• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모형 응답

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Mixture Model with Survey and a Statistical Model (서비스 수요조사와 분류모형을 이용한 수요예측)

  • Kim, Youn-Jong;Kim, Yong-Chul
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2008
  • In generally, we use a method of the survey to forecast the economic demands and non-economic demands for a market trend. But we have a difficult problem to estimate the demand for the marketplace objectively because the survey with the non-response and the inadequate understanding on questionnaires did not provided the strong and uniform forecast. Here, we proposed a method compounded of survey and a statistical model to estimate the demand for the marketplace and discussed the mixture model applied to the service demand on an agency.

Verified 20-car Model of High-speed Train for Dynamic Response Analysis of Railway Bridges (검증된 고속철도 차량의 20량편성 정밀모형에 의한 철도교량의 동적응답 분석)

  • 최성락;이용선;김상효;김병석
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.693-702
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    • 2002
  • The aim of this study is to develop a 3-dimensional dynamic analysis model, capable of considering the interaction between vehicles and bridges more accurately. The dynamic analysis model is developed with the high-speed train (KTX) and a 2-span continuous prestressed concrete box girder bridge with a double track. The 20-car model is developed using the moving vehicle model for the regular trainset. Three-dimensional frame elements are used for the bridge model. Using the developed models, a dynamic behavior analysis program is coded. The analytical results are compared with the dynamic field test results and found to be valid to yield quite accurate dynamic responses. Based on the results of this study, the hybrid model, made up of the moving vehicle model for the heaviest power car and the moving force model for the other cars, is quite simple and effective without loosing the accuracy that much. Under the coincidence condition of two trains traveling with resonance velocity in the opposite directions, it is necessary to check not only the dynamic responses of the bridge with one-way traffic but those with two- way coincidence.

Using Mixed Logit Model and Latent Class Model to Analyze Preference Heterogeneity in Choice Experiment Data (선택실험법 자료에서의 선호이질성 분석을 위한 혼합로짓모형 및 잠재계층모형의 활용)

  • Yoo, Byong Kook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.921-945
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    • 2012
  • Conditional Logit (CL) model is widely used since its model estimation and interpretation of results of the model is relatively easy, on the other hand, it has the limit of preference heterogeneity of respondents being not fully considered. In this study we used the two models, Mixed Logit (ML) Model and Latent Class Model (LCM) to explain preference heterogeneity of respondents for protection for Boryeong Dam wetland. As a result of the examination for heterogeneity in Boryeong city and six metropolitan areas, we found there was significant difference between two regions. While there was explicit preference heterogeneity within respondents in Boryeong city, we found little heterogeneity within respondents in six metropolitan areas. Thus in the case of six metropolitan areas, CL model can be used for parameter estimation while in the case of Boryeong city, WTP estimates are based on parameter estimates from ML model to reflect the heterogeneity within respondents. Additionally, ML model with interaction and 2-class LCM for respondents in Boryeong city were used to explain the sources of the heterogeneity. The ML model with interaction has advantage of explaining individual unobserved heterogeneity. However The comarison between these two models reflects the fact that LCM provided added information that was not conveyed in the ML model with interaction. Thus, Preference heterogeneity within respondents in this study may be better explained by class level through LCM rather than indiviual level through ML model.

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Analyzing the internal parameters of a deep learning-based distributed hydrologic model to discern similarities and differences with a physics-based model (딥러닝 기반 격자형 수문모형의 내부 파라메터 분석을 통한 물리기반 모형과의 유사점 및 차별성 판독하기)

  • Dongkyun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.92-92
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구에서는 대한민국 도시 유역에 대하여 딥러닝 네트워크 기반의 분산형 수문 모형을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형은 완전연결계층(Fully Connected Layer)으로 연결된 여러 개의 장단기 메모리(LSTM-Long Short-Term Memory) 은닉 유닛(Hidden Unit)으로 구성되었다. 개발된 모형을 사용하여 연구 지역인 중랑천 유역을 분석하기 위해 1km2 해상도의 239개 모델 격자 셀에서 10분 단위 레이더-지상 합성 강수량과 10분 단위 기온의 시계열을 입력으로 사용하여 10분 단위 하도 유량을 모의하였다. 모형은 보정과(2013~2016년)과 검증 기간(2017~2019년)에 대한 NSE 계수는각각 0.99와 0.67로 높은 정확도를 보였다. 본 연구는 모형을 추가적으로 심층 분석하여 다음과 같은 결론을 도출하였다: (1) 모형을 기반으로 생성된 유출-강수 비율 지도는 토지 피복 데이터에서 얻은 연구 지역의 불투수율 지도와 유사하며, 이는 모형이 수문학에 대한 선험적 정보에 의존하지 않고 입력 및 출력 데이터만으로 강우-유출 분할과정을 성공적으로 학습하였음을 의미한다. (2) 모형은 연속 수문 모형의 필수 전제 조건인 토양 수분 의존 유출 프로세스를 성공적으로 재현하였다; (3) 각 LSTM 은닉 유닛은 강수 자극에 대한 시간적 민감도가 다르며, 응답이 빠른 LSTM 은닉 유닛은 유역 출구 근처에서 더 큰 출력 가중치 계수를 가졌는데, 이는 모형이 강수 입력에 대한 직접 유출과 지하수가 주도하는 기저 흐름과 같이 응답 시간의 차이가 뚜렷한 수문순환의 구성 요소를 별도로 고려하는 메커니즘을 가지고 있음을 의미한다.

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A new two-state randomized response model (새로운 2단계 확률화응답모형)

  • 김종호;류제복;이기성
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.157-167
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    • 1992
  • This paper presents a new two-stage randomized response model to protect greater privacy of respondents for the sensitive characters. The conditions when the proposed model will be more efficient than Warner model, Liu-Chow's multiple trial model and Mangat-Singh model have been obtained for the case when the respondents are truthful in their answer, and the efficiency of the proposed model is also compared with Warner model, Liu-Chow's multiple trial model and Mangat-Singh model.

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A Critical Evaluation of Dichotomous Choice Responses in Contingent Valuation Method (양분선택형 조건부가치측정법 응답자료의 실증적 쟁점분석)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.119-153
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    • 2011
  • This study reviews various aspects of model formulating processes of dichotomous choice responses of the contingent valuation method (CVM), which has been increasingly used in the preliminary feasibility test of Korea public investment projects. The theoretical review emphasizes the consistency between WTP estimation process and WTP measurement process. The empirical analysis suggests that two common parametric models for dichotmous choice responses (RUM and RWTP) and two commonly used probability distributions of random components (probit and logit) resulted in all most the same empirical WTP distributions, as long as the WTP functions are specified to be a linear function of the bid amounts. However, the efficiency gain of DB response compared to SB response were supported on the ground that the two CV responses are derived from the same WTP distribution. Moreover for the exponential WTP function which guarantees the non-negative WTP measures, sample mean WTP were quite different from median WTP if the scale parameter of WTP function turned out to be large.

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Responses of a roll-pitch coupled nonlinear system to the primary resonance of the roll mode (횡동요 모드와 주공진 된 횡-종동요연성 비선형계의 응답)

  • 오일근
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 1997
  • 비성형 동력학계로 모델링된 부유수송체의 동적응답을 조사하고 그 운동의 안정성을 해석하였다. 종동요 모우드의 고유주파수가 횡동요 모우드의 고유주파수의 두배가 되는, 즉, 2:1 내부공진 혹은 자기계수공진인 조건하에서, 이부유수송체는 한 운동 모우드의 직접가진에 의해 간접가진된 다른 모우드가 대진폭 응답을 보일 수 있음을 밝혔다. 또항, 종동요 모우드의 감쇠력은 비교적 넓은 범위의 운동에 대해 선형적임에 반해, 횡동요 모우드의 감쇠력은 점성의 영향이 대단히 커서 비선형성이 대단히 강한 것으로 알려져 왔다. 이 문제를 수학적으로 모델링하기 위하여, 종동요 모우드의 운동방정식에는 선형및 제곱형의 합의 형태인 감쇠력 모형을 사용하였다. 다중척도법을 사용하여 이 두가지 운동 모우드의 주기적 응답및 그의 안정성에 미치는 제곱형 비선형 횡동요 감쇠력의 영향을 밝혔다. 조우주기가 횡동요 모우드의 고유주기와 근사한 경우에 대하여 이 비선형계의 응답을 구하고 주파수-응답 곡선으로 나타내었다.

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Analysis of the Nash Model Using the Similarities of Hydrogeomorphologic and Time Response Characteristics (수문지형특성 및 시간응답특성의 상사성을 이용한 Nash 모형 해석)

  • Seong, Gi-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 1997
  • Parameters of the Nash model were analyzed using similarity concepts for the hydrogeomorphologic and the time response characteristics, then the application of parameter estimation was performed for a basin where no data are available. The self-similarity was investigated to evaluate the similarity of hydrogeomorphologic characteristics and to derive a equation for the time of concentration. The relation between model parameters and time characteristics such as travel and lag time, were developed to obtain their properties of similarity. There were remarkable results about the assessment for basin similarity and the application to an ungaged basin in Wi stream basin.

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Vibration-based Structural Health Monitoring for Foundation-Mound of Caisson-type Breakwater (케이슨식 방파제 기초마운드의 진동기반 건전성 모니터링)

  • Lee, So-Young;Kim, Jeong-Tae;Park, Woo-Sun;Kim, Hyung-Sub
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.02a
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    • pp.79.1-79.1
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 케이슨식 방파제 구조물에 대하여 기초마운드의 잠재적인 손상 모니터링에 관한 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 첫째, 케이슨식 방파제 기초마운드의 이상 상태 여부를 판단하기 위하여 진동응답 분석기법을 선정하였다. 둘째, 선정된 기법에 의한 손상 예측 가능성의 검증을 위하여 케이슨식 방파제의 구조모형을 제작하였다. 셋째, 모형케이슨에 대한 유한요소 모델 생생하여 기초마운드의 손상에 따른 진동응답을 분석하였다. 마지막으로, 모형케이슨에 대한 진동실험을 통하여 기초마운드의 손상 예측을 수행하였다.

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Measuring Benefits of Providing Water for Environmental Improvement in Yeongdok Ohsip River: Considering Protest Bids and Distance-Decay Function in the Application of CVM (영덕오십천 환경개선용수 공급의 경제적 편익측정: CVM 적용에 있어 저항응답의 처리와 거리소멸함수)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.435-461
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    • 2015
  • Recently, Korean development Institute includes water for environmental improvement as an additional water demand category in water resources development project. In response to this change, this paper is to measure benefits of providing additional water in Yeondok Ohsip River by applying contingent valuation method. This study extended the conventional CVM design by incorporating distance variable into WTP function of dichotonomous choice responses and treated protest bids by estimating sample-selection models. The empirical analysis exhibited that more than 30% of respondents were categorized as protest bids and the mean of WTP from sample selection models were three times higher than that of the whole sample. In addition, the distance variable had significantly negative impact on sample WTP regardless of variables forms, and the geographical market area were more 400km, which implies that beneficiaries of water service would the households from the whole nation.