• Title/Summary/Keyword: 무역 중력 모형

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Factor Analysis of Trade Patterns in Korea Photovoltaic Industry (우리나라 태양광 산업의 교역패턴 요인 분석)

  • Ju, Sin-Ae;Jeong, Yoon-Say;Park, Hyun-Hee
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.185-202
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    • 2016
  • Interests in renewable energy have been increasing with low-carbon policy and concerns about radioactivity. And solar energy is receiving attention as the most realistic energy in the industry. Demand for solar energy was started in Germany and European countries, and further expanding to other countries. And Korea became one of the high technology level countries in that industry. So, systematic analysis is needed for trading fact and overseas expansion of Korea's photovoltaic energy together with increased demand in the world. In this paper, we analyzed panel data for 25 years, from 1990 to 2014 from 11 countries that have track record with Korea's PV product. It is conducted based on Gravity model and matched with general report for Korean PV industry. But it shows different result for other factors.

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The Effects of FTA Diversification on Bilateral Trade in the Spatial Model (공간모형을 통한 FTA의 다각화가 양자무역에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Cheul
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.53-78
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    • 2016
  • This study is to analyze the effects of both the bilateral FTA and a home and its trade partner's FTAs on the trade with 62 country-pair panel data over the period of 2003-2013 using the gravity model and the spatial autoregressive model. First, the study analyzes how the bilateral FTAs affect the trade using the gravity model and the spatial model. Next, the article analyzes how the home and its trade partners' FTAs affect their trade using only the spatial model under controlling the bilateral FTA. The empirical results are summarized as the followings: first, the spatial mode fits well more than the gravity model in analyzing the relationship between the bilateral FTA and trade. It implies that the spatial spillover effect of FTA is important in the international trade with FTA. Second, the bilateral FTA plays a role in expanding the trade between or among the FTA members as proved by the previous studies. Third, the more the home and its trade partners' FTAs, the more the bilateral trade are extended. Fourth, with the bilateral FTAs, as the home and its trade partners enter into more FTAs, the bilateral trade reduces due to trade diversion effects. In conclusion, this study provides a political implication that in order to increase the trade volume, a country enters into as many FTAs as possible because the effects of the bilateral FTAs would decrease.

Effects of Korea-ASEAN FTA on Export via Gwangyang Port: Application of the Panel Gravity Model and Rolling Regression (한.ASEAN FTA가 광양항 수출에 미치는 영향: 패널중력모형과 전향적 이동회귀의 적용)

  • Park, Honggyun;Kim, Changbeom
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2014
  • The paper uses a panel gravity model to analyse the determinants of export via Gwangyang port for the period from 2000-2012. The gravity model includes export via Gwangyang port, GDP and population of trading partners, the distances between Korea and its partners, and Korea-ASEAN FTA dummy. Hausman test shows up which one is exactly appropriate between random effect estimation and fixed effect estimation to use panel dataset. It depends on whether or not existence or nonexistence of the correlation between unobserved omitted factors and variables. Fixed effect estimation is suitable for this paper by the rejection of null hypothesis. An Empirical analysis of this paper shows GDP influences positive effects and distance influences negative effects to Gwangyang port trading partners. In addition, the results strongly supported the effects of Korea-ASEAN FTA on the growth of Gwangyang port export.

Determinants of Korea's Trade before and after the 2008 Financial Crisis Activating Augmented Gravity Model (중력모형을 이용한 2008년 금융위기 전후 한국의 교역결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Doowon;Kim, Donghee;Park, Seokwon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.243-274
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    • 2012
  • This research analyzes the determinants of Korea's trade using the Gravity model, Chow test and panel data anaysis. According to the pooled panel OLS analysis using the gravity model and Chow-test, Korea's trade patterns before and after the 2008 financial crisis are heterogeneous. Variables of basic gravity model, GDP per capita, distance, and population, identically showed positive and significant correlation with trade volume before and after financial crisis, but also equally showed the decrease in absolute value of coefficient. On the other hands, Overseas Direct Investments(ODI) variable showed the increase in absolute value of coefficient. But TCI was no longer significant. This research is significant in that it is able to show the strategy for the long term growth in Korea's volume of international trade through econometric analysis based on data of 55 trading partner of Korea.

Empirical Analysis on Trade Pattern of Korean Motor Industry and Effect of Free Trade Agreement through Panel Gravity Model (패널중력모형을 통한 한국 자동차산업의 교역패턴과 자유무역협정의 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Seog-Min;Jun, Eui-Cheon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.251-272
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    • 2010
  • This study was done through Panel Gravity Model to analyze the trade pattern of Korean motor industry and empirical analysis was also performed on the effect of regional economies joining to the Korean trade is to draw out some implications. Compared with per capita pattern regarding the income levels of both the countries, the results indicated that trade of Korean motor industry followed GDP pattern in accordance with the overall market. The results of effect on regional economic integration to Korean motor industry reflected 179% and 198% increase in motor trade industry and motor parts trade, respectively. To expand the trade of Korean motor industry at the international competitiveness level, focus should be made on smaller, smarter and greener car with lesser impact on the environment. Hence, the present investigation suggested that government should not delay in retaining the core technology as well as private sector should also aggressively invest in the market.

The effects of Logistics Performance Index on International Trade of Korea (교역 상대국의 물류성과지표가 한국 무역에 미치는 영향)

  • Lim, Eun Jung;Jun, Sung Hee
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.77-96
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    • 2019
  • Logistics and transportation are increasingly playing a crucial role in international trade relations. Logistics services provide sectoral connections within the local economy. The efficient logistics services facilitate the flow of products; besides ensuring safety and speed of movement, they can reduce the cost of cross-border trade. The Logistics Performance Index (LPI) evaluates the efficiency of customs, quality of transportation service, and infrastructure for overland and maritime transport in each country it covers. The objective of this article is to analyze the impact of the various LPI indicators of Korea's trading partners. The impact of LPI on trade varies according to the income level of the trading partners. The results show that an improvement in any of the components of the LPI can lead to significant growth in a country's trade flow. Exports to Korea will increase as the LPI of the trading partner country is higher. This index has a greater impact on the exports of low-income countries.

An Analysis on Determinants of Balance of Payments of Korea and FTA Pursuing Countries (한국과 FTA 추진국간의 무역수지 결정요인 분석)

  • Son, Yong-Jung
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.97-112
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to analyse determinants of payment balance of Korea, targeting 65 countries which concluded FTA with Korea in 2012 or are pursuing it with Korea( effectuation, agreement, negotiation and joint research). For an analysis model, economic and geographical variables of target countries were included in explanatory variables of the gravity model and divided values which indicate surpluses or deficits in trade with Korea were marked in dependent variables to perform a logistic analysis. If payment balance in trade between Korea and specific countries is a surplus, a value of 1 is given and if it is a deficit, a value of 0 is given. As a result of estimating the logit model, it was discovered that variables of GDP, GDP per person, total trade with trade partners, petroleum, landlocked countries and maritime powers were not statistically significant. However, variables of total trade, export dependency, import dependency, distance and mineral were statistically significant.

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A Study on the Trade Potential of Electronic Products Based on Trade Gravity Expansion Model between China and Korea (확장된 무역 중력 모형에 기반한 한중 전자제품 무역잠재력 연구)

  • Dong, Hao;Bae, Ki-Hyung;Zhang, Mengze
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.216-226
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    • 2022
  • With the signing of the China-Korea FTA agreement, it is of great practical significance to study the potential of electronic product trade between China and South Korea under the new situation to promote the development of electronic product trade between the two countries. Based on this, this paper selects the data related to the trade of electronic products between China and South Korea from 2005 to 2019. First, it analyzes the factors of the trade potential of electronic products between the two countries by building a trade gravity expansion model, and then calculates and compares the electronic products between China and South Korea. trade potential. The research results show that: (1) The economic scale, population scale and APEC member countries have a promoting effect on the trade volume between China and South Korea. The geographical distance has an inhibitory effect on the trade volume between China and South Korea. Trade freedom has a significant misuse of promotion for China's electronics trade, while it has no significant effect on South Korea's electronics trade. (2) After 2015, China's electronic product export trade potential to South Korea is huge. There is also a certain potential in South Korea's trade in electronic products with China, which needs to be explored with active policies.

A Study on the Effect of Logistics Performance on the Trade of Goods in the Korea-ASEAN FTA (한-아세안 FTA 상품무역의 물류성과 효과에 대한 연구)

  • Ahn, TaeKun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.145-160
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    • 2021
  • This study attempted to analyze the trade in goods effect of the Korea-ASEAN FTA by using logistics performance index, which are evaluation indicators of logistics industry workers on the logistics environment and logistics system in international trade. The World Bank's logistics performance index are six indicators: customs clearance, logistics infra, ease of shipment, logistics services, goods tracking abilities, and on-time transportation. The purpose of this study was to examine how it affects commodity trade between Korea and ASEAN states using the gravity model using panel data. Through this, it was confirmed that logistics performance index affect the increase in commodity trade.

Immigration and the FDI Pattern of Korean Restaurant Service Industry (해외교민 규모와 한국 외식산업의 해외진출 패턴)

  • Choi, Young-Jun;Jang, Yi-Sak
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.111-130
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    • 2014
  • This paper analyzes the determinants of foreign entry pattern of Korean restaurant industry. Based on the result of previous literature that cultural characteristics is important for the competitiveness of restaurant industry, this paper is purposed to analyze the effect of Korean emigrants on the foreign entry of Korean restaurant industry. Gravity model is used to develop empirical models. The results shows that the size of Korean emigrants has a positive effects on the foreign entry. Which supports the previous literature on the relationship between migrants and international trade that migrants plays as channel for information between countries.