• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.17-25
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• 2013

In this paper we interpreted the changes in wind field over complex mountainous terrains. The results of our study can be applied for predicting the direction of fire spread and for establishing strategies for fire prevention. The study area is bounded by $12{\times}12$ km domains of the Samcheok's long-term ecological research (LTER) site located in the east coast, in which a large-fire had occurred from 7 to 13 April 2000. Because of the area's complex topography, we compared the result of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale model with those observed by four automated weather stations. The WRF simulation overestimated the wind speed by 5 to 8 m/s (~200%) in comparison with those from four automated weather stations. The wind directions observed by the AWSs were from various directions whereas those from WRF model were mostly west wind at all stations. Overall, the simulations by the WRF mesoscale models were not appropriate for the estimation of microscale wind fields over complex mountainous areas. To overcome such inadequacy of reproducing the wind fields, we employed the ENVI-met model over Samcheok's LTER site. In order to test the model's sensitivity with the terrain effects, experimental simulations were conducted with various initial conditions. The simulation results of the ENVI-met model showed a reasonable agreement in wind speeds (about 70% accuracy) with those of the four AWSs. Also, that the variations in wind directions agreed reasonably well with changes in terrain effect. We concluded that the ENVI-met model is more appropriate in representing the microscale wind field over complex mountain terrains, which is required to predict fire spread and to establish strategies for forest fire prevention.

• Proceedings of the Korea Air Pollution Research Association Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.334-335
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• 1998

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.223-233
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• 2018

The predictability of winter storm waves using KMA's operational wind forecasts has been studied to predict wind waves and swells in the East coast of Korea using SWAN. The nested model were employed along the East coast of Korea to simulate the wave transformation in the coastal area and wave dissipation term of whitecapping is optimized to improve swell prediction accuracy. In this study, KMA's operational meteorological models (RDAPS and LDAPS) are used as input wind fields. In order to evaluate model accuracy, we also simulate wind waves and swells using ECMWF reanalysis and KIOST WRF wind and they are compared with the KMA's operational wave model and the wave measurement data on the offshore and onshore stations. As a result, it has the lowest RMSE and the highest correlation coefficient in the onshore when the input wind fields are KMA's operational meteorological forecasts. In the offshore, all of the simulate results shows good agreements with similar error statistics. It means that it is very feasible to use SWAN model with the modified whitecapping factor and KMA's operational meteorological forecasts for predicting the wind waves and swells in the East coast of Korea.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.210-221
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• 2015

The terrain features and surface characteristics are the most important elements not only in meteorological modeling but also in air quality modeling. The diurnal evolution of local climate over complex terrain may be significantly controlled by the ground irregularities. Such topographic features can affect a thermally driven flow, either directly by causing changes in the wind direction or indirectly, by inducing significant variations in the ground temperature. Over a complex terrain, these variations are due to the nonuniform distribution of solar radiation, which is highly determined by the ground geometrical characteristics, i.e. slope and orientation. Therefore, the accuracy of prediction of regional scale circulation is strong associated with the accuracy of land-use and topographic information in meso-scale circulation assessment. The objective of this work is a numerical simulation using MM5-A2C model with the detailed topography and land-use information as the surface boundary conditions of the air flow field in mountain regions. Meteorological conditions estimated by MM5-A2C command a great influence on the dispersion of mountain areas with the reasonable feature of topography where there is an important difference in orographic forcing.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.66-77
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• 2005

Aerological observation at Heuksando located in south-western part of Koran Peninsula has been started at 1 June 2003. In order to clarify the improvement of meteorological prediction quality. it is necessary to compare between aerological data observed at Gawngju and Heuksando and to make clear the influence of Heuksando data assimilation. Therefore numerical simulations were carried out with High resolution meterological prediction system based on MM5(The 5th Generation Mesoscale Model). The pattern of wind and temperature field observed at Heuksando and Gwangju are different due to land surface friction End Sensible heat flux at surface and the wind field Simulated With Gwangju and Heuksando aerological data agree well with observation wind field. Although the amount of precipitation in these experiments is underestimated. the area and starting time of precipitation around Honam province in case with Heuksando data is more reliable that without the data.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.195-204
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• 2016

In this paper, the applicability and usefulness of windprofiler input data were investigated to generate three dimensional wind field. A logical diagnostic model CALMET with windprofiler data at ten sites and with weather forecasting model WRF output was evaluated by statistically comparing with the radiosonde data at eight sites. The horizontal wind speed from CALMET simulated with hourly windprofiler data is in good agreement with radiosonde observations within 1.5 m/s of the root mean square error, especially local circulation of wind such as sea breeze over the coastal region. The root mean square error of wind direction ranged $50^{\circ}{\sim}70^{\circ}$ is due to the wind direction error from the windprofiler polluted by ground clutters. Since the exact wind can be produced quickly and accurately in most of the altitude with windprofiler data on CALMET, we expect the method presented in this study to be useful for the monitoring of safe environment as well as weather in the coastal zone.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.165-172
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• 2015

The extreme weather conditions become frequent and severe with global warming. To prevent and cope forest disaster like a forest fire, we need an accurate micrometeorological prediction system for mountainous regions. This study addressed the forest fires occurred at Bonghwa and Gangneung in March, 2013. We constructed and optimized the prediction system that were required to interpret and simulate the forest micrometeorology. At first, we examined WRF physical sensitivity. Subsequently, KMA AWS observation data were assimilated using three-dimensional variation data assimilation method. The effectiveness of the assimilation was examined by using AWS observations enhanced with the Forest Research Institute observations. Finally, The 100 meters spatial resolution wind data were obtained by using the MUKLIMO for the given wind vector from WRF.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.359-359
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• 2011

기존 수자원계획에 있어서 수문량 예측은 매우 제한적으로 활용되고 있는 실정으로서 최근 기후변화 및 이상기후로 기인하는 기상학적 불확실성 증가에 대해서 효과적으로 대응 하기가 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 기상인자를 활용한 수문변량 예측기법을 개발하고자 하며 국내에 수문자료가 충분한 지역에 대해서 모형의 적합성과 타당성을 평가하고자 한다. 대부분의 수문변량은 해수면온도, 해수면기압, 바람장 등 Large Scale의 기상학적 특성과 연관성을 가지고 있으며 선행시간을 가지고 수문순환에 영향을 주고 있다. 수문변량과 기상학적 변량사이에는 일반적으로 비선형 관계를 가지고 있는 것으로 알려지고 있으며 이러한 비선형 관계를 효과적으로 예측하기 위해서 본 연구에서는 비선형 예측모형을 개발 하고자 한다. 최근 비선형 예측모형에서 불확실성을 고려한 모형에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있으며 특히, 다중 모형을 사용한 Ensemble 개념의 예측모형 도입이 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내 다목적댐 유입량 및 강수량에 대해서 최적 기상변량을 도출하고 이를 활용한 비선형 Ensemble 예측모형을 개발하였다. 일반적인 선형 회귀분석 모형에 비해 기상현상과 수문현상에 비선형성을 효과적으로 재현할 수 있는 장점을 확인할 수 있었으며 이와 더불어 예측결과에 대한 불확실성을 제공함으로서 신뢰성 있는 수자원 계획을 위한 기초자료로서 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 1996.05d
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• pp.107-112
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• 1996

원전의 환경방사선 영향평가(정상시/사고시)의 정확도 및 신뢰도를 제고하기 위해서는 보다 체계적이고 과학적으로 방사성 물질의 대기중 이동을 모사·예측할 수 있는 체제가 정립되어야 한다. 해안 지역에서 빈번히 발생하는 해륙풍이 대기확산에 미치는 영향을 규명하고, 대기확산모델의 바람장 자료로 이용되는 월성원전 주변지역의 해륙풍 데이터베이스를 구축하기 위한 일환으로 삼차원 상세 해륙풍 모델을 개발하였다. 봄철 약한 북풍의 지균풍이 부는 맑은 날에 대하여 해륙풍 모델을 수행시켜 월성원전 지역의 해륙풍 특성을 분석하고 해륙풍 모델결과와 관측결과를 비교하였다.

• 정보화사회
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• s.184
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• pp.14-27
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• 2007

'오늘보다 더 나은 내일' 새해를 맞는 모든 이들의 바람이다. IT업계의 바람도 이와 크게 다르지 않다. 다행스러운 것은 올해가 작년보다 조금 나을 것 같다는 예측들이 많다는 것이다. '정보화사회'가 신년을 맞아 산업 부문별로 경기를 전망한 결과, 유선전화 시장을 제외하고는 대부분의 산업이 역동적으로 움직일 것으로 예상됐다. 모바일 서비스 시장은 3G중심으로 급속히 재편될 것으로 예상됐으며, 휴대폰 시장은 전년 대비 13% 성장할 것으로 전망됐다. IT서비스관리 시장도 작년 대비 50% 이상 급성장 할 것으로 전망됐으며, SI 시장도 비교적 호재가 많을 것으로 예상됐다. 유선, 초고속 인터넷, 모바일, SI, 네트워크, 보안, HW, SW 등 11개 산업분야의 2007년 시장전망을 분석 정리했다.