• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.38 no.4
• /
• pp.187-198
• /
• 2022

This study attempted to examine whether the spread of infectious diseases and quarantine measures such as border blockade and restrictions on movement due to the global spread of the COVID-19 pandemic is the cause of a decrease in product trade. To this end, a gravity model analysis was conducted using commodity trade statistics from Korea and major trading partners. As a result of the analysis, it was empirically confirmed that in 2020, the time of the spread of COVID-19, the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic was an obstacle to reducing Korea's trade. However, in the case of 2021, it was not possible to confirm whether the impact of the pandemic had a significant effect on commodity trade. As the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 is different, the commodity trade situation in 2022 when the COVID-19 epidemic is stably managed is also likely to change. Since factors such as response to COVID-19 and the spread of vaccines vary from country to country, it is thought that such various factors should be fully considered in the process of establishing policies to end the COVID-19 era

• Korea Trade Review
• /
• v.48 no.4
• /
• pp.209-232
• /
• 2023

This study aims to estimate the export performance factors of Korean Steel Products to the EU and the expected changes in exports according to the CBAM(Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism). the factors influencing the export performance of Korean Steel Products to the EU were analyzed using a Gravity Model, and the expected export amount in the case of a Carbon Tax was calculated assuming that the CBAM would be implemented in 2026, As a result, it was empirically analyzed that economic growth, population growth, exchange rate and manufacturing production index of each EU country have a positive effect on exports in Korea, and it was analyzed that the effects of the single market and system due to the EU's economic community were also helpful in increasing exports but the Carbon Tax is imposed in 2026, reducing Korea's steel exports by about -3.6% to -5.7%

• Management & Information Systems Review
• /
• v.37 no.2
• /
• pp.87-108
• /
• 2018

This article explores the international trade flow of Bangladesh's ready-made garments (RMG). We first suggest the brief history and an international structure of trade among countries by using the trade volume. Then we implemented a gravity model regression with the sample of 38 major partner countries in order to investigate the potential export market for the RMG industry. The fixed effect and random effect model for the panel data during the period of 1990 to 2011 are estimated. Our result shows that Bangladesh's RMG exports are affected positively by the size of economy, inflation, exchange rate, foreign direct investment(FDI) and trade openness. On the other hand, the distance between trading partners are related negatively with the trade volume. We used the estimated coefficients from the panel regression in order to predict RMG export potential of Bangladesh. This might show which country is the promising export market for Bangladesh RMG industry. We found that Bangladesh has the highest potential of RMG export with Japan and USA, which seem to have considerable room for export growth if trade barriers and constraints are removed. We added some policy implications for encouraging the RMG export of Bangladesh by using the results from the analysis.

• Korea Trade Review
• /
• v.43 no.2
• /
• pp.1-22
• /
• 2018

Utilizing OECD-WTO's Trade in Value Added (TiVA) data, this study investigates the effects of economic integration (EI) on TiVA Empirical results obtained from structural gravity specifications reveal that EI increases trade between member countries, irrespective the types of exports in final goods and intermediate goods as well as foreign value added in total exports and domestic value added in total exports. The empirical results also reveal that EI does not decrease the share of domestic value added in total exports.

• International Area Studies Review
• /
• v.13 no.2
• /
• pp.117-144
• /
• 2009

This paper analyzes how Korea's trade intensity with major ASEAN countries changed from 2000 to 2005. For this purpose, we measured the trade intensity index, the trade complementarity index, and the special country bias index between Korea and ASEAN countries by the trade intensity index model developed by Yamazawa (1970). The OECD trade matrix was used as data. We found that Korea's trade intensity with Indonesia increased from 8.91 in 2000 to 10.88 in 2005 due to a considerable increase in Korea's special country bias with Indonesia from 9.58 in 2000 to 10.75 in 2005. Therefore Korea's special country bias with Indonesia should be enhanced further by increasing capital movements and reducing discriminatory tariffs and other import restrictions between Korea and Indonesia. It was also found that trade intensity between Korea and other ASEAN countries (i.e., Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand) shows a similar pattern of the above trade intensity between Korea and Indonesia except the trade complementarity.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
• /
• v.25 no.2
• /
• pp.127-152
• /
• 2017

With the advent of the WTO system in 1995, non-tariff barriers including technical barriers to trade(TBT) has become one of the important issues in world trade order. The purpose of this study is to analyse an impact of the calibration and measurement capabilities(CMC), the degree of equivalence of national measurement standards which is maintained by NMIs to provide governments with a technical foundation for wider agreements related to international trade. The results of the analysis using the gravity model with the proxy of the CMC shows that the CMC has a positive impact on Korean trade. Particularly, it was estimated that the CMC registered by high-income economies has more impact on Korean trade than those by low income economies. This implies that the countries highly dependent upon foreign trade like Korea need to have much more interest in the investment into measurement standards and science which is generally considered to be a public goods.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
• /
• v.37 no.6
• /
• pp.681-687
• /
• 2013

Free Trade Agreement(FTA) aims at abolishing tariffs on trade among nations or regions resulting in having a significant impact on maritime transportation and port. Korea made the first FTA with Chile in 2004 and the trade volume between two countries has seen significant increase. The literature on such impact, however, seems to be very limited. The main purpose of this study is, therefore, to analyze the impact of Korea-Chile Free Trade Agreement on the imported container throughput from Chile at the Busan Port. For this both cross-sectional and time series data are collected that comprise container throughput, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), import tariff, and maritime freight rate, from 2000 to 2011, and the gravity model is applied. The main result of the study shows that the dependent variables, GDP and import tariff are statistically significant, but the maritime freight rate is not consistent with regarding to statistical significance and parameter sign.

• International Area Studies Review
• /
• v.14 no.3
• /
• pp.109-130
• /
• 2010

The service sector comprises two thirds of world GDP in 2005 and takes 20% of the world trade. As the technologies such as telecommunication technologies advance, the long-distance trades in services is expected to increase. But there are few empirical research on the flows of services between regions. This paper studies the pattern of flows of long-distance trades in services across the regions. Since it is very hard to collect reliable data on long-distance trade in services, we collect data from regional input-output tables of Korea. The results shows that the hard service which can be consumed spatially separated from production tends to have more long-distance trade than the soft service which is consumed simultaneously with production. It also shows that regional gross domestic production is important factor for the pattern of trades in services.

• Korea Trade Review
• /
• v.41 no.4
• /
• pp.221-243
• /
• 2016

This study examined the trade of the Central Asian CIS countries and the Daegu-Gyeongbuk region. These countries are rich in resources such as oil, natural gas and aluminum. These countries were switched to capitalist market economy after independence from the Soviet Union. So, these countries are considered as new emerging markets. This study analyzed the current status of trade between Daegu-Gyeongbuk region and Central Asian CIS countries. The result of analysis of the trade structure between the Daegu-Gyeongbuk and Central Asian CIS countries, and of the Daegu-Gyeongbuk region exports to Central Asian CIS countries showed insufficience when compared with the total export of korea. In this study, we used the gravity model to analyze the trade volume of the Daegu-Gyeongbuk region and Central Asian CIS countries. The result of analysis is that the globalization of Central Asian CIS countries appeared to be effective in increasing trade. In order to increase trade, Korea and CIS countries should strengthen their economic cooperation. Especially, these countries should try to implement FTAs for economic integration. The Central Asian CIS countries have an industrial structure that relies on resource exports. So, they have a blueprint for diversification of industries through national long-term plans. The Daegu-Gyeongbuk region's economy has been going through long-term stagnation. If the Daegu-Gyeongbuk companies can enter the Central Asian CIS countries, it can be a solution for the local economy.

• International Area Studies Review
• /
• v.22 no.2
• /
• pp.19-40
• /
• 2018

This paper aims to quantify the determinants of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries' exports by using an augmented gravity model. The gravity model was applied to the six members of the GCC (Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and Oman) with datasets that consist of their major 55 trading partners. The findings of this paper reveal that the product of the exporter's GDP and its trading partner's GDP had a significantly positive effect on the exports of five GCC members, except for Qatar. Distance had a significant and negative effect on the exports of the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Oman, while it had a significantly positive effect on those of Bahrain and Qatar. The exporter's GDP per capita had a significantly positive effect on the exports of Bahrain, the UAE and Oman, while a negative effect on Saudi Arabia's exports. The exporter's population had a significantly positive effect on the exports of all six GCC members, while the importer's population had a significantly positive effect on the exports of Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar, yet, a significantly negative effect on Saudi Arabia's exports. Borders had an insignificant effect on the exports of the six members. The common language had a significant and positive effect on the exports of Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Oman. FTAs had a significantly positive effect on the exports of Bahrain and a significantly negative effect on Qatar's and Oman's exports. The membership of the GCC had a significantly positive effect on the exports of Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar, while it had a negative effect on Saudi Arabia's exports.