• Title/Summary/Keyword: 부동산 가격결정 요인

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A Study on the Determinants of Apartment Price during COVID-19 Pandemic Using Dynamic Panel Model: Focusing on the Large-scale Apartment Complex of More than 3,000 Households in Seoul (동적패널모형을 활용한 코로나19 팬데믹 기간 아파트가격 결정요인 연구: 서울특별시 3000세대 이상 대규모 아파트 단지를 중심으로)

  • Jung-A, Park;Jong-Jin, Kim
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 2023
  • This study investigated price factors for large apartment complexes in Seoul during the COVID-19 pandemic and compared Gangnam and non-Gangnam areas, which have been recognized as heterogeneous markets. We find that the change in apartment prices in large-scale complexes did not significantly affect the individual characteristics of apartments, unlike previous studies, but was affected by macroeconomic variables such as interest rates and money. On the other hand, considering the units of the interest rate and total monetary volume variables, the effects of two variables on the apartment sales price is significantly high. In addition, the Gangnam area model analysis shows that apartment prices are greatly affected by interest rates and currency volume, and, the non-Gangnam area model analysis shows that apartment prices are greatly affected by interest rates and currency volume, but the degrees are different from the Gangnam area model. Overall, our study shows that interest rates and money supply were the main factors of apartment price changes, but apartment prices in non-Gangnam areas are more sensitive to changes in interest rates and money supply.

Pattern Analysis of Apartment Price Using Self-Organization Map (자기조직화지도를 통한 아파트 가격의 패턴 분석)

  • Lee, Jiyoung;Ryu, Jae Pil
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2021
  • With increasing interest in key areas of the 4th industrial revolution such as artificial intelligence, deep learning and big data, scientific approaches have developed in order to overcome the limitations of traditional decision-making methodologies. These scientific techniques are mainly used to predict the direction of financial products. In this study, the factors of apartment prices, which are of high social interest, were analyzed through SOM. For this analysis, we extracted the real prices of the apartments and selected a total of 16 input variables that would affect these prices. The data period was set from 1986 to 2021. As a result of examining the characteristics of the variables during the rising and faltering periods of the apartment prices, it was found that the statistical tendencies of the input variables of the rising and the faltering periods were clearly distinguishable. I hope this study will help us analyze the status of the real estate market and study future predictions through image learning.

An Empirical Study on the Effect of Respondent Bias in PSM : Case in Apartment Pricing (PSM 가격평가 주체에 따른 아파트 가격결정 효용성 실증연구)

  • Cho, Han-Jin;Kim, Jong-Lim
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.217-223
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    • 2016
  • PSM is widely used pricing tool in field by the reason of data collection convenience and analytical intuitiveness. However, In high involvement environment, strategic respondent bias influence in reducing the price. By using 3 empirical cases of LH apartment for sale, We found that latent consumers' recognition of the range of acceptable and the range of optimal price are lower than real estate agent representative respondents'. This phenomenon is considered loss aversion effect of prospect theory to reduce loss by reducing price, and more influenced in high involvement situation than latent consumer respondents'. Also we found PSM result using real estate representative data is more useful in real market than latent consumers data distorted by loss aversion effects. The meaning of this study is finding some limitation in PSM using consumer data generally used. In further study, development of PSM measurement tool to minimize the effect of strategic bias are need to be studied. Also some new approaches in reinterpretation of the range of acceptable price and the range of optimal price are need to be followed.

Big Data Analysis of Financial Product Transaction Trends Using Associated Analysis (연관분석을 이용한 금융 상품 거래 동향의 빅데이터 분석)

  • Ryu, Jae Pil;Shin, Hyun-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2021
  • With the advent of the era of the fourth industry, more and more scientific techniques are being used to solve decision-making problems. In particular, big data analysis technology is developing as it becomes easier to collect numerical data. Therefore, in this study, in order to overcome the limitations of qualitatively analyzing investment trends, the association of various products was analyzed using associated analysis techniques. For the experiment, two experimental periods were divided based on the COVID-19 economic crisis, and sales information from individuals, institutions, and foreign investors was collected, and related analysis algorithms were implemented through r software. As a result of the experiment, institutions and foreigners recently invested in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and bought futures and products such as ETF. Individuals purchased ETN and ETF products together, which is presumed to be the result of the recent great interest in sector investment. In addition, after COVID-19, all investors tended to be passive in investing in high-risk products of futures and options. This paper is thought to be a useful reference for product sales and product design in the financial field.

Determination of Urban-Life Housing Price and Return Ratio by Location (도시형생활주택의 입지별 분양가격 및 수익률 결정요인)

  • Park, Jin-A;Woo, Chul-Min;Baik, Min-Seok;Shim, Gyo-Eon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.469-481
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    • 2012
  • The demand for small-sized housing has been increasing due to the recession of real-estate price and the increase of small-sized households. Especially, the demand for affordable housing has been increasing since the style of housing and the location fits the lifestyle of small-sized household. In addition, many investors have been buying it because it has advertised as an investment property holding high-return ratio. However, an empirical analysis about the selling price and the return ratio has not been done yet. Therefore, the purpose of the research is having the empirical analysis based on the selling price and return ration by examining the affordable housing in Seoul. The urban-life housing more than 50 generations of the Seoul was irradiated for the analysis. And the linear regression analysis and PLS(Partial Least Square Regression) analysis was used for the empirical analysis. The result of analysis, based on the linear regression analysis, showed that factors including neighboring housing price and subway catchment area have a significant effect to the determinant factors of housing price. The analysis for return ratio showed neighboring housing price, subway catchment area and amenities affects the ratio. Especially, the fault of using small sample was covered by using the partial least square regression in this research.

Design of a Real Estate Knowledge Information System Based on Semantic Search (시맨틱 검색 기반의 부동산 지식 정보시스템 설계)

  • Cho, Jae-Hyung;Kang, Moo-Hong
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.111-124
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    • 2011
  • The apartment' share of the housing has steadily increased and property assets have been valued in importance as the one of asset value. Information retrieval system using internet is particularly active in the real estate market. However, user satisfaction on real estate information system is not very high, and there is a lack of research on real estate retrieval to increasing efficiency until now. This study presents a new knowledge information system developed to consider region-related factor and individual-related factor in the real estate market. In addition it enables a real estate knowledge system to search various preferential requirements for buyers such as school district, living convenience, easy maintenance as well as price. We made a survey of the search condition preference of experts on 30 real estate agents and then analyzed the result using AHP methodology. Furthermore, this research is to build apartment ontology using semantic web technologies to standardize various terminologies of apartment information and to show how it can be used to help buyers find apartments of the interest. After designing architecture of a real estate knowledge information system, this system is applied to the Busan real estate market to estimate the solutions of retrieval through Multi-Attribute Decision Making(MADM). Based on the results of the analysis, we endowed the buyer and expert's selected factors with weights in the system. Evaluation results indicate that this new system is to raise not only the value satisfaction of user, but also make it possible to effectively search and analyze the real estate through entropy analysis of MADM. This new system is to raise not only the value satisfaction of buyer's real estate, but also make it possible to effectively search and analyze the related real estate, consequently saving the searching cost of the buyers.

The Relationship Between Educational Environment and Housing Prices And Its Implication For Socio-spatial Inequality: The Case of Seoul, Korea (교육환경과 주택가격 간 관계와 사회공간적 격차에 대한 함의 -서울시의 사례연구-)

  • Ha, Youngjoo;Lee, Wonho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.86-98
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    • 2013
  • This study began with the fact that the relationship between eductional environments and housing price needs to be understood in the context of the structuring of socio-spatial disparity. In other words, this paper focuses on the fact that the eduction with public features and functions plays a role of housing price determination and the rising price is privatized only to cause socio-spatial inequality. The study first examines how the education factors determine the housing price and cause increasing social inequality in Seoul at the macro level. It also carried out more detailed quantitative analysis on the relationship between educational environment factors and housing price with the case study of Yangcheon-gu, Seoul. This study found out that the close relationship between educational environment, housing price and social disparity at various spatial scales. It also figured out the the educational environment factors play an important role of housing price determination as much as material features per se. This means that the relationship between education, housing price and inequality needs to be dealt with not just socially but also in spatial perspective. In addition, the housing price determination is not just technical research but an social science issue in the context of rising socio-spatial disparity. This study is of only significance as a starting point of promising related researches in the future and much more efforts will be needed.

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A Study of Rent Determinants of Small and Medium-Sized Office Buildings in Seoul Using a Dynamic Panel Model: Focusing on CBD and GBD Comparison (동적패널모형을 활용한 서울시 중소형 오피스 빌딩 임대료 결정 요인 연구: CBD(도심권)와 GBD(강남권) 비교를 중심으로)

  • NaRa Kim;JinSeok Yu;Jongjin Kim
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.47-62
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    • 2023
  • Using the dynamic panel model, this study investigates rent determinants for small and medium-sized office buildings in Korea's CBD and Gangnam areas, key business districts. The results reveal that rents for small and medium-sized office buildings in CBD and Gangnam areas are influenced by macroeconomic fluctuations and characteristics of buildings and locations, suggesting a market with both spatial consumer and investment goods attributes. There are several investment implications as follows. First, even if the location in the CBD area is advantageous, the practical limitations in renovating aging small and medium-sized office buildings must be taken into account when investing. Second, parking conditions are a key factor influencing rent prices in CBD areas, so evaluating the parking facilities and improvement potential of small and medium-sized office buildings is essential for investors. Finally, due to the high sensitivity of Gangnam's small and medium-sized office market to macroeconomic trends, it's vital to prioritize monetary policy shifts as a key factor in investment decisions.

Effect of Generation Age as a Determinant of National Housing Price (국민주택 가격결정요인으로서 세대연령의 효과)

  • Choi, Won-Joon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.252-259
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    • 2022
  • In order to discuss the implications for demographic changes due to an aging society, this study sought to verify the effect of generational age with a focus on the case of the national housing scale transaction in Seoul Seocho-gu. For the result, variance and linear regression analysis, and when the analysis showed a significant correlation between age and transaction price, and corrected the trading region and year, it was also confirmed that the higher the age in most regions, the lower the trading price tendency. Based on the results of this analysis, efforts to improve the adequacy and fairness of pricing in trading cases, and the direction of policy change due to the aging of the population were discussed, and on the basis of this, we even proposed measures for the support of the policy authorities. In addition, the management condition of individual communal houses was an important factor in the sale and the lack of utilization of Internet-based platforms was expected to be the cause of the low price sale. However, due to the use of 2nd order data on real trading cases, the direction of subsequent research was presented together with respect to the limitations of not being able to control a wider variety of individual characteristics.

A Study on the Factors affecting the Duration of Urban Redevelopment Projects - Based on the Project Area, Economic and Locational Characteristics - (도시정비형 재개발사업 소요기간의 영향요인 - 사업구역과 경제적 및 입지적 특성을 바탕으로 -)

  • Lee, Jaewon;Bae, Sangyoung;Jeong, Bosun;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the influencing factors for urban redevelopment projects with a relatively long project duration in the context of Seoul's increasing urbanization rate and aging. Among the business areas that have been designated since 2005 and have been approved for the management and disposal plan of the entire Seoul area, 75 business areas have been set as targets. A hedonic price model was used to analyze the project area, economic, and locational characteristics as independent variables with the project duration from designation of zones to approval of management and disposal plans as dependent variables. As a result of the analysis, the smaller the project area, the larger the area occupied per union member, the larger the land price change rate, and the smaller the KOSPI index, the shorter the required period. This study has the distinction of empirically analyzing the effect of characteristic variables considering size and economic and locational characteristics on period. It provides implications that the area of the business area, the number of union members, and economic conditions should be considered when establishing a business area.