• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.257-266
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• 2007

It is known that Agresti-Coull approach is an effective tool for the construction of confidence intervals for various problems related to binomial proportions. However, the Agrest-Coull approach often produces a conservative confidence interval. In this note, confidence intervals based on a Bayesian approach are proposed for a linear function of independent binomial proportions. It is shown that the Bayesian confidence interval slightly outperforms the confidence interval based on Agresti-Coull approach in average sense.

• Journal of KIISE:Databases
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.441-452
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• 2002

If continuous moving objects are managed by conventional database, it is not possible for them to store all position information changed over time in the database. Therefore, a time period of regular rate is determined and position information of moving objects are discretely stored in the system for every time period. However, if continuous moving objects are managed as discrete model, we will have problems which cannot properly answer to the query about uncertain past or future position information. To solve this problem, in this paper, we propose the method and algorithm which use the history information stored in the same database, to estimate the past or future location of moving objects. The cubic spline interpolation is used to estimate the past location and the mean movement value of the history information is used to predict the future location of moving objects. Finally, from the location estimation experimentation of using virtual trajectory and location sample, we proved that the proposed cubic spline function has less error than the linear function.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.3
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• pp.227-234
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• 2009

In this study, cross correlations among sample data at each site are calculated to obtain the asymptotic cross correlations among probability weighted moments at each site using Monte Carlo simulation. As a result, the relations between the asymptotic cross correlations among probability weighted moments and the inter-site dependence among sample data at each site are nearly a linear relation with slope 1. The smaller ratio of concurrent data size to entire sample size is, the weaker the relationship grows. Simple power function which the correction term in power function accounts for the differences of the sample size between two sites was fitted to each case to estimate the parameter. It is noted that this result can be used in the various researches which include the estimation of the variance of quantile considering cross correlations.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.110 no.4
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• pp.665-677
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• 2021

This study analyzed the optimization method of forest management to enhance economic and public functions, as well as the interrelationship among timber production, carbon storage, and water conservation functions in Mt.Gari leading forest management zone. For these purposes, a forest management planning model was developed using Multi-Objective Linear Programming. The model had an objective function to maximize the total NPV (Net Present Value) of weighted timber production, carbon storage, water conservation, and constraints to limit the rate of change in timber production, percentage of each age-class and tree species area, percentage of conifers and broad-leaved trees area in each management zone, minimum timber production and timber sales amount. Based on the description of forest inventory and the comprehensive plan of Mt.Gari, we analyzed stand information and management constraints of the study area. We compared management alternatives using different weights in the objective function. Therefore, the total NPV was maximized in the alternative considering the three functions in equal proportion, rather than the alternatives of maximizing only one function. When all three functions were considered simultaneously, timber production offset the carbon storage and water conservation, and carbon storage and water conservation interacted synergistically. However, when considering only two of the three functions, all combinations of functions demonstrated tradeoffs with one other. Therefore, we discovered that by considering all three functions equally, rather than only one or two functions, the economic and public values of the study area can be maximized.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.281-281
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• 2016

기후변화로 인한 기상학적 자연재해로부터 대비하고 안정적인 용수공급을 위해 유역의 다양한 수문 요소들에 대한 분석 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 계절적 강수량의 편차가 큰 우리나라는 유역 통합 물관리가 중요하며, 효율적 수자원 관리와 물안보 확보를 위해 유역내 물순환을 이해하는 것이 중요하다. 유역의 유출을 결정하는 요소들에는 강우, 증발산량, 토양 수분 및 지하수 등이 있으며, 시간적으로는 홍수와 같이 단기에 발생하는 유출과 장기적으로 발생하는 유출이 있다. 장기 유출은 단기 유출에 비해 토양내 수분량이 무시할 수 없을 정도로 영향을 미치게 되므로, 1년 이상의 장기 유출 해석을 위해서는 강우가 발생하지 않는 기간 동안의 토양 수분량 변화와 증발산 영향을 고려할 필요가 있다. K-water에서 자체 개발된 분포형 장단기유출 모델인 K-DRUM은 유역을 격자(grid)단위로 구분하고 각 셀들에 대한 매개변수는 흐름방향도, 표고분포도, 토지이용도, 토지피복도 등을 GIS처리하여 일괄 입력할 수 있도록 함으로써 매개변수 산정과정에서 문제가 되는 경험적인 요인을 제거하였다. 흐름의 구분은 얕은면 흐름, 지표하 흐름, 지하수 흐름으로 구분하여 운동파법과 선형저류법을 적용하였다. 또한 초기 토양함수 자동보정기법으로 실제의 기저유출량을 재현하여 전체적인 유출모의 정확도를 높였으며, FAO-56 Penman-Monteith법을 적용한 증발산량 산정모듈과 Sugawara et al.(1984)이 제안한 개념적 융설 및 적설모듈을 추가하였다. K-DRUM모형을 이용한 유출분석은 용담댐 시험유역을 대상으로 2013년도 1년간의 유출모의를 수행하였다. 입력자료는 용담댐 유역의 지형, 토양 및 토지특성 정보와 시단위 강우 및 기상정보(온도, 바람, 일사 등)를 활용하였다. 분석 결과, 총 관측유출량은 7,151 ㎥/s이고 총 계산유출량 $8,257m^3/s$이며, 관측유출량 대비 계산유출량은 약 115% 정도로 나타났다. 연간 총 강우량은 1303.5 mm로 유역면적 약 $930km^2$을 적용하여 유역 총 강우량을 산정하면 $14,030m^3/s$로서 관측유출량은 유역 총 강우량 대비 51%이고 계산유출량은 59% 정도로 나타났다. 즉 유역 유출율은 약 51% 수준으로 보통의 유역과 유사한 수준이다. 관측된 토양수분량과 K-DRUM 모형의 계산된 토양수분량을 비교하기 위하여 관측 토양수분량의 비율을 이용하여 비교하였다. 모의결과 토양수분은 강우에 의해 변화하며, 관측결과와 유사한 형태로 나타남을 알 수 있었다.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.23 no.9
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• pp.5-16
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• 2007

The simple linear elastic-perfectly plastic model with soil parameters $s_u,\;E_u$ and n of undrained condition is usually applied to predict the displacement of a constructed diaphragm wall(DW) on soft soils during excavation. However, the application of this soil model for finite element analysis could not interpret the continued increment of the lateral displacement of the DW for the large and deep excavation area both during the elapsed time without activity of excavation and after finishing excavation. To study the characteristic behaviors of soil behind the DW during the periods without excavation, a series of tests on soft Bangkok clay samples are simulated in the same manner as stress condition of soil elements happening behind diaphragm wall by triaxial tests. Three kinds of triaxial tests are carried out in this research: $K_0$ consolidated undrained compression($CK_0U_C$) and $K_0$ consolidated drained/undrained unloading compression with periodic decrement of horizontal pressure($CK_0DUC$ and $CK_0UUC$). The study shows that the shear strength of series $CK_0DUC$ tests is equal to the residual strength of $CK_0UC$ tests. The Young's modulus determined at each decrement step of the horizontal pressure of soil specimen on $CK_0DUC$ tests decreases with increase in the deviator stress. In addition, the slope of Critical State Line of both $CK_0UC$ and $CK_0DUC$ tests is equal. Moreover, the axial and radial strain rates of each decrement of horizontal pressure step of $CK_0DUC$ tests are established with the function of time, a slope of critical state line and a ratio of deviator and mean effective stress. This study shows that the results of the unloading compression triaxial tests can be used to predict the diaphragm wall deflection during excavation.

• Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.1-10
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• 2002

High energy photon beams from medical linear accelerators produce large scattered radiation by various components of the treatment head, collimator and walls or objects in the treatment room including the patient. These scattered radiation do not provide therapeutic dose and are considered a hazard from the radiation safety perspective. Scattered dose of therapeutic high energy radiation beams are contributed significant unwanted dose to the patient. ICRP take the position that a dose of 500mGy may cause abortion at any stage of pregnancy and that radiation detriment to the fetus includes risk of mental retardation with a possible threshold in the dose response relationship around 100 mGy for the gestational period. The ICRP principle of as low as reasonably achievable (ALARA) was recommended for protection of occupation upon the linear no-threshold dose response hypothesis for cancer induction. We suggest this ALARA principle be applied to the fetus and testicle in therapeutic treatment. Radiation dose outside a photon treatment filed is mostly due to scattered photons. This scattered dose is a function of the distance from the beam edge, treatment geometry, primary photon energy, and depth in the patient. The need for effective shielding of the fetus and testicle is reinforced when young patients ate treated with external beam radiation therapy and then shielding designed to reduce the scattered photon dose to normal organs have to considered. Irradiation was performed in phantom using high energy photon beams produced by a Varian 2100C/D medical linear accelerator (Varian Oncology Systems, Palo Alto, CA) located at the Yonsei Cancer Center. The composite phantom used was comprised of a commercially available anthropomorphic Rando phantom (Phantom Laboratory Inc., Salem, YN) and a rectangular solid polystyrene phantom of dimensions $30cm{\times}30cm{\times}20cm$. the anthropomorphic Rando phantom represents an average man made from tissue equivalent materials that is transected into transverse 36 slices of 2.5cm thickness. Photon dose was measured using a Capintec PR-06C ionization chamber with Capintec 192 electrometer (Capintec Inc., Ramsey, NJ), TLD( VICTOREEN 5000. LiF) and film dosimetry V-Omat, Kodak). In case of fetus, the dosimeter was placed at a depth of loom in this phantom at 100cm source to axis distance and located centrally 15cm from the inferior edge of the $30cm{\times}30cm^2$ x-ray beam irradiating the Rando phantom chest wall. A acryl bridge of size $40cm{\times}40cm^2$ and a clear space of about 20 cm was fabricated and placed on top of the rectangular polystyrene phantom representing the abdomen of the patient. The leaf pot for testicle shielding was made as various shape, sizes, thickness and supporting stand. The scattered photon with and without shielding were measured at the representative position of the fetus and testicle. Measurement of radiation scattered dose outside fields and critical organs, like fetus position and testicle region, from chest or pelvic irradiation by large fie]d of high energy radiation beam was performed using an ionization chamber and film dosimetry. The scattered doses outside field were measured 5 - 10% of maximum doses in fields and exponentially decrease from field margins. The scattered photon dose received the fetus and testicle from thorax field irradiation was measured about 1 mGy/Gy of photon treatment dose. Shielding construction to reduce this scattered dose was investigated using lead sheet and blocks. Lead pot shield for testicle reduced the scatter dose under 10 mGy when photon beam of 60 Gy was irradiated in abdomen region. The scattered photon dose is reduced when the lead shield was used while the no significant reduction of scattered photon dose was observed and 2-3 mm lead sheets refuted the skin dose under 80% and almost electron contamination. The results indicate that it was possible to improve shielding to reduce scattered photon for fetus and testicle when a young patients were treated with a high energy photon beam.