• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변동범위

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Long-term Simulation of Water Temperature in Soyanggang Reservoir in Response to RCP 4.5 Climate Scenario (RCP 4.5 기후 시나리오에 따른 소양호 수온 변화 장기 모의)

  • Yun, Yeojeong;Park, Hyungseok;Chung, Sewoong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.265-265
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    • 2019
  • 기후변화로 의한 기온의 상승은 가뭄, 홍수와 같은 재해를 일으킬 뿐만 아니라 깊은 호수나 저수지와 같은 수자원에도 용존 산소, 물질, 영양소 및 식물플랑크톤의 수직적 분포 등과 같은 다양한 부분에 영향을 미친다. 본 연구의 목적은 SWAT, HEC-ResSim 및 CE-QUAL-W2(이하 W2)모델을 사용하여 미래의 기후 변화에 따른 소양호의 수온, 성층강도 및 열적 안정성의 변화를 장기 예측하고 그 영향을 평가하는데 있다. W2 모델의 보정은 2005 년부터 2015 년까지의 실측 과거 데이터를 이용하여 보정하였고 기후변화 시나리오는 IPCC의 AR5 RCP 4.5 시나리오를 사용하였다. 기후자료는 GCM 모델인 HadGEM2-AO 결과를 상세화하여 모의기간의 자료를 생성하였다. SWAT모델을 이용하여 모의기간인 2016 년부터 2070 년까지 일단위로 저수지 유입을 예측했으며 HEC-ResSim모델을 이용하여 소양강댐 저수지 운영 조건에 따라 저수지 방류량 및 수위 변화를 모의하였다. 수온 해석을 위해 W2를 적용하여 저수지의 장기간의 수온 변화를 예측하였다. 결과적으로 대기 온도는 $0.0279^{\circ}C/year$(p < 0.05) 상승할 것으로 예측되었으며, 동일기간 상층(수면으로부터 5m 깊이)과 하층 (바닥으로부터 5m 높이) 수온은 각각 $0.0191^{\circ}C$/년(p < 0.05) 및 $0.008^{\circ}C$/년(p < 0.05) 상승할 것으로 예측되었다. 모의된 수온을 계절별로 분석했을 때 상층수온은 여름철 가장 큰 폭으로 상승하였으며 하층의 경우 겨울철에 가장 큰 폭으로 상승하였다. 계절별 상-하층 수온의 차는 여름이 가장 컸으며, 겨울에 온도차가 가장 작았다. 또한 미래 온도의 상승에 따라, 소양호의 성층 강도가 강해지는 경향을 보였으며 상층 및 하층의 온도차 $5^{\circ}C$를 기준으로 성층이 형성되는 기간은 큰 변동이 없었으나 소멸되는 시점이 점점 늦어지는 추세를 보여 성층 형성 기간이 길어지는 것으로 나타났다. 저수지 표면의 수온 상승은 식물플랑크톤의 계절 성장률에 영향을 미쳤는데, 특정 조건에서 규조류는 최적 성장 범위를 벗어나는 고온 조건에서 성장속도가 감소하였으나 녹조류와 남조류의 출현 시기가 빨라지며 장기화될 것으로 예측되었다.

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Clinical Study with Impedance Audiometry -Euatachian tube function and impedance audiometry- (Impedance audiometry의 임상적 연구 - III. impedance audiometry에 의한 구씨관 기능검사 -)

  • 민양기;노관택
    • Proceedings of the KOR-BRONCHOESO Conference
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    • 1976.06a
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    • pp.85.2-85
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    • 1976
  • Harford has pointed out that the application of impedance audiometry in the Eustachian tube function is of special value. As you know, with excessive negative pressure in the middle ear cavity with intact eardrum tympanograms reveal indirect evidence of Eustachian tube insufficiency. With normal Eustachian tube function eardrum should be pushed laterally by Valsalva maneuver, resulting in a temporary decrease in the compliance of the system, indicated by a swing of the balance meter needle. Therefore the authors measured the swing of the balance meter needle by the Valsalva maneuver in persons with intact eardrums, intact middle ear cavities, and intact Eustachian tube function. The results are as follows; The swing of the eardrum by Valsalva maneuver is 1.0 to 4.0 (mean $1.6{\pm}0.06$) and we conclude that the persons under 1.0 of the swing is suggestive of some disfunctions of the Eustachian tube.

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A Case Study on Function Point Method applying on Monte Carlo Simulation in Automotive Software Development

  • Do, Sung Ryong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2020
  • Software development activities are influenced by stochastic theory rather than deterministic one due to having process variability. Stochastic methods factor in the uncertainties associated with project activities and provides insight into the expected project outputs as probability distributions rather than as deterministic approximations. Thus, successful software projects systematically manage and balance five objectives based on historical probability: scope, size, cost, effort, schedule, and quality. Although software size estimation having much uncertainty in initial development has traditionally performed using deterministic methods: LOC(Lines Of Code), COCOMO(COnsructive COst MOdel), FP(Function Point), SLIM(Software LIfecycle Management). This research aims to present a function point method based on stochastic distribution and a case study based on Monte Carlo Simulation applying on an automotive electrical and electronics system software development. It is expected that the result of this paper is used as guidance for establishing of function point method in organizations and tools for helping project managers make decisions correctly.

3-week repeated dose oral toxicity study of Clausena excavata extract in ICR mice (ICR 마우스에서 핑크왐피 추출물의 3주간 반복 투여 독성 연구)

  • Park, Ju-Hyoung;Cho, Young-Rak;Kim, Young Min;Kang, Jae-Shin;Oh, Joa Sub;Ahn, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.123-127
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    • 2019
  • Medicinal herb in Asian countries has been traditionally used for a long time. However, the safety and adverse effect of medicinal herb have not been established yet. The aim of this study is to evaluate toxicity in the oral administration of Clausena excavata (C. excavata) in male ICR mice for 3 weeks and the noobserved adverse effect level (NOAEL). C. excavata has been used as a medicinal herb for the treatment of dermatopathy, malaria, abdominal pain, dysentery, and enteritis. C. excavata was orally administered daily for 21 days at a dose of 100, 250, 500, 1000, and 2000 mg/kg/day (MPK). There were no significant differences in mortalities, clinical signs, body weight changes, hematological, and serum biochemistry examination in all animals administrated with C. excavate. Consequently, these findings indicated that C. excavata did not affect the toxic effect in ICR mice and the NOAEL of C. excavata was considered as more than 2000 MPK.

Stability Condition of Discrete System with Time-varying Delay and Unstructured Uncertainty (비구조화된 불확실성과 시변 지연을 갖는 이산 시스템의 안정 조건)

  • Han, Hyung-seok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.630-635
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we consider the stability condition for the linear discrete systems with time-varying delay and unstructured uncertainty. The considered system has time invariant system matrices for non-delayed and delayed state variables, but its delay time is time-varying within certain interval and it is subjected to nonlinear unstructured uncertainty which only gives information on uncertainty magnitude. In the many previous literatures, the time-varying delay and unstructured uncertainty can not be dealt in simultaneously but separately. In the paper, new stability conditions are derived for the case to which two factors are subjected together and compared with the existing results considering only one factor. The new stability conditions improving many previous results are proposed as very effective inequality equations without complex numerical algorithms such as LMI(Linear Matrix Inequality) or Lyapunov equation. By numerical examples, it is shown that the proposed conditions are able to include the many existing results and have better performances in the aspects of expandability and effectiveness.

A Universal Middleware-based Small Satellite Payload Power Module Design (유니버설미들웨어기반 소형위성 탑재체 전력모듈설계)

  • Lee, Hae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.487-494
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    • 2019
  • A Small-Sat Power System Design and Development should be depend on space environment such as solar wind with Electromagnetic field by hurdle of techniques. It is surmount solution of trend that will unitize and converge with power module in these days. The level of modularize means that applying Universal Middleware for payload power module requirements. The scope of target system is a main power provider module and operational subunit that can be implemented with the final power module distribution loads to consume for continuous process. A Universal Middleware strengthen to build power module from satellite power system should be accuracy and consuming data. A Power Service Module and dynamic system drive interactive management between power distribution and consumer module by Range Control. Consequently, suggesting evaluation, unexpecting payload system power consumer that makes fine variable resources in the development design process and efficiency.

Monthly variations in macroalgal flora and community structure in Hampyong Bay, Southwestern Coast of Korea (한국 남서해안 함평만의 월별 해조상 및 군집구조 변화)

  • Oh, Byoung-Geon;Choi, Han Gil
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2021
  • The monthly variability in marine algal flora and community structure was examined in the intertidal zones of Doripo, and the biomass of an edible alga, Ulva prolifera, at Gaip-ri of Hampyong Bay on the southwestern coast of Korea was investigated over one year from April 2008 to March 2009. A total of 22 seaweeds were identified including five green, four brown, and 13 red algae. Based on importance value, Ulva australis was dominant over the year and the subdominant species were Ulva linza and Caulacanthus ustulatus at the Doripo coast of Hampyong Bay. The vertical distribution in terms of importance values was in the order of Ulva linza - C. ustulatus - U. australis - Sargassum thunbergii from the upper to the lower intertidal zones. The biomass of U. prolifera ranged between 2.4-98.2 g dry wt. m-2, with a maximum in June and a minimal in November. In the field, U. prolifera biomass could be positively related to seawater temperature. However, further research on the association between biomass and other environmental factors such as nutrients and light intensity is required.

Automated Measurement Method for Construction Errors of Reinforced Concrete Pile Foundation Using a Drones (드론을 활용한 철근콘크리트 말뚝기초 시공 오차 자동화 측정 방법)

  • Seong, Hyeonwoo;Kim, Jinho;Kang, HyunWook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to present a model for analyzing construction errors of reinforced concrete pile foundations using drones. First, a drone is used to obtain an aerial image of the construction site, and an orthomosaic image is generated based on those images. Then, the circular pile foundation is automatically recognized from the orthomosaic image by using the Hough transform circle detection method. Finally, the distance is calculated based on the the center point of the reinforced concrete pile foundation in the overlapped data. As a case study, the proposed concrete concrete pile foundation construction quality control model was applied to the real construction site in Incheon to evaluate the proposed model.

Prediction model for electric power consumption of seawater desalination based on machine learning by seawater quality change in future (장래 해수수질 변화에 따른 머신러닝 기반 해수담수 전력비 예측 모형 개발)

  • Shim, Kyudae;Ko, Young-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.spc1
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    • pp.1023-1035
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    • 2021
  • The electricity cost of a desalination facility was also predicted and reviewed, which allowed the proposed model to be incorporated into the future design of such facilities. Input data from 2003 to 2014 of the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA) were used, and the structure of the model was determined using the trial and error method to analyze as well as hyperparameters such as salinity and seawater temperature. The future seawater quality was estimated by optimizing the prediction model based on machine learning. Results indicated that the seawater temperature would be similar to the existing pattern, and salinity showed a gradual decrease in the maximum value from the past measurement data. Therefore, it was reviewed that the electricity cost for seawater desalination decreased by approximately 0.80% and a process configuration was determined to be necessary. This study aimed at establishing a machine-learning-based prediction model to predict future water quality changes, reviewed the impact on the scale of seawater desalination facilities, and suggested alternatives.

The study of Heavy Rain Warning Information considering Threshold Rainfall and disaster risk (영향한계강우량과 재해위험성을 고려한 호우특보 기준에 관한 연구)

  • Hyeon Ji Lee;Dong Ho Kang;Yong In Song;Byung Sik Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.188-188
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    • 2023
  • 지구온난화, ENSO 등 전지구적인 기후변화 현상으로 위험기상 발생이 증가하고 있다. 한반도는 삼면이 바다에 접하였기 때문에 매우 불안정한 대기로 저기압이 빈번히 통과하는 특징을 가지며, 우리나라는 매년 이상기후로 인한 기상재해로 인명 및 재산 피해가 증가하는 추세를 보이고 있다. 최근 10년간 가장 많이 발생한 피해액 기준 대형 자연재난은 호우로 총 49회 발생하였다. 호우는 다른 기상재해에 비해 발생 시간이 짧고, 공간 규모가 작을 뿐만 아니라 시공간적으로 변동성이 매우 크기 때문에 발생 시 많은 인명 및 재산 피해를 유발한다. 기상청은 호우 외 9가지 기상현상으로 인해 중대 재해 발생이 예상되는 경우 주의를 환기하거나 경고를 예보하는 특보를 발표한다. 현재 사용 중인 호우특보 기준은 기후변화와 위험기상 발생 패턴 변화에 따른 호우 피해와 강우량의 상관성을 고려해 3시간 강우량 개념으로 강우강도, 12시간 강우량 개념으로 누적강우량을 파악할 수 있게 개선한 결과이다. 그러나 지역 특성을 반영하지 아니하고, 하나의 특보 기준 값을 전 지자체에 적용하기 때문에 국지성 집중호우의 지역별 특성을 세세히 반영하지 못하는 등 한계를 보인다. 이와 반대로 영국의 경우 기상특보 기준에 기상현상이 미치는 영향을 포함하였으며, 일본의 경우 우리나라 시군구 개념인 시정촌별로 기상특보 기준을 다르게 설정하여 운영 중이다. 지역 특성을 반영한 해외 기상특보 사례와 달리 우리나라 기상특보는 지역별 위험 및 사회·경제적 취약성을 고려하지 않아 특보 기준 값이 획일화되어 있음을 확인했다. 이에 본 연구는 기상특보 중 호우특보로 연구 범위를 한정하고, 위험기상의 획일적 의사결정 시스템을 보완하기 위해 영향한계강우량과 재해위험성을 고려한 호우특보 기준을 연구하여 제안하고자 한다.

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