• Title/Summary/Keyword: 방제의사결정

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`단계별 의사결정 모형` 통해 생태위해성 평가 - 컷-오프$\cdot$단계적 의사결정$\cdot$확률론적 모형 등 3단계로 평가 - 초기$\cdot$정밀$\cdot$통합평가 자료량=영향평가, 개발입장 진퇴양난

  • 이성규
    • Agrochemical news magazine
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    • v.23 no.5 s.178
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    • pp.10-13
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    • 2002
  • 농약은 농산물 생산에 있어서 병해충 및 잡초를 방제함으로써 생산성을 높이는데 필수적인 농업자재로 인식하고 있다. 그런데 모든 화학물질이 그러하듯이 농약도 두 가지 양면성을 지니고 있다. 즉, 약효와 독성이다. 일반적으로 농약은 뿌려진 농약의 $0.1\%$이하만이 목표물이라고 할 수 있는 해충 및 잡초, 이병작물에 떨어지고 그 외는 비표적 생물 및 환경매체에 떨어짐으로써 생태계에 영향을 준다고 한다. 약효는 농약으로서 지녀야 하는 당연한 기능이지만 독성은 가능한 줄여야 할 기능이기 때문에 농약회사에서는 약효는 높으면서 사람과 생태계에는 좀 더 안전한 농약을 개발하기 위해 애쓰고 있다. 우리나라는 전세계적으로 볼 때 농약을 비교적 많이 사용하는 나라로 알려져 있으나 경제규모 및 사용량에 비해서 생태계에 대한 농약관리는 앞서가지 못하고 있는 것이 현실이다. 따라서 농약의 생태위해성 평가에 대한 기본적인 이해를 돕기 위해 이번호부터 연재를 통해 생태위해성에 대한 기본개념을 소개함과 동시에 국내외 농약등록제도에서의 생태위해성 의사결정 과정을 비교하고 마지막으로는 국내 농약관리제도에 있어서 생태독성분야의 의사결정에 대하여 개선방안을 제안하고자 한다.

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Development of Sequential Sampling Plan for Bemisia tabaci in Paprika Greenhouses (파프리카 온실에서 담배가루이의 축차표본조사법 개발)

  • Choi, Wonseok;Park, Jung-Joon
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2015
  • In order to establish B. tabaci control in paprika greenhouses a fixed-precision-level sampling plan was developed. The sampling plan consisted of spatial distribution analysis, a sampling stop line, and decision making. Sampling was conducted simultaneously in two independent greenhouses (GH 1, GH 2). GH 1 and 2 were surveyed every week for 22 consecutive weeks, using 19 sampling locations in GH 1 and 9 sampling locations in GH 2. The plant in both greenhouses were divided into top (180-220 cm from the ground), middle (80-120 cm from the ground) and bottom (30-70 cm from the ground) sections and B. tabaci adults and pupae were observed on three paprika leaves at each position and recorded separately. GH 2 data were used to validate the fixed-precision sampling plan, which was developed using GH 1 data. In this study, spatial distribution analysis was performed using Taylor's power law with the pooled data of the top and bottom position (B. tabaci adults), and the middle and bottom positions (B. tabaci pupae), based on a 1-leaf sampling unit. Decision making was undertaken using the maximum of action threshold in accordance with previously published method, and the value was decided by the price of the plants. Using the results obtained in the greenhouse, simulated validation of the developed sampling plan by RVSP (Resampling Validation for Sampling Plan) indicated a reasonable level of precision.

A study on the Information Network Structure for the Marine Pollution Adminstration (해양오염관리를 위한 네트워크 정보시스템에 관한 연구)

  • 변헌수;김천석;신현식
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.227-231
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    • 2001
  • In this paper recently catastrophic oil spills from tanker casualties have polluted the marine environment. The Sea Prince casualties are analyzed and the systems to be introduced are considered. Also, the establishment of the national contingency plan and the decision-making procedure based on technical analysis are described. Based on the discussions the Rapid Response Technical Support System is derived for the support of salvage and oil spill removal operation. The System will contribute to the protection of life and assets from the marine casualties and to keeping the clean and safe ocean.

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A study of infor-net structure for on the Administration (해상오염관리를 위한 정보망 구축에 관한연구)

  • Shin, Hyun-Sik;Yoon, Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.610-613
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    • 2000
  • Recently catastrophic oil spills from tanker casualties have polluted the marine environment. In this paper, the Sea Prince casualties are analyzed and the systems to be introduced are considered. Also, the establishment of the national contingency plan and the decision-making procedure based on technical analysis are described. Based on the discussions the Rapid Response Technical Support System is derived for the support of salvage and oil spill removal operation, The System will contribute to the protection of life and assets from the marine casualties and to keeping the clean and safe ocean.

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Development of Sequential Sampling Plan of Bemisia tabaci in Greenhouse Tomatoes (토마토 온실내 담배가루이의 축차표본조사법 개발)

  • SoEun Eom;Taechul Park;Kimoon Son;Jiwon Jeong;Jung-Joon Park
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.62 no.4
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    • pp.299-305
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    • 2023
  • Bemisia tabaci is one of polyphagous insect pests that transmits Tomato Yellow Leaf Curl Virus (TYLCV) and Cassava Brown Streak Disease (CBSD). Insecticides are primarily applied to control B. tabaci, but it has limits due to the development of resistance. As a result, a fixed precision sampling plan was developed for its integrated pest management (IPM). The tomato plants were divided into top (more than 130cm from the ground), middle (70 cm to 100 cm above the ground), and bottom (50 cm or less above the ground) strata, before visual sampling of the larvae of B. tabaci. The spatial distribution analysis was conducted using Taylor's power law coefficients with pooled data of top, middle, bottom strata. Fixed precision sampling plan and control decision-making were developed with precision levels and action threshold recommended from published scientific papers. To assess the validation of the developed sampling plans, independent data not used in the analysis were evaluated using the Resampling Validation for Sampling Plan (RVSP) program.

A Forecast Model for Estimating the Infection Risk of Bacterial Canker on Kiwifruit Leaves in Korea (참다래 잎에서의 궤양병 감염 위험도 모형)

  • Do, Ki Seok;Chung, Bong Nam;Joa, Jae Ho
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.168-177
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    • 2016
  • A forecast model for estimating the infection risk of bacterial canker caused by Pseudomonas syringae pv. actinidiae on kiwifruit leaves in Korea was developed using the generic infection model of Magarey et al. (2005). Two-way contingency table analysis was carried out to evaluate accuracy of forecast models including the model developed in this study for estimating the infection of bacterial canker on kiwifruit using the weather and disease data collected from three kiwifruit orchards at Seogwipo in 2015. All the tested models had more than 80% of probability of detection indicating that all the tested models could be effective to manage the disease. The model developed in this study showed the highest values in proportion of correct (51.1%), probability of detection (90.9%), and critical success index (47.6%). It indicated that the model developed in this study would be the best model for estimating the infection of bacterial wilt on kiwifruit leaves in Korea. The model developed in this study could be used for a part of decision support system for managing bacterial wilt on kiwifruit leaves and help growers to reduce the loss caused by the disease in Korea.

Field Validation of PBcast in Timing Fungicide Sprays to Control Phytophthora Blight of Chili Pepper (고추 역병 방제시기 결정을 위한 PBcast 예측모델 타당성 포장 평가)

  • Ahn, Mun-Il;Do, Ki Seok;Lee, Kyeong Hee;Yun, Sung Chul;Park, Eun Woo
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2020
  • Field validation of PBcast, an infection risk model for Phytophthora blight of pepper, was conducted through a designed field experiment in 2012 and 2013. Conduciveness of weather conditions at 26 locations in Korea in 2014-2017 was also evaluated using PBcast. The PBcast estimated daily infection risk (IR) of Phytophthora capsici based on weather and soil texture data. In the designed filed experiment, four treatments including routine sprays at 7-day intervals (RTN7), forecast-based sprays when IR reached 200 (IR200) and 224 (IR224), and no spray (CTRL) were compared in terms of disease incidence and number of sprays recommended for disease control. In 2012, IR had reached over 200 twice, but never reached 224. In 2013, IR had reached over 200 three times and once higher than 224. The RTN7 plots were sprayed 17 and 18 times in 2012 and 2013, respectively. Weather conditions throughout the country were generally conducive for Phytophthora blight and 3-4 times of fungicide sprays would have been reduced if the PBcast forecast information was adopted in the decision-making for fungicide sprays. In conclusion, the PBcast forecast would be useful to reduce fungicide applications without losing the disease control efficacy to protect pepper crop from Phytophthora blight.

Procedure and Consideration to Build Flood Disaster Prevention System (홍수재해대응시스템 구축을 위한 절차 및 고려사항)

  • Lee, Eul-Rae;Lee, Seung-Yoon;Hwang, Eui-Ho;Lee, Gwang-Man
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.827-831
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    • 2010
  • 홍수범람 또는 피해에 의해 발생한 인명피해 및 재산손실과 이를 치유하기 위해 구호 복구에 들어가는 노력 등 수해가 가져오는 여러 가지 사회경제적 역기능은 홍수의 특성을 정확하게 이해하고 이를 예방하기 위한 적절한 계획수립 및 시행을 포함하는 과학적인 홍수분석시스템을 도입해서 홍수를 사전에 예방하거나 경감할 수 있는 수방대책을 수립하는 것이 방안이 될 수 있다. 우리나라의 하천에 대한 홍수재해특성은 체계적인 하천정비의 미비, 하천제방, 호안시설의 붕괴 및 유실 등이 있을수 있으며, 또한 저수지 소류지 보 등의 파제가 홍수시 잦은 발생을 초래하고 있다. 하천부속시설물(수문, 갑문, 방수구 등)의 기능 및 제방과의 접속부실은 최근에 많이 발생하는 하천의 피해양상이 된다. 하천유역관리 및 방제의 비구조물적인 요인으로는 하천유역의 개발에 의한 유출요인의 증대가 있으며, 하천연안 저지대의 난개발로 인한 상습침수 지역조장 등이 요인이 될 수 있다. 또한 소하천, 지방하천 및 국가하천의 분리관리로 인한 일관성있는 하천관리가 미비한 점도 있다. 항상 피해가 발생한 후 원상복구에 치중하는 복구계획과 환경단체 및 방제조직 그리고 제도 및 법규의 미비도 홍수재해의 원인이 될 수 있다. 우리나라는 지역특성 및 강우특성에 따라 많은 차이를 나타내기 때문에 그 특성에 적합한 홍수재해대응시스템을 구축해야 하는 것도 충분히 고려해야 한다.

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Development of sequential sampling plan for Frankliniella occidentalis in greenhouse pepper (고추 온실에서 꽃노랑총채벌레의 축차표본조사법 개발)

  • SoEun Eom;Taechul Park;Kimoon Son;Jung-Joon Park
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.164-171
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    • 2022
  • Frankliniella occidentalis is an invasive pest insect, which affects over 500 different species of host plants and transmits viruses (tomato spotted wilt virus; TSWV). Despite their efficiency in controling insect pests, pesticides are limited by residence, cost and environmental burden. Therefore, a fixed-precision level sampling plan was developed. The sampling method for F. occidentalis adults in pepper greenhouses consists of spatial distribution analysis, sampling stop line, and control decision making. For sampling, the plant was divided into the upper part(180 cm above ground), middle part (120-160 cm above ground), and lower part (70-110 cm above ground). Through ANCOVA, the P values of intercept and slope were estimated to be 0.94 and 0.87, respectively, which meant there were no significant differences between values of all the levels of the pepper plant. In spatial distribution analysis, the coefficients were derived from Taylor's power law (TPL) at pooling data of each level in the plant, based on the 3-flowers sampling unit. F. occidentalis adults showed aggregated distribution in greenhouse peppers. TPL coefficients were used to develop a fixed-precision sampling stop line. For control decision making, the pre-referred action thresholds were set at 3 and 18. With two action thresholds, Nmax values were calculated at 97 and 1149, respectively. Using the Resampling Validation for Sampling Program (RVSP) and the results gained from the greenhouses, the simulated validation of our sampling method showed a reasonable level of precision.