨이블릿 분석은 모 웨이블릿을 분해하고 재결합하여 시계열 분석을 할 수 있다. 모 웨이블릿 함수에는 Haar, Daubechies, Coiflets, Symlets, Morlet, Mexican Hat, Meyer 등의 여러 가지 종류의 모 웨이블릿 함수가 있으며 모 웨이블릿이 달라지면 결과가 다르게 나타난다. 기존에는 Morlet 웨이블릿을 주로 이용하여 주파수분석에 사용하여 결과를 도출하였다. 그리고 시계열 자료는 크게 백색잡음(White Noise), 장기기억(Long Term Memory), 단기기억(Short Term Memory)으로 나뉜다. 각 시계열 자료의 종류에 따라 임의의 시계열 자료를 산정하여 그에 따른 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 모 웨이블릿의 특성을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서는 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 시계열 자료의 최적 모 웨이블릿을 결정하고자 남방진동지수(SOI), 북극진동지수(AOI)의 자료를 이용하여 웨이블릿 분석을 시도하였다. 웨이블릿 분석은 모 웨이블릿에 따라 달라지는 결과를 토대로 분석하였으며 이를 정상성과 지속성에 따라 분류된 시계열에 적용하여 최적 모 웨이블릿을 결정하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 임의의 시계열 자료에서 설정한 최적의 모 웨이블릿을 AOI와 SOI와 같은 실제 시계열 자료에 대입하여 분석을 진행하였다. 본 연구에서는 시계열 자료의 종류를 구분하고 자료의 특성에 따라 가장 적합한 모 웨이블릿을 구하고자 하였다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.8
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• pp.575-587
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• 2019

This study evaluated the effect of a mother wavelet in the wavelet analysis of various times series made by combining white noise and/or sine function. The result derived is also applied to short-memory arctic oscillation index (AOI) and long-memory southern oscillation index (SOI). This study, different from previous studies evaluating one or two mother wavelets, considers a total of four generally-used mother wavelets, Bump, Morlet, Paul, and Mexican Hat. Summarizing the results is as follows. First, the Bump mother wavelet is found to have some limitations to represent the unstationary behavior of the periodic components. Its application results are more or less the same as the spectrum analysis. On the other hand, the Morlet and Paul mother wavelets are found to represent the non-stationary behavior of the periodic components. Finally, the Mexican Hat mother wavelet is found to be too complicated to interpret. Additionally, it is also found that the application result of Paul mother wavelet can be inconsistent for some specific time series. As a result, the Morlet mother wavelet seems to be the most stable one for general applications, which is also assured by the recent trend that the Morlet mother wavelet is most frequently used in the wavelet analysis research.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.49 no.5
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• pp.675-689
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• 2014

This study applied Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition(EEMD), a new methodology to define the timing of spring onset over the Republic of Korea and to examine its spatio-temporal change. Also this study identified the relationship between spring onet timing and some atmospheric variations, and figured out synoptic factors which affect the timing of spring onset. The averaged spring onset timing for the period of 1974-2011 was 11th, March in Republic of Korea. In general, the spring onset timing was later with higher latitude and altitude regions, and it was later in inland regions than in costal ones. The correlation analysis has been carried out to find out the factors which affect spring onset timing, and global annual mean temperature, Arctic Oscillation(AO), Siberian High had a significant correlation with spring onset timing. The multiple regression analysis was conducted with three indices which were related to spring onset timing, and the model explained 64.7%. As a result of multiple regression analysis, the effect of annual mean temperature was the greatest and that of AO was the second. To find out synoptic factors affecting spring onset timing, the synoptic analysis has been carried out. As a result the intensity of meridional circulation represented as the major factor affect spring onset timing.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.43 no.1
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• pp.1-19
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• 2008

This study intends to clarify the characteristics and causes of current changes in wintertime precipitation in Korea and to predict the future directions based on surface observational $(1973/04\sim2006/07)$ and modeled (GFDL 2.1) climate data. Analyses of surface observation data demonstrate that without changes in the total amount of precipitation, snowfall in winter (November-April) has reduced by 4.3cm/decade over the $1973\sim2007$ period. Moreover, the frequency and intensity of snowfall have decreased; the duration of snow season has shortened; and the snow-to-rain day ratio (STDR) has decreased. These patterns indicate that the type of wintertime precipitation has changed from snow to rain in recent decades. The snow-to-rain change in winter is associated with the increases of air temperature (AT) over South Korea. Analyses of synoptic charts reveal that the warming pattern is associated with the formation of a positive pressure anomaly core over northeast Asia by a hemispheric positive winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) mode. Moreover, the differentiated warming of AT versus sea surface temperature (SST) under the high pressure anomaly core reduces the air-sea temperature gradient, and subsequently it increases the atmospheric stability above oceans, which is associated with less formation of snow cloud. Comparisons of modeled data between torrent $(1981\sim2000)$ and future $(2081\sim2100)$ periods suggest that the intensified warming with larger anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission in the $21^{st}$ century will amplify the magnitude of these changes. More reduction of snow impossible days as well as more abbreviation of snow seasons is predicted in the $21^{st}$ century.