• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.145-150
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• 2005

It is useful to select an appropriate mathematical model to predict landslide. Through observation and analysis of real-time measured time series, a reasonable mathematic model is chosen to do prediction of landslide. Two theoretical models, such as polynomial function and growth model, are suggested for the description and analysis of measured defermation from an active landslides. These models are applied herein to describe the main characteristics of defermation process for two types of landslide, namely polynomial and growth models. The TRS (tensiof rotation and settlement) sensors are applied to adopt two models, and the data analysis of two field (Neurpjae and Buksil) resulted in good coincidence between measured data and models.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.10 no.6
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• pp.73-80
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• 2010

Conventional slope stability analysis is focused on calculating minimum factor of safety or maximum probability of failure. To minimize inherent uncertainty of soil properties and analytical model and to reflect various analytical models and its failure shape in slope stability analysis, slope stability analysis method considering simultaneous failure probability for multi failure mode was proposed. Linear programming recently introduced in system reliability analysis was used for calculation of simultaneous failure probability. System reliability analysis for various analytical models could be executed by this method. Optimum design to determine angle of a simple slope is executed for multi failure mode using linear programming. Because of complex consideration for various failure shapes and modes, it is possible to secure advanced safety by using simultaneous failure probability.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.5-16
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• 2002

A hydrogeomechanical numerical model is presented to evaluate rainfall impacts on groundwater flow in slopes and slope stability. This numerical model is developed based on the fully coupled poroelastic governing equations for groundwater flow in deforming variably saturated geologic media and the Galerkin finite element method. A series of numerical experiments using the model developed are then applied to an unsaturated slope under various rainfall rates. The numerical simulation results show that the overall hydromechanical slope stability deteriorates, and the potential failure nay initiate from the slope toe and propagate toward the slope crest as the rainfall rate increases. From the viewpoint of hydrogeology, the pressure head and hence the total hydraulic head increase as the rainfall rate increases. As a result, the groundwater table rises, the unsaturated zone reduces, the seepage face expands from the slope toe toward the slope crest, and the groundwater flow velocity increases along the seepage face. From the viewpoint of geomechanics, the horizontal displacement increases, and the vertical displacement decreases toward the slope toe as the rainfall rate increases. This may result from the buoyancy effect associated with the groundwater table rise as the rainfall rate increases. As a result, the overall deformation intensifies toward the slope toe, and the unstable zone, in which the factor of safety against shear failure is less than 1, becomes thicker near the slope toe and propagates from the slope toe toward the slope crest. The numerical simulation results also suggest that the potential tension failure is likely to occur within the slope between the potential shear failure surface and the ground surface.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.51-57
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• 2001

지하수위의 상승에 따른 간극수압의 증가는 사면의 불안정을 야기할 수 있다. 그러나 모델링 오차, 계측오차, 모델변수의 불확실성 등과 같은 오차로 인하여 사면에서의 지하수위 변동을 예측하는 것은 매우 어렵다. 이러한 불확실성을 극복하고 지하수위 변동을 평가하기 위한 최적의 모델변수를 구하기 위하여 역해석 기법이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 사면에서의 지하수위 변동을 예측하기 위하여 포화대에서의 지하수 흐름과 불포화대에서의 지하수 흐름을 동시에 고려할 수 있는 수치해석 모델과 변수예측기법을 적용하였다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 포화투수계수($K_{s}$ ), 포화흡인력($\psi$$_{e}$) 및 불포화 투수계수의 함수에 사용되는 경험적인 상수(b)를 주요 매개변수로 선정하여 역해석을 실시하였다. 그리고, 역해석 기법 가운데 Maximum Likelihood(MK), Maximum-A-Posterior(MAP) 및 Extended Bayesian Method(EBM)에 대하여 비교연구를 실시하였다. 위의 세가지 방법 가운데 EBM은 가상의 변수(Hyperparameter) $\beta$를 도입함으로써 현장계측치와 사전정보를 가장 잘 조화시키는 방법으로 다른 ML, MAP 보다 탁월한 방법인 것을 알 수 있었다.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.511-523
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• 2014

Limit equilibrium analysis and finite difference analysis were used to evaluate slope stability in the in Gohan, Korea, which is affected by large-scale tensile cracks and uplift. There is a thick colluvial layer in the study area and predicting ground behavior is problematic because the presence of clay makes it difficult to determine the strength parameters of the soil. Consequently, a numerical model able to reflect the collapse properties of the site was required that applied the modified boundary layer model and calculated the strength parameters using back analysis. The numerical simulation results that consider the strength parameter one does with the present situation the establishment of the pile is completed, and the simulation is able to asses ground stability in complex terrain in a reliable manner. Also the somewhat it judges with the fact that it will be able to provide the fundamental data which secures the stability of the segment where it is unstable.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.3-16
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• 1999

This paper presents the results of sensitivity analysis based on an example study to verify a newly developed reliability-based model for rock slopes considering uncertainties of discontinuities and failure modes-plane, wedge, and toppling. The parameters that are needed for sensitivity analysis are the variability of discontinuity properties (orientation and strength of discontinuities), the loading conditions, and the rock slope geometry. The variability in orientation and friction angle of discontinuities, which can not be considered in the deterministic analysis, has a great influence on the rock slope stability, The stability of rock slopes including failure modes is more influenced by the selection of dip direction of cutting rock face than any other design variables, The example study shows that the developed reliability-based analysis model can reasonably assess the stability of rock slope.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.41-50
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• 2001

본 연구는 모래사면의 언덕근처에 설치된 짧은 말뚝의 수평하중의 영향에 관한 것이다. 3차원 탄소성 유한요소법해석과 실내 모형실험의 결과를 비교하였다. 경사 30$^{\circ}$의 사면에 시공된 짧은 말뚝의 특성을 파악하기 위해, 사면언덕에서 모형말뚝까지의 거리를 3종류로 상이하게 하여, 모형실험을 실시하였다. 사용된 모래의 지반특성은 배수조건하의 삼축압축실험으로 결정하였다. 동시에 3차원 탄소성 유한요소법에 의한 수치해석결과와 모형실험결과를 비교하였다. 본 유한요소법의 해석에 있어서 모래지반을 탄성완전소성모델(Elastic-perfectly plastic model)로 가정하여, 파괴기준으로 Mohr-Coulomb 식과 소성 포텐셜에 대해서는 Drucker-Prager 식을 적용한 MC-DP 모델로 하였다. 이러한 MC-DP 모델의 구성식은 유한요소법에서 있어 계산치의 수렴에 유익하다. 3차원 탄소성 유한요소법에 의한 수치해석이 사질토 사면의 언덕 부근에 설치된 단하의 수평거동에 대한 파악에 유효하다는 것을 확인하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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• 2004.03a
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• pp.99-105
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• 2004

지리정보시스템을 이용한 사면붕괴 연구는 국내외 많은 연구논문과 보고서를 통하여 보고되어 왔다. 반면, 지리정보시스템을 이용한 연구는 현재 다수의 학자들에 의하여 발표되고 있으나, 그 결과에 대한 비교와 국내 실효성에 대하여 언급한 논문은 다소 미흡하다. 본 논문에서는 국내 자료의 실용가능성을 감안하여 사면붕괴지역 가능성예측 산정 모델 중 두 가지 방법, 이변량 통계분석과 결정론적 분석을 통하여 동일지역에 적용하여 그 결과를 비교하였다. 선정된 대상지역은 2002년 태풍 '루사'로 인하여 피해가 규모가 큰 강원도 강릉시이고, 두 모델을 이 지역에 적용하였다. 결과 비교는 동일지역에 동일 자료를 사용하더라도 모델에 따라 발생가능성이 높은 지역이 다소 차이를 보였으며, 모델 또한 자료의 질적, 양적인 성질에 따라 크게 영향을 받는 것이 밝혀졌다.는 것이 밝혀졌다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.1-8
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• 2001

Wave-induced currents drive nearshore transport processes, and hence an accurate understanding of wave-current interaction is required for proper management of coastal zone. This paper presents details of an adaptive quadtree grid based numerical model of the coupled wave climate and depth-averaged current field. The model accounts for wave breaking, shoaling, refraction, diffraction, wave-current interaction, set-up and set-down, mixing processes, bottom friction effects, and movement of land-water interface at the shoreline. The wave period- and depth-averaged governing equations arc discrctized explicitly by means of an Adarns¬Bashforth second-order finite difference technique on adaptive hierarchical staggered quadtree grids. Results from the numerical model are in reasonable agreement with the laboratory data of longshore current generated by oblique waves on a plane beach (Visser 1980, 1991).

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.83 no.2
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• pp.175-190
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• 1994

In order to get fundamental information for prediction of landslide hazard, both forest and site factors affecting slope stability were investigated in many areas of active landslides. Twelve descriptors were identified and quantified to develop the prediction model by multivariate statistical analysis. The main results obtained could be summarized as follows : The main factors influencing a large scale of landslide were shown in order of precipitation, age group of forest trees, altitude, soil texture, slope gradient, position of slope, vegetation, stream order, vertical slope, bed rock, soil depth and aspect. According to partial correlation coefficient, it was shown in order of age group of forest trees, precipitation, soil texture, bed rock, slope gradient, position of slope, altitude, vertical slope, stream order, vegetation, soil depth and aspect. The main factors influencing a landslide occurrence were shown in order of age group of forest trees, altitude, soil texture, slope gradient, precipitation, vertical slope, stream order, bed rock and soil depth. Two prediction models were developed by magnitude and frequency of landslide. Particularly, a prediction method by magnitude of landslide was changed the score for the convenience of use. If the total store of the various factors mark over 9.1636, it is evaluated as a very dangerous area. The mean score of landslide and non-landslide group was 0.1977 and -0.1977, and variance was 0.1100 and 0.1250, respectively. The boundary value between the two groups related to slope stability was -0.02, and its predicted rate of discrimination was 73%. In the score range of the degree of landslide hazard based on the boundary value of discrimination, class A was 0.3132 over, class B was 0.3132 to -0.1050, class C was -0.1050 to -0.4196, class D was -0.4195 below. The rank of landslide hazard could be divided into classes A, B, C and D by the boundary value. In the number of slope, class A was 68, class B was 115, class C was 65, and class D was 52. The rate of landslide occurrence in class A and class B was shown at the hige prediction of 83%. Therefore, dangerous areas selected by the prediction method of landslide could be mapped for land-use planning and criterion of disaster district. And also, it could be applied to an administration index for disaster prevention.