• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.51 no.2
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• pp.201-217
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• 2016

We accessed the climate change effects on the distributions of warm-evergreen broad-leaved trees (shorten to warm-evergreens below) in the Korean Peninsula (KP). For this, we first selected nine warm-evergreens with the northern distribution limits at mid-coastal areas of KP and climate variables, coldest month mean temperature and coldest quarter precipitation, known to be important for warm-evergreens growth and survival. Next, species distribution models (SDMs) were constructed with generalized additive model (GAM) algorithm for each warm-evergreen. SDMs projected the potential geographical distributions of warm evergreens under current and future climate conditions in associations with land uses. The nine species were categorized into three groups (mid-coastal, southwest-coastal, and southeast-inland) based on their current spatial patterns. The effects of climate change and land uses on the distributions depend on the current spatial patterns. As considering land uses, the potential current habitats of all warm-evergreens decrease over 60%, showing the highest reduction rate for the Kyungsang-inland group. SDMs forecasted the expansion of potential habitats for all warm-evergreens under climate changes projected for 2050 and 2070. However, the expansion patterns were different among three groups. The spatial patterns of projected coldest quarter precipitation in 2050 and 2070 could account for such differences.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.33-41
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• 2008

Land use/land cover is very important to understand the change in the land cover between specific periods. But as there are number of factors which are responsible for the change in the land cover, it is very difficult to identify the specific factors. Therefore in the study we made an attempt to use the land use strategies quantitatively and conducted simulation study. The input data using the CLUE-S model are the satellite data of 1987 and 2001 from Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) and Enhanced Thematic Mapper (ETM+) and we conducted simulations for 23 years from 1987 to 2010. As a result, the accuracy between the land use map derived from original satellite data and simulation for 2001 was 93.69% and in this reason we could expect land use and land cover in the future.

• Water for future
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.10-15
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• 2004

한정된 물자원을 가장 효율적으로 공급, 이용 및 보존하기 위한 수단으로서 통합수자원관리(IWRM: integrated water resources management)의 필요성이 전 세계적으로 급속히 확산되고 있다. '생태계의 지속가능성을 저해하지 않으면서 사회ㆍ경제적 복지를 극대화할 수 있도록 물과 토지 및 관련 자원들의 조화로운 개발과 관리를 촉진하는 과정'(Global Water Partnership, 2000)으로 정의되는 통합수자원관리는 해당 국가 또는 유역이 처해 있는 수량ㆍ수질환경 문제의 특성, 관련 제도의 안정성, 공공부문과 민간부문의 상대적 우위와 특성, 문화적 배경 등 다양한 요소에 따라 그 목적과 접근방법을 달리 할 수도 있다. 즉, 미국 TVA에서는 유역의 홍수관리, 내륙주운, 전력생산 등을 위해 수자원과 토지이용 등을 포함한 유역의 자원통합관리를 수행하고 있으며, 미국 환경청(US EPA) 차원에서는 수질 및 하천생태계 차원의 수계관리를 유역통합관리라고 부르기도 한다.(중략)

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.28 no.6B
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• pp.653-663
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• 2008

The purpose of this study is to establish a database of weather, hydrology, point source pollution management, reservoir release and tillage management for SWAT model evaluation of Anseongcheon watershed ($370.1km^2$, the upstream of Gongdo water level gauging station), and to use them for the following research of future climate and land use change impact on streamflow and stream water quality. It is expected that the database can achieve the practical analysis of current watershed hydrologic and environmental condition. The model calibration and validation were conducted using the constructed database. The model results showed that the tillage management affected the temporal shift of pollutant loads, and changed the flow pattern of pollutant transport through cultivation area. It was identified that the April and May irrigation water supply from the agricultural reservoir also affected the streamflow of downstream. The data application of pollutants treatment facilities and tillage management of cultivation area showed about 10% difference in the simulation results of stream water quality. The data establishment of agricultural reservoir operation, the tillage management of cultivated area within the watershed and the attributes inclusion of pollutants treatment facilities were proved to be important in SWAT model evaluation. The results of model setup in this study are expected for more reliable model application in the following research of future climate and land use change impact on hydrology and stream water quality of the study watershed.

• 한국공간정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.06a
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• pp.162-168
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• 2007

기후변화는 강수유형, 기온상승과 일사량의 변화로 인한 증발산량의 변화, 유역 식생피복변화로 인한 지표-대기 관계의 변화와 같은 현상을 통해 지역 부존 수자원과 유출량에 큰 변화를 가져올 수 있다. 특히 지표면의 76%를 차지하고 있는 식생피복은 지표와 대기 사이의 물 순환과정에서 중요한 인자이다. 본 연구에서는 넓은 지역에 대한 식생피복의 파악이 용이한 NOAA 위성의 AVHRR (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) 센서로부터 얻을 수 있는 정규화 식생지수 (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI)를 통하여 현 식생정보를 정량화하였다. 이로부터 토지피복별 NDVI와 기상인자(기온, 강수량, 일조시간, 풍속, 습도) 사이의 상관관계를 분석하고, 이를 기후변화 시나리오에 의한 기상인자로 부터 토지피복에 따른 미래 NDVI를 추정하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.53-62
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• 2013

Land-use/cover changes not only amplify or alleviate influence of climate changes but also they are representative factors to affect environmental change along with climate changes. Thus, the use of land-use/cover changes scenario, consistent climate change scenario is very important to evaluate reliable influences by climate change. The purpose for this study is to predict and analyze the future urban growth considering social and economic scenario from RCP scenario suggested by the 5th evaluation report of IPCC. This study sets land-use/cover changes scenario based on storyline from RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenario. Urban growth rate for each scenario is calculated by urban area per person and GDP for the last 25 years and regression formula based on double logarithmic model. In addition, the urban demand is predicted by the future population and GDP suggested by the government. This predicted demand is spatially distributed by the urban growth probability map made by logistic regression. As a result, the accuracy of urban growth probability map is appeared to be 89.3~90.3% high and the prediction accuracy for RCP 4.5 showed higher value than that of RCP 8.5. Urban areas from 2020 to 2050 showed consistent growth while the rate of increasing urban areas for RCP 8.5 scenario showed higher value than that of RCP 4.5 scenario. Increase of urban areas is predicted by the fact that famlands are damaged. Especially RCP 8.5 scenario indicated more increase not only farmland but also forest than RCP 4.5 scenario. In addition, the decrease of farmland and forest showed higher level from metropolitan cities than province cities. The results of this study is believed to be used for basic data to clarify complex two-way effects quantitatively for future climate change, land-use/cover changes.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.35-35
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• 2020

기후변화로 인한 집중호우, 태풍에 따른 제방 붕괴로 인한 하천 범람 등 많은 재해가 발생하고 있다. 특히 도심지의 내수침수, 도시하천의 범람은 피해 지역의 사회 경제적인 피해액을 동반한다. 이에 도심지에서 발생되는 홍수피해액을 산정하기 위하여 다차원법을 이용한 피해액 추정 연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있으며 기후변화를 고려한 홍수피해에 관련한 연구도 활발히 진행되고 있다. 그러나 많은 선행 연구에서는 다차원법에서 제시하고 있는 침수편입률 산정에 있어 건물군 인벤토리를 고려하지 않고 토지이용에 따른 면적비율만을 적용하여 산정하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화시나리오와 건물군 인벤토리를 이용하여 미래 잠재홍수피해에 따른 홍수피해액을 산정하여 기후변화가 홍수피해에 미치는 영향을 평가하고자 하였다. 대상지역으로 2020년부터 국가하천으로 승격되며 하천의 좌안과 우안에 도심지가 형성되어있는 원주천 유역을 대상으로 선정하였다. 기후변화 시나리오는 기상청에서 제공하고 있는 13종 국가표준시나리오를 사용하였으며 SDQDM 기법을 적용하여 상세화 자료를 생산하였다. 생산된 자료를 이용하여 원주천 하천정비계획(80년 빈도) 보다 높은 80년, 100년, 200년 빈도의 확률강우량을 산정하였고 확률강우에 따른 유출량을 산정하여 홍수범람모형에 적용하였다. 산정된 홍수피해면적과 원주시 건물군 인벤토리를 활용하여 침수편입률을 산정하였으며 미래 잠재홍수피해에 따른 빈도별 홍수피해액 산정을 통해 원주천 유역의 기후변화가 따른 홍수피해에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다.

• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.590-600
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• 2011

The research was carried out for prediction of the potential habitats of warm-temperate evergreen broad-leaved trees under the current climate(1961~1990) and three climate change scenario(2081~2100) (CCCMA-A2, CSIRO-A2 and HADCM3-A2) using classification tree(CT) model. Presence/absence records of warm-temperate evergreen broad-leaved trees were extracted from actual distribution data as response variables, and four climatic variables (warmth index, WI; minimum temperature of the coldest month, TMC; summer precipitation, PRS; and winter precipitation, PRW) were used as predictor variables. Potential habitats(PH) was predicted 28,230$km^2$ under the current climate and 77,140~89,285$km^2$ under the three climate change scenarios. The PH masked by land use(PHLU) was predicted 8,274$km^2$ and the proportion of PHLU within PH was 29.3% under the current climate. The PH masked by land use(PHLU) was predicted 35,177~45,170$km^2$ and increased 26.9~36.9% under the three climate change scenarios. The expansion of warm-temperate evergreen broad-leaved trees by climate change progressed habitat fragmentation by restriction of land use. The habitats increase of warm-temperate evergreen broad-leaved trees had been expected competitive with warm-temperate deciduous broadleaf forest and suggested the expand and northward shift of warm-temperate evergreen broad-leaved forest zone.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.2D
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• pp.293-297
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• 2006

This study is aimed to present a direction of urban development around regional private university site through the case-study in Joongbu university. Regional private university is in the face of a difficult problem for expansion of campus because of increasing of students and a lot of non-planned development in the circumstance of university site. Therefore we need an planned-development for expansion of university campus. This study abstracted of a direction for development by analyzing the land-use behavior around Joongbu university site.

• Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.47-53
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• 2004

환경친화적 개발 가능성에 있어서 쓰레기 매립지 골프장 건설은 골프장 이미지 개선, 부지 매입가격 절감, 메탄 에너지 재활용, 국토 이용률 상승, 녹지공간의 확보, 기술 경쟁력 확보 등의 매우 많은 이점을 가지고 있다. 이러한 이점을 개발하기 위해 본 연구에서는, 국내의 쓰레기 매립지 골프장 개발 가능요인과 쓰레기 매립지 현황을 조사하였다. 조사 결과 이용가능성이 있는 매립지는 5%내외이며, 골프장과 같이 녹지를 제공하는 시설의 설치가 미흡한 것으로 나타났다. 이와 함께 이미 개발된 미국의 쓰레기 매립지 골프장 시공 사례를 알아보고, 쓰레기 매립지 골프장 개발의 적극적인 도입을 위해 매립지 토지이용절차와 이용시 판단기준, 토지활용시 고려사항 등을 연구하였다. 이러한 기초자료를 바탕으로 미래의 쓰레기 매립지 활용에 있어 골프장 부지로 사용하고, 건설할 수 있는 타당성과 구체적인 대안을 제시하였다.