• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모형 내 편차

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Spatial Downscaling Method for Use of GCM Data in A Mountainous Area (산악지역에 GCM 자료를 이용하기 위한 공간 축소방법 개발)

  • Kim, Soojun;Kang, Na Rae;Kim, Yon Soo;Lee, Jong So;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2013
  • This study established a methodology for the application of downscaling technique in a mountainous area having large spatial variations of rainfall and tried to estimate the change of rainfall characteristics in the future under climate change using the established method. The Namhan river basin, which is in the mountainous area of the Korean peninsula, has been chosen as the study area. Artificial Neural Network - Simple Kriging with varying local means (ANN-SKlm) has been built by combining artificial neural network, which is one of the general downscaling techniques, and SKlm technique, which can reflect the geomorphologic characteristics like elevation of the study area. The evaluation of SKlm technique was done by using the monthly rainfalls at six weather stations which KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) is managing in the basin. The ANN-SKlm technique was compared with the Thiessen technique and ordinary kriging(OK) technique. According to the evaluation result of each technique the SKlm technique showed the best result.

Interrelationship among the Foreign Exchange, Stock and Bond Market: Comparative Analysis of Korea and Japan (외환.주식.채권시장의 상호 관련성 : 한국.일본의 비교)

  • Chi, Ho-Joon;Kim, Sang-Whan
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.169-191
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구는 우리나라와 일본의 주가, 금리와 환율 등 주요 금융자산가격변수들이 상호간에 주고받는 영향을 3변량 MA-GARCH모형을 사용하여 분석하여 보았다. 우선 각 시장의 조건부 수익률을 기준으로 볼 때 우리나라에서는 외환위기 이후 주식시장과 채권시장의 상관관계는 낮아진 반면 외환시장과 주식시장, 외환시장과 채권시장의 상관관계는 10%p 이상씩 높아진 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 외환위기 이후 주식, 채권시장의 외환시장과의 연관성은 크게 높아져 환율 움직임의 영향력이 전반적으로 커졌다고 이해할 수 있다. 이에 비해 일본의 경우 각각의 금융시장간 상관계수는 10% 이하의 매우 낮은 수준에 불과하여 상호관련성이 낮은 수준을 보여 주었다. GARCH 추정이 도출한 각 시장의 조건부표준편차들간의 상관계수를 보면, 우리나라와 일본 모두 외환시장 변동성$\leftrightarrow$채권시장 변동성, 주식시장 변동성$\leftrightarrow$채권시장 변동성 사이의 상관관계는 28-29% 정도이며, 외환시장 변동성$\leftrightarrow$주식시장 변동성 사이의 관계는 21% 정도로 상대적으로 낮은 수치를 보여 주었다. 반면에 금융시장 변동성의 각 국간 상관관계는 90% 내외의 높은 상관관계를 가져, 국가내의 시장간 관계보다 더 높은 수치를 보여 주었다. 따라서 우리나라와 일본의 금융시장 변동성은 국내금융시장간의 요인보다는 모두 미국 주식시장에서의 충격이나 국제유가 급등락 등 외부적 요인에 대해 크게 영향을 받는 것으로 판단해 볼 수 있을 것이다.

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Streamflow depletion according to groundwater pumping location (지하수 양수 위치에 따른 하천수 감소 영향 공간 분석)

  • Lee, Jeongwoo;Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Min Ho;Cha, Jun Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.251-251
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    • 2015
  • 지하수 양수정 위치에 따라 대수층 및 하천바닥층의 수리지질학적 특성이 상이하여 양수로 인한 지하수위 저하 및 하천으로의 지하수 유출 감소의 시간적 반응과 그 크기가 공간적으로 다르게 나타난다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지표수-지하수 통합모형 SWAT-MODFLOW를 죽산천 유역에 적용하여 지하수 양수정 위치에 따른 하천수 감소량을 모의 분석하였다. 대상 유역내에 위치한 전체 지하수 양수정을 고려하여 현재 이용 상태의 하천유량을 모의한 후, 다시 지하수 관정을 모두 제거하여 자연 상태일 때의 하천유량을 산정하여 하천수 감소의 정도를 평가하기 위한 기준유량으로 삼았다. 이어서 하천변 양안 500m 이내 임의 위치에 지하수 양수정을 개별적으로 입력하여 반복 모의를 통해 하천유량을 산정하고 자연 상태의 하천유량과의 차이로부터 하천수 감소량을 산정하였다. 임의 위치 각각에 대해 산정한 하천수 감소량을 크리깅 기법을 통해 공간 보간하여 표출한 결과 양수정 위치에 따라 하천에 미치는 영향의 공간적 편차가 크게 나타났고, 특히 양수 5년후에는 양수량 대비 하천수감소량이 60%를 초과하는 지역이 대부분인 것으로 분석되었다.

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Establishment Model of Entrance and Exit User of Urban Railway Station (도시철도역 출입구 유출입 이용자 추정 모형 수립)

  • Kim, Hwang Bae;Lee, Sang Hwa;Bae, Choon Bong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 2019
  • Although the number of users of urban railways is greatly influenced by the land use plan around the railway station, Korea has been studying this problem in a small scale, so that the entrance width is uniformly calculated irrespective of the land use plan, And there is little deviation. Therefore, this study aims to establish a demand estimation model for the entrance and exit of urban railway stations. For this purpose, the demand, land use area, and socioeconomic indicators for each of the 20 urban railway stations were surveyed at 200m and 500m Regression model. The model is based on the assumption that the dependent variable (response variable) of the model is set to 1 day, peak 1 hour, peak time 5 minutes, Education, and park) and socioeconomic indicators (population, employer, employee, and student) as independent variables (explanatory variables). As a result, it was analyzed that the fit of the model is more statistically significant when the use area of the land use by 500 meters of the center radius of the city rail is used as an independent variable and the demand for the daily use of the railway station is used as a dependent variable. The purpose of this study is to estimate the optimal size of urban railway entrance in order to improve the mobility of the user and the transportation weak in urban railway station.

Inference of natural flood frequency for the region affected by dams in Nam Han River (남한강 유역 댐 영향 지역의 기본홍수량 추론)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeong Eun;Lee, Jeongwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.7
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    • pp.599-606
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to estimate the unregulated flood frequency from Chungju dam to Yangpyung gauging station for the region affected by dams based on the peak discharges simulated by storage function routing model. From the flood frequency analyses, the quantiles for the unregulated flood frequency at 6 sites have similar pattern to each other, and their averaged quantile almost matched to the result from the regional flood frequency analysis. The quantile and annual mean discharge for the unregulated flood frequency for the downstream of Chungju dam show the similar behaviour to those for the upstream area. While the quantile and the annual mean discharge for the regulated flood frequency are significantly different from those for the unregulated flood frequency. In particular, the qunatile shows severe difference as the return period increases, and the annual mean discharge has a tendency to approach to the natural flood as the distance from dam increases.

Numerical Analysis of NAPL Removal from Soil and Groundwater Using Steam Injection (토양 및 지하수에서의 NAPL 제거를 위한 스팀주입 수치해석)

  • Lee, Sang-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.667-674
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    • 1998
  • Numerical models simulating the process of NAPL from contaminated soil or groundwater through steam injection can be a useful tool for designing and evaluating the cleanup strategy under various field conditions. One and two dimensional numerical analyses were conducted based on the governing equations describing the NAPL removal as a non-isothermal, multi-phase and multi component process. Relatively good agreements were obtained between the numerical results and the observations from one-dimensional laboratory experiment, except some discrepancy due to experimental difficulties. Simulation effectively identified the steam displacement process of xylene floating on the water table and TCE sinking on the aquifer bottom in a two-dimensional analysis. Overall, simulation models have a high potential in the design/appraisal of a system for field application of the technique as well as in the examination of complex processes such as vaporization which is hard to identify experimentally.

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Evaluation of the Breast plan using the TLD and Mosfet for the skin dose (열형광선량계(TLD)와 MOSFET을 이용한 유방암 방사선치료계획에 대한 피부선량 평가)

  • Kim, seon myeong;Kim, young bum;Bak, sang yun;Lee, sang rok;Jeong, se young
    • The Journal of Korean Society for Radiation Therapy
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2015
  • Purpose : The measurement of skin dose is very important that treatment of breast cancer. On account of the cold or hot dose as compared with prescription dose, it is necessary to analyse the skin dose occurring during the various plan of the breast cancer treatment. At our hospital, we want to apply various analyses using a diversity of dosimeters to the breast cancer treatment. Subjectss and Methods : In the study, the anthropomorphic phantom is used to find out the dose difference of the skin(draining site), scar and others occurring from the tangential treatment plan of breast cancer. We took computed tomography scan of the anthropomorphic phantom and made plans for the treatment planing using open and wedge, Field-in-Field, Dose fluence. Using these, we made a comparative analysis of the dose date points by using the Eclipse. For the dose comparison, we place the anthropomorphic phantom in the treatment room and compared the measurement results by using the TLD and MOSFET on the dose data points. Results : On the central point of treatment planing basis, the upward and downward skin dose measured by the MOSFET was the highest when the fluence was used. The skin dose of inner and outer was distinguished from the figure(5.7% ~ 10.3%) when the measurements were fulfilled by using TLD and MOSFET. The other side of breast dose was the lowest in the open beam, on the other hand, is highest in the Dose fluence plan. In the different kinds of treatment, the dose deviation of inner and outer was the highest, and so this was the same with the TLD and MOSFET measurement case. The outer deviation was highest in the TLD, and the Inner'was highest in the MOSFET. Conclusion : Skin dose in relation to the treatment plan was the highest in the planing using the fluence technique in general and it was supposed that the high dose had been caused by the movement of the MLC. There's some differences among the all the treatment planning, but the sites such as IM node occurring the lack of dose, scar, drain site are needed pay close attention. Using the treatment planning of dose fluence is good to compensate the lack of dose, but It increases the dose of the selective range rather than the overall dose. Therefore, choosing the radiotherapy technique is desirable in the lights of the age and performance of the patient.

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A Study on the Effectiveness for Information Literacy Instruction in School Library (학교도서관과 정보활용교육의 효용성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jung-Yeoun
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.67-85
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    • 2007
  • The types of information literacy in school library is classified into usage instruction of school library, reading education, instructional development o4 courseware with school library and integrated instruction of collaboration with school librarian and teacher. A measure of scholastic achievement on information literacy varies in each school. The cause is rely on the absence of librarians who teach information literacy and lack of understanding on the role of school library in information literacy. Nevertheless, we know that the program based on subject teacher is successful in terms of the effectiveness of the program. It demonstrate that if information literacy will be considered as important course in the curriculum for school librarian, the effectiveness of information literacy can be enhanced dramatically. For the purpose some strategies are required. In this paper, propose three strategies, which are integration of information literacy into curriculum of schools, analysis of the curriculums and a practical method for training school librarian.

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Analysis of Runoff Reduction applying Green Roof in the CheonggyeCheon Watershed (청계천 유역의 옥상녹화 적용에 따른 유출저감 분석)

  • Park, Gu Young;Yang, Jeong Seok;Lee, Jae Beom;Bang, Yong Seon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.400-400
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    • 2015
  • 기후변화로 인해 예측하기 어려운 강우패턴의 변화와 도시화로 인한 불투수면의 증가로 도심지는 매년 침수위험에 노출되어 있다. 배수시설의 개선은 인구밀도가 높고 유동인구가 많은 도심지에서 이루어지기 쉽지 않은 상황이며, 강우패턴의 변화는 예측과 대처가 어려운 상황이다. 이러한 이유로, 침투증진을 통해 직접유출수를 줄이는 연구 중 LID(Low Impact Development)에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. LID기법은 도시화로 증가된 불투수면을 투수면으로 대체하여 저류, 침투, 여과, 증발산을 유도하여 물 순환 회복에 기여할 수 있는 방법으로 옥상녹화, 투수성포장, 침투 트렌치 등의 기술요소가 있다. LID 기술요소에 대해 국외의 경우 설치방안과 평균적인 저감효과를 메뉴얼로 제시하고 있지만, 강우 및 토지의 지역적 편차가 큰 국내에 적용하기에는 어려운 상황이다. 또한, LID 모델링의 경우 유역 내 적용 면적에 따른 유출저감효과를 제시하는 연구결과는 다수 제시되고 있지만, 적용 면적과 지점에 따라 효율성을 제시하는 점에서는 다소 미흡한 상황이다. 따라서 LID 기술요소 별 설계 사례와 GIS를 바탕으로 유역 내 적용 지점과 면적을 산출하고, 적용 지점 및 면적에 따른 저감 효율을 분석하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구는 SWMM모형을 이용하여 LID 기술요소 중 옥상녹화를 적용하여, 강우 강도와 적용지점 및 면적에 따른 유출저감 효율을 분석하고자 한다. 연구지역은 청계천 유역으로 총 면적의 75% 이상이 주거지, 상업지, 교통시설 등을 포함한 불투수면으로 이루어져있는 도시 지역이다. 강우자료는 10년, 30년, 80년 빈도 확률강우량을 적용하였으며, 옥상녹화를 적용하기 위한 지점과 면적은 GIS를 기반으로 산정하였다.

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Analysis on Heat Loss of Single-span Greenhouse Using Small-scaled Wind Tunnel (소형풍동을 이용한 단동 비닐온실의 열손실 분석)

  • Kim, Young Hwa;Kim, Hyung kow;Lee, Tae suk;Oh, Sung sik;Ryou, Young sun
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study is to analyze the heat transfer loss of covering materials in a single-span plastic greenhouse under the steady-state wind environment. To achieve this objective, the following were conducted: (1) design of a small-scaled wind tunnel (SCWT) to analyze heat losses of the greenhouse and its performance; (2) determination of the overall heat transfer coefficient (OHTC) for the covering materials using a small-scaled greenhouse model. The SCWT consists of the blowing, dispersion, steady flow, reduction and testing areas. Each part of the SCWT was customized and designed to maintain air flow at steady state and to minimize the variances in the SCWT test. In this study, the OHTCs of the covering materials were calculated by separating each with the roof, side wall, front and back of the small-scaled greenhouse model. The results of this study show that the OHTC of the roof increases as wind speed increases but the zones in which the increase rate of the OHTC decreased, were distinguished by wind tunnel wing speed of 2 ms-1. For the side wall, the increase rate of the OHTC was particularly higher in the 0-1 ms-1 zone.