• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모의 정확도 향상

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A Study on the Promotion of Specialty Store of Fresh Foods - Focused on Chonggak' House Vegetables Store - (생식품 전문점 판매 서비스 활성화에 관한 연구 - 총각네 야채가게를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Young-Suk;Yoon, Nam Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.100-118
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    • 2011
  • Since 1990, income has been grown rapidly in Korea. Thus, concerns of environmental pollution and health have been increased among Korea's consumers. As a result of this concern, demand for safe food and agricultural products has been growing in Korea. Recently, purchasing patterns of Korea's consumers have been changed as Korea's society has changed to an aging society, growth of unmarried person, and low birthrate. Korea's consumers prefer to buy only volume that they need. Thus, the volume of agricultural products that they purchase became small. Therefore, retailers should reflect such needs of consumers to their business. The purpose of this study is to build up new strategies in order to make a high profit through customer's satisfaction when selling agricultural products. Using literature review, this study has drawn results. The results of this study is that retailers should lay products with brand in their store and establish trust with customers in oder to make loyal customers. In addition, retailers should prepare individual package of agricultural products for sales of a small volume to keep pace with social changes.

Birth Registration Rate and Accuracy of Reported Birth Date in Rural Area (농촌지역의 법정-기간내 출생신고율과 신고된 생년월일의 정확도)

  • Park, Jung-Han;Lee, Chang-Yik;Kim, Jang-Rak;Song, Jung-Hup;Yeh, Min-Hae;Cho, Seong-Eok
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.21 no.1 s.23
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    • pp.70-81
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    • 1988
  • To measure the birth registration rate and the validity of birth registration data in rural area, all of the 4,014 married women under 49 years of age who had not been sterilized in Gunwee county of Kyungpook province were followed by Myun health workers for 2 years from April 1, 1985 to March 31, 1987 and 766 births were detected. All of the birth registration records of Myun offices were reviewed on September 30, 1987 and 944 births which occurred within the above mentioned period were found. Actual birth date obtained by follow-up study were compared with the birth date on registration card. Among 766 births detected by follow-up study,576 births(75.2%) which were reported within 6 months after birth were ascertained on the official registration records and 96 births(12.5%) were not found on the records although mother stated that the birth was registered. The registration rate within legal due date was 61.3% among 576 births detected by follow-up study and also ascertained on the official records. The registration rate within legal due date was lower in mothers under 20 years of age and above 35 years and in mothers who had only primary education. It was decreased as the birth order increased. The registration rate was higher in births occurred from October to March than births occurred from April to September. All of the births of 7 neonatal deaths were not reported. The registered birth date was consistent with the actual birth date in 78.0%. Birth date on record was earlier than the actual birth date in 6.8% and later in 15.3%. The consistency rate was lower in mothers above 35 years of age(54.5%), and in infants of 4th birth order and above(56.3%). The rate was increased as the maternal education level increased. The rate of boys was higher than that of girls. A higher percentage(17.4%) of infants born in March was registered with earlier date than the actual birth date and most of these registered birth dates were lunar calendar date. This might be related with the age for entering the primary school. The study findings revealed that the birth registration rate within legal due date and accuracy of report have been increased in recent years, but the infant mortality rate derived from the birth registration seems to be very inaccurate. It is suggested to let the medical personnel who delivered the baby report the birth by mail directly to the current address of parent while infants delivered at home without professional attendant may comply with the present registration system.

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Study on Tourism Demand Forecast and Influencing Factors in Busan Metropolitan City (부산 연안도시 관광수요 예측과 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kyu Won Hwang;Sung Mo Nam;Ah Reum Jang;Moon Suk Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.915-929
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    • 2023
  • Improvements in people's quality of life, diversification of leisure activities, and changes in population structure have led to an increase in the demand for tourism and an expansion of the diversification of tourism activities. In particular, for coastal cities where land and marine tourism elements coexist, various factors influence their tourism demands. Tourism requires the construction of infrastructure and content development according to the demand at the tourist destination. This study aims to improve the prediction accuracy and explore influencing factors through time series analysis of tourism scale using agent-based data. Basic local governments in the Busan area were examined, and the data used were the number of tourists and the amount of tourism consumption on a monthly basis. The univariate time series analysis, which is a deterministic model, was used along with the SARIMAX analysis to identify the influencing factor. The tourism consumption propensity, focusing on the consumption amount according to business types and the amount of mentions on SNS, was set as the influencing factor. The difference in accuracy (RMSE standard) between the time series models that did and did not consider COVID-19 was found to be very wide, ranging from 1.8 times to 32.7 times by region. Additionally, considering the influencing factor, the tourism consumption business type and SNS trends were found to significantly impact the number of tourists and the amount of tourism consumption. Therefore, to predict future demand, external influences as well as the tourists' consumption tendencies and interests in terms of local tourism must be considered. This study aimed to predict future tourism demand in a coastal city such as Busan and identify factors affecting tourism scale, thereby contributing to policy decision-making to prepare tourism demand in consideration of government tourism policies and tourism trends.

Numerical Modeling for Turbulent Combustion Processes of Vortex Hybrid Rocket (Vortex Hybrid 로켓 난류연소과정의 모델링 해석)

  • 조웅호;김후중;김용모;윤명원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.244-245
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    • 2003
  • 고체나 액체 추진로켓에 비하여 하이브리드 추진 시스템은 작동조건의 안정성과 안전함등의 많은 장점을 가지고 있다. HTPB와 같은 고체연료는 제작 및 저장, 운송 그리고 장착상의 안정성을 가지고 있으며 하이브리드 로켓의 고체연료로의 산화제의 유입을 제어하면서 추력의 변화와 엔진내부의 연소중단과 재 점화를 용이하게 할 수 있다. 이러한 이유로 인하여 하이브리드 엔진은 좀 더 경제적인 장치로 기대를 모으고 있다. 그러나, 기존의 하이브리드 로켓 엔진은 고체 추진 로켓에 비하여 낮은 연료 regression 율과 연소효율을 가지는 단점이 있다. 이러한 단점을 해결하고 요구되어지는 추력값과 연료유량을 증가시키기 위하여 고체연료의 표면적을 증가시킬 필요가 있다. 기존의 하이브리드 엔진에서는 연료 그레인에 다수의 연소포트를 만들어 표면적을 증가시켰으나 이는 비 활용 공간의 증가와 추진제의 질량 및 체적분율의 상당한 감소를 초래한다. 지난 수십년간에 걸쳐 하이브리드 엔진에서 연료의 regression 특성 및 엔진 성능 향상을 위한 연구가 계속되어 왔으며 최근에 엔진의 체적 규제를 경감시키고 연료의 regression율을 향상시키기 위하여 선회유동을 이용하는 하이브리드 로켓 엔진들이 제안되고 있다. 이러한 선회유동을 가지는 하이브리드 로켓은 고체연료 그레인에 대하여 평행하게 유입되는 기존의 하이브리드 로켓에 비하여 고체연료 벽면에서의 대류열전달이 현저하게 증가하게 되어 아주 높은 고체연료의 regression율을 얻을 수 있는 이점이 있다. 선회유동 하이브리드 로켓의 연소과정은 고체 연료의 열분해과정, 대류 열전달, 난류 혼합, 난류와 화학반응의 상호작용, soot의 생성 및 산화과정, soot 입자 및 연소가스에 의한 복사 열전달, 연소장과 음향장의 상호작용 등의 복잡한 물리적 과정을 포함하고 있다. 이러한 물리적 과정 중 난류연소, 고체연료 벽면 근방에서의 대류 열전달 및 연소과정에서 생성되는 soot 입자로부터의 복사 열전달, 그리고 고체연료 열 분해시 표면반응들은 고체연료의 regression율에 큰 영향을 미친다. 특히 고체연료의 난류화염면의 위치와 폭, 그리고 비 예혼합 난류화염장에서 생성되는 soot의 체적분율의 예측은 난류연소모델, 열전달 모델, 그리고 regression율 모델에 의해 크게 영향을 받기 때문에 수치모델의 예측 능력 향상시키기 위하여 이러한 물리적 과정을 정확히 모델링해야 할 필요가 있다. 특히 vortex hybrid rocket내의 난류연소과정은 아래와 같은 Laminar Flamelet Model에 의해 모델링 하였다. 상세 화학반응 과정을 고려한 혼합분율 공간에서의 화염편의 화학종 및 에너지 보존 방정식은 다음과 같다. 화염편 방정식과 혼합분률과 scalar dissipation rate의 관계식을 이용하여 혼합분률과 scalar dissipation rate에 따른 모든 reactive scalar들을 구하게 된다. 이러한 화염편 방정식들을 mixture fraction space에서 이산화시켜서 얻은 비선형 대수방정식은 TWOPNT(Grcar, 1992)로 계산돼 flamelet Library에 저장되게 된다. 저장된 laminar flamelet library를 이용하여 난류화염장의 열역학 상태량 평균치는 presumed PDF approach에 의해 구해진다. 본 연구에서는 강한 선회유동을 가지는 Hybrid Rocket 연소장내의 난류와 화학반응의 상호작용을 분석하기 위하여 Laminar Flamelet Model, 화학평형모델, 그리고 Eddy Dissipation Model을 이용한 수치해석결과를 체계적으로 비교하였다. 또한 Laminar Flamelet Model과 state-of-art 물리모델들을 이용하여 선회 유동을 갖는 하이브리드 로켓 엔진의 연소 및 Soot 생성 및 산화과정을 살펴보았으며 복사 열전달이 고체 연료 표면의 regression율에 미치는 영향도 살펴보았다. 특히 swirl강도, 산화제의 유입위치 그리고 선회유동의 형성방식이 하이브리드 로켓의 연소특성 및 regression rate에 미치는 영향을 상세히 해석하였다.

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GOCI-II Capability of Improving the Accuracy of Ocean Color Products through Fusion with GK-2A/AMI (GK-2A/AMI와 융합을 통한 GOCI-II 해색 산출물 정확도 개선 가능성)

  • Lee, Kyeong-Sang;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Park, Myung-Sook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.5_2
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    • pp.1295-1305
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    • 2021
  • Satellite-derived ocean color products are required to effectively monitor clear open ocean and coastal water regions for various research fields. For this purpose, accurate correction of atmospheric effect is essential. Currently, the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI)-II ground segment uses the reanalysis of meteorological fields such as European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) or National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) to correct gas absorption by water vapor and ozone. In this process, uncertainties may occur due to the low spatiotemporal resolution of the meteorological data. In this study, we develop water vapor absorption correction model for the GK-2 combined GOCI-II atmospheric correction using Advanced Meteorological Imager (AMI) total precipitable water (TPW) information through radiative transfer model simulations. Also, we investigate the impact of the developed model on GOCI products. Overall, the errors with and without water vapor absorption correction in the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) reflectance at 620 nm and 680 nm are only 1.3% and 0.27%, indicating that there is no significant effect by the water vapor absorption model. However, the GK-2A combined water vapor absorption model has the large impacts at the 709 nm channel, as revealing error of 6 to 15% depending on the solar zenith angle and the TPW. We also found more significant impacts of the GK-2 combined water vapor absorption model on Rayleigh-corrected reflectance at all GOCI-II spectral bands. The errors generated from the TOA reflectance is greatly amplified, showing a large error of 1.46~4.98, 7.53~19.53, 0.25~0.64, 14.74~40.5, 8.2~18.56, 5.7~11.9% for from 620 nm to 865 nm, repectively, depending on the SZA. This study emphasizes the water vapor correction model can affect the accuracy and stability of ocean color products, and implies that the accuracy of GOCI-II ocean color products can be improved through fusion with GK-2A/AMI.

OBSTETRICIAN'S VIEW OF TEENAGE PREGNANCY:PRESENT STATUS, PREVENTION AND PSYCHIATRIC CONSULTATION (산과 의사가 인지한 10대 임신의 현황, 예방, 정신과 자문)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Kim, Boong-Nyun;Hong, Kang-E;Lee, Young-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2002
  • Objectives:For the purpose of obtaining the more vivid present status and prevention program of teenage pregnancy, this survey was done by Obstetricians, as study subject, who manage the pregnant teenager in real clinical situation. Methods:Structured survey form about teenage pregnancy was sent to 2,800 obstetricians. That form contained frequency, characteristics, decision making processes, and psychiatric aspects of the teenage pregnancy. 349 obstetricians replied that survey form and we analysed these datas. Results:(1) The trend of teenage pregnancy was mildly increased. (2) The most common cases were unwanted pregnancy by continuing sexual relationship with boyfriends rather than by forced, accidental sexual relationship with multiple partners. (3) The most common reason of labor was loss the time of artificial abotion. (4) Problems of pregnant girls' were conduct behaviors and poor informations about contraception rather than sexual abuse or mental retardation. (5) Most obstetricians percepted the necessity of psychiatric consultation, however psychiatric consultation was rare due to parents refusal and abscense of available psychiatric facility. (6) For the prevention of teenage pregnancy, the most important thing was practical education about contraception. Conclusions:Based on the result of this study, further study using structured interview schedule with pregnant girl is needed for the detecting risk factor of teenage pregnancy and effective systematic approach to pregnant girl.

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Dam-Break and Transcritical Flow Simulation of 1D Shallow Water Equations with Discontinuous Galerkin Finite Element Method (불연속 갤러킨 유한요소법을 이용한 1차원 천수방정식의 댐 붕괴류 및 천이류 해석)

  • Yun, Kwang Hee;Lee, Haegyun;Lee, Namjoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1383-1393
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    • 2014
  • Recently, with rapid improvement in computer hardware and theoretical development in the field of computational fluid dynamics, high-order accurate schemes also have been applied in the realm of computational hydraulics. In this study, numerical solutions of 1D shallow water equations are presented with TVD Runge-Kutta discontinuous Galerkin (RKDG) finite element method. The transcritical flows such as dam-break flows due to instant dam failure and transcritical flow with bottom elevation change were studied. As a formulation of approximate Riemann solver, the local Lax-Friedrichs (LLF), Roe, HLL flux schemes were employed and MUSCL slope limiter was used to eliminate unnecessary numerical oscillations. The developed model was applied to 1D dam break and transcritical flow. The results were compared to the exact solutions and experimental data.

A Study for the Conceptual Design of a Small Leisure Boat Handling Simulator (레저보트 조종시뮬레이터 개념설계에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Nam Seon;Yoon, Hyeon Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2013
  • In this study, a conceptual study was performed for the leisure boat simulator used for navigation training. The aim of this work was to secure the basic operational capability of a leisure boat as a simulated driving device for a general novice operator. A leisure boat simulator was designed to support a user more efficiently regarding navigation proficiency and safety training, as well as to minimize the limitation of place and time and it conveniently and cheaply. A cockpit for navigation status display and operational input, 3D visualization graphic device, and parallel display device were designed to give the trainee a maximum sense of reality by applying a motion platform with six degree of freedom, in which disturbance movement such waves, winds, and tide were simulated for the operator. Leisure boat simulator training scenario was developed by analysis of water-related leisure activities act and sea traffic safety act.

Underwater Target Information Estimation using Proximity Sensor (근접센서를 이용한 수중 표적 정보 추정기법)

  • Kim, JungHoon;Yoon, KyungSik;Seo, IkSu;Lee, KyunKyung
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.52 no.5
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    • pp.174-180
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose the passive sonar signal processing technique for estimating target information using proximity sensor. This algorithm is performed by single sensor which is constituted underwater sensor network and has a hierarchical structure. The estimated parameter is the velocity, the depth, the distance and bearing at CPA situations and we can improve the accuracy of signal processing techniques through having a hierarchical structure. We verify the performance of the proposed method by computer simulation and then we check the result that 20% error can be occurred in maximum detectable range. We also confirm that proposed method has the reliability in the actual sea environment through the sea experiment.

A Video-Quality Control Scheme using ANFIS Architecture in a DASH Environment (DASH 환경에서 ANFIS 구조를 이용한 비디오 품질 조절 기법)

  • Son, Ye-Seul;Kim, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Joon-Tae
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.104-114
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    • 2018
  • Recently, as HTTP-based video streaming traffic continues to increase, Dynamic Adaptive Streaming over HTTP(DASH), which is one of the HTTP-based adaptive streaming(HAS) technologies, is receiving attention. Accordingly, many video quality control techniques have been proposed to provide a high quality of experience(QoE) to clients in a DASH environment. In this paper, we propose a new quality control method using ANFIS(Adaptive Network based Fuzzy Inference System) which is one of the neuro-fuzzy system structure. By using ANFIS, the proposed scheme can find fuzzy parameters that selects the appropriate segment bitrate for clients. Also, considering the characteristic of VBR video, the next segment download time can be more accurately predicted using the actual size of the segment. And, by using this, it adjusts video quality appropriately in the time-varying network. In the simulation using NS-3, we show that the proposed scheme shows higher average segment bitrate and lower number of bitrate-switching than the existing methods and provides improved QoE to the clients.