• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.189-193
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• 2008

본 연구는 충주댐 유역을 대상으로 미래의 기후변화, 그에 따른 식생상태, 그리고 미래의 토지이용 변화를 고려한 상태에서 SWAT-K 모형에 의한 수문순환인자들의 변화가 댐의 유입량에 미치는 영향을 파악하고자 한다. SWAT 모형의 검보정은 6년간($2000{\sim}2006$, 2001년 제외)의 댐유입량 자료를 이용하여 실시하였으며, Nash_Sutcliffe 모형효율은 $0.52{\sim}0.88$의 범위로 검보정되었다. 기후변화 시나리오는 IPCC에서 제공하고 있는 GCM들 중에서 CCCma CGCM2의 A2, B2 시나리오를 이용하였으며, 댐유역의 기후변화를 모의하기 위하여 과거 30년간($1977{\sim}2006$)의 기상자료 통계정보를 기준으로 Change Factor Downscaling 기법을 적용하여 2030년, 2060년, 2090년 전후의 각 30년간의 미래 정보를 재생산하였다. 미래의 식생정보는 7년($2000{\sim}2006$)간의 MODIS 위성 영상에 의한 엽면적 지수를 월단위로 구축하여 엽면적 지수와 평균기온간의 상관회귀식을 도출하여 미래 기후변화에 따른 식생의 활력도를 예측하였다. 미래의 토지이용 변화는 CA-MArkov 기법을 개선, 적용하여 총 9개의 토지이용 항목에 대하여 각 항목별 예측을 실시하였다. 2000년의 기상자료 및 댐유입량을 기준으로 이상의 미래기후, 식생, 토지이용 에측 정보를 적용하여 미래의 댐유입량을 모의한 결과를 분석하였다. 그 결과 강수량 및 온도의 변동이 가장 크게 영향을 주어 유입량의 변화가 모의되었으며, 이에 따른 수문인자의 변동은 2000년 기준으로 증발산량, 토양수분의 변동을 분석하였다. 미래의 수문순환에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 수문인자는 토양수분으로 나타나, 미래에는 산림지역 및 토지이용 개발에 따른 토양수분의 함양량 유지를 위한 유역관리가 중요한 요인이 될 것으로 나타났다.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.1-20
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• 2006

In recent years change in the business environment has become a way of life. Especially, the revolution of enterprises that utilizes information system is mainly considered as a representative change effort. However, the studies on the IT change management are not sufficient not only in the perspective of practitioners but also those of the scholars. In this study we deduce characteristics, scope, strategies and methods of IT change management from literature studies. And we analyze the change management efforts during the introduction of new information system in Supreme Court of Korea and find some implications. One of the findings is that finding out the right stakeholders of the change and their needs is crucial to the success of the project.

• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.405-414
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• 1995

An algorithm for monitoring geomorphological change using remote sensing data is investigated and tested using two LANDSAT TM data sets acquired over the Kyunggi Bay on April 15 1986 and September 22 1992, respectively. The algorithm exploits change vector analysis and tasseled cap transform. Although change vector analysis is effective for change detection, efficiency is decreased as the number of variables are increased. In this algorithm, we overcome the problem by utilizing the tasseled cap transform which can reduce six bands of LANDSAT TM data into only two components called Brightness and Greenness. The test results demonstrate that the algorithm is very effective in monitoring small-scaled changes over coastal area as well as significant changes in geomorphology. The resulting change vector image, however, is more sensitive to the changes occurred by human activities than by pure geological processes mainly because of relatively short time interval between two LANDSAT TM data sets.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.273-277
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• 2011

오늘날 기후변화는 기후 시스템을 구성하는 대기, 해양, 생물, 빙하, 육지 등의 다양한 구성요소에 작용하여 자연 생태계와 인간의 사회 및 경제 시스템에 커다란 영향을 미친다. 특히 최근 인간의 활동에 의해 야기된 기후변화는 극치적인 기후 현상의 빈도와 강도에 영향을 미칠 뿐만 아니라, 기후변화 현상은 수환경 시스템, 하천 생태계와 유역관리 등의 다양한 분야에 걸쳐 심각한 문제를 발생시킨다. 이에 따른 수자원의 효율적인 관리와 안정적인 물공급에 어려움을 증대시킬 것으로 전망되며, 현재 이것은 각 분야별로 해결해야 할 범지구적 문제로 인식되고 있다. 기후변화를 탐지하고 예측하기 위해서는 SRES 배출시나리오를 이용한 미래의 기후변화 장기시나리오가 필요한데, 이를 위한 기본적인 도구로 전지구기후모형(Global Climate Models, GCMs)이 있다. 기후변화에 따른 지역적 차원의 수자원에의 영향 분석을 위해서는 GCMs의 결과를 바탕으로 지역 규모에서의 기후 자료로 변환하는 규모내림(downscaling) 기법을 이용한다. 본 연구는 기후변화 분석의 가장 기본이라 할 수 있는 국내에 적합한 GCM의 선정 및 우리나라의 시공간적 기상패턴의 정밀한 구현을 위한 규모내림기법의 적용을 통하여 실시하였다. 현재 뿐 아니라 미래 90년간 (2011년 ~ 2100년)의 기상 자료를 생산하고 이를 SWAT 모형에 적용하였다. 이러한 GCMs-규모내림-SWAT 모형으로 이어지는 시나리오 기반의 기후변화에 대한 낙동강 유역의 유출 분석은 기후변화 연구에 기술적 방법론의 제시와 함께 앞으로 타 유역에의 적용을 통하여 보다 정량적이고 신뢰성 있는 전국 단위의 기후변화에 따른 유출 분석연구의 기초가 될 수 있을 것이라 기대한다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.31 no.4B
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• pp.353-360
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• 2011

The objectives of this study were to analyzes temporal variation of local scour depth in the downstream of weir with shapes. Prediction of maximum or equilibrium scour depth was the main focus of engineers and researchers in the downstream of weir. However, it is necessary to analyzes temporal variation of local scour depth in the downstream of weir to predict real time scour depth. Experiment were performed with various weir shapes like sharp crest and inclined stepped with time variation and non-dimensional scourhole shapes, scour depths were proposed. A formula for predicting scour depths with temporal variation for weir were proposed through non-linear regression analysis. Temporal variation of scour depths could be estimated with suggested formula and 4 input data (Equilibrium scour depth, weir height, overflow depths, and water depth downstream). Suggested formula could make it possible to design a apron and bed protection economically in the downstream of a weir by considering flood duration time.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.51 no.4
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• pp.355-369
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• 2018

The runoff will be changed in the future due to climate change, and this phenomenon affects the flood inflow to Water Resources Facilities (WRF) and its production. This study has evaluated the electric power generation of WRF in North Korea as climate change. The WRF can produce the electric power by rotating the hydraulic turbine using the energy of water. In other words, it converts the potential energy to the kinetic energy, then the kinetic energy to the electric energy. As a result of this study, the amount of power generation of WRF in North Korea decreased from 2011 to 2040, and increased from 2041 to 2100, comparing with present. In other words, the productivity will decrease at first (2011~2040) but increase (2041~2100). It is because there will be new facilities for climate change, and the capacities of them will be getting far better than the existing facilities. The existing North Korean WRFs are vulnerable to the effects of climate change, and it is judged that the new North Korean WRFs are advantageously located in the influence of climate change.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.217-229
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• 2001

The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the hydrologic changes and the effect of runoff characteristics of a large river basin due to construction of a dam. The changes of land use and vegetation are quantified from remote sensing film taken before and after dam construction. Evapotranspiration, runoff and soil moisture were calculated using water balance equation. It was found that the albedo of watershed upstream of the dam is decreasing due to the decreasing of vegetation and the increasing of water surface and forest, and the increasing of potential evpotranspiration and soil moisture led to increasing actual evpotranspiration and runoff ratio after dam construction.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.12
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• pp.1163-1172
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• 2008

In this study, area variation, index and degree of alteration, temporal variation of the sandbar and vegetation were analyzed using aerial photographs during the pre and post dam construction at the downstream of dam. Analysis result of the sandbar area was decreased 17 %. Sandbar area was 38 % of the channel areas at the pre dam, but 21 % at the post dam. Alteration indies of the sandbar were $-0.9921{\sim}2.9528$. Analysis result of the vegetation area was increased 13 %. Vegetation area was 11 % of the channel areas at the pre dam, but 24 % at the post dam. Alteration indies of the vegetation were $-0.8908{\sim}12.0736$. Temporal variation of the sandbar and vegetation were analyized at the An Dong dam, Im Ha dam, Hap Chun dam. Analysis result of the sandbar was decreased $42,600m^2$ per year, but vegetation was increased $51,700m^2$ per year. Sandbar area was decreasing more fast than vegetation area increasing.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.11 no.9
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• pp.29-43
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• 2013

The dominant perspective on institutional change of the GRI is the environment-dependence. GRI's institutions are, however, prone to change due to the endogenous factors. Therefore, we need a dynamic alternative model to analyze the interaction between the exogenous and endogenous factors around the GRI's institutions. In this paper, authors examined the changes in GRI's funding system. The results were verified in the layering which is a one of the dynamic institutional change forms. Owing to the interaction between the exogenous and endogenous factors, institutional reform's layers of the institution funding expansion have been continuously accumulated in order to modify the Project-Based System(PBS). Eventually expansion layers of the institution funding have grown more quickly than the Project-Based System(PBS), as a result, GRI's funding system has been changing centered on the Block funding.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.15 no.10
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• pp.6066-6075
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• 2014

The aim of this study was to analyze the productivity changes in government-funded research institutes for Economics & Humanities and Social Sciences. From Malmquist total factor productivity index analysis, the average productivity decreased 6.5% between 2006 and 2010. Further analysis showed that technical efficiency increased 4.7% annually while the technology change rate decreased 10.8% on average. Under pressure for innovation from the outside, research institutes responded to managerial efficiency improvement, which lead to increases in technical efficiency. On the other hand, for productivity improvement of government funded research institutes, they must pursue technological advances by securing an outstanding research workforce, expanding the R&D budget, and changing the R&D method. Each institute must perceive the cause of an individual institute's productivity change, and establish strategies for increasing productivity.