• Title/Summary/Keyword: 부분 베이즈요인

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Comparative Study of Model Selection Using Bayes Factor through Simulation : Poisson vs. Negative Binomial Model Selection and Normal, Double Exponential vs. Cauchy Model Selection (시뮬레이션을 통한 베이즈요인에 의한 모형선택의 비교연구 : 포아송, 음이항모형의 선택과 정규, 이중지수, 코쉬모형의 선택)

  • 오미라;윤소영;심정욱;손영숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.335-349
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we use Bayesian method for model selection of poisson vs. negative binomial distribution, and normal, double exponential vs. cauchy distribution. The fractional Bayes factor of O'Hagan (1995) was applied to Bayesian model selection under the assumption of noninformative improper priors for all parameters in the models. Through the analyses of real data and simulation data, we examine the usefulness of the fractional Bayes factor in comparison with intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi (1996, 1998).

로그정규모집단에서의 베이지안 모형선택

  • 이우동
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.807-813
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    • 1998
  • 이 논문에서는 로그정규분포에 대한 베이지안 모형선택방법을 제안한다. 일반적으로 , 모수에 대한 사전정보가 비정보적(noninformative)인 경우, 베이즈 요인(Bayes factor)은 결정할 수 없는 상수를 포함하는 것이 일반적이다. 이 경우, 베이즈 요인을 계산하기 위해 최근 활발히 연구중인 고유 베이즈 요인(Intrinsic Bayes factor)방법을 이용한다. 실제의 자료를 통해 로그정규분포의 적합도 검정에 대한 부분적 베이즈 요인을 계산한다.

Bayesian Testing for the Equality of K-Lognormal Populations (부분 베이즈요인을 이용한 K개로 로그정규분포의 상등에 관한 베이지안 다중검정)

  • 문경애;김달호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.449-462
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    • 2001
  • 베이지안 다중 검정방법(multiple hypothesis test)은 여러 통계모형에서 성공적인 결과를 주는 것으로 알려져있다. 일반적으로, 베이지안 가설검정은 고려중인 모형에 대한 사후확률을 계산하여 가장 높은 확률은 갖는 모형을 선택하기 때문에 귀무가설의 기각여부에만 관심을 가지는 고전적인 분산분석 검정과는 달리 좀 더 구체적인 모형을 선택할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 이 논문에서는 독립이면서 로그정규분포를 따르는 K($\geq$3)개 모집단의 모수에 대한 가설 검정방법으로 O’Hagan(1995)이 제안한 부분 베이즈 요인을 이용한 베이지안 방법을 제안한다. 이 때 모수에 대한 사전분포로는 무정보적 사전분포를 사용한다. 제안한 검정 방법의 유용성을 알아보기 위하여 실제 자료의 분석과 모의 실험을 이용하여 고전적인 검정방법과 그 결과를 비교한다.

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Bayesian Multiple Comparison of Normal Populations based on Bayes Factor

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Chang-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.42-49
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we develop the Bayesian multiple comparison procedure for the normal model. The procedure which we suggest is based on the fractional Bayes factor of O'Hagan (1995). We apply our procedure to normal populations, when noninformative prior is assumed to the model parameters. We derive explicit form of Bayes Factors when the number of populations is greater than 3. A famous data is analyzed by the proposed procedure. For this example, the suggested method is straightforward for specifying distributionally and to implement computationally, with output readily adapted for required comparison.

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Bayesian Testing for the Equality of Two Lognormal Populations with the fractional Bayes factor (부분 베이즈요인을 이용한 로그정규분포의 상등에 관한 베이지안검정)

  • Moon, Kyoung-Ae;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2001
  • We propose the Bayesian testing for the equality of two Lognormal population means. Specially we use the fractional Bayesian factors suggested by O'Hagan (1995) based on the noninformative priors for the parameters. In order to investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian testing procedures, we compare it with classical tests via both real data analysis and simulations.

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A Bayes Criterion for Selecting Variables in MDA (MDA에서 판별변수 선택을 위한 베이즈 기준)

  • 김혜중;유희경
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.435-449
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    • 1998
  • In this article we have introduced a Bayes criterion for the variable selection in multiple discriminant analysis (MDA). The criterion is a default Bayes factor for the comparision of homo/heteroscadasticity of the multivariate normal means. The default Bayes factor is obtained from a development of the imaginary training sample method introduced by Spiegelhalter and Smith (1982). Based an the criterion, we also provided a test for additional discrimination in MDA. The advantage of the criterion is that it is not only applicable for the optimal subset selection method but for the stepwise method. More over, the criterion can be reduced to that for two-group discriminant analysis. Thus the criterion can be regarded as an unified alternative to variable selection criteria suggested by various sampling theory approaches. To illustrate the performance of the criterion, a numerical study has bean done via Monte Carlo experiment.

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Bayesian Multiple Comparisons for K-Exponential Populations with Type-II Censored Data by Fractional Bayes Factors

  • Mun, Gyeong-Ae;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2002
  • We propose the Bayesian testing for the equality of K-exponential populations means with Type-II censored data. Specially we use the fractional Bayesian factors suggested by O'Hagan (1995) based on the noninformative priors for the parameters. And, we investigate the usefulness of the proposed Bayesian testing procedures via both real data analysis and simulations and compare the classical likelihood ratio(LR) test with the proposed Bayesian test.

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