• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수적 분포

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Simulation Study for Statistical Methods in Comparing Cure Rates between Two Groups (모의실험을 통한 두 처리군간 치료율 비교방법 연구)

  • 박미라;이재원;진서훈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.253-267
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    • 2004
  • In some clinical trials, one may see that a significant fraction of patients are cured and their original disease does not recur even after termination of treatment and pro-longed follow-up. This situation occurs frequently in pediatric cancer trials where there are excellent therapeutic results. In such cases, interest concentrated on the difference of cure rates rather than other types of differences in failure distributions. Various authors have investigated the parametric and nonparametric methods for testing the difference of cure rates. In this study, we compare by simulation the power and size of a parametric test and five nonparametric tests in a various range of the alternatives, censoring rates and cure rates. Our objectives are to determine if any test was preferable on the basis of size and power in various situation, and to investigate the effect of the model misspecification.

Reliability Analysis of cooler in Thermal Observation Device (열상감시장비의 냉각기 신뢰도 분석)

  • Hong, Seok-Jin;Jung, Yun-Sik;Kim, Jin-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.432-436
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    • 2016
  • The cooler, which is the main part in a Thermal Observation Device (TOD), makes the TOD function by reducing the temperature. As the cooler is imported, overseas enterprises presented 20,000 hours as the operation time and the military have used the cooler as presented. However, failures have occurred occasionally after mass production stage. Therefore, we need to analyze the MTBF of the TOD cooler. So, military and defense industry companies collected the failure data of the TOD cooler. We analyze the MTBF of the TOD cooler using survival probability function and failure data. We find the optimal distribution by applying parametric method and estimate parameters. We determine that the Log-logistic distribution is the most appropriate for this data. Also, we analyze the reliability per hour of the TOD cooler. The result of MTBF of the TOD cooler was higher than that of presented by oversee enterprises.

Testing the Existence of a Discontinuity Point in the Variance Function

  • Huh, Jib
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.707-716
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    • 2006
  • When the regression function is discontinuous at a point, the variance function is usually discontinuous at the point. In this case, we had better propose a test for the existence of a discontinuity point with the regression function rather than the variance function. In this paper we consider that the variance function only has a discontinuity point. We propose a nonparametric test for the existence of a discontinuity point with the second moment function since the variance function and the second moment function have the same location and jump size of the discontinuity point. The proposed method is based on the asymptotic distribution of the estimated jump size.

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The Comparison of Parameter Estimation for Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process Software Reliability Model (NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰도 모형에 대한 모수 추정 비교)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Lee, Sang-Sik;Song, Young-Jae
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.11D no.6
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    • pp.1269-1276
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    • 2004
  • The Parameter Estimation for software existing reliability models, Goel-Okumoto, Yamada-Ohba-Osaki model was reviewed and Rayleigh model based on Rayleigh distribution was studied. In this paper, we discusses comparison of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimator and Bayesian estimation based on Gibbs sampling to analysis of the estimator' pattern. Model selection based on sum of the squared errors and Braun statistic, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. A numerical example was illustrated using real data. The current areas and models of Superposition, mixture for future development are also employed.

Power study for 2 × 2 factorial design in 4 × 4 latin square design (4 × 4 라틴방격모형 내 2 × 2 요인모형의 검정력 연구)

  • Choi, Young Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1195-1205
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    • 2014
  • Compared with single design, powers of rank transformed statistic for testing main and interaction effects for $2{\times}2$ factorial in $4{\times}4$ latin square design are rapidly increased as effect size and replication size are increased. In general powers of rank transformed statistic are superior without regard to the diversified effect composition and the type of error distributions as nontesting factors are few and effect size are small. Powers of rank transformed statistic show much higher level than those of parametric statistic in exponential and double exponential distributions. Further powers of rank transformed statistic are very similar with those of parametric statistic in normal and uniform distributions.

A Computer Intensive Method for Modern Statistical Data Analysis I ; Bootststrap Method and Its Applications (통계적 데이터 분석방법을 위한 컴퓨터의 활용 I : 붓스트랩 이론과 응용+)

  • 전명식
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.121-141
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    • 1990
  • Computer intensive bootstrap methods are studied as a tool of statistics. Practical calculation and theoretical justification problem of the methods in estimating the sampling distribution and construction confidence region of parameters are discussed through several examples. Statistical meaning of the methods are also considered.

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Analytical Study on the Handoff Duration Time (핸드오프 시간에 관한 해석적 연구)

  • Lim, Seog-Ku
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.502-507
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    • 2007
  • The handoff area is the region where a call can be handled by two base stations in any of the adjacent cells, and duration time is defined as the time a mobile station resides in the handoff area. It is proven that handoff duration time follows gamma distribution from simulation results[7]. So in this paper, parameters(shape and scale) in gamma distribution are derived by analytic method. And mean, standard deviation, and parameters are compared with simulation results for verification of analytic method.

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Characteristics of the Rock Cleavage in Jurassic Granite, Geochang (거창지역의 쥬라기 화강암에 발달된 결의 특성)

  • Park, Deok-Won
    • The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 2015
  • Jurassic granite from Geochang was analysed with respect to the characteristics of the rock cleavage. we have mainly discussed the structual anisotropy formed by microcracks. The phases of distribution of microcracks were well evidenced from the enlarged photomicrographs(${\times}6.7$) of the thin section. The planes of principal set of microcracks are parallel to the rift plane and those of secondary set are parallel to the grain plane. These rift and grain microcracks are mutually near-perpendicular on the hardway planes. From the directional angle(${\theta}$) - total length($L_t$), number(N) and density(${\rho}$) chart, the curve patterns of the above microcrack parameters reflect the phases of distribution of microcracks. Microcrack parameters such as number, length and density show an order of rift > grain > hardway. These results indicate a relative magnitude of the rock cleavage. Meanwhile, brazilian tensile strengths were measured with respect to the six directions. The results revealed a strong correlation between mechanical property with the above microcrack parameters. These general results correspond to those of the previous study for Jurassic granites from Pocheon and Hapcheon. Image processing technique for the enlarged photomicrograph of the thin section was carried out. The grain 1(G1) microcrack arrays developed in quartz and feldspar grains show excellent distribution on the photomicrograph. In particular, the directional angle of each microcrack set can be ascertained easily by brief image processing for the above photomicrograph.

An Approach for the NHPP Software Reliability Model Using Erlang Distribution (어랑 분포를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Hee-Cheul;Choi Yue-Soon;Park Jong-Goo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2006
  • The finite failure NHPP models proposed in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, we propose the Erlang reliability model, which can capture the increasing nature of the failure occurrence rate per fault. Equations to estimate the parameters of the Erlang finite failure NHPP model based on failure data collected in the form of inter-failure times are developed. For the sake of proposing shape parameter of the Erlang distribution, we used to the goodness-of-fit test of distribution. Data set, where the underlying failure process could not be adequately described by the existing models, which motivated the development of the Erlang model. Analysis of the failure data set which led us to the Erlang model, using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, goodness-of-fit test, bias tests is presented.

Comparative Study of Model Selection Using Bayes Factor through Simulation : Poisson vs. Negative Binomial Model Selection and Normal, Double Exponential vs. Cauchy Model Selection (시뮬레이션을 통한 베이즈요인에 의한 모형선택의 비교연구 : 포아송, 음이항모형의 선택과 정규, 이중지수, 코쉬모형의 선택)

  • 오미라;윤소영;심정욱;손영숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.335-349
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we use Bayesian method for model selection of poisson vs. negative binomial distribution, and normal, double exponential vs. cauchy distribution. The fractional Bayes factor of O'Hagan (1995) was applied to Bayesian model selection under the assumption of noninformative improper priors for all parameters in the models. Through the analyses of real data and simulation data, we examine the usefulness of the fractional Bayes factor in comparison with intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi (1996, 1998).